• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand prediction algorithm

Search Result 80, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Power Trading System through the Prediction of Demand and Supply in Distributed Power System Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (심층강화학습 기반 분산형 전력 시스템에서의 수요와 공급 예측을 통한 전력 거래시스템)

  • Lee, Seongwoo;Seon, Joonho;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.163-171
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this paper, the energy transaction system was optimized by applying a resource allocation algorithm and deep reinforcement learning in the distributed power system. The power demand and supply environment were predicted by deep reinforcement learning. We propose a system that pursues common interests in power trading and increases the efficiency of long-term power transactions in the paradigm shift from conventional centralized to distributed power systems in the power trading system. For a realistic energy simulation model and environment, we construct the energy market by learning weather and monthly patterns adding Gaussian noise. In simulation results, we confirm that the proposed power trading systems are cooperative with each other, seek common interests, and increase profits in the prolonged energy transaction.

Building of Prediction Model of Wind Power Generationusing Power Ramp Rate (Power Ramp Rate를 이용한 풍력 발전량 예측모델 구축)

  • Hwang, Mi-Yeong;Kim, Sung-Ho;Yun, Un-Il;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.211-218
    • /
    • 2012
  • Fossil fuel is used all over the world and it produces greenhouse gases due to fossil fuel use. Therefore, it cause global warming and is serious environmental pollution. In order to decrease the environmental pollution, we should use renewable energy which is clean energy. Among several renewable energy, wind energy is the most promising one. Wind power generation is does not produce environmental pollution and could not be exhausted. However, due to wind power generation has irregular power output, it is important to predict generated electrical energy accurately for smoothing wind energy supply. There, we consider use ramp characteristic to forecast accurate wind power output. The ramp increase and decrease rapidly wind power generation during in a short time. Therefore, it can cause problem of unbalanced power supply and demand and get damaged wind turbine. In this paper, we make prediction models using power ramp rate as well as wind speed and wind direction to increase prediction accuracy. Prediction model construction algorithm used multilayer neural network. We built four prediction models with PRR, wind speed, and wind direction and then evaluated performance of prediction models. The predicted values, which is prediction model with all of attribute, is nearly to the observed values. Therefore, if we use PRR attribute, we can increase prediction accuracy of wind power generation.

Fail Prediction of DRAM Module Outgoing Quality Assurance Inspection using Ensemble Learning Algorithm (앙상블 학습을 이용한 DRAM 모듈 출하 품질보증 검사 불량 예측)

  • Kim, Min-Seok;Baek, Jun-Geol
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.178-186
    • /
    • 2012
  • The DRAM module is an important part of servers, workstations and personal computer. Its malfunction causes a lot of damage on customer system. Therefore, customers demand the highest quality products. The company applies DRAM module Outgoing Quality Assurance Inspection(OQA) to secures the highest quality. It is the key process to decides shipment of products through sample inspection method with customer oriented tests. High fraction of defectives entering to OQA causes inevitable high quality cost. This article proposes the application of ensemble learning to classify the lot status to minimize the ratio of wrong decision in OQA, observing a potential in reducing the wrong decision.

River Pollution Control Using Hierarchical Optimization Technique (계층적 최적화 기법을 이용한 강의 수질오염 제어)

  • 김경연;감상규
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-80
    • /
    • 1995
  • A discrete state space model for a multiple-reach river system is formulated using the dynamics of biochemical oxygen demand(BOD) and dissolved oxygen(DO). A hierarchical optimization technique, which is applicable to large-scale systems with time-delays in states, is also described to control stream quality in a river as an optimal manner based on the interaction prediction method. The steady state tracking error of the proposed method is determined analytically and a necessary and sufficient condition on which a constant target tracking problem has zero steady-state error is derived. Computer simulations for the river pollution model illustrate the algorithm.

  • PDF

The Extraction Method of Spacial Element Cost based on the Quantity Take-Off and Bill of Quantity (건설공사의 수량산출서 및 산출내역서 기반 공간별/부위별 공사비 추출방법에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Dong-hee;Kim, Hyung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2021.11a
    • /
    • pp.232-233
    • /
    • 2021
  • As construction projects become larger and more complex in the construction environment, and as the Building Information Model(BIM) is technically introduced, the demand for construction costs in units of space is increasing. Cost estimating of spacial element can reduce the error in cost prediction method based on cost of work type and to utilize the construction cost data for each space in the design phase. The purpose of this study is to extract spatial statements by utilizing spacial information of quantitative statements based on items that are common elements of the Quantity Take-Off and Bill of Quantity.

  • PDF

A Study on CNN based Production Yield Prediction Algorithm for Increasing Process Efficiency of Biogas Plant

  • Shin, Jaekwon;Kim, Jintae;Lee, Beomhee;Lee, Junghoon;Lee, Jisung;Jeong, Seongyeob;Chang, Soonwoong
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.42-47
    • /
    • 2018
  • Recently, as the demand for limited resources continues to rise and problems of resource depletion rise worldwide, the importance of renewable energy is gradually increasing. In order to solve these problems, various methods such as energy conservation and alternative energy development have been suggested, and biogas, which can utilize the gas produced from biomass as fuel, is also receiving attention as the next generation of innovative renewable energy. New and renewable energy using biogas is an energy production method that is expected to be possible in large scale because it can supply energy with high efficiency in compliance with energy supply method of recycling conventional resources. In order to more efficiently produce and manage these biogas, a biogas plant has emerged. In recent years, a large number of biogas plants have been installed and operated in various locations. Organic wastes corresponding to biogas production resources in a biogas plant exist in a wide variety of types, and each of the incoming raw materials is processed in different processes. Because such a process is required, the case where the biogas plant process is inefficiently operated is continuously occurring, and the economic cost consumed for the operation of the biogas production relative to the generated biogas production is further increased. In order to solve such problems, various attempts such as process analysis and feedback based on the feedstock have been continued but it is a passive method and very limited to operate a medium/large scale biogas plant. In this paper, we propose "CNN-based production yield prediction algorithm for increasing process efficiency of biogas plant" for efficient operation of biogas plant process. Based on CNN-based production yield forecasting, which is one of the deep-leaning technologies, it enables mechanical analysis of the process operation process and provides a solution for optimal process operation due to process-related accumulated data analyzed by the automated process.

Battery Failure Prediction using BMS Information of ESS Rooms at Offshore Installation Vessel (해양설치선 ESS Room의 BMS정보를 활용한 Battery 고장예측)

  • Kim, Woo-Young;Cheon, Bong-Won;Kim, Nam-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2021.10a
    • /
    • pp.59-61
    • /
    • 2021
  • The electric propulsion development is underway to minimize pollutants and greenhous gas emissions during the operation of ships / offshore installation vessels. The importance of the use and efficient management of batteries, which is an ESS system in ships / offshore installation vessels, is increasing. Generally, in ESS where battery is applied, cell balancing and life span are monitored in real time by BMS. Ships / offshore installation vessel are equipped with several ESS rooms, and ESS rooms with ESS systems of the same specification are being constructed due to the recent demand for electric propulsion development. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to additionally predict and diagnose battery pack and cell balancing failures by comparing BMS data for each rooms. The proposed algorithm compares the BMS data of each ESS Room according to the environmental change of the ship / offshore installation vessels, measures accurate status information, and reliably monitors it to prevent accidents in advance.

  • PDF

Development of Railway Vibration Evaluation System Using Actual Railway Vibration Database (실측 철도 진동 데이터베이스를 이용한 철도진동 평가 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Hyunjun;Seo, Eun Seong;Hwang, Young Sup
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.153-162
    • /
    • 2019
  • Recently, it is necessary to develop a technology for quantitatively evaluating railway vibration to prevent civil complaints about orbital structures caused by railway noise and normal operation of ultra-precise equipment of orbital industrial complexes. The existing analytical method requires a very complicated dynamic response model, and it is difficult to secure the reliability of the result due to the inaccuracy of the demand model. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a railway vibration evaluation algorithm and system that deduce the vibration value generated from railway operation by using Linear Regression and Gradient Descent technique based on actual measurement railway vibration database that classifies factors affecting railway vibration. The prediction results obtained by the proposed algorithm show higher efficiency and accuracy than the existing analytical methods.

Data anomaly detection and Data fusion based on Incremental Principal Component Analysis in Fog Computing

  • Yu, Xue-Yong;Guo, Xin-Hui
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.14 no.10
    • /
    • pp.3989-4006
    • /
    • 2020
  • The intelligent agriculture monitoring is based on the perception and analysis of environmental data, which enables the monitoring of the production environment and the control of environmental regulation equipment. As the scale of the application continues to expand, a large amount of data will be generated from the perception layer and uploaded to the cloud service, which will bring challenges of insufficient bandwidth and processing capacity. A fog-based offline and real-time hybrid data analysis architecture was proposed in this paper, which combines offline and real-time analysis to enable real-time data processing on resource-constrained IoT devices. Furthermore, we propose a data process-ing algorithm based on the incremental principal component analysis, which can achieve data dimensionality reduction and update of principal components. We also introduce the concept of Squared Prediction Error (SPE) value and realize the abnormal detection of data through the combination of SPE value and data fusion algorithm. To ensure the accuracy and effectiveness of the algorithm, we design a regular-SPE hybrid model update strategy, which enables the principal component to be updated on demand when data anomalies are found. In addition, this strategy can significantly reduce resource consumption growth due to the data analysis architectures. Practical datasets-based simulations have confirmed that the proposed algorithm can perform data fusion and exception processing in real-time on resource-constrained devices; Our model update strategy can reduce the overall system resource consumption while ensuring the accuracy of the algorithm.

A Study on the Anomaly Prediction System of Drone Using Big Data (빅데이터를 활용한 드론의 이상 예측시스템 연구)

  • Lee, Yang-Kyoo;Hong, Jun-Ki;Hong, Sung-Chan
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.27-37
    • /
    • 2020
  • Recently, big data is rapidly emerging as a core technology in the 4th industrial revolution. Further, the utilization and the demand of drones are continuously increasing with the development of the 4th industrial revolution. However, as the drones usage increases, the risk of drones falling increases. Drones always have a risk of being able to fall easily even with small problems due to its simple structure. In this paper, in order to predict the risk of drone fall and to prevent the fall, ESC (Electronic Speed Control) is attached integrally with the drone's driving motor and the acceleration sensor is stored to collect the vibration data in real time. By processing and monitoring the data in real time and analyzing the data through big data obtained in such a situation using a Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) algorithm, we proposed a prediction system that minimizes the risk of drone fall by analyzing big data collected from drones.