• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi study

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Research on National Korean Medicine Policy Priorities using Delphi-AHP : Focusing on the 4th Comprehensive Plan for Korean Medicine Development (델파이-AHP 기법을 사용한 국가한의약정책 우선순위에 관한 연구 - 제4차 한의약육성발전종합계획을 중심으로 -)

  • Yi, Eunhee;Kim, Dongsu;Park, Soo-Kyung
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2022
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study is to identify priorities for the 4th Comprehensive Plan for Korean Medicine Development using Delphi and AHP techniques. Methods : This study uses Delphi-AHP method to first, select the target priority policy based on the policy content of the 4th Comprehensive Plan. In addition, two surveys on the priorities were conducted to reach consensus between experts. The main results of the first survey were also provided to experts participating in the second survey to help form expert consensus. Finally, the final policy priority was chosen based on the second survey result. Results : Survey results showed that of the 39 policies in the 4th Comprehensive Plan, "improve the accessibility of Korean medicines," was the most important goal. This was followed by "support for Korean medicine R&D from clinical research to industrialization," "provide foundation for a pilot project that provides customized medical services" and "strengthen the public medicine function of Korean medicine by expanding the its infrastructure in national and public hospitals." Conclusion : The results showed that capacity building of Korean medicine in primary care, improvement of the health insurance system, and research centered on industrialization are relatively more important goals, while the need to enhance global competitiveness was much less important. These key points can serve as a reference when formulating the 5th Comprehensive Plan for Korean Medicine Development in the future.

Essential Competencies for Digital Workforce of Provincial Office in Thailand Using Delphi Technique

  • Rujira Rikharom;Wirapong, Chansanam
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.51-81
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to study its required performance requirements and proposes a competency framework necessary for the digital workforce of the Provincial Offices in Thailand. The specific primary informants were determined as 17 people. The collecting process was performed using the Delphi technique and the electronic Delphi technique in two phases, totaling four rounds. In the first time, a structured interview was used to conduct online interviews for 15 people. Content validation was performed to determine issues of the competency framework essential for the digital workforce with 7-level scaled questionnaires, and then online reviews were collected between 10-15 people (2nd to 4th times). A consensus was found and confirmed four times with descriptive statistics, namely frequency, mean, standard deviation, mode, median, and the absolute value of the difference between mode and median, interquartile range, and application of the conceptual framework. The research findings revealed that the essential competency requirements for the digital workforce were covered in digital literacy (six aspects), digital skills (four aspects), and digital characteristics (four aspects). Consensus was confirmed for 84 issues. Therefore, it was concluded that 61 points for building an essential competency framework for the digital workforce made them effective in using digital technology as a labor-saving instrument, as well as for expanding the breadth of development of digital expertise to include members of the organization's digital practitioner network. This development will benefit government agencies and the private sector, both national and international, in the future.

Development of 10 Self-Help Guidelines for Suicide Prevention : A Delphi Study (자살예방 10가지 자가 수칙의 개발 : 델파이 연구)

  • Lee, Hyochul;Ahn, Jihyun;Lee, Kyungeun;Kim, Haesoo;Hong, Changhyung;Oh, Kangsup;Hong, Jin Pyo
    • Anxiety and mood
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 2017
  • Objective : A variety of approaches are needed to solve high suicide rates in Korean society. Although suicide prevention education has been provided for the public and suicide risk groups in Korea, a systematic discussion of simple, effective suicide prevention guidelines for the general public has yet to be made. Self-help guidelines for suicide prevention, which can help prevent suicide in at risk individuals, will be developed through expert questionnaires. Methods : In order to develop the draft guidelines, suicide prevention self-help phrases were gathered and compiled from homepages and publicity materials of domestic and international suicide prevention and related organizations. A panel of 16 suicide prevention experts conducted primary and secondary surveys using the Delphi method, which derives results from consensus among expert groups. The validity and appropriateness of the guidelines was analyzed using content validity ratios (CVR). Results : Of 33 candidate phrases selected for the suicide prevention guidelines, 9 showed high CVR after the secondary Delphi round. The highest level of support with total agreement was given to 'Do not be alone, stay with someone'. However, more than half of the panelists evaluated 14/27 of the primary Delphi round and 12/26 of the secondary Delphi round phrases as invalid. The researchers completed 10 self-help guidelines for suicide prevention, after eliminating 1 redundant phrase and including 2 additional phrases that showed relatively high CVR. Conclusion : We have developed 10 self-help guidelines for suicide prevention through the consensus of experts. Further studies on the effects of the guidleines relative to suicide rates are needed after widespread dissemination.

An Analysis on the Expert Opinions of Future City Scenarios (미래도시 전망 분석)

  • Jo, Sung Su;Baek, Hyo Jin;Han, Hoon;Lee, Sang Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.59-76
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to develop urban scenarios for future cities and validate the future city scenarios using a Delphi method. The scenarios of future city was derived from urban structure, land use, transportation, and urban infrastructure and development using big data analysis, environmental scanning techniques, and literature review. The Delphi survey interviewed 24 erudite scholars and experts across 6 nations including Korea, USA, UK, Japan, China, Australia and India. The Delphi survey structure was designed to test future city scenarios, verified by the 5-point Likert scale. The survey also asked the timing of each scenario likely happens by the three terms of near-future, mid-future and far-future. Results of the Delphi survey reveal the following points. Firstly, for the future urban structure it is anticipated that urban concentration continues and higher density living in global mega cities near future. In the mid-future small and medium size cities may decrease. Secondly, the land use pattern in the near-future is expected of increasing space sharing and mixed or layered vertical land-use. In addition underground space is likely to be extended in the mid-future. Thirdly, in the near-future, transport and infrastructure was expected to show ICT embedded integration platform and public and private smart transport. Finally, the result of Delphi survey shows that TOD (Transit Oriented Development) becomes a development norm and more emphasis on energy and environment fields.

A Study on Influence Factors for Tunnel Collapse Risk Analysis using Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 활용한 터널 붕괴 위험도 분석을 위한 영향인자 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong Heum;Kim, Chang Yong;Lee, Seung Soo;Lee, Jun Hwan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2017
  • This research aims to define influence factors to perform an optimized section design and evaluate tunnel collapse risk during construction using Delphi technique. A total of five upper classification systems were constructed through literature review, pervious research analysis, and brainstorming of expert group for establishing influence factors. The $1^{st}$, $2^{nd}$, and $3^{rd}$ Delphi survey process was proceeded by panel group which is consisted 21 experts to prevent errors and bias in the expert judgement process. In Delphi $1^{st}$ survey, a total of 22 influence factors candidates were derived through open-ended questionnaire. In Delphi $2^{nd}$ survey, questionnaire was proceeded based on 7-point Likert scale method. In order to verify the validity, CVR (Content Validity Ration) analysis was performed to exclude inappropriate candidates. In the $3^{rd}$ survey, verification of influence factors was proceeded once more with the result of $2^{nd}$ survey, and lastly, a total of 14 influence factors was derived by CVR and COV (Content Validity Ration) analysis for response of experts.

An Analysis of Threat Factors for Strengthen Maritime Safety around Delphi/AHP-Based Launch Site and Flight Paths (Delphi/AHP 기반 발사장 주변 및 비행경로의 해상안전 강화를 위한 위협요인 분석)

  • Ahn-Tae Shin;Byung-Mun Park;Hun-Soo Byun
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.61 no.2
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    • pp.208-216
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    • 2023
  • In this study, using the Delphi method, 20 responses to 4 questions (need for launch safety control, top-priority considerations for ensuring public safety during launch, necessary improvements for securing maritime safety, and maritime safety threat factors) regarding launch vehicles and public safety were obtained from experts, and their importance was evaluated to analyze the factors that threaten the reinforcement of maritime safety around launch sites and flight paths when launching. According to the results of an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) analysis, the consistency ratio of the four questions was 4.8%, which is lower than CR ≤ 0.1(10%), and the consistency percentage of the lower measurement indicators was 3.9~5.7%. The derived importance and priority of maritime safety threat factors during launching were in the following order: Substantial human and physical damage in case of launch accidents(0.36), Prepare legal bases (e.g., penalty details) regarding maritime control(0.32), Secure the safety of personnel, equipment, and facilities in danger zone(0.31), Unauthorized entry of vessels in maritime control zones and non-compliance to restrictions(0.30). This article can serve as a reference for strengthening maritime safety in areas around launch sites and flight paths.

Developing Social Play Evaluation Items for Preschool Children: A Delphi Study (학령전기 아동의 사회적 놀이 평가 문항 개발: 델파이 연구)

  • Lee, Sun-Hee;Jung, Min-Ye;Yoo, Eun-Young;Hong, Ickpyo;Kim, Jung-Ran;Park, Hae Yean
    • Therapeutic Science for Rehabilitation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2021
  • Objective : This study aimed to develop evaluation items based on Parten's social play developmental stages to measure social play in preschool children. Methods : Through a literature review, the investigation items according to Parten's social play developmental stages were collected. Two Delphi surveys were conducted using 22 expert panels. An understanding of the contents of the preliminary items was determined via parents of preschool children. The evaluation method was established through an expert advisory meeting. Results : Through data collection and the Delphi survey, a total of 89 items were drawn, including 12 unoccupied behaviors, 7 onlooker behaviors, 14 solitary play, 16 parallel play, 17 associative play, and 23 cooperative play items. The average content validity ratio of the Delphi survey was 0.85. The stability was 0.15. The consensus was 0.78. The final preliminary evaluation items comprised a total of 40 items, including 17 for associative play and 23 for cooperative play. Conclusion : An evaluation items that can measure social play in preschool children was developed, and its content validity was verified. It is expected to be used as an evaluation tool in clinical practice.

Development of a Lifestyle Redesign Program for College Students (대학생을 위한 라이프스타일 재설계 프로그램 개발)

  • Lee, Chun-Yeop;Park, Young-Ju
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.337-349
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    • 2021
  • This study tried to develop a lifestyle redesign program that can be applied to college students. For program development, the Delphi research method was implemented with 8 experts. Based on previous studies on lifestyle and time use, the first Delphi survey investigated the prioritization of occupations through evaluation instruments, lifestyle types, and living time survey tables. In the second Delphi survey, it was constructed based on the opinions of experts, and when the content validity ratio was low, it was reconstructed by modifying and supplementing it. In the third Delphi survey, while maintaining the framework of the secondary content, the experts' own responses from the second time and the second average score with other experts were presented together. As a result of this study, a program with an average score of 3.88~4.00, a content validity ratio of 1.00, and a convergence of 0.00 was finally derived. In the lifestyle redesign program for college students, the first step of the pre-intervention evaluation is to identify the lifestyle type, apply evaluation tools, and select occupations. In the second step, the lifestyle is redesigned by the intervention execution, and the facilitator intervenes to help college students do well their tasks. The program was developed by encouraging them to practice, checking the lifestyle type change as a result of the intervention in step 3, applying evaluation instruments after the intervention, and ending the program in the last step. This study provided a rationale for using lifestyle redesign program as an intervention to change their occupational performance patterns in order to successfully carry out the life they want.

A Study of Empirical Analysis on Drencher Facilities through Delphi and IPA Analysis (델파이분석과 IPA분석을 통한 드렌처설비의 실증적 분석 연구)

  • Soo Un O;Sung-Hoon Choa
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.177-191
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: In this study, the Drenzer facility, which is a facility installed to prevent the spread of fire caused by fire in adjacent buildings in the fire prevention zone, was analyzed legally and technically. We confirmed the uncertainty of the Building Act and the Fire Protection Act, and suggested the revision of the necessary standards. Method: Although the Drenzer facility is a building facility, it is actually applied in the field of firefighting, so the Delphi analysis was conducted on a panel composed of architectural experts and firefighting experts in the first, second, and third rounds to find the issuses and important facility component elements. Finally, the IPA(Importance-Performance Analysis) analysis was conducted to identify the importance of the elements that need to be revised. Result: Delphi analysis was carried out for experts on various components of Drenzer equipment in the first, second, and third rounds, and it was found that the survey items of the head, detector, and other facilities of the Drenzer equipment are valid items to identify problems. The IPA analysis indicated that the revision of the standards for Drencher head was necessary as a priority. Conclusion: In this study, it was possible to confirm the opinions of experts through Delphi analysis on the legal and technical problems of Drencher facilities, and it was confirmed that among the components of the Drencher facility, the revision of the head-related regulations is required as a priority.

The Development of Investment Prioritization Criteria for the Mooring Facilities's Maintenance by the Delphi Study (델파이 기법을 적용한 항만 계류시설 유지보수 투자우선순위 결정 기준 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Hee;Lee, Young-Ho;Song, Jae-Jun;Lee, Sang-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, The investment prioritization model was investigated for keeping the service level of mooring facilities more than the target level of management with a limited budget in the right time. Network level prioritization criteria of the national scale was developed to take into criteria index and quantitative evaluation, management authority's opinion. Delphi method was conducted maintenance exports of mooring facilities over twice for verifying the validity and adequacy. In order to improve the objectivity of criteria, the criteria for evaluating the utilization of port facilities is presented form yearly facility traffic/facility's length, the result of the analysis of facility traffic data. The investment prioritization criteria of mooring facilities is expected to be utilized for more efficient and national budget distribution applied to the maintenance budget plan of nationwide.