• 제목/요약/키워드: Delphi Approach

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병원 관리직의 생산성 향상을 위한 델파이(Delphi)방법의 활용

  • 대한병원협회
    • 대한병원협회지
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    • 제17권4호통권153호
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    • pp.54-58
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    • 1988
  • 다음은 미국산업공학회와 경영과학회의 병원경영분과 제13차 학술회의 (1982. 2. 8-10) 에서 발표된 P.G.Amladi의 "A Modified Delphi Approach to Solving Productivity Prob-lems of Administrative Secretaries Secretaries in a Hospital Environment"를 요약발췌한 것이다.

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Developing a pediatric nursing simulation scenario template in South Korea: applying real-time Delphi methods

  • Eun Joo Kim;Meen Hye Lee;Bitna Park
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.142-153
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to describe the process of developing a validated pediatric nursing simulation scenario template using the real-time Delphi method. Methods: A panel of 13 pediatric nursing experts participated in a real-time Delphi survey conducted over two rounds. Initially, 83 items were included in the questionnaire focusing on the structure and content of the simulation scenario template. Data analysis involved calculating the content validity ratio (CVR) and the coefficient of variation to assess item validity and stability. Results: Through iterative rounds of the Delphi survey, a consensus was reached among the experts, resulting in the development of a pediatric nursing simulation scenario template comprising 41 items across nine parts. The CVR values ranged from 0.85 to 1.0, indicating a high consensus among experts regarding the inclusion of all items in the template. Conclusion: This study presents a novel approach for developing a pediatric nursing simulation scenario template using real-time Delphi methods. The real-time Delphi method facilitated the development of a comprehensive and scientifically grounded pediatric nursing simulation scenario template. Our template aligns with the International Nursing Association for Clinical Simulation and Learning standards, and provides valuable guidance for educators in designing effective simulation scenarios, contributing to enhanced learning outcomes and better preparation for pediatric clinical practice. However, consideration of cultural and contextual adaptations is necessary, and further research should explore alternative consensus criteria.

델파이 기법을 활용한 실시간 수요대응 자율주행 대중교통서비스 도입 방안 연구 (A Study on Introducing Autonomous Public Transportation On-demand Service in Real Time Using Delphi Method)

  • 정준영;심상우;김민석
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.183-196
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    • 2022
  • 국내의 경우 대중교통 최소서비스 수준 분석을 통해 대중교통 접근성을 평가하고 있으나 이는 운영자 측면의 평가로 이용자 측면의 대중교통 접근성 분석은 이루어지지 않고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 알뜰교통카드 데이터를 이용하여 이용자의 대중교통 접근성을 분석한 결과 법정동보다 법정리의 접근시간 및 거리가 크며, 대중교통 접근성이 낮은 유형을 분류하여 분석한 결과 전체 평균 접근 시간에 비해 유형 1은 95%, 유형 2는 64% 더 크게 나타났다. 이러한 대중교통 접근성 문제 해결을 위해 델파이 조사를 통한 실시간 수요대응 자율주행 대중교통차량의 효율적인 도입 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 델파이 조사 결과 기능은 환승연계 및 D2D, 서비스는 예약 및 정보제공서비스, 노선 운영 방식은 준동적 및 동적 운영, 접근거리는 300m, 노선 운행 거리는 10km, 정시성은 5분 이내와 같이 9개 항목에 대해 전문가들의 의견이 일치하였다.

장기요양시설 인간중심 치매케어 온라인 교육 프로그램 개발을 위한 델파이 조사연구 (A Delphi Study for Developing a Person-centered Dementia Care Online Education Program in Long-term Care Facilities)

  • 김다은;사공혜;윤주영
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: There has been a growing recognition that person-centered care enhances the quality of life of nursing home residents with dementia. This study was conducted to develop a person-centered dementia care online education program for direct care staff in long-term care facilities. Methods: Delphi method with expert group was used to validate contents. We developed 61 draft items based on literature review. Twenty experts participated in consecutive three round surveys including 5-point Likert scale questions and open-ended questions. Based on experts' opinions, the content validity ratio for content validity and the coefficient of variation for stability were calculated. Results: Three-round Delphi surveys and additional feedback from the expert panel established a consensus of core contents: 1) dementia (7 categories), 2) person-centered care (6 categories), 3) communication (8 categories), and 4) behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia (6 categories). Specific sub-categories in each category were differentiated according to the job qualifications (65 sub-categories for registered nurses, 64 sub-categories for nursing aids, and 41 sub-categories for personal care workers). Conclusion: This delphi study identified person-centered dementia education curricula, in which the person-centered approach should be a key policy priority in Korean long-term care system. Now it is urgently needed to develop education programs utilizing online platforms that enable efficient and continuous learning for long-term care staff, which can contribute to behavior changes in the person-centered dementia care approach and improvement of care quality in long-term care facilities.

A Delphi Approach to the Development of an Integrated Performance Measurement and Management Model for a Car Assembler

  • Shawyun, Teay
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.214-227
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    • 2008
  • Today's dynamic competitiveness requires an organization to improve its performance measurement and management. Quality Management Systems (QMS) abound, the main ones being: ISO series, Malcolm Baldridge National Quality Award (MBNQA), European Forum for Quality Management (EFQM), Six Sigma Business Scorecard and the Balanced Scorecard. Based on the literature, the IPMMM (Integrated Performance Measurement and Management Model) identified 7 key synthesized factors: leadership, strategy management and policy, customer and market, learning and growth, partnership and resources, internal processes and business results that are employed to investigate the key performance indicators of a car assembler using the Delphi methodology. In the 2 rounds of Delphi panels consisting of 20 senior management personnel, the $1^{st}$ round of 198 indicators in the IPMMM yielded 90 indicators. The $2^{nd}$ round yielded 43 performance indicators with 18 rated as critical based on the % assigned in the $1^{st}$ and $2^{nd}$ priority rating of "very important factor" and "key performance indicator" that must be ranked high on both of the priorities. The very critical indicators appeared to be: defect percentage and first time capability (tie in $1^{st}$ place) and revenue, goal setting, customer satisfaction index, on-time delivery, brand image, return on investment, Claim Occurrence Ratio, and debt being ranked from $3^{rd}$ to $10^{th}$. It can be surmised that an organization can identify and develop an appropriate set of performance indicators through the Delphi methodology and implement and manage them based on the Balanced Scorecard.

Development of Educational Content for Nurses to Prevent Safety Accidents of Hospitalized Children: Delphi Approach

  • Lee, Yun Sil;Oh, Won-Oak
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.74-84
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop content for safety education to prevent hospital safety accidents among hospitalized children and to investigate the status of safety education performed by nurses. Methods: First, the Delphi method was used, with 18 experts, to develop educational contents for preventing safety accidents. Second, an exploratory survey was performed of the actual status of safety education for preventing safety accidents among hospitalized children using a questionnaire developed based on the Delphi method. The participants of this study were 159 nurses with at least 6 months of work experience. Results: The educational content developed through the Delphi method for preventing safety accidents among hospitalized children contained seven domains (falls, injury, electric shocks/burns, suffocation/aspiration, poisoning/abuse, kidnapping, medical devices) with 44 topics. The item mean of nurses'perceptions of the importance of child safety education was 4.18, and the actual performance score was 3.72, which was a statistically significant difference (t=11.58, p<.001). Conclusion: These seven comprehensive domains of accident prevention education for hospitalized children are expected to be useful for interventions to support the safety of hospitalized children.

정보통신표준화분야 우선순위결정을 위한 방법론 연구

  • 박기식;구경철;서의호
    • 경영과학
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.129-151
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    • 1994
  • This paper focuses on method of setting priorities for telecommunications Standardization in which usually includes prioritization, resource allocation, standardization schedule for each SWA is based on prioritization of SWAs. We mainly used the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and a modified Delphi technique as a method for planning process. Recently, rapid technology evolution in telecommunications fields increases the necessity of developing more and more new standards. Also increased complexity of technologies makes standards more complicated, more specified and more thick than the past ones. As a result, the number of SWAa(Standardization Work Areas) and SWIs(Standardization Work Iterms) is being increased continuously. Furthermore, rapid telecommunication environment changes such as deregulation, liberalization, privatization, regionalization, and globalization surrounding telecommunications standardization grows increasingly important. To cope with these challenges and to make the more efficient use of the limited standardization resources, i.e., time, financial, personal resources, we will suggest logical and rational approach that is a backbone of strategic plan for telecommunication standardization. The telecommunication standardization planning process involves a MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) process. The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) is a kind of MCDM approach. Our method is based on a combination of a modified Delphi technique and an application of AHP(spreadsheet model). Analyzed data from Delphi technique is used as inputs to AHP. In addition we also focus on the technique how to combine group judgments and to handle a large number of comparisons.

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차세대 웹에서 온톨로지 기술을 통한 지식체계 적용 (Application of knowledge system through Ontology Technology in Next Generation Web)

  • 김민철
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.605-622
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    • 2005
  • Because, next generation web, semantic web consists of documents with semantic information, it enables computer interpret the contents of the documents, so that the information retrieval, interpretation and integration can be automated. The web documents with the semantic information may be made in ontology. In this paper, collaborative approach among the ontology design techniques is more excellent than the other techniques because it design the ontology through continuous evaluations and modification in terms of multiple views. So, we propose the process of designing and implementing the ontology for specific domain, which is Yeomigi tour place. Delphi technique, that is a kind of collaborative approach, is used when the ontology is designed.

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중장기 기술예측을 위한 시뮬레이션 기반 방법론 (Simulation Based Method for Mid-and-Long Term Technological Forecasting)

  • 유성열
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.372-380
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 시뮬레이션 기반의 중장기 기술예측 방법론에 대해서 다룬다. 먼저 전문가 집단을 상대로 한 델파이 조사를 통해 미래의 신기술들의 출현 시점과 기술들간의 영향 관계에 대한 데이터를 수집한 후, 취득한 데이터를 활용하여 미래에 개발되어야 하는 신기술들 중에서 핵심기술을 도출하는 새로운 방법론을 제시한다. 일반적인 델파이 조사가 기술 출현에 대한 일정 시점의 예측치만을 제공하는데 반해, 본 연구에서는 시뮬레이션 알고리즘을 통해 기술 출현 시기에 대한 범위를 도출하고, 이를 기초로 핵심기술을 정의한다. 미래에 개발될 기술들의 출현 시점 뿐 만 아니라 핵심 기술에 대한 정보도 함께 도출함으로써, 연구개발 담당자 및 중장기 프로젝트 관리자들에게 자원배분과 관련한 정보를 제공하여 그들의 의사결정을 도울 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

델파이기법을 이용한 법적보호종 서식환경평가의 환경영향평가 적용방안 개발 - 파주시, 시흥시, 안산시, 화성시에서의 황조롱이를 대상으로 - (Application of the Habitat Evaluation Procedure(HEP) for Legally Protected Wildbirds using Delphi Technique to Environmental Impact Assessment - In case of the Common Kestrel(Falco tinnunculus) in four areas (Paju, Siheung, Ansan, Hwaseong) -)

  • 이석원;노백호;유정칠
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.277-290
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    • 2013
  • This study was carried out to propose the new procedure to apply Habitat Evaluation Procedure(HEP) of target species using delphi technique, which is suitable to develop endangered species with few researches and ecological knowledges. To identify habitat quality of specific species in development project site, we can develop habitat model and create habitat suitability maps. In this study, we select the Common Kestrel(Falco tinnunculus) as target species in four areas(Paju, Siheung, Ansan, Hwaseong) which is located near the Seoul metropolitan area. The Delphi technique was selected to get the reliable information on the species and habitats requirements. Through the delphi approach, seven habitat components were determined as suitable variables for the Common Kestrel: density($n/km^2$) of small mammals, area($km^2$) of bare-grounds, pasturelands and riparian, and open area(%), spatial distribution and area of croplands, landscape diversity, breeding sites(tall trees, cliffs, high-rise buildings), and the length of shelf. Habitat variables used in this model were classified into two categories: % of suitable land-cover type(open areas, croplands, pasturelands, wetlands, and baregrounds) and the quality of feeding sites(within 250m from edges of woodlands). Habitat quality of the Common Kestrel was assessed against occurred sites derived from the nationwide survey. Predicted habitat suitability map were closely related to the observed sites of the endangered avian species in the study areas. With the habitat suitability map of the Common Kestrel, we assess the environmental impacts with habitat loss after development project in environmental impact assessment.