• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand-Supply Model

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A Simulation Analysis on the Economic Impact of U.S. Tangerine Importing in the Korean Citrus Industry (미국 탄저린 수입이 감귤산업에 미치는 경제적 파급효과의 시뮬레이션 분석)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung;Kim, Hwa-Nyeon;Kim, Man-Keun;Ko, Seong-Bo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.303-311
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    • 2020
  • The acreage of tangerines in the U.S. sharply rose from 19,000 ha in 2009 to 27,000 ha in 2016, an increase of 42% in 7 years. Considering the recent surge in tangerine exports to Japan, the export volume of 6-7 thousand tons is highly likely to increase in the future. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to analyze the economic impact of U.S. tangerine imports on the Korean citrus industry under various scenarios. In order to examine the possibility of imports of U.S. tangerines, the unit price of U.S. exports to Japan was used since U.S. tangerines are not imported to South Korea. Citrus fruits are divided into field citrus, house citrus, and late-maturing citrus (including winter season citrus) based on the cultivation method and variety used to analyze. Considering both the field and house seasons, the import volume of U.S. tangerines can be expected to rise from roughly 4,700 tons in 2021 to 10,000 tons in 2027. Imports of U.S. tangerines may be pushed up or delayed depending not only on the harvest method and quality of domestic field and house citrus but also on the harvest of U.S. tangerines. However, it is necessary to note that tangerines could be imported after 2021, when the tariff rate on U.S. tangerines will fall below 50%.

A Pre-Feasibility Test of Introducing Renewable Energy Hybrid Systems -Case Studies for 3 Off-Grid Islands- (도서지역 신·재생복합 전력시스템 보급 타당성 분석 -3개 도서지역 분석결과-)

  • Jang, HaNa;Kim, Suduk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.693-712
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    • 2006
  • A pre-feasibility test is done for renewable energy hybrid power systems at off~grid islands in which the current power supply is provided only by diesel generation. We apply Homer (Hybrid Optimization Model for Electric Renewables) which was developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) for the analysis to identify the cost-minimizing combination of power generating facilities for the given load profiles. Chuja-Do, Geomun-Do and Youngsan-Do have been selected for our analysis considering the wind resources data of the Korea Institute of Energy Research (KIER). Information on wind speed, solar radiation and temperature is also used for the analysis. System component cost information from overseas market has been used due to the lack of domestic information. Site specific Load profile for electricity demand for those islands are reconstructed based on the partial survey results obtained form other sources. The LCOE of the least cost hybrid power systems for Chuja-Do, Geomun-Do and Youngsan-Do are $0.278/kWh, $0.234/kWh and $0.353/kWh, respectively Considering the fact that diesel generation is being subsidized at the price of $0.300/kWh by the government, first 2 cases are economically feasible for the introduction of renewable energy hybrid systems to those islands. But the third case of Youngsan-Do does not meet the criteria. The basic differences of these pre-feasibility test results are from the differences of the site specific renewable energy conditions, especially wind resources. In summary, promoting hybrid systems in the off-grid remote island should be based on the economic feasibility test results. Not all the off-grid islands are feasible for introducing this renewable energy hybrid system.

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A research on the Relationship between the Socio-economic Factors of the Regions and Suicidal Ideation of the Elderly -By utilizing the multi-level analyses- (지역의 사회·경제적 요인과 노인의 자살생각 간의 관련성 연구 -다수준 분석을 활용하여-)

  • Choi, Kwang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.584-594
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    • 2016
  • This research empirically analyzes, from an ecological perspective, whether socio-economic factors of the regions in which the elderly live have any actual influence on thoughts of suicide on the part of the elderly. Microscopic data either included outliers in part of the variables, including income and other variables of that type, from among source data from investigations into actual conditions of the elderly in 2014. Regarding macroscopic data, the indices that represent social and economic situations in each region, which were provided by KOSIS, were selected. Regarding the method of analysis, hierarchical or multi-level analysis models were applied by considering special hierarchical characteristics and heterogeneity at the personal and regional levels. The analyses showed that the following had statistically significant influences: 1. the cost-of-living index and the national basic supply and demand rate of the region; 2. the extent of natural disaster damage; and 3. the number of leisure and welfare facilities for the elderly, compared to the elderly population. Based on the results, proposals are made for systematic and practical endeavors in the community.

Design and Implementation of 8b/10b Encoder/Decoder for Serial ATA (직렬 ATA용 8b/10b 인코더와 디코더 설계 및 구현)

  • Heo Jung-Hwa;Park Nho-Kyung;Park Sang-Bong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.1A
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2004
  • Serial ATA interface Is inexpensive comparatively and performance is superior. So it is suitable technology in demand that now require data transmission and throughput of high speed. This paper describes a design and implementation of Serial ATA Link layer about error detection and 8b/10b encoder/decoder for DC balance in frequency 150MHz. The 8b/10b Encoder is partitioned into a 5b/6b plus a 3b/4b coder. The logical model of the block is described by using Verilog HDL at register transistor level and the verified HDL is synthesized using standard cell libraries. And it is fabricated with $0.35{\mu}m$ Standard CMOS Cell library and the chip size is about $1500{\mu}m\;*\;1500{\mu}m$. The function of this chip has been verified and tested using testboard with FPGA equipment and IDEC ATS2 test equipment. It is used to frequency of 100MHz in verification processes and supply voltage 3.3V. The result of testing is well on the system clock 100MHz. The designed and verified each blocks may be used IP in the field of high speed serial data communication.

A Study on the Regional Policy for Promoting the Creation of Technology Based Innovation Firms (기술혁신형 중소기업의 창업환경 조성방안)

  • Lee, J.H.;Bae, B.Y.
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.33-59
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    • 2008
  • Since the late 20th century, due to the globalization of markets and the rapid developments of information and communication technologies, the world has entered into the age of fierce competition. With their abundant low-cost labor, former communist countries such as China, Russia and East Europe and low-developed countries such as India and Brazil have received investments from major industrial companies. There are no other alternatives for Korea and OECD countries to move the industrial economy to the knowledge based innovation system. In knowledge based innovation system, economic development and employment of a region and nation depend solely on the number of its companies and their competitiveness. In this research, after reviewing the current state of technological innovation small companies in korea, we provide a theoretical framework to promote the level of technological innovative entrepreneurship. The framework is based on a value system model that consist of supply factors, demand factors, and supporting institutions. In order to create more innovative small businesses, we insist on the followings. First, more R&D activities related with promising new technologies should be performed. Second, more R&D funds for technological innovation small companies should be provided from governments. Third, more M&A transactions and technology transactions should be marketed freely and competitively. Fourth, more business incubating services and venture capital services should be provided. Fifth, entrepreneurship and innovation culture should be popular and institutionized among people.

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Stock Price Prediction Using Sentiment Analysis: from "Stock Discussion Room" in Naver (SNS감성 분석을 이용한 주가 방향성 예측: 네이버 주식토론방 데이터를 이용하여)

  • Kim, Myeongjin;Ryu, Jihye;Cha, Dongho;Sim, Min Kyu
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.61-75
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    • 2020
  • The scope of data for understanding or predicting stock prices has been continuously widened from traditional structured format data to unstructured data. This study investigates whether commentary data collected from SNS may affect future stock prices. From "Stock Discussion Room" in Naver, we collect 20 stocks' commentary data for six months, and test whether this data have prediction power with respect to one-hour ahead price direction and price range. Deep neural network such as LSTM and CNN methods are employed to model the predictive relationship. Among the 20 stocks, we find that future price direction can be predicted with higher than the accuracy of 50% in 13 stocks. Also, the future price range can be predicted with higher than the accuracy of 50% in 16 stocks. This study validate that the investors' sentiment reflected in SNS community such as Naver's "Stock Discussion Room" may affect the demand and supply of stocks, thus driving the stock prices.

An Experimental Study for Substitutability of Sand Mat with Fiber Mat (Fiber Mat의 Sand Mat 대체가능성평가를 위한 실험적 연구)

  • Lee Song;Jeong Yong-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2005
  • At present, there are several problems related with sand mat which is used as a way to accelerate consolidation settlement, to act like an underground drainage layer and to increase trafficability simultaneously. First of all, the unbalance of the demand and supply of sand is one of the biggest problems, which causes not only price rise but also delay of the term of the total construction work. Secondly, the damage of ecosystem and scenery is triggered by thoughtless sand dredging or mining. So, the need that sand mat should be replaced with a new environmentally friendly material has been increased. Fiber mat may be one of the proper materials that suits the need. Therefore, we intended to compare the drainage properties of sand mat with those of fiber mat by experimental model tests. On the basis of the test results, fiber mat took shorter period of consolidation than sand mat and the amount of settlement in the farmer showed a little bit bigger than in the latter. As a conclusion, the substitutability of sand mat with fiber mat could be placed highly in view of drainage efficiency. Furthermore, when fiber mat is used, it has an advantage that spoiled soil of the construction site or nearby site can be used for the purpose of increasing trafficability in addition to a role of drainage layer.

A Study on Food Shopping User Experience Design of Omni-channel (옴니채널에서 식품쇼핑의 사용자 경험 디자인 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Hea;Kim, Seung-In
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.403-409
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    • 2016
  • This study is a food shopping experience of omni-channel. Food threats and healthy living concerns bring different channels in led to increase reasonable way such as various demand. Omni-channels should be premised on understanding customer behavior as well as empirical user types in which considerations including the value of experience and understanding consumer behavior. Online survey result showed that, (1)offline food shopping, major retail store with quality, buy fresh food directly 2~3 times a month (2)online food shopping, e-commerce site with costs, buy fruits & nuts 2~3 times a month. After in-depth interview with eight high quality participants, I analyzed needs for food shopping experience in regard to the four steps food purchasing journey then derived a persona with integral value 'health' and 'diet'. It is classified into two types. One is the primary persona, family and health oriented, considering household money 'saving', and other is secondary persona, work and personal oriented, looking forward to 'automatic supply'. The result of this study provided an insight that help us explore ways to resolve function and services in the context of a healthy and balanced diet for improving food shopping experience of omni-channel.

Simplified Clearance Formalities of Northeast Asia port (동북아 항만의 입출항 수속 간소화 방안)

  • Choi Hyung-Rim;Park Nam-Kyu;Park Young-Jae;Cho Jae-Hyung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.29 no.5 s.101
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2005
  • Recently, owing to the increasing demand on the simplification of arrival and departure procedures, IMO's (International Maritime Organization) Facilitation Committee (FAL) is carrying out the standardization project of arrival and departure formalities and clearance form. Also, many port authorities of developed countries are making active researches for the smooth flow and efficiency of the information inbound and outbound ships by way of simplifying their formalities or through electronic means. However, this standardization project cannot be done by one country but by mutual cooperation among related nations. And to carry out this task, the first thing to be done is to standardize the formalities and document form, and to integrate information. To this end, this study has reviewed the model cases of advanced ports of developed countries with regard to their simplification and standardization efforts. And also we have analyzed the formalities and clearance form of the three countries Korea, China, and Japan. And then for the solution of common problems of three countries, this paper has suggested an ebXML-based Global Port B2B framework. Through this framework, we can reuse and automate the necessary information on the arrival and departure of ships, consequently realizing simplification, and laying a foundation for the introduction of e-commerce to the port industry.

Study on Potential Water Resources of Andong-Imha Dam by Diversion Tunnel (안동-임하 연결도수로 설치에 따른 가용 수자원량에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Yeon Moon;Jee, Hong Kee;Kwon, Ki Dae;Kim, Chul Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.1126-1139
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    • 2014
  • World is experiencing abnormal weather caused by urbanization and industrialization increasing greenhouse gas and one of these phenomenon domestically happening is flood and drought. The increase of green-house gases is due to urbanization and industrialization acceleration which are causing abnormal climate changes such as the El Nino and a La Nina phenomenon. It is expected that there will be many difficulties in water management, especially considering the topography and seasonal circumstances in Korea. Unlike in the past, a variety of water conservation initiatives have been undertaken like the river-management flow and water capacity expansion projects. To meet the increasing demand for water resources, new environmentally-friendly small and medium-sized dams have been built. Therefore, the development of a new paradigm for water resources management is essential. This study shows that additional security is needed for potential water resources through diversion tunnels and is very important to consider for future water supplies and situations. Using RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5 in representative concentration pathway climate change scenario, specific hydrologic data of study basin was produced to analyze past observed basin rainfall tendency which showed both scenario 5%~9% range increase in rainfall. Through sensitivity analysis using objective function, population in highest goodness was 1000 and cross rate was 80%. In conclusion, it is expected that the results from this study will help to make long-term and stable water supply plans by using the potential water resource evaluation model which was applied in this study.