• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delay Risk

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CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULE DELAY RISK ASSESSMENT BY USING COMBINED AHP-RII METHODOLOGY FOR AN INTERNATIONAL NPP PROJECT

  • HOSSEN, MUHAMMED MUFAZZAL;KANG, SUNKOO;KIM, JONGHYUN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.362-379
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    • 2015
  • In this study, Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) construction schedule delay risk assessment methodology is developed and the construction delay risk is assessed for turnkey international NPP projects. Three levels of delay factors were selected through literature review and discussions with nuclear industry experts. A questionnaire survey was conducted on the basis of an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Relative Importance Index (RII) methods and the schedule delay risk is assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by severity and frequency of occurrence of delay factors. This study assigns four main delay factors to the first level: main contractor, utility, regulatory authority, and financial and country factor. The second and the third levels are designed with 12 sub-factors and 32 sub-sub-factors, respectively. This study finds the top five most important sub-sub-factors, which are as follows: policy changes, political instability and public intervention; uncompromising regulatory criteria and licensing documents conflicting with existing regulations; robust design document review procedures; redesign due to errors in design and design changes; and worldwide shortage of qualified and experienced nuclear specific equipment manufacturers. The proposed combined AHP-RII methodology is capable of assessing delay risk effectively and efficiently. Decision makers can apply risk informed decision making to avoid unexpected construction delays of NPPs.

Concept Selection of NPP Construction Delay Risk Assessment Methodology Using Systems Engineering Approach

  • Hossen, Muhammed Mufazzal;Kang, Sunkoo;Jung, JC;Kim, Jonghyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.9-24
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    • 2015
  • Construction industry faces a lot of inherent uncertainties and issues and the construction phase of nuclear power project is not free from this risk. This paper investigates promising methodologies to be used on nuclear power plant (NPP) construction schedule delay risk assessment by using entry level systems engineering approach. This study contains how the initial concept for the risk assessment methodology has been developed. In this point of view, this work structured on three main phases: needs analysis (NA), concept exploration (CE), and concept definition (CD) through systems engineering (SE) approach. Traditionally, the SE process is applied to technical development programs but this study opens up a new avenue that SE can also be successfully applied to the development and optimization of the risk assessment model. This study provides a rational and systematic process for developing and selecting the best risk assessment model. This paper selects analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method to assess NPP construction schedule delay risk for international project. As conclusion, the proposed concept and selected method can discriminate successfully and clearly among schedule delay risk assessment methods.

A Study on the Analysis of Delay Claim Risk in Apartment Housing Projects (공동주택공사에서의 공기지연 리스크분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Jae-Wook;Woo Kwang-Min;Lee Hak-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.217-221
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    • 2003
  • This study proposes a new classification system and analysis methodology for time delay risk of apartment projects. And this study proposes the classification of major trades and risk level and risk index by performing expert-oriented interview and survey report on a national scale. The purpose of this study is to present basic data for time delay risk management system through the analysis of risk level, risk index and rank of major 5 trades(earth work, structure work, masonry work, window and door/glass work, and interior finish work) in apartment projects.

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The Effects of Perceived Risks on Purchase Decision Behavior among Internet Fashion Consumers (인터넷 패션소비자의 위험지각이 구매결정행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Nam, Eun-Ha;Lee, Jin-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.1707-1718
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the effects of perceived risks on purchase decision behavior among Internet fashion consumers. The study survey used a self-administered questionnaire and a total data of 244 responses were used for analysis. The results of this study are as follows: First, the perceived risks consist of 6 factors, quality risk, counterfeit product risk, credit dealing risk, social/psychological risk, size and appearance risk, and delivery risk. The purchase decision behavior consist of 3 factors, delay of purchase decision, website switching, and offline conversion behavior. Second, purchase time positively affected the quality risk and credit dealing risk. Purchase frequency negatively affected the quality risk and credit dealing risk. Third, the quality risk, size and appearance risk, counterfeit product risk, and credit dealing risk positively affected the delay of purchase decisions. Quality risk and counterfeit product risk positively affected website switching. In addition, quality risk, social/psychological risk, and credit dealing risk positively affected the offline conversion behavior. Fourth, credit dealing risk negatively affected a short term purchase intention and the delivery risk negatively affected a long term purchase intention. The social/psychological risk and credit dealing risk negatively affected the repurchase intention.

Development of Delay Responsibility Determination Model based on the Probabilistic Risk Analysis

  • Cho, Ji Hoon;Lim, Dong Yui;Kim, Sang Bum
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.599-599
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    • 2015
  • This research attempts to resolve the construction delay issues of indirect delays by developing the "Delay Responsibility Determination Model" (DRM) based on probabilistic risk analysis. DRM is envisioned to provide a way of quantitatively analyzing impacts of delayed activities while considering both direct and indirect influences. With the successful development of DRM, it would be possible to present relative probabilistic measures to all the related stakeholders in terms of their contributions to schedule delays. Upon the development completion of DRM, "Korean Construction Delay Claim/Dispute Resolution Protocols" will also be prepared to facilitate the effective use of DRM.

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Risk Evaluation of Failure Cause for FMEA under a Weibull Time Delay Model (와이블 지연시간 모형 하에서의 FMEA를 위한 고장원인의 위험평가)

  • Kwon, Hyuck Moo;Lee, Min Koo;Hong, Sung Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2018
  • This paper suggests a weibull time delay model to evaluate failure risks in FMEA(failure modes and effects analysis). Assuming three types of loss functions for delayed time in failure cause detection, the risk of each failure cause is evaluated as its occurring frequency and expected loss. Since the closed form solution of the risk metric cannot be obtained, a statistical computer software R program is used for numerical calculation. When the occurrence and detection times have a common shape parameter, though, some simple results of mathematical derivation are also available. As an enormous quantity of field data becomes available under recent progress of data acquisition system, the proposed risk metric will provide a more practical and reasonable tool for evaluating the risks of failure causes in FMEA.

Assessment of Risk in Wireless-Wired Network Based Control of Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) in Subway Stations (유무선 네트워크기반 지하철역사 공기질 제어의 위험성 평가)

  • Choi, Gi Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2014
  • With increasing number of citizen using subway stations everyday, safety, health and comfort of passengers and occupants became an important social issue. Considering the fact that various physical variables and pollutants are related to indoor air quality (IAQ) which may cause health problem, IAQ need to be closely monitored and controlled in multiple locations in subway stations. This study is a continuation of the previous studies and delay induced in wireless-wired network is experimentally evaluated and the risk involved is assessed. In doing that, a key parameter is identified to be the network delay in different network media. Application of information-theoretic measure to assess the risk in network delay is then discussed. The idea is based on the general principles of engineering design and their applications to quantification of uncertainty in network delay. Experimental results show that more risk is involved in wireless data communication. Efficient and fast conversion of transmission data in both LonWorks/IP server and ZL converter is also noted.

Delay Factors in Building Construction Projects in Rwanda

  • Umuhoza, Esperance;An, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.467-475
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    • 2019
  • Delay is one of the most critical issues for construction projects and leads to huge losses in both developing and industrialized countries. The construction sector in Rwanda, a rapidly-developing nation, is no exception. Delays can be mitigated only once we have identify their primary causes, and these may not be the same in each region. This study aims to ascertain the main critical factors responsible for delays in building construction in Rwanda through an intensive literature review and questionnaire survey. A total of 40 delay causative factors were obtained from a literature review and were further classified into nine major categories. The questionnaire survey was distributed to about 80 respondents from clients, contractors, and consultants. From the list of 40 different factors, the top twelve most critical causes were identified as stoppage of work due to cash flow constraints, delay in approving design documents, confidentiality of physical plan, price fluctuations and delay in approving significant change, change orders, delay in performing inspections, Ineffective project planning, inadequate drawing details, unqualified labor, lack of materials on the market and dishonesty.

Effect of Office Building Remodeling Project Characteristics on the Occurrence of Schedule Delay Risk Factors (오피스 리모델링 프로젝트 특성에 따른 공기지연 리스크 발생 영향도)

  • Cho, Kyuman;Kim, Taehoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2018
  • Due to the inherent risk factors of the remodeling projects, the remodeling project is failing frequently, and schedule delay are occurring in most remodeling projects. The risk factors that cause the delays in these remodeling projects are not common to all remodeling projects, and the likelihood of risk factors will be affected by the various characteristics of the project. In this context, based on the results of a reliable survey conducted on 29 construction managers who have performed remodeling projects, this research analyzes (1) "importance of each characteristic", which means how frequently the characteristics of the remodeling project affect the occurrence of risk factors, (2) "the likelihood of delay risk factors for remodeling projects", which assesses which risk factors are most likely to occur, and 3) "the level of effect of project characteristics that affects the occurrence of each risk factor." Through this study, the relationship between various characteristics of the office building remodeling projects and the delay risk factors was analyzed in various aspects, in further, it is expected that the owner planning the remodeling will be able to grasp the delay risk that is likely to occur according to the characteristics of the project in advance.

Risk Evaluation Based on the Hierarchical Time Delay Model in FMEA (FMEA에서 계층적 시간 지연 모형에 근거한 위험평가)

  • Jang, Hyeon Ae;Lee, Min Koo;Hong, Sung Hoon;Kwon, Hyuck Moo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.373-388
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: This paper suggests a hierarchical time delay model to evaluate failure risks in FMEA(failure modes and effects analysis). In place of the conventional RPN(risk priority number), a more reasonable and objective risk metric is proposed under hierarchical failure cause structure considering time delay between a failure mode and its causes. Methods: The structure of failure modes and their corresponding causes are analyzed together with the time gaps between occurrences of causes and failures. Assuming the severity of a failure depends on the length of the delayed time for corrective action, a severity model is developed. Using the expected severity, a risk priority metric is defined. Results: For linear and quadratic types of severity, nice forms of expected severity are derived and a meaningful metric for risk evaluation is defined. Conclusion: The suggested REM(risk evaluation metric) provides a more reasonable and objective risk measure than the conventional RPN for FMEA.