• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand risk

검색결과 559건 처리시간 0.03초

전기자동차의 충전부하 모델링 및 충전 시나리오에 따른 전력계통 평가 (Evaluation of the Charging effects of Plug-in Electrical Vehicles on Power Systems, taking Into account Optimal Charging Scenarios)

  • 문상근;곽형근;김진오
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권6호
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    • pp.783-790
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    • 2012
  • Electric Vehicles(EVs) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles(PHEVs) which have the grid connection capability, represent an important power system issue of charging demands. Analyzing impacts EVs charging demands of the power system such as increased peak demands, developed by means of modeling a stochastic distribution of charging and a demand dispatch calculation. Optimization processes proposed to determine optimal demand distribution portions so that charging costs and demand can possibly be managed. In order to solve the problems due to increasing charging demand at the peak time, alternative electricity rate such as Time-of-Use(TOU) rate has been in effect since last year. The TOU rate would in practice change the tendencies of charging time at the peak time. Nevertheless, since it focus only minimizing costs of charging from owners of the EVs, loads would be concentrated at times which have a lowest charging rate and would form a new peak load. The purpose of this paper is that to suggest a scenario of load leveling for a power system operator side. In case study results, the vehicles as regular load with time constraints, battery charging patterns and changed daily demand in the charging areas are investigated and optimization results are analyzed regarding cost and operation aspects by determining optimal demand distribution portions.

물리치료사의 직무관련 근골격계 통증과 직무 스트레스 (Work-Related Musculoskeletal Pain and Job Stress in Physical Therapists)

  • 용준형;이충휘;권오윤;전혜선
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2010
  • This study investigated the relationships between Work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs), contributing factors, and the occupational stress of physical therapists. Self-reported questionnaires were given to 180 physical therapists in Gangwon Province. Variables examined included the prevalence of pain sites related to WMSDs; pain intensity; pain pattern; and job stress, which is thought to involve the physical environment; job demand; insufficient job control; interpersonal conflict; job insecurity; organizational system; reward system; and occupational culture. Among physical therapists, work-related musculoskeletal pain commonly affected the low back (30.1%), shoulder (29.3%), and wrist (12.2%). The sites of work-related musculoskeletal pain treated medically were the low back (22.8%), shoulder (19.8%), neck (12.7%), and wrist (12.1%). "Repeating the same work constantly" was suggested to be the major cause of the pain. The younger therapists were significantly more likely to feel high job stress due to the physical environment (p<.05), job demand (p<.05), and organizational system (p<.01). Women were more likely to feel greater job stress related to job demand, insufficient job control, the organization system, and job rewards. Men were more likely to feel greater job stress related to job insecurity. Weak positive relationships were observed between work-related musculoskeletal pain and job stress, which is thought to involve the physical environment; job demand; insufficient job control; interpersonal conflict; job insecurity; organizational system; reward system; and occupational culture. Physical therapists appear to be at higher risk of WMSDs because 80.1% of the physical therapists studied experienced work-related musculoskeletal pain. To reduce the risk, we need intervention strategies such as preventive education, ergonomically designed medical equipment, a psychosocial approach to work conditions, improved mechanical conditions related to therapeutic patterns, and an institutional infrastructure with sufficient personnel and scheduling.

발전 설비 지속 가능 운영 기술 연구 (A Study of the Sustainable Operation Technologies in the Power Plant Facilities)

  • 이창열;박길주;김태환;구영현;이성일
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.842-848
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    • 2020
  • 연구목적: 노후화된 발전기의 지속 가능한 운영을 위하여 효율적이며, 안전한 운영이 중요하다. 효율적 운영이란 경제적 관점이며, 안전한 운영은 발전 설비의 치명적 사고 발생에 대한 발생 이전의 사전 조치를 말한다. 그러므로 발전기의 지속가능 운영 모니터링을 위하여 관련된 센서 설치와 이를 기반으로 지속 가능에 대한 예측할 수 있는 모델에 대한 연구가 필요하다. 연구방법: 전기와 열에 대한 수요 예측, 엔진의 성능과 이상을 탐지하는 예측, 그리고 재 난 안전에 대한 예측 모델을 제시하였다. 이를 위하여 필요한 센서를 정의하였으며, 이를 기반으로 예측 모델을 각각 개발하여 수행하였다. 연구결과: 수요 예측 모델은 기존의 79%에서 90% 이상으로 예측 정확도를 향상시켰으며, 다른 2개 모델도 시스템의 지속가능한 안정적 운영을 지원하였다. 결론: 노후화된 발전설비의 지속가능 운영을 지원하기 위한 3가지 종류의 예측 모델을 개발하고 이를 제이비주식회사의 발전 설비에 실제 적용하여 운영하고 있다.

글로벌 기업의 공급사슬보안 및 위험관리전략에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Supply Chain Security and Risk Management Strategies of Global Companies)

  • 양정호
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제27권
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    • pp.149-172
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    • 2008
  • Since the 9/11 terror attack, the event which caused supply chain disruption, supply chain security has becomes more important than ever before. Furthermore, such company's logistics strategies conflicting supply chain security as increased global sourcing, JIT manufacturing are increasing supply chain vulnerability. It could burden for global companies to strengthen supply chain security because not only it requires additional investment cost but also changes of companiy's global logistics strategy. However, on the other hand, supply chain visibility and resilience can be improved through supply chain security. In addition, it allows companies to stabilize supply chain structure as well as rapid and flexible response to market demand. The key issue is balancing between efficiency and supply chain security. To do this, identifying risk elements under the supply chain and assessing vulnerability of each supply chain components should be performed before developing efficient supply chain security management system without obstructing supply chain efficiency.

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소비자 효용을 고려한 실시간 요금제의 Load Serving Entity 수익 설계 방안 (Evaluation of a Load Serving Entity Revenue in the Real Time Pricing Considering Customer's Utility)

  • 노준우;김문겸;김도한;유태현;박종근
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.266-272
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    • 2011
  • Real Time Pricing(RTP) is used not only to stabilize the price volatility in electricity market, but to hedge the price risk for Load Serving Entity(LSE). This paper presents an efficient method to reduce the risk of the price volatility in real-time electricity market. For designing the RTP, load patterns of customer are calculated by applying the demand elasticity and customer's utility is also analyzed to compute the RTP revenue through the risk-attribute of the LSE. In the end, the distribution of the LSE's profits can be evaluated to lead the optimal RTP value, depending on the level of customer's participation. Results from the case study based on PJM data are reported to illustrate the proposed method.

최적 위험도 평가 모델의 건설업 분야 적용 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application Plan of the Optimized Risk Assessment Model in Construction Field)

  • 조재환
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2017
  • It has come to attention that a risk-assessing organization, that will benchmark a company's safety department, is imperative, following an increase in large-scale SOC-business project, construction of higher-raised buildings, development of underground space; all that have increase accident rates. Having faced problems that arise in firms that demand diversity, complexity and instantaneity, the purpose of the thesis is to arrive at efficient and practical problem-solving means. In order to solve the problems that would surface theoretically during an actual risk assessment, the state of the operation systems of the top five national construction firms having a hazard rate of 0.25 times less than the average rate have been analyzed, while a hierarchal recognition research of the employees who not only function at the operating level but are the practice subjects of a firm, has also been conducted, bringing the main text.

IT 리스크 평가 연구사례: 국내 건설사 적용 사례 (IT Risk Assessment: Case Study on Domestic Construction company)

  • 이영재;이성중;이성일
    • 한국재난관리표준학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2009
  • 실시간으로 기업영리활동을 추구하는 기업환경하에서 정보시스템의 사고발생은 조직과 고객 모두에게 막대한 손실을 야기시킨다. 그 손실에는 간접적인 브랜드 이미지의 손상, 고객이탈 및 직접적인 기업이익의 감소들이 해당된다. 따라서, IT 리스크와 기업활동의 중단으로 인한 손실을 최소화 하고, 사전에 이에 대비하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 IT 리스크 평가방법과 리스크 예방차원에서 실행할 수 있는 리스크 과리방법을 제시하고자 한다, 제시된 방법을 국내 건설사에 적용한 사레를 제시함으로써 실제기업에 대한 적용 가능성을 확인하고자 한다.

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건설공사의 확률적 위험도분석평가 (Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Construction Projects)

  • 조효남;임종권;김광섭
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1997년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 1997
  • Recently, in Korea, demand for establishment of systematic risk assessment techniques for construction projects has increased, especially after the large construction failures occurred during construction such as New Haengju Bridge construction projects, subway construction projects, gas explosion accidents etc. Most of existing risk analysis modeling techniques such as Event Tree Analysis and Fault Tree Analysis may not be available for realistic risk assessment of construction projects because it is very complex and difficult to estimate occurrence frequency and failure probability precisely due to a lack of data related to the various risks inherent in construction projects like natural disasters, financial and economic risks, political risks, environmental risks as well as design and construction-related risks. Therefor the main objective of this paper is to suggest systematic probabilistic risk assessment model and demonstrate an approach for probabilistic risk assessment using advanced Event Tree Analysis introducing Fuzzy set theory concepts. It may be stated that the Fuzzy Event Tree AnaIysis may be very usefu1 for the systematic and rational risk assessment for real constructions problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related construction risks in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically expert's experiences and subjective judgement.

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국내 정수장 과다시설용량 실태 분석 (Overcapacity of Water Treatment Plants in Korea)

  • 이상은;박희경
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2009
  • Under the supply-oriented policy, efficiency and rationale have not been fully considered in planning of water supply facilities in Korea. As a case, this study shows that large-size systems are suffering from overcapacity problem of water treatment plants, and thus discusses what options should be applied to deal with inefficiency. Water demand of large-size systems has suddenly decreased for the last 10 years while water demand has been often assumed to increase at a regular rate in planning of plants according to excess capacity hypothesis. This inconsistency led to a serious overcapacity. In 2006, total excess capacity of nine large-size systems was more than 1.2 times as large as maximum daily demand of total customers in Seoul. However, their options are expected to stay ex post facto. To prepare the risk of overcapacity, and draw large benefits out of the plants, the authors and other professionals in Korea should further discuss the more adaptive method for prediction of water demand, and systems integration between a large-size system and adjoining systems.

The Effects of Job Demand-control-support Profiles on Presenteeism: Evidence from the Sixth Korean Working Condition Survey

  • Ari Min;Hye Chong Hong
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2023
  • Background: Presenteeism is closely related to work performance, work quality and quantity, and productivity at work. According to the job demand-control-support model, job demand, job control, and support play important roles in presenteeism. The present study investigated job characteristics profiles based on the job demand-control-support model and identify the association between job characteristics profiles and presenteeism. Methods: This secondary data analysis used the Sixth Korean Working Condition Survey, a nationwide cross-sectional dataset. The study included 25,361 Korean wage workers employed in the workplace with two or more workers. Participants were classified into four job characteristics profiles based on the job demand-control-support model, using latent profile analysis, and logistic regression was performed to examine the association between study variables. Results: Overall, 11.0 % of study participants reported experience of presenteeism in the past 12 months. Age, sex, location, monthly income, shift work, work hours, health problems, and sleep disturbances were significantly associated with presenteeism. The rate of presenteeism was the highest in the passive isolate group. The passive collective, active collective, and low-stain collective groups had a 23.0%, 21.0%, and 29.0% lower likelihood of experiencing presenteeism, respectively, than the passive isolate group. Conclusions: The job demand-control-support profiles and the risk of presenteeism were significantly associated. The most significant group that lowered the experience of presenteeism was the low-strain collective group, which had a low level of demand and high levels of control and support. Therefore, we need a policy to reduce job demand and increase job control and support at the organizational and national levels.