• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand factor

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Development of a Forecasting Model for University Food Services (대학 급식소의 식수예측 모델 개발)

  • 정라나;양일선;백승희
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.910-918
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    • 2003
  • The purposes of this study were to develop a model for university foodservices and to provide management strategies for reducing costs, and increasing productivity and customer satisfaction. The results of this study were as follows : 1) The demands in university food services varied depending on the time series. A fixed pattern was discovered for specific times of the month and semesters. The demand tended to constantly decrease from the beginning of a specific semester to the end, from March to June and from September to December. Moreover, the demand was higher during the first semester than the second semester, within school term than during vacation periods, and during the summer vacation than the winter. 2) Pearson's simple correlation was done between actual customer demand and the factors relating to forecasting the demand. There was a high level of correlation between the actual demand and the demand that had occurred in the previous weeks. 3) By applying the stepwise multiple linear regression analysis to two different university food services providing multiple menu items, a model was developed in terms of four different time series(first semester, second semester, summer vacation, and winter vacation). Customer preference for specific menu items was found to be the most important factor to be considered in forecasting the demand.

Forecasting Passenger Transport Demand Using Seasonal ARIMA Model - Focused on Joongang Line (계절 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 여객수송수요 예측: 중앙선을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Beom-Seung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.307-312
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    • 2014
  • This study suggested the ARIMA model taking into consideration the seasonal characteristic factor as a method for efficiently forecasting passenger transport demand of the Joongang Line. The forecasting model was built including the demand for the central inland region tourist train (O-train, V-train), which was opened to traffic in April-, 2013 and run in order to reflect the recent demand for the tourism industry. By using the monthly time series data (103) from January-, 2005 to July-, 2013, the optimum model was selected. The forecasting results of passenger transport demand of the Joongang Line showed continuous increase. The developed model forecasts the short-term demand of the Joongang Line.

Short-Term Forecasting of City Gas Daily Demand (도시가스 일일수요의 단기예측)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Jung, Chul Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.247-252
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    • 2013
  • Korea gas corporation (KOGAS) is responsible for the whole sale of natural gas in the domestic market. It is important to forecast the daily demand of city gas for supply and demand control, and delivery management. Since there is the autoregressive characteristic in the daily gas demand, we introduce a modified autoregressive model as the first step. The daily gas demand also has a close connection with the outdoor temperature. Accordingly, our second proposed model is a temperature-based model. Those two models, however, do not meet the requirement for forecasting performances. To produce acceptable forecasting performances, we develop a weighted average model which compounds the autoregressive model and the temperature model. To examine our proposed methods, the forecasting results are provided. We confirm that our method can forecast the daily city gas demand accurately with reasonable performances.

Study on the Method of Analyzing Effective Demand for Housing Using RIR

  • Youngwoo KIM;SunJu KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to enhance the accuracy of effective demand analysis for publicly supported private rental housing by integrating the RIR into the traditional Mankiw-Weil (MW) model. Traditional models like the M-W model, which account for household income, housing costs, and household size, often fall short in estimating demand driven by large-scale development projects. By integrating the RIR factor, this study introduces a more accurate and practical approach to analyzing effective housing demand. Findings show that the modified M-W model incorporating RIR predicts effective demand with greater precision than traditional methods. This advancement allows developers to plan projects more efficiently and aids governments and local authorities in implementing more effective housing policies. Furthermore, the study assesses the real housing cost burden on households, elucidating their capacity to pay housing costs based on household size and income quintile. This information enables policymakers to design targeted housing support policies for specific demographic groups. Additionally, the research provides comprehensive policy recommendations tailored to various regions and housing types. Overall, this study lays a vital groundwork for the long-term analysis of the effects of economic changes and housing market trends on effective demand.

Information Needs Expressed by Mothers of Young Children with Disabilities (장애아동 양육을 위한 어머니의 정보요구에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Gui-Ok;Lee, Jong-Ryol;Park, Chun-Man
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.195-213
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    • 2005
  • Objectives: This study aims to determine fostering stress and mental health state that mothers of handicapped children perceive as primary care givers and to analyze their demand for information assistance in order to release their stress so that it can provide materials that contribute to establishment of assistance system for families with handicapped children. Methods: The research subjects were 340 mothers whose children went to a nursery for special children, 3 general nurseries and 6 special schools in Daegu, and the data were collected using structures questionnaires. The survey analyzed mothers' fostering stress, their demand for fostering information assistance, children's daily activity abilities. Component concepts of each scale was validated by adopting confirmatory factor analysis, and factors affecting demand for fostering information assistance were analyzed by adopting covariance structural analysis. Results: Younger mothers tend to have higher demand for information, and mothers with younger children or children with double handicaps also have higher demand. Mothers under 30 have the lowest demand for public health and medical care assistance and for home and community life assistance, while mothers with children with physical handicaps have the highest. The validity of component concepts was verified by categorizing as cognitive structure models fostering stress, information demand, children's daily activity abilities, and their appropriateness was evaluated through confirmatory factor analysis using structural equation modelling. And then, GFI (more than 0.9), CFI (more than 0.9), TLI (more than 0.9) and RMSAE (less than 0.08) were used to evaluate the appropriateness. It was found that all the component concepts are valid, as every item is within appropriate range. The result of analyzing information demand demonstrated that children's handicap levels significantly affect their mothers' mental health, while fostering stress significantly affect mothers' metal health, information demand. As well, it was confirmed that mothers' mental health has a significant effect on information demand. Conclusions: Therefore, to reduce special children's mothers' uncertainty, helplessness and fostering burden, it is necessary to provide them with information on children's challenges, development and fostering and to offer them quality public health, medical care and welfare assistance along with family and local community life assistance.

A Study on the Regional Resources Facilities Tax (지역자원시설세에 관한 연구 -구 공동시설세를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Jin-Dong;Cha, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.3223-3231
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    • 2013
  • Fire service budget must be increased continually to supply sufficient fire service for safety life of people. A way to increases fire service budget is to plan and improve regional resources facilities tax system. The purpose of this articles is to analyzes the relationship between regional resources facilities tax and fire service budget, fire service investment budget, socioeconomic factor, fire service demand. To do this, this study sets up five hypotheses based on the theoretical backgrounds and the past research. The statistical methods used for the verification of hypotheses are multiple regression analysis and t test. The analysis showed that regional resources facilities tax was positive significant variable for fire service investment budget and fire service budget and socioeconomic factor was a positive significant variable for regional resources facilities tax. And the analysis showed that fire and rescue variable of fire demand factor were positive significant for regional resources facilities tax.

A Study on improving the competitiveness of agri-food export sector in Korea - with Porter's Diamond Model - (우리나라 농식품 수출부문의 경쟁력 향상방안 연구 - 포터의 다이아몬드 모델을 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Sung-Je;Park, Hyun-Hee
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.249-274
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines agri-food export competitiveness among 4 countries(Korea, USA, Japan, China) based on Porter's Diamond model approach. Korea agri-food competitiveness index is much less than those of other countries. Korea is the lowest ranked among the 4 countries in terms of three determinants(except 1 factor, related and supporting industries) of Porter's Diamond Model: Factor condition, demand condition, firm strategy, structure and rivalry. Korea is assumed to have weak point in the factor condition, demand condition because of low capital and land as well as insufficient investment on the agri-food sector. on the other hand, it seems to have strong factor in consumer condition(demand condition). This paper suggest the following strategies to reinforced the agri-food export sector in Korea. 1) an incentive system for seed development and capital investment, 2) a cluster strategy between agriculture and related industry.

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Effects of coagulation factor concentrate prophylaxis in moderate and severe hemophilia A patients at a single hemophilia center in Korea

  • Moon, Byung Suk;Choi, Jun Seok;You, Chur Woo
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.56 no.7
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    • pp.291-297
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate prophylactic treatment effects in Korean patients with severe hemophilia A. Methods: A prospective study of 32 severe hemophilia A patients was conducted with the approval of the Institutional Review Board at the Eulji University Hospital. Two patients received primary prophylaxis; whereas, the other 30 patients were divided into 2 groups-secondary prophylaxis (n=15) and on-demand (n=15)-on the basis of their consent for secondary prophylaxis. A 20-25 IU/kg dose of factor VIII concentrate was administered to the primary and secondary prophylaxis group patients every 3 days for 1 year. The prophylactic effect was evaluated by observing changes in the Pettersson scores, annual number of total and joint bleeds, and factor VIII consumption for 1 year. Results: No moderate or severe bleeding was observed, and the Pettersson scores remained unchanged during the prophylaxis period in the patients who received primary prophylactic treatment. After the treatment was changed from on-demand to secondary prophylaxis, the annual number of total and joint bleeds in the secondary prophylaxis group decreased by $64.4%{\pm}13.0%$ and $70.0%{\pm}15.2%$, respectively. The average increase in Pettersson scores within 1 year was $0.5{\pm}0.8$ and $1.3{\pm}1.1$ in the secondary prophylaxis and on-demand groups, respectively. Prophylactic effects were also observed in patients >17 years who had nearly the same initial Pettersson scores. Conclusion: Intermediate-dose prophylactic treatment may delay hemarthropathy progression and prevent its occurrence in Korean severe hemophilia A patients.

Peak-time Characteristics and Parking Apron Requirements of Korean Airports (국내공항의 항공기 운항 첨두 특성과 첨두시 주기장 소요에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seung-Gwon;Lee, Yeong-Heok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.27-42
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    • 2003
  • The basis for planning airport development is the specific demand at peak hour among various aviation demands. The demand at peak hour is regarded to be the source which enables us to estimate the size requirement and capacity of an airport facility. The distribution type of peak hour-operation depends on the difference of aircraft route, geographical location of airport, passengers and cargo. The demand at peak hour is calculated with peak hour factor. So far, the features of peak hour adopted for domestic airport construction plan have been based on the foreign research results. However, it is officially unconfirmed whether the various peak hour characteristics or peak hour factor suggested from foreign studies can be compatible with Korean state or not. In this study, the aircraft operation pattern and the peak hour characteristics are analyzed with hourly data using the operation schedule of an airport for the last 5 years and the actual result statistics of Korean air transportation by airport through the recent 10 Years. After the peak hour factor of the airports is calculated and compared with existing research results, peak hour factor by annual operation frequency is suggested for Korean airports.

Spatial Analysis of Bank's ATMs in Korea (은행 자동화기기(CD/ATM기)의 공간 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hay-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.39 no.5 s.104
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    • pp.755-767
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    • 2004
  • Based on a case study of bank's Automatic Teller Machines (ATMs) in Korea, this paper attempts to reveal dynamic changes occurring across the financial landscape with special emphasis on distribution pattern and location factors. Since the distribution of ATMs showed a concentrated pattern similar to that of bank branches, location quotients were examined to consider the effect of branches on ATM distribution. Furthermore, this study identified four factors that play pivotal roles in the location of ATMs. Compared to branch, location of ATM was more closely related to the population and demand factor, while the importance of local economy base and local economic power factor was reduced to some degree. This difference is attributable to the peculiar characteristic of the services offered by ATM. Lastly, demand factor turned out to be most influential in determining the ratio of ATMs to branches in each district, since lower deployment and operation costs allow ATMs to be more flexibly placed where demand for cash services is high.