• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi기법

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A Study on the Decision Making Model for Construction Projects using Fuzzy-AHP and Fuzzy-Delph (Fuzzy-AHP와 Fuzzy-Delphi기법을 이용한 건설프로젝트의 의사결정 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Yeong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.1 s.13
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2003
  • This research suggests the FD-AHP decision making model for Construction Projects which is composed of two main method to prevent a ranking invert situation ; First, to make the consensus of the experts consistent, we utilize Fuzzy-Delphi method to adjust the fuzzy rating of every expert to achive the consensus condition with the fuzzy linguistic presentation. Second, to handle vague linguistic presentation caused by expert's experiences and subjective judgement, we propose Fuzzy-AHP which is able to enhance precision of construction projects decision mating situation. Moreover, with the correlation analysis, we show that the validity of the FD-AHP model under a decision making task specially on where highly demanded expert's experiences and intuition.

Prioritization in the Policy of Integrated Medicine that Uses the Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process (델파이 기법과 AHP기법을 사용한 통합의료정책 우선순위 수립 연구)

  • Park, Youn Ok;Son, Chi Hyoung
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.66-71
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of the study is to establish priorities in integrated medicine policy. Delphi method was used in conducting a survey on integrated medicine specialists regarding the policies of integrated medicine and actions. For specialists in integrated medicine, total 17 persons selected included scholars who performed minimum one study on integrated medicine, medical staff who performing integrated medical service at institutions that implemented integrated medical care or those who were involved in creating or implementing policies on integrated medicine. The first Delphi-method survey conducted from Apr. 14 through 18, while the second survey was carried out from Apr. 21 through 25. To prioritize the policies based on the results of the mini Delphi-method survey, Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) was performed for 15 persons answered to mini Delphi-method from May 2 through 16, 2014. From the Delphi-method survey, four policies and 16 actions were obtained. AHP showed the first priority placed on 'Building the Infrastructure of Industrialization in the Integrative medicine' of the 4 policies and 'Developing new diagnostic and treatment instruments' was given the highest priority of the 16 actions. For implementation of integrated medicine policy, the 4 policies and the 16 actions found in this research require government support and should be urgently implemented according to its priority.

A Study on The Success Factors of Youth Enterprises (청년창업 성공요인에 관한 연구: 창업전문가를 대상으로)

  • Shim, Hyeon Min;Seol, Byung Moon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • This study derived the success factors of youth enterprises by applying the Delphi Method to start-up experts. Through this, it aims to improve understanding of youth enterprises in entrepreneurship education and start-up support projects and contribute to the development of education and support programs suitable for youth enterprises. Also The purpose of this study is to help youth entrepreneurs solve their curiosity about the success factors of youth enterprises, identify the factors that youth entrepreneurs should first secure or perform among the factors they need to consider during start-ups, and use limited resources efficiently and effectively to succeed. In this study, the Delphi Survey was conducted twice in total. The first Delphi Survey utilized the Modified Delphi Method using structured closed-ended questions, and a pilot test was conducted on youth entrepreneurs and start-up experts to compensate for the problem of the Modified Delphi Method. In the first Delphi Survey, IBM SPSS Statistics 22 and Microsoft Office Excel 2016 were used to calculate the mean, standard deviation, median, interquartile range, and content validity ratio. In the Delphi 2nd survey, the same statistical values in the 1st survey and additionally cronbach's alpha were calculated. As a result of the Delphi Survey, four factors, such as the entrepreneurial characteristics, entrepreneurial preparation, entrepreneurial strategy, and entrepreneurial environment, and 22 sub-factors were derived as success factors for youth enterprises.

Development of Drought Vulnerability Index Using Delphi Method Considering Climate Change and Trend Analysis in Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역의 기후변화를 고려한 경향성 분석과 Delphi 기법을 이용한 가뭄 취약성 지수 개발)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Kim, Il-Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2245-2254
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    • 2013
  • A vulnerability index was developed for drought by using trend analysis and Delphi method. Twelve indicators were selected based on three groups, i.e., hydrological, meteorological, and humanistic groups. Data were collected from Nakdong river watershed. Three trend tests, i.e., Mann-Kendall, Hotelling-Pabst, and Sen's trend tests, were performed for standardizing the indicators and Delphi method was used to estimate the weights for individual indicators. The drought vulnerability index was calculated for seven regions in the Nakdong watershed and Hapcheon turned out to be the most vulnerable region among the study regions. The drought vulnerability index developed in this study can be applied to other regions in Korea for establishing national water resources management plan.

A Study on the State-of-the-Art Technology Level Evaluation and Internation R&D Cooperation in the Field of Mechanical Engineering by Delphi Method (Delphi기법에 의한 기계공학기술의 수준평가 및 국제 기술협력기반에 관한 연구)

  • Y.J. Kwon;S.H. Joo;Kim, H.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 1996
  • We provide a set of information on technologies in the area of mechanical engineering to draw meaningful action plans for the internationalization of National R&D activities. In this study, we employed a modified Delphi method to evaluate levels of our technoligical capabilities and developed countries' as well. We investigate technology acquistion methodologies, technology charcteristics and various aspects of interna- tional cooperation in terms of technology. Then, we analyzed final responses of participants(i.e., the third round results of Delphi method) to see the correlation among various factors in developing mechanical engineeing technologies through international cooperation. The technology classification used in this research was devel- oped by STEPI(Science and Technology Policy Institute). In conclusion, our mechanical engineering technology is investigated to be below the middle level stage of technology(i.e., the stage of digesting acquired technologies) except the shipbuilding equipments technology which is evaluated to be on the top level stage of technology.

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A Survey of the effective BIM introduction plan on school building construction by Delphi Technique (델파이 기법을 이용한 학교건축물의 효율적 BIM 도입방안 조사 연구)

  • Seo, Deok Seok;Won, Ho Sik
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2014
  • This study is focused to find the ways to improve the effective BIM introduction plan on school building construction by Delphi Technique. For this, the questionnaire is made by in-depth interviews of 10 BIM specialists, the survey of other 30 experts was carried out. The results of 30 experts Delphi survey are as followed. (1) The haptic effect of BIM introduction is very rare as lack of awareness and information on BIM. (2) Problems are arising from deficiency of training and experience on BIM. (3) Practical utilizations of BIM are very useful. (4) Barriers of the spread of BIM are high cost and insufficient environments. (5) The development potential of BIM is high. In order to activate the BIM market, the introduction of an accurate evaluation criteria and rational cost calculation standard are needed.

Testing for Self-care Ability Measurement in an Aged Health Center - A Delphi Technique - (일개 노인보건센터에서의 자가관리능력 측정도구 검증 - 델파이기법을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwon, Myung-Soon
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.573-582
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: To find out whether the self-care ability measurement used for visiting health care provide an appropriate standard to select service methods using a Delphi survey and to offer basic data that can improve the measurement. Method: A Delphi survey was done with 39 people consisting of theoretical professionals, field managers, and practitioners engaged in visiting health care. Result: It was found that items and weighted points in the currently used self-care ability measurement needed adjustment. Therefore, a modified evaluation standard was presented by domains, items and detailed items. Finally, the self-care ability measurement is composed of 4 domains, 11 items and 19 detailed items. Conclusion: This study is significant in that it presented an evaluation standard applicable directly to business practice by supplementing problems in the existing self-care ability measurement. This study suggests the need to develop various measurements for elderly households based on community.

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A Study on the State of Art and International Cooperation in the Field of Mechanical Engineering by Delphi Method (Delphi기법에 의한 기계공학기술의 수준평가 및 국제 기술협력기반에 관한 연구)

  • 권영주
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 1996
  • We provide a fudamental set of information on technologies in the area of mechanical engineering to draw action plans for intermationalization of the National R&D activites. First, we design and use a modified Delphi method to evaluate levels of our technological capabilities and developed countries' as well. We investigate technology acquistion methodolgies, technology characteristcs and various aspects of international cooperation in terms of technology. Secondly, we analyze final responses of participants (i.e,. the third round results of Delphi method) tosee the correlation between various factors in developing mechanical engineering technologies through international cooperation. The technology classification used in this research is developed by STEPI (Science and Technology Policy Institute).

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A Study on the Policy of Sustainable Domestic Timber Supply Using Delphi Technique and AHP (델파이 기법과 AHP를 이용한 국산재 공급 확대를 위한 정책방안)

  • Kim, Ki Dong;Choi, Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.3
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    • pp.434-442
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this research is to propose policy of domestic timber supply expansion. To recommend polices and draw the priority orders, this study has used Delphi technique and Analytic Hierarchy Process. It has executed to recommend policies of domestic timber supply expand by dividing produce, distribution and consumption parts. As the result of Delphi technique and AHP, 'Infrastructure for domestic timber produce (.239)', 'regional domestic timber gathering complex construction (.202)' and 'a public institution domestic timber use obligation (.126)' policies are derived.

A Study on the School Safety Accidents Prevention Policy Applied Delphi Technique (델파이 기법을 활용한 학교안전사고 예방정책에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Keun;Yoon, Yong Gi
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest school safety accidents prevention policy by applying delphi technique as a method to decrease school safety accidents which have been increasing consistently. As results of Delphi, the plans to improve school safety accidents prevention policy per area are as follows: First, it is required to establish systematic safety policy by dividing school facilities into four stages such as planning, designing and building, maintenance and evaluation etc. Second, it is required studies to overcome budget limitation and accountability of people in charge of safety of facilities to apply school safety policy as a useful measure. Third, it is required to make an effort to revise relevant legislations through examinations of relevant government ministries per each area to reflect prevention measures to safety policy consistently.