• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demanding forecasting

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A Feasibility Investigation of adoption for the Seat-type Express Electric railway on the Railroad in Metropolitan area - Focus on the double tracked Seoul-Chuncheon line - (광역철도 좌석형급행열차 도입 타당성에 관한 연구 - 경춘선 복선화구간 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Min-Kyu;Kim, Si-Gon
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1447-1457
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    • 2008
  • The operation of the Seat-type Express Electric railway (SEE) has been watched for an alternative plan according to the increase of competition among the vehicle in metropolitan city. The purpose of this study was to examine a feasibility for the adoption of the SEE by analysis of various condition in the double tracked Souel-Chuncheon line. Fare estimate, station selection for SEE, managerial plan, demanding forecasting and analysis were performed to compute financial efficiency. The results showed financial validity on Revenue Cost Ratio (R/C), Financial Net Present Value (FNPV), Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR). This results indicate the evidence that SEE is a new means which is able to complement for finance, transportation capacity in metropolitan city.

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A Comparative Analysis of Demand Forecast Monitoring Applications and the Web (수요예측 모니터링 애플리케이션과 웹의 사례 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Hyo-won;Im, So-Yeon;Lee, Young-woo;Park, Cheol-yoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.439-441
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    • 2022
  • This study compares the monitoring application for monitoring data predicted by the demand prediction algorithm and the web page of the construction site safety management system used by the power demand management application 'Hajumon' and U&E Communications. This study is two representative examples above, and it is possible to identify an appropriate application or web by comparing the difference between the web and the application's UI, advantages and disadvantages, and data supplementation.

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A Study on WTP of Mobile Telephone Service Using the Contingent Valuation Method in Korea (조건부가치 추정법(CVM)을 이용한 국내 이동통신서비스에 대한 소비자 WTP 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Woo-Soo;Rim, Myung-Hwan;Sawng, Yeong-Wha
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2008
  • Contingent valuation method(hereafter CVM) is generally believed to be one of the most popular methods used for quantifying the value of non-market goods or services particularly by asking respondents of willingness to pay. This study deals with how to use CVM in calculating the value of mobile telephone service by suggesting methodology of estimation and eliminating biases. This study represents an attempt to estimate the WTP(Willingness To Pay) of the mobile telephone service using the face-to-face interview which is the qualitative technique is used. In this study, by using the single bound dichotomous choice model(SBDC) in order to analyze the valuation of mobile telephone service, WTP was estimated. Also we analyze the factors to pay for mobile service in which it becomes the important factor of demanding services. We used logit model. In order to provide robust estimates of WTP, we have used the Method of Montecarlo Simulation. Consequently, consumers showed that WTP about the mobile communications service is generally high. And it could know that the WTP will fell down as the specialized knowledge about the mobile communications frequency was high. It will be able to become the important part to not only the business carrier but also the policy maker to estimate the economic value of mobile telephone service.

Study on Design for Training Contents about Disaster Management - Design for Training Courses and Subjects Focus on Disaster Field Preparedness and Response - (방재부문 교육 컨텐츠 설계에 관한 연구 - 현장대비 및 대응 중심의 교육과정, 과목 설계 -)

  • Lee, Yong Jae;Nam, Sang Hoon;Lee, Young Jai
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2012
  • Recently, inflicted damage for people's life and property from occurred major disaster that landslide by localized downpour and hydrofluoric acid leak from the Gumi. However public needs about safe society is more increasing from disaster because response is unsatisfactory on that. The purpose of this paper is that establish the core foundation for the education contents system of disaster management through cultivating expert. Therefore first, designed the training of course and subject by demand forecast. Next, designed the training course focus on preparedness and response at on-scene.

Experimental Analysis of Bankruptcy Prediction with SHAP framework on Polish Companies

  • Tuguldur Enkhtuya;Dae-Ki Kang
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2023
  • With the fast development of artificial intelligence day by day, users are demanding explanations about the results of algorithms and want to know what parameters influence the results. In this paper, we propose a model for bankruptcy prediction with interpretability using the SHAP framework. SHAP (SHAPley Additive exPlanations) is framework that gives a visualized result that can be used for explanation and interpretation of machine learning models. As a result, we can describe which features are important for the result of our deep learning model. SHAP framework Force plot result gives us top features which are mainly reflecting overall model score. Even though Fully Connected Neural Networks are a "black box" model, Shapley values help us to alleviate the "black box" problem. FCNNs perform well with complex dataset with more than 60 financial ratios. Combined with SHAP framework, we create an effective model with understandable interpretation. Bankruptcy is a rare event, then we avoid imbalanced dataset problem with the help of SMOTE. SMOTE is one of the oversampling technique that resulting synthetic samples are generated for the minority class. It uses K-nearest neighbors algorithm for line connecting method in order to producing examples. We expect our model results assist financial analysts who are interested in forecasting bankruptcy prediction of companies in detail.

Strategy for Strengthening Late Mover's Competitiveness in the IT Equipment Market (정보기술기기 후발사업자의 경쟁력 강화전략;기술제휴 사례를 중심으로)

  • Yang, Je-Min;Kim, Jung-Eun;Lee, Seok-Joong;Park, Jae-Chon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2008
  • The advance of IT brings various IT equipment which functions as creation, application, and distribution of digital contents, and its demand is increased in the market. As the world IT equipment market has grew steadily, some companies think of it as a good opportunity. But there is a entry barrier like IT Capabilities to the late movers. So some participate in the market, forming the technology alliance with a advanced company. Ironically, the market system set companies' partnership into rivalry. In this context, our study focused on strengthening late mover's competitiveness under the technology alliance. And we conducted the case study concerning the technology alliance, and showed a strategical implications. As a result, we found some challenges for late mover; price policy making by scientific demanding forecasting, preparatory research and management for brand identity and efficient contact points for customer management. We hope that results of the study will influence the development of digital contents industry.

An Empirical Study for the Cognition of the Convergence Human Resource for the companies - focus on the Firms in Deajeon Region - (융합형 인재에 대한 기업의 인식 분석 연구 - 대전지역 기업을 중심으로 -)

  • Seo, Yong-Mo;Shim, Sang-Oh;Kim, Eung-Kyu;Choi, Jong-In
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.2045-2053
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    • 2012
  • The primary purpose of this paper is to identify the cognition of the convergence human resource for firms. For this purpose, Data have been collected from 110 firms in Daejeon city and studied the convergence human resource which recognized by firms on the company competitive power level. The results of this empirical studies are summarized as fellows. We classified in company competitive power as leading chaser, innovators and late chaser. In the talent, leading chasers demanded the total designer, problem solver and insighter, innovators demanded the total designer, problem solver and specialist, and late chasers demanded the traditional humanity. In technology management, all group think important fields. In the demanding forecasting for the market and technologies, leading chasers and innovators demanded the CEO, R&D researcher and a middle manager as the important position. For this education, they demanded the convergence ability of other technologies, the up-to-date abilities of product and technology and the understandings of market needs. In the convergence talent or leader, leader chaser and innovator demanded the specialist who attempted to combine others industries, who know well in technology and management, and the specialist who attempted to combine others technologies. But, late chaser demanded the specialist who attempted to combine others industries.

A Study of Growth Plan and the existing designed Community Businesses in Gangwon-do - Social businesses and town businesses in Gangwon-do - (커뮤니티 비지니스 지정 현황과 발전방안 제언 - 강원도 사회적기업과 마을기업을 중심으로 -)

  • Bae, Jung Nam;Park, Roh Gook;Ji, Kyoung Bae
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2013
  • This study was carried out to contribute to the self-help and sustainability of grassroots business in Gangwon-do. To achieve this, after setting up the concept of community business, understanding the current designating status of community business and analyzing the business content and the business promotion system, I tried to analyze the continuing factors of businesses and shops, which are more than hundred years old, in Japan and seek a solution to the sustainability of community business in the province. The community business in the province, which is designated and operated, is like this; 86 preliminary social businesses, 62 town businesses, 38 social businesses. The total comes to 186. The preliminary social businesses and the social businesses are assigned more in urban area and the manufacturing sector and educational field have a lot of business contents. When it comes to the business promotion system, there are many incorporated companies and limited companies. While the town businesses are assigned more in county area, the agricultural food field and cultural world have a lot of business contents. When it comes to the main participant of business, the agricultural corporations took the first place overwhelmingly. Especially, I found out that the main participants of community business consist of 38 voluntary associations, which is 20.4 %, and we need to make up for the specialty deficiency in business management. In order to keep the continuity of community business in the province, we could achieve the results of manpower development through the case analysis research, securing good materials which can give the consumers confidence, increasing the quality of the products, maintaining high technical skills, keeping up the tradition of business and demanding forecasting. I think a successive research efforts will be required for securing good materials and increasing the quality of the products in tandem with the local community. And also we need to establish a supporting & operating system through the liaison between the business & academic world, business & administration, and business & business for securing a management specialty as an industrialist.

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