• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delay of decision making

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Robust Design Method for Complex Stochastic Inventory Model

  • Hwang, In-Keuk;Park, Dong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.426-426
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    • 1999
  • ;There are many sources of uncertainty in a typical production and inventory system. There is uncertainty as to how many items customers will demand during the next day, week, month, or year. There is uncertainty about delivery times of the product. Uncertainty exacts a toll from management in a variety of ways. A spurt in a demand or a delay in production may lead to stockouts, with the potential for lost revenue and customer dissatisfaction. Firms typically hold inventory to provide protection against uncertainty. A cushion of inventory on hand allows management to face unexpected demands or delays in delivery with a reduced chance of incurring a stockout. The proposed strategies are used for the design of a probabilistic inventory system. In the traditional approach to the design of an inventory system, the goal is to find the best setting of various inventory control policy parameters such as the re-order level, review period, order quantity, etc. which would minimize the total inventory cost. The goals of the analysis need to be defined, so that robustness becomes an important design criterion. Moreover, one has to conceptualize and identify appropriate noise variables. There are two main goals for the inventory policy design. One is to minimize the average inventory cost and the stockouts. The other is to the variability for the average inventory cost and the stockouts The total average inventory cost is the sum of three components: the ordering cost, the holding cost, and the shortage costs. The shortage costs include the cost of the lost sales, cost of loss of goodwill, cost of customer dissatisfaction, etc. The noise factors for this design problem are identified to be: the mean demand rate and the mean lead time. Both the demand and the lead time are assumed to be normal random variables. Thus robustness for this inventory system is interpreted as insensitivity of the average inventory cost and the stockout to uncontrollable fluctuations in the mean demand rate and mean lead time. To make this inventory system for robustness, the concept of utility theory will be used. Utility theory is an analytical method for making a decision concerning an action to take, given a set of multiple criteria upon which the decision is to be based. Utility theory is appropriate for design having different scale such as demand rate and lead time since utility theory represents different scale across decision making attributes with zero to one ranks, higher preference modeled with a higher rank. Using utility theory, three design strategies, such as distance strategy, response strategy, and priority-based strategy. for the robust inventory system will be developed.loped.

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The Effect of Uncertainty Avoidance on Purchase Deferral Intention in Online Shopping : The Moderating Effect of Consumption Values (온라인 소비자의 불확실성 회피성향이 구매연기의도에 미치는 영향 : 소비가치의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Eun-cheol;Kim, Da-young;Kim, Pu-reum;Kang, Do-yoon;Park, Euna
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.283-288
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    • 2019
  • This study investigated how consumer's uncertainty avoidance affect purchase deferral intention when purchasing high-involved products (i.e. laptops) in online shopping, and we looked at whether utilitarian/hedonic consumption value has a moderating effect in this relationship. Results showed the higher the uncertainty avoidance, the higher the deferral intention. Also, only the utilitarian consumption value had moderating effect in this relationship. This means that in an information overload situation like online shopping, consumers are more likely to delay their purchase intention when they have more uncertainty avoidance. Thus, to prevent this purchase delay, marketers should selectively present relative product information, strategically emphasize the importance of certain product attribution to reduce consumers' uncertainty of the product or highlight the utilitarian values of product attributes that are expected to have a significant impact on decision making.

Multi-level UnderVoltage Load Shedding Scheme Considering Rate of Change of Voltage for Voltage Stability (전압 변동률을 고려한 수도권 전압 안정화 다단계 부하차단 적용 방안)

  • Lee, Yun-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Kim, Ji-Hun;Lee, Byong-Jun;Kang, Bu-Il;Cho, Jong-Man
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.12
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    • pp.2335-2341
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    • 2009
  • High technique growth of modem times and high industrial facility in consequence of buildings demand for electric power of an extensive scale with stability supply and maintenance of high quality. But, power system always have risk of network contingency. When power system break out disturbance, it circumstantially happen like uncontrolled loss of load developing from of cascading. Severely which would be raised wide area blackout, plan to prevent, which make stability through a little of load shedding and multi-level UnderVoltageLoadShdding should work. This paper presents target, sensitivity of bus voltage have choose appropriating load shedding location and load shedding decision making logic with considering rate of change of voltage have studied multi-level under voltage load shedding scheme. Calculation of rate of change of voltage applied method of least square. As a result, we are studied an dynamic analysis of 2008 summer peak data. We have been known that network analysis is a little development and developing UnderVoltageLoadShedding scheme.

A Conveyor Algorithm for Complete Consistency of Materialized View in a Self-Maintenance (실체 뷰의 자기관리에서 완전일관성을 위한 컨베이어 알고리듬)

  • Hong, In-Hoon;Kim, Yon-Soo
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2003
  • The On-Line Analytical Processing (OLAP) tools access data from the data warehouse for complex data analysis, such as multidimensional data analysis, and decision support activities. Current research has lead to new developments in all aspects of data warehousing, however, there are still a number of problems that need to be solved for making data warehousing effective. View maintenance, one of them, is to maintain view in response to updates in source data. Keeping the view consistent with updates to the base relations, however, can be expensive, since it may involve querying external sources where the base relations reside. In order to reduce maintenance costs, it is possible to maintain the views using information that is strictly local to the data warehouse. This process is usually referred to as "self-maintenance of views". A number of algorithm have been proposed for self maintenance of views where they keep some additional information in data warehouse in the form of auxiliary views. But those algorithms did not consider a consistency of materialized views using view self-maintenance. The purpose of this paper is to research consistency problem when self-maintenance of views is implemented. The proposed "conveyor algorithm" will resolved a complete consistency of materialized view using self-maintenance with considering network delay. The rationale for conveyor algorithm and performance characteristics are described in detail.

Detection and Management of Misbehaving Node in Tactical Ad-Hoc Networks (전술 Ad-hoc 네트워크에서의 비정상행위 노드 탐지 및 관리)

  • Jang, Beom-Geun;Lee, Soo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.333-343
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    • 2009
  • Tactical Information Communication Network(TICN) is a concept-type integrated Military Communication system that enables precise command control and decision making by unifying the diversified military communication network and conveying diverse range of battle field information on real-time, at right place at right time. TICN is designed to advance into high speed, large capacity, long distance wireless relay transmission. To support mobility in battlefield environments, the application of Ad-hoc networking technology to its wireless communication has been examined. Ad-hoc network is consist of mobile nodes and nodes in the network depends on the cooperation of other nodes for forwarding of packets. In this context, some non-cooperating nodes may delay forwarding of packets or drop the packets. This may hamper the network as a whole and disrupt communication between the cooperating nodes. To solve this problem, we present a solution with a Node Weight Management Server(NWMS), which manages each node's weight according to its behavior in local area. When the NWMS detects misbehaving node, it increases the node's weight. If the node's weight exceeds a predefined threshold then the NWMS broadcasts the node's information into network to isolate the misbehaving node from the network. These mechanisms show that they are highly effective and can reliably detect a multitude of misbehaving node.

A Study on the Process of Tower Crane Construction Planning in Steel Structure (철골공사에서의 타워크레인 양중계획 프로세스에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Deok-Gi;Park, Jung-Lo;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.145-146
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    • 2011
  • Lifting plan in conjunction with the overall construction plan will be established. It is being created by executive director of the Corporation and other such as an experienced site manager. But, written lifting plan based on the limited information and experience is causing some problems such as decreasing productivity, workability loss, delay. The reasons for the problems are lack of prediction of construction execution, inappropriate materials on the past performance, individual experience, limits of knowledge, lack of technical materials, shortage of advisor. Therefore, to solve the problems, we have to overcome the situation in which we depends on lifting planner's experience and intuition, limited information by accumulating objective and reliable materials. Because unorganized lifting plan will lower efficiency of lifting equipment and make reducing construction period difficult. In this study, influence factors on lifting plans will be derived through reviewing literatures and lifting plan cases. Derived influence factors will be classified as components and classes, classified influence factors are assessed suitability. Also, Decision making items are derived from the factors. Finally, tower crane lifting plan process will be suggested from the result.

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Collaborative Process to Facilitate BIM-based Clash Detection Tasks for Enhancing Constructability

  • Seo, Jung-Ho;Lee, Baek-Rae;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.299-314
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    • 2012
  • One of reasons for introducing Building Information Modeling (BIM) is to support clash detection tasks by means of a 3D product model. In the conventional construction project process, clashes have been found during construction phase. However, it can cause cost overrun and time delay. In order to investigate and correct clash detections at design phase, relevant business process and guide for this task should be provided. This study aims to identify hindrances in clash detection tasks at the design phase and analyze its current process using IDEF0 model. Despite the convenience of IDEF0 as a systems analysis tool, professional participants might have difficulties to understand their own tasks according to business process. For this reason, in this research, Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN) is introduced to provide ideal process and required decision making governance. The provide BPMN model will provide insights for a BIM-based collaborative environment to enhance the constructability through the construction project.

A Study of Saemangeum Project's Sustainable Development: Focused on local governments of Jeollabukdo (새만금사업의 지속가능한 발전방안 연구: 전라북도 지자체를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Gang-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.25-59
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    • 2010
  • The Korean government has operated various mega-development projects in order to help nation progress into the future. However, many problems and concerns have been raised on the mega-projects' delay and failure in South Korea. Moreover, there are many technical and executive problems; such as trial and error of development work, failure of validity test, complicated decision-making processes, and so on. With these concerns and problems to mega-development projects, finding a sustainable development from mega-projects is becoming a new issue in the field of mega-development projects. Therefore, the main purpose of this study is to investigate whether or not most mega-development projects conducted by the government exactly corresponds with sustainable development (such as environmental soundness, economic efficiency and social equity) focusing on Saemangeum project. Using causal loop analysis, this study gives some significant results to us. First, for environmental soundness, both central and local government should ensure water-purity control system for farming, industry, leisure, and others. Second, for economic efficiency, both governments not only have to secure a budget for completion of infrastructure of the Saemangeum project but also support financial assistance to Saemangeum project. Third, for social equity, three local governments (i.e., Gunsan, Gimje, and Buan) should stop debate and conflict with regard to an administrative district of Saemangeum region. Finally, most politicians should not use Saemangeum project for political means. Rather, they should recognize the project as a motive power for economic development of Jeollabukdo.

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An Adaptive Wind Noise Reduction Method Based on a priori SNR Estimation for Speech Eenhancement (음성 강화를 위한 a priori SNR 추정기반 적응 바람소리 저감 방법)

  • Seo, Ji-Hun;Lee, Seok-Pil
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.12
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    • pp.1756-1760
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    • 2015
  • This paper focuses on a priori signal to noise ratio (SNR) estimation method for the speech enhancement. There are many researches for speech enhancement with several ambient noise cancellation methods. The method based on spectral subtraction (SS) which is widely used in noise reduction has a trade-off between the performance and the distortion of the signals. So the need of adaptive method like an estimated a priori SNR being able to making a high performance and low distortion is increasing. The decision directed (DD) approach is used to determine a priori SNR in noisy speech signals. A priori SNR is estimated by using only the magnitude components and consequently follows a posteriori SNR with one frame delay. We propose a modified a priori SNR estimator and the weighted rational transfer function for speech enhancement with wind noises. The experimental result shows the performance of our proposed estimator is better Perceptual Evaluation of Speech Quality scores (PESQ, ITU-T P.862) compare to the conventional DD approach-based systems and different noise reduction methods.

Neural Network Model-based Algorithm for Identifying Job Status in Block Assembly Shop for Shipbuilding (신경망 모델 기반 조선소 조립공장 작업상태 판별 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Seung-Taek;Choi, Jin-Young;Park, Sang-Chul
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • In the shipbuilding industry, since production processes are so complicated that the data collection for decision making cannot be fully automated, most of production planning and controls are based on the information provided only by field workers. Therefore, without sufficient information it is very difficult to manage the whole production process efficiently. Job status is one of the most important information used for evaluating the remaining processing time in production control, specifically, in block assembly shop. Currently, it is checked by a production manager manually and production planning is modified based on that information, which might cause a delay in production control, resulting in performance degradation. Motivated by these remarks, in this paper we propose an efficient algorithm for identifying job status in block assembly shop for shipbuilding. The algorithm is based on the multi-layer perceptron neural network model using two key factors for input parameters. We showed the superiority of the algorithm by using a numerical experiment, based on real data collected from block assembly shop.