• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand-Supply Model

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Meta-Model Design Technique for Industrial Demand-Driven Curriculum (산업체 수요중심 커리큘럼을 위한 메타모델 설계 기법)

  • Cho, Eun Sook;Pak, Sue Hee;Chang, Jun O;Rho, Eun Ha
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2011
  • The cooperation between universities and IT industry in producing IT manpower of quality is urgently called for to create the effective labor pool of supply and finally balance its supply and demand. Korean Government launched a program where industrial demand-driven curriculums are developed and applied to universities. This paper proposes a design technique of meta-modeling demand-driven curriculums and courses, based on the 3D software space and the software development process. This technique is proven to result in extensibility, flexibility and quality improvement in software design. Therefore, we expect that the proposed technique makes curriculums and courses possible to be continuously improved in many aspects.

Short-term Water Demand Forecasting Algorithm Based on Kalman Filtering with Data Mining (데이터 마이닝과 칼만필터링에 기반한 단기 물 수요예측 알고리즘)

  • Choi, Gee-Seon;Shin, Gang-Wook;Lim, Sang-Heui;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.1056-1061
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a short-term water demand forecasting algorithm based on kalman filtering with data mining for sustainable water supply and effective energy saving. The proposed algorithm utilizes a mining method of water supply data and a decision tree method with special days like Chuseok. And the parameters of MLAR (Multi Linear Auto Regression) model are estimated by Kalman filtering algorithm. Thus, we can achieve the practicality of the proposed forecasting algorithm through the good results applied to actual operation data.

Models for the Empty Container Repositioning and Leasing (공컨테이너 운영 관리를 위한 모형 개발)

  • 하원익;남기찬
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 1999
  • This paper is concerned with the development of a tractable model to assist liner shipping companies in the decision-making of empty container repositioning and leasing. A hybrid methodology is presented which properly accounts for the specific characteristics of empty container management. For this mathematical models are developed based on dynamic network models, covering both land and marine segment. Then a stochastic method is presented to deal with the uncertainty of the future demand and supply. Especially, the concept of opportunity cost has been introduced in order to explain interactions between the variation of the future demand and supply and the stock level at each depot.

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Network Modeling of Paddy Irrigation System using ArcHydro GIS (ArcHydro를 이용한 GIS기반의 관개시스템 네트워크 모델링)

  • Park, Geun-Ae;Park, Min-Ji;Jang, Jung-Seok;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.323-327
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    • 2006
  • During the past decades in South Korea, there have been several projects to reduce water demand and save water for paddy irrigation system by automation. This is called as intensive water management system by telemetering of paddy ponding depth and canal water level and telecontrol of water supply facilities. This study suggests a method of constructing topology-based irrigation network system using GIS tools. For the network modeling, a typical agricultural watershed included reservoirs, irrigation and drainage canals, pumping stations was selected. ArcHydro tools composed of edge, junction, waterbody and watershed were used to construct hydro-network. ArcHydro Model was then designed and the network was successfully built using the HydroID. Visualization using ArcHydro tools could display table property of each object. ArcHydro Model was linked to Agricultural Water Demamd and Supply Estimation System (AWDS) which developed by Korea Rural Community and Agriculture Corporation (KRC) to extract information of the study area. And menu of supply facilities information, demand analysis and supply analysis constructed for information acquisition and visualization of acquired informations.

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An Equilibrium Diffusion Model of Demand and Supply of New Product and Empirical Analysis (신기술 제품의 확산에 관한 수요$\cdot$공급의 균형확산모형과 실증분석)

  • Ha, Tae-Jeong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.113-139
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the diffusion process of personal computer (PC) in Korea during the 1990's. To achieve the goal, five research steps have been done such as the literature survey of diffusion theory, set-up of theoretic equilibrium model of supply and demand, derivation of an equilibrium path using Hamiltonian, and empirical analysis. The empirical analysis has been performed based on that equilibrium path. The results can be summarized as follows : First, technological attribute of diffusing product influences the diffusion speed of Product. It has been proven that the size of the network has a significant effect on the diffusion of PC in empirical study Second, supply factors have an important role in the diffusion process. According to the empirical analysis, decreasing cost of production as a result of technological advance promotes the speed of diffusion. This point seems to be manifest theoretically, but existing empirical models have not included supply factors explicitly, Third, it has been found out that expectation of decreasing cost would influence the speed of diffusion negatively as expected ex ante. Theoretically this result is supported by arbitrage condition of purchasing timing.

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A Study on Transportation Optimization and Efficient Production Method of Raw Materials for Pellet for Construction of Supply Chain Management

  • Choi, Sang Hyun;Lee, Jae Hwan;Bakyt, Bekzhanov;Woo, Jong Choon
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2016
  • This study designed a model of the efficient production schemes and raw materials transportation optimization of current South Korean's simple and monolithic distribution system of wood to build a SCM (supply chain management) as a basic level to establish a distribution of future by pellet production of raw materials costs and reduce transport costs, and specifically to forest of pallet to contribute to revitalizing the market. The result of each transportation costs after building the best transportation network from raw material supply area to demand area applying transport law was 964,600 thousands Won from 6 supply areas to 7 demand areas. And the result of each model's analysis to get the pellet's efficient production through production cost reduction showed that it reduced from 325,701 Won/t to 240,106 Won/t, results of existing efficient pellet for the production model 8,233 tons over 20,000 tons annual production capacity from the size of the expanded production capacity when the expansion. However, when the production size expanded to 50,000 Tons of the production, the effect was very small even though production cost decreased.

Forecasting Demand of Agricultural Tractor, Riding Type Rice Transplanter and Combine Harvester by using an ARIMA Model

  • Kim, Byounggap;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;Kim, Yu Yong;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Jinoh
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The goal of this study was to develop a methodology for the demand forecast of tractor, riding type rice transplanter and combine harvester using an ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model, one of time series analysis methods, and to forecast their demands from 2012 to 2021 in South Korea. Methods: To forecast the demands of three kinds of machines, ARIMA models were constructed by following three stages; identification, estimation and diagnose. Time series used were supply and stock of each machine and the analysis tool was SAS 9.2 for Windows XP. Results: Six final models, supply based ones and stock based ones for each machine, were constructed from 32 tentative models identified by examining the ACF (autocorrelation function) plots and the PACF (partial autocorrelation function) plots. All demand series forecasted by the final models showed increasing trends and fluctuations with two-year period. Conclusions: Some forecast results of this study are not applicable immediately due to periodic fluctuation and large variation. However, it can be advanced by incorporating treatment of outliers or combining with another forecast methods.

The Analysis of the Road Freight Transportation using the Simultaneous Demand-Supply Model (수요-공급의 동시모형을 통한 공로 화물운송특성분석)

  • 장수은;이용택;지준호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 2001
  • This study represents a first attempt in Korea to develop the simultaneous freight supply-demand model which considers the relationship between freight supply and demand. As the existing study was limited in one area, or the supply and the demand was separated and assumed not to affect each other, this study take it into consideration the fact that the demand affects supply and simultaneously vice versa. This approach allows us to diagnose a policy carried on and helps us to make a resonable alternative for the effectiveness of freight transportation system. To find a relationship between them, we use a method of econometrics. a structural equation theory and two stage least-squares(2SLS) estimation technique, to get rid of bias which involves two successive applications of OLS. Based on the domestic freight data, this study consider as explanatory variables a number of population(P), industry(IN), the amount of production of the mining and manufacturing industries(MMI), the rate of the effectiveness of freight capacity(LE) and the distance of an empty carriage operation(VC). This study describes well the simultaneous process of freight supply-demand system in that the increase of VC from the decrease of VC raises the cargo capacity and cargo capacity also augments VC. By the way. it is analyzed that the increment of VC due to the increase of the cargo capacity is larger than the reduction of VC owing to the increase of the quantify of goods. Therefore an alternative policy is needed in a short and long run point of view. That is to say, to promote the effectiveness of the freight transportation system, a short term supply control and a long run logistic infrastructure are urgent based on the restoration of market economy by successive deregulation. So we are able to conclude that gradual deregulation is more desirable to build effective freight market.

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Comparison and discussion of water supply and demand forecasts considering spatial resolution in the Han-river basin (분석단위 세분화에 따른 한강권역의 물수급 분석 비교 및 고찰)

  • Oh, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Yeon-Su;Ryu, Kyong Sik;Bae, Yeong Dae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2019
  • Our country is making efforts to manage water resources efficiently. In the future, It is necessary to develop a plan after subdividing the basin considering regional problems and water use, topographical and climatic characteristics. This study constructed water supply and demand system based on the standard watershed unit for water shortage evaluation considering spatial resolution. In addition, water shortage were calculated and compared using the MODSIM model in the Han-river basin. As a result, the average water shortage occurring during the 49 years (1967-2015) was 129.98 million $m^3$ for the middle watershed unit and 222.24 million $m^3$ for the standard watershed unit, resulting in a difference of about 2.1 billion m3. However, the trends and distribution of water shortage occurrence were very similar. The reason for this is that, in the case of the Middle watershed unit analysis, water shortages are calculated for the demand for living, industrial, and agricultural water for the representative natural flow value, assuming that all the water can be used in basin. The standard basin unit analysis showed that the difference between the fractionated supply and demand resulted in a large water shortage due to the relatively small amount of available water, and that the main stream did not show water shortage due to the ripple effect of the return flow. If the actual water use system is considered in the model as well as the subdivision of the spatial unit, it will be possible to evaluate the water supply and demand reflecting the regional characteristics.

Evaluation of short-term water demand forecasting using ensemble model (앙상블 모형을 이용한 단기 용수사용량 예측의 적용성 평가)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Gu, Ja-Young;Na, Bong-Kil;Kim, Byung-Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.377-389
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, Smart Water Grid (SWG) concept has globally emerged over the last decade and also gained significant recognition in South Korea. Especially, there has been growing interest in water demand forecast and this has led to various studies regarding energy saving and improvement of water supply reliability. In this regard, this study aims to develop a nonlinear ensemble model for hourly water demand forecasting which allow us to estimate uncertainties across different model classes. The concepts was demonstrated through application to observed from water plant (A) in the South Korea. Various statistics (e.g. the efficiency coefficient, the correlation coefficient, the root mean square error, and a maximum error rate) were evaluated to investigate model efficiency. The ensemble based model with an cross-validate prediction procedure showed better predictability for water demand forecasting at different temporal resolutions. In particular, the performance of the ensemble model on hourly water demand data showed promising results against other individual prediction schemes.