• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision tree method

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연결강도분석을 이용한 통합된 부도예측용 신경망모형

  • Lee Woongkyu;Lim Young Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.289-312
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    • 2002
  • This study suggests the Link weight analysis approach to choose input variables and an integrated model to make more accurate bankruptcy prediction model. the Link weight analysis approach is a method to choose input variables to analyze each input node's link weight which is the absolute value of link weight between an input nodes and a hidden layer. There are the weak-linked neurons elimination method, the strong-linked neurons selection method in the link weight analysis approach. The Integrated Model is a combined type adapting Bagging method that uses the average value of the four models, the optimal weak-linked-neurons elimination method, optimal strong-linked neurons selection method, decision-making tree model, and MDA. As a result, the methods suggested in this study - the optimal strong-linked neurons selection method, the optimal weak-linked neurons elimination method, and the integrated model - show much higher accuracy than MDA and decision making tree model. Especially the integrated model shows much higher accuracy than MDA and decision making tree model and shows slightly higher accuracy than the optimal weak-linked neurons elimination method and the optimal strong-linked neurons selection method.

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Decision Tree State Tying Modeling Using Parameter Estimation of Bayesian Method (Bayesian 기법의 모수 추정을 이용한 결정트리 상태 공유 모델링)

  • Oh, SangYeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2015
  • Recognition model is not defined when you configure a model, Been added to the model after model building awareness, Model a model of the clustering due to lack of recognition models are generated by modeling is causes the degradation of the recognition rate. In order to improve decision tree state tying modeling using parameter estimation of Bayesian method. The parameter estimation method is proposed Bayesian method to navigate through the model from the results of the decision tree based on the tying state according to the maximum probability method to determine the recognition model. According to our experiments on the simulation data generated by adding noise to clean speech, the proposed clustering method error rate reduction of 1.29% compared with baseline model, which is slightly better performance than the existing approach.

A Development of Suicidal Ideation Prediction Model and Decision Rules for the Elderly: Decision Tree Approach (의사결정나무 기법을 이용한 노인들의 자살생각 예측모형 및 의사결정 규칙 개발)

  • Kim, Deok Hyun;Yoo, Dong Hee;Jeong, Dae Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.249-276
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    • 2019
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to develop a prediction model and decision rules for the elderly's suicidal ideation based on the Korean Welfare Panel survey data. By utilizing this data, we obtained many decision rules to predict the elderly's suicide ideation. Design/methodology/approach This study used classification analysis to derive decision rules to predict on the basis of decision tree technique. Weka 3.8 is used as the data mining tool in this study. The decision tree algorithm uses J48, also known as C4.5. In addition, 66.6% of the total data was divided into learning data and verification data. We considered all possible variables based on previous studies in predicting suicidal ideation of the elderly. Finally, 99 variables including the target variable were used. Classification analysis was performed by introducing sampling technique through backward elimination and data balancing. Findings As a result, there were significant differences between the data sets. The selected data sets have different, various decision tree and several rules. Based on the decision tree method, we derived the rules for suicide prevention. The decision tree derives not only the rules for the suicidal ideation of the depressed group, but also the rules for the suicidal ideation of the non-depressed group. In addition, in developing the predictive model, the problem of over-fitting due to the data imbalance phenomenon was directly identified through the application of data balancing. We could conclude that it is necessary to balance the data on the target variables in order to perform the correct classification analysis without over-fitting. In addition, although data balancing is applied, it is shown that performance is not inferior in prediction rate when compared with a biased prediction model.

Research on improving correctness of cardiac disorder data classifier by applying Best-First decision tree method (Best-First decision tree 기법을 적용한 심전도 데이터 분류기의 정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Ju;Shin, Dong-Kyoo;Park, Hee-Won;Kim, Soo-Han;Shin, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2011
  • Cardiac disorder data are generally tested using the classifier and QRS-Complex and R-R interval which is used in this experiment are often extracted by ECG(Electrocardiogram) signals. The experimentation of ECG data with classifier is generally performed with SVM(Support Vector Machine) and MLP(Multilayer Perceptron) classifier, but this study experimented with Best-First Decision Tree(B-F Tree) derived from the Dicision Tree among Random Forest classifier algorithms to improve accuracy. To compare and analyze accuracy, experimentation of SVM, MLP, RBF(Radial Basic Function) Network and Decision Tree classifiers are performed and also compared the result of announced papers carried out under same interval and data. Comparing the accuracy of Random Forest classifier with above four ones, Random Forest is the best in accuracy. As though R-R interval was extracted using Band-pass filter in pre-processing of this experiment, in future, more filter study is needed to extract accurate interval.

Case Analyses of the Selection Process of an Excavation Method (지하공사 사례를 기반으로 한 터파기 공법 선정프로세스 분석)

  • Park, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Ghang;Choi, Myung-Seok;Kang, Hyun-Jeong;Rhim, Hong-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2007
  • As the proportion of underground construction increases, the impact of inappropriate selection of a underground construction method for a construction size increases. The purpose of this study is to develop an objective way of selecting an excavation method. There have been several attempts to achieve the same goal using various data mining methods such as the artificial neural network, the support vector machine, and the case-based reasoning. However, they focused only on the selection of a retaining wall construction method out of six types of retaining walls. When we categorized an underground construction work into four groups and added more number of independent variables (i.e., more number of construction methods), the predictability decreased. As an alternative, we developed a decision tree by analyzing 25 earthwork cases with detailed information. We implemented the developed decision tree as a computer-supported program called Dr. underground and are still in the process of validating and revising the decision tree. This study is still in a preliminary stage and will be improved by collecting and analyzing more cases.

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Method and Case Study of Decision Tree for Content Design Education (콘텐츠 디자인교육을 위한 의사 결정 트리 활용 방법과 사례연구)

  • Kim, Sungkon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.283-288
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    • 2019
  • In order to overcome the students' lack of information and experience, we developed a content planning tree that utilizes a decision tree. The content planning tree consists of a tree trunk creation step in which students select a theme and a story to develop, a parent branch generation step for selecting a category that can be developed based on the story, a child branch generation step for selecting the interesting "effect" method of producing the content effectively, a leaf generation step for selecting a multimedia expression 'element' to be visualized. The educational model was applied to game planning design and information visualization lectures, and provides examples of the categories, effects, and elements used in each lecture. The model was used for 145 team projects and the efficiency was confirmed by a step-by-step learning process.

Effective Acoustic Model Clustering via Decision Tree with Supervised Decision Tree Learning

  • Park, Jun-Ho;Ko, Han-Seok
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2003
  • In the acoustic modeling for large vocabulary speech recognition, a sparse data problem caused by a huge number of context-dependent (CD) models usually leads the estimated models to being unreliable. In this paper, we develop a new clustering method based on the C45 decision-tree learning algorithm that effectively encapsulates the CD modeling. The proposed scheme essentially constructs a supervised decision rule and applies over the pre-clustered triphones using the C45 algorithm, which is known to effectively search through the attributes of the training instances and extract the attribute that best separates the given examples. In particular, the data driven method is used as a clustering algorithm while its result is used as the learning target of the C45 algorithm. This scheme has been shown to be effective particularly over the database of low unknown-context ratio in terms of recognition performance. For speaker-independent, task-independent continuous speech recognition task, the proposed method reduced the percent accuracy WER by 3.93% compared to the existing rule-based methods.

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Decision Tree-Based Feature-Selective Neural Network Model: Case of House Price Estimation (의사결정나무를 활용한 신경망 모형의 입력특성 선택: 주택가격 추정 사례)

  • Yoon Han-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2023
  • Data-based analysis methods have become used more for estimating or predicting housing prices, and neural network models and decision trees in the field of big data are also widely used more and more. Neural network models are often evaluated to be superior to existing statistical models in terms of estimation or prediction accuracy. However, there is ambiguity in determining the input feature of the input layer of the neural network model, that is, the type and number of input features, and decision trees are sometimes used to overcome these disadvantages. In this paper, we evaluate the existing methods of using decision trees and propose the method of using decision trees to prioritize input feature selection in neural network models. This can be a complementary or combined analysis method of the neural network model and decision tree, and the validity was confirmed by applying the proposed method to house price estimation. Through several comparisons, it has been summarized that the selection of appropriate input characteristics according to priority can increase the estimation power of the model.

A methodology for Internet Customer segmentation using Decision Trees

  • Cho, Y.B.;Kim, S.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2003
  • Application of existing decision tree algorithms for Internet retail customer classification is apt to construct a bushy tree due to imprecise source data. Even excessive analysis may not guarantee the effectiveness of the business although the results are derived from fully detailed segments. Thus, it is necessary to determine the appropriate number of segments with a certain level of abstraction. In this study, we developed a stopping rule that considers the total amount of information gained while generating a rule tree. In addition to forwarding from root to intermediate nodes with a certain level of abstraction, the decision tree is investigated by the backtracking pruning method with misclassification loss information.

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Investment, Export, and Exchange Rate on Prediction of Employment with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Models (투자와 수출 및 환율의 고용에 대한 의사결정 나무, 랜덤 포레스트와 그래디언트 부스팅 머신러닝 모형 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.281-299
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.