• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi method

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Development of Questionnaire for Pattern Identification of Chronic Low Back Pain by Delphi Method (만성 요통 변증 설문지 개발을 위한 전문가 Delphi 조사)

  • Ahn, Min-Youn;Song, Yun-Kyung;Ko, Seong-Gyu;Lim, Hyoung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.143-158
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    • 2013
  • Objectives The aim of this study is to contribute to developing questionnaire for pattern identification of chronic low back pain using delphi method. Methods The questionnaire which includes symptoms and signs of chronic low back pain is studied by delphi method. Seven experts of Korean medicine, especially of rehabilitation medicine participated in delphi examination. Delphi examination was carried out through evaluating and correcting the questionnaire by e-mail. Results By the Delphi method and score evaluation, 20 items of the initial copy of questionnaire are chosen for pattern identification of chronic low back pain. Conclusions By the delphic method among experts, a reference questionnaire for pattern identification of chronic low back pain was suggested. Further research is necessary for modification of questionnaire by statistics and certification by clinical trial research.

An Establishment of the Forecasting System for General Index using Fuzzy Delphi Method (Fuzzy Delpi 법(法)을 이용한 일반 지수 예측 시스템 구축)

  • Kim, Chang-Eun;Choi, Hwan-Seok
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1996
  • The Delphi method is widely used for long and middle range forecasting in management science. It is a method by which the subjective data of experts are made to converge using statistical analysis. The Fuzzy Delphi Method(F.D.M.), anew application of the Delphi method using Triangular Fuzzy Numbers(T.F.N.), can help to predict the uncertainty, synthesize the opinion and calculation of those assumed dissemblance index and fuzzy distance. Furthermore, the programming of the F.D.M. process to feed paper and data back to experts can make them more accurately predict the various information.

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Prioritization in the Policy of Integrated Medicine that Uses the Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process (델파이 기법과 AHP기법을 사용한 통합의료정책 우선순위 수립 연구)

  • Park, Youn Ok;Son, Chi Hyoung
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.66-71
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of the study is to establish priorities in integrated medicine policy. Delphi method was used in conducting a survey on integrated medicine specialists regarding the policies of integrated medicine and actions. For specialists in integrated medicine, total 17 persons selected included scholars who performed minimum one study on integrated medicine, medical staff who performing integrated medical service at institutions that implemented integrated medical care or those who were involved in creating or implementing policies on integrated medicine. The first Delphi-method survey conducted from Apr. 14 through 18, while the second survey was carried out from Apr. 21 through 25. To prioritize the policies based on the results of the mini Delphi-method survey, Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) was performed for 15 persons answered to mini Delphi-method from May 2 through 16, 2014. From the Delphi-method survey, four policies and 16 actions were obtained. AHP showed the first priority placed on 'Building the Infrastructure of Industrialization in the Integrative medicine' of the 4 policies and 'Developing new diagnostic and treatment instruments' was given the highest priority of the 16 actions. For implementation of integrated medicine policy, the 4 policies and the 16 actions found in this research require government support and should be urgently implemented according to its priority.

Application of the Delphi Technique in Modifying AHP Method (Delphi를 사용한 AHP방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Sung-Hwan;Gwon, Seong-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bum;Hong, Soon-Ki
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2009
  • AHP is widely used in various fields owing to its simplicity and clarity. However, it has the problems of reliability of panel's judgement and the assumption that each panelist's ability is equal. In this paper, we propose a reliable AHP method using Delphi technique, which aims to incorporate the relative expertise of panel and to increase their consensus. The method is called the Modified Delphi-AHP. We apply the method to analyzing the demand for lectures of Management of Technology.

Development of Standardized Pattern Identification for Dizziness by Delphi Method (현훈(어지럼증) 한의표준변증안 개발을 위한 전문가 델파이 조사)

  • Oh, Se-Hee;Jung, Chan-Yung;Hong, Seung-Ug
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine Ophthalmology and Otolaryngology and Dermatology
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2020
  • Objectives : The goal of this study is developing standardized pattern identification of dizziness using delphi method. Methods : The pattern identification of dizziness which derived through literature review is studied by delphi method. A group of 9 experts of korean medicine participated in Delphi examination. Experts carried out evaluating and correcting the pattern identification and symptoms by e-mail. Results : Through 3 delphi examinations, final standardized pattern identification of dizziness was suggested. It consisted of 2 items of excess syndrome, 2 items of excess-deficiency combination syndrome, and 3 items of deficiency syndrome. Conclusions : By the delphi examinations among experts, a standardized pattern identification of dizziness was suggested. These pattern identification will contribute to research and treatment of korean medicine. Further study is necessary for modification of pattern identification by practical clinical use.

A Study on the State of Art and International Cooperation in the Field of Mechanical Engineering by Delphi Method (Delphi기법에 의한 기계공학기술의 수준평가 및 국제 기술협력기반에 관한 연구)

  • 권영주
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 1996
  • We provide a fudamental set of information on technologies in the area of mechanical engineering to draw action plans for intermationalization of the National R&D activites. First, we design and use a modified Delphi method to evaluate levels of our technological capabilities and developed countries' as well. We investigate technology acquistion methodolgies, technology characteristcs and various aspects of international cooperation in terms of technology. Secondly, we analyze final responses of participants (i.e,. the third round results of Delphi method) tosee the correlation between various factors in developing mechanical engineering technologies through international cooperation. The technology classification used in this research is developed by STEPI (Science and Technology Policy Institute).

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The Development of Delphi Decision Support System on the Web (웹에 기반한 델파이 의사결정지원시스템의 구현)

  • 서창교;김은진;이영숙
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-25
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    • 2001
  • The main purpose of this paper is to develop a Delphi Decision Support System based on the web, which can improve the conventional Delphi method. Among major drawbacks of the conventional Delphi methods are cost and efforts to distribute and collect the questionnaire by the regular mail and the tardiness in collecting, categorizing, analyzing, and reporting the result of the questionnaire. With the proposed Delphi Decision Support System, the moderator sends the e-mail to invite the member of panels so that they may visit the homepage of the Delphi Decision Support System. When the panelists input their opinions about the issues, the Delphi Decision Support System analyzes the inputs and reports the result without delay. To implement the Delphi Decision Support System, we integrated Microsoft SQL Server 6.5, jdbcKona/MS SQLServer 4 JDBC driver, and Java Development Kit 1.2

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Root Cause Analysis of the Information Industry Ecosystem Problems (정보산업 생태계 문제의 근본원인 분석)

  • Kim, Sung Kun;Ahn, Nam Gyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.71-92
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    • 2017
  • Finding a root cause is an essential step to solving a complex problem. Some previous studies have used the Delphi method for gathering opinions about root causes from geographically dispersed experts. However, we assert that complicated problems such as an industry ecosystem would make a general type of the Delphi method less practical because of too much psychological burden on study participants. In this study we present a preliminary list-based Delphi study method for identifying a root cause. This method was used to identify a root cause and draw a causal map for the information industry ecosystem problems.

Empirical Study for the Technological Forecasting using Delphi Method

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.425-434
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we evaluated the technological forecasting based on questionnaires of experts working in internet-banking industry. We prepared questionnaires on the 13 items. We examined specialties of respondents, relative importance of research contents, expected time of realization, likelihood of conviction on the expected time of realization, and their opinions on the levels of domestic's research and development comparing with advanced standards on each item. And we made various analysis based on data collected from Delphi method.

The Type and Importance of Oriental Health Promotion Services and Nursing - By Delphi Method - (한방 건강증진 서비스 및 간호의 종류와 중요도 - 델파이방법을 이용하여 -)

  • Jang, Soon Yang;Park, Jeong Sook
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: To identify the agreed opinion of experts on oriental health promotion services and nursing in Korea. Method: The study is based on the 3-round Delphi method. As a Delphi panel, a total of 28 people with at least three years of experience in the area of oriental medicine consisted of this. Results: The experts suggested that Yangsaeng, lectures on prevention of CVA, correct understanding of the misuse/abuse of oriental medicine, daily health care, meridian/acupoints massage, and Kigong therapy should be included in the promoting oriental health nursing servies. Conclusion: The agreed opinions by the experts on the oriental health promotion services and nursing, can help enhance the understanding of oriental health promotion. The curriculum should be developed further and tested with the development of the Korean oriental nursing intervention methods which is appropriate to Korean culture.

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