• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision theory

검색결과 1,046건 처리시간 0.025초

대기행렬이론을 활용한 의료서비스 환자 대기환경 평가 (Evaluation of Patients' Queue Environment on Medical Service Using Queueing Theory)

  • 여현진;박원숙;유명철;박상찬;이상철
    • 품질경영학회지
    • /
    • 제42권1호
    • /
    • pp.71-79
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop the methods for evaluating patients' queue environment using decision tree and queueing theory. Methods: This study uses CHAID decision tree and M/G/1 queueing theory to estimate pain point and patients waiting time for medical service. This study translates hospital physical data process to logical process to adapt queueing theory. Results: This study indicates that three nodes of the system has predictable problem with patients waiting time and can be improved by relocating patients to other nodes. Conclusion: This study finds out three seek points of the hospital through decision tree analysis and substitution nodes through the queueing theory. Revealing the hospital patients' queue environment, this study has several limitations such as lack of various case and factors.

A Fuzzy-Goal Programming Approach For Bilevel Linear Multiple Objective Decision Making Problem

  • Arora, S.R.;Gupta, Ritu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-27
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper presents a fuzzy-goal programming(FGP) approach for Bi-Level Linear Multiple Objective Decision Making(BLL-MODM) problem in a large hierarchical decision making and planning organization. The proposed approach combines the attractive features of both fuzzy set theory and goal programming(GP) for MODM problem. The GP problem has been developed by fixing the weights and aspiration levels for generating pareto-optimal(satisfactory) solution at each level for BLL-MODM problem. The higher level decision maker(HLDM) provides the preferred values of decision vector under his control and bounds of his objective function to direct the lower level decision maker(LLDM) to search for his solution in the right direction. Illustrative numerical example is provided to demonstrate the proposed approach.

Creating the Optimal Product Business Management System for Social and Enterprise Development

  • Liao, Shih-chung
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제11권6호
    • /
    • pp.21-30
    • /
    • 2013
  • Purpose - This paper examines product design management, the current design focus of which has shifted to the need to produce innovation applications that can effectively respond to the market's consumption changes in a timely manner. Research design, data, methodology - This study discusses several methodologies that are widely used in experimental processes, such as fuzzy theory, multi-criteria decision-making theory, and managing decision making. The designers will better understand their customers by applying these methodologies. This study examines how the current trend in product innovation design observes customer needs, controls innovation, and stimulates design ability. Results - This paper takes innovative telephone design as an experimental case to investigate how to create a product using market-oriented and customized management concepts and creative design abilities. Conclusions - If accompanied by an innovative product value chain, a product can further the development of enterprise management, now the main element of every developed country's social and economic development.

How to develop corporate real estate? A decision support tool for CREM

  • Dorr, Anne;Pfnur, Andreas
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
    • /
    • 제7권2호
    • /
    • pp.19-33
    • /
    • 2017
  • Various forms of procurement are open to companies when constructing new owner-occupied properties. The selection of a form of procurement is an important decision-making problem for companies and their Corporate Real Estate Management (CREM) departments. With this in mind, a decision support tool has been developed to optimise the outcome and success of company's proposed real estate development projects and is presented in this paper. This model can also be used for current real estate portfolios to optimise returns in the long term. In pursuit of this objective and in order to provide an academic basis for this study, decision-relevant goals and parameters were initially identified from the referenced literature used in our research. These were subsequently evaluated in a case study of a corporate development project and identified as specific decision criteria from the perspective of the CREM. The investigation identified 15 criteria that are relevant to the corporate decision-making process in procuring and/or developing property. A model for supporting and resolving decision-making problems of this type was derived from decision theory. In this paper, a decision-making tool is presented that takes into account all the decision criteria from the CREM point of view for the first time. This model should therefore serve as an aid in implementing the decision-making process for the development of real estate projects in a more structured and transparent manner.

대학도서관의 복본수 결정기법에 관한 연구

  • 양재한
    • 한국도서관정보학회지
    • /
    • 제13권
    • /
    • pp.131-166
    • /
    • 1986
  • This study is designed to review the methods of duplicate copies decision making in the academic library. In this thesis, I surveyed queueing & markov model, statistical model, and simulation model. The contents of the study can be summarized as follows: 1) Queueing and markov model is used for one of duplicate copies decision-making methods. This model was suggested by Leimkuler, Morse, and Chen, etc. Leimkuler proposed growth model, storage model, and availability model through using system analysis method. Queueing theory is a n.0, pplied to Leimkuler's availability model. Morse ad Chen a n.0, pplied queueing and markov model to their theory. They used queueing theory for measuring satisfaction level and Markov model for predicting user demand. 2) Another model of duplicate copies decision-making methods is statistical model. This model is suggested by Grant and Sohn, Jung Pyo. Grant suggested a model with a formula to satisfy the user demand more than 95%, Sohn, Jung Pyo suggested a model with two formulars: one for duplicate copies decision-making by using standard deviation and the other for duplicate copies predicting by using coefficient of variation. 3) Simulation model is used for one of duplicate copies decision-making methods. This model is suggested by Buckland and Arms. Buckland considered both loan period and duplicate copies simultaneously in his simulation model. Arms suggested computer-simulation model as one of duplicate copies decision-making methods. These methods can help improve the efficiency of collection development and solve some problems (space, staff, budget, etc, ) of Korean academic libraries today.

  • PDF

제약이론을 기반으로 한 최적제품조합 의사결정 지원 방법론 및 시스템 (Decision Supporting Methodology and System Based on Theory of Constraints for Optimal Product Portfolio Strategy in Shipbuilding Industry)

  • 김인일;한성환;권민철
    • 대한조선학회논문집
    • /
    • 제46권3호
    • /
    • pp.362-371
    • /
    • 2009
  • Shipbuilding is a typical 'build to order' industry. It has a business model that generates revenues from building various ships and offshore products in accordance with owner's requirements at each production stage. Under uncertainty in shipping market, it is very essential for the shipbuilder to prepare the fast and competitive decision for product portfolio strategy in order to maximize contribution margin by exploiting production facilities and constraints. In this study, we introduce the unique decision supporting methodology for the optimal product portfolio sets based on Theory of Constraints(TOC). This methodology is established by adopting the concept of Drum Buffer Rope(DBR) in constraints planning and Throughput Accounting (TA) in management accounting of TOC. In addition, Decision Supporting System(DSS) is implemented. This DSS system provides a throughput estimator with reflecting the cost structure of shipbuilding industry and a resource simulator built on heuristic algorithms to operate major constraint-resources in shipyard such as dock, quay and pre-erection area etc. Several examples are presented to show that the proposed methodology and system can effectively support the strategic decision-making process of a global shipbuilding company.

퍼지이론을 이용한 종합유통단지 입지 선정에 관한 연구 (A study on location selection of total circulation complex using fuzzy theory)

  • 오선일;윤호빈;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제10권1호
    • /
    • pp.91-105
    • /
    • 2008
  • Nowadays, circulation industry is taking charge of important role in improvement of competitive power on the manufacturing industry and public welfare increase of consumer, price stabilization, employment creation and so on. A lot of research have been progressing for formation of total circulation complex, but decision making for selection of location on some facility is only calculated the optimum value when correct data values are inserted. However, a lot of decision making is accomplished in situation that have little knowledge of objective and constraints and as real world is also evaluated inclusive of analyst's subjectivity about variable, indefinite and fuzzy part, so it is decreasing a reliability on evaluation result and complicating objective evaluation on various effect and negative impact. Accordingly, from under like this situation, this study is to develop location decision model of circulation complex using fuzzy theory from the intention for the most reasonable decision making in fuzzy situation based on decision making problem on conventional location and size decision that did to be satisfactory constraints necessarily.

Conflict Resolution and Group Decision-Making - Exploring the Dynamics of Conflict Resolution at tile Group Level -

  • Lopez, Luis
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
    • /
    • 제6권2호
    • /
    • pp.37-52
    • /
    • 2005
  • Conflict resolution in decision-making groups is studied using a System Dynamics model. The model is developed using a grounded-theory approach. Some preliminary results are shown. The results seem to be in line with much empirical research done in the management literature about conflict and conflict resolution at the group level of analysis. Ideas for further research are discussed.

  • PDF

퍼지다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 지역혁신역량지수의 도출 (A Study on the Development of Regional Innovative Capability Indices Using Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making)

  • 허재용
    • 기술혁신연구
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-21
    • /
    • 2008
  • We attempt to make regional innovative capability indices for overall understanding of regional innovation. We'll analyze various indicators on it using fuzzy set theory and compare regional innovative capabilities of 16 regions in Korea. The fuzzy set theory can reflect more normally the uncertainty of the stakeholder's responses than other decision making analysis methods. The overall results suggest that experts on regional innovation rank GRDP most important and Daejeon is the most innovative region. Building up regional innovative capabilities should be made for more balanced national land development.

  • PDF

생산요소(生産要素) 대체(代替)를 고려(考慮)한 공업입지(工業立地)의 의사결정(意思決定)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study on the Decision-making of Industrial Location in view of Substituting Production factors)

  • 전만술;김만식
    • 품질경영학회지
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.41-50
    • /
    • 1985
  • The purpose of this study is to consider the criteria for decision-making of industrial location in view of substituting production factors through maximizing profit instead of minimizing transportation cost. This paper makes use of mutual relationship between spatial economy in Euclidean distance and substituting production factors in production theory. Therefore, this paper will develop weak points in classical theory of industrial location by introducing production theory which has conception of substituting production factors.

  • PDF