• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Methods

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A Study on Analysis into eCRM Problem in the Small Business Apply to SN Ratio Decision Making (SN비 의사결정기법을 적용한 중소기업의 eCRM문제점 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 양광모;강경식
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2002
  • Such effects would be paid off in the right way only when management of the firms perform marketing activities focusing on long term effectiveness, which would drive company profits up and keep them for long. Demands of customers are being changed and varied. In this result with the advantage of mass marketing and database marketing have been drawing attentions from company. To fulfill these demands of customer, they need a concept of eCRM(Web based Customer Relationship Management), and go from selling products and services, or gathering customer requests, up to the phase of solving customer's problem by real time or previous action. With the help of internet, the frequency and speed of the problem solving has improved greatly. For these purposes, we try to determine the most important and most urgent factors in eCRM: utilization by using SN Ratio Decision making, one of the Multi-criteria decision-making methods SN Ratio Decision making is widely used for determining relative magnitude per evaluation item, i. e. priority on problems and is expected to make more systematic and objective evaluations than conventional methods do. Even in the present situation where any general criterion on eCRM dose not exist, utilization of eCRM is expected to be actively continued, which will cause many problems. In this regard, evaluating eCRM counts.

A Study on Application of Reinforcement Learning Algorithm Using Pixel Data (픽셀 데이터를 이용한 강화 학습 알고리즘 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Saemaro;Choi, Yonglak
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2016
  • Recently, deep learning and machine learning have attracted considerable attention and many supporting frameworks appeared. In artificial intelligence field, a large body of research is underway to apply the relevant knowledge for complex problem-solving, necessitating the application of various learning algorithms and training methods to artificial intelligence systems. In addition, there is a dearth of performance evaluation of decision making agents. The decision making agent that can find optimal solutions by using reinforcement learning methods designed through this research can collect raw pixel data observed from dynamic environments and make decisions by itself based on the data. The decision making agent uses convolutional neural networks to classify situations it confronts, and the data observed from the environment undergoes preprocessing before being used. This research represents how the convolutional neural networks and the decision making agent are configured, analyzes learning performance through a value-based algorithm and a policy-based algorithm : a Deep Q-Networks and a Policy Gradient, sets forth their differences and demonstrates how the convolutional neural networks affect entire learning performance when using pixel data. This research is expected to contribute to the improvement of artificial intelligence systems which can efficiently find optimal solutions by using features extracted from raw pixel data.

Evaluation of Patients' Queue Environment on Medical Service Using Queueing Theory (대기행렬이론을 활용한 의료서비스 환자 대기환경 평가)

  • Yeo, Hyun-Jin;Bak, Won-Sook;Yoo, Myung-Chul;Park, Sang-Chan;Lee, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop the methods for evaluating patients' queue environment using decision tree and queueing theory. Methods: This study uses CHAID decision tree and M/G/1 queueing theory to estimate pain point and patients waiting time for medical service. This study translates hospital physical data process to logical process to adapt queueing theory. Results: This study indicates that three nodes of the system has predictable problem with patients waiting time and can be improved by relocating patients to other nodes. Conclusion: This study finds out three seek points of the hospital through decision tree analysis and substitution nodes through the queueing theory. Revealing the hospital patients' queue environment, this study has several limitations such as lack of various case and factors.

Machine Learning Approach to Blood Stasis Pattern Identification Based on Self-reported Symptoms (기계학습을 적용한 자기보고 증상 기반의 어혈 변증 모델 구축)

  • Kim, Hyunho;Yang, Seung-Bum;Kang, Yeonseok;Park, Young-Bae;Kim, Jae-Hyo
    • Korean Journal of Acupuncture
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.102-113
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    • 2016
  • Objectives : This study is aimed at developing and discussing the prediction model of blood stasis pattern of traditional Korean medicine(TKM) using machine learning algorithms: multiple logistic regression and decision tree model. Methods : First, we reviewed the blood stasis(BS) questionnaires of Korean, Chinese, and Japanese version to make a integrated BS questionnaire of patient-reported outcomes. Through a human subject research, patients-reported BS symptoms data were acquired. Next, experts decisions of 5 Korean medicine doctor were also acquired, and supervised learning models were developed using multiple logistic regression and decision tree. Results : Integrated BS questionnaire with 24 items was developed. Multiple logistic regression models with accuracy of 0.92(male) and 0.95(female) validated by 10-folds cross-validation were constructed. By decision tree modeling methods, male model with 8 decision node and female model with 6 decision node were made. In the both models, symptoms of 'recent physical trauma', 'chest pain', 'numbness', and 'menstrual disorder(female only)' were considered as important factors. Conclusions : Because machine learning, especially supervised learning, can reveal and suggest important or essential factors among the very various symptoms making up a pattern identification, it can be a very useful tool in researching diagnostics of TKM. With a proper patient-reported outcomes or well-structured database, it can also be applied to a pre-screening solutions of healthcare system in Mibyoung stage.

Principles for the Development of Mathematics Textbook for Decision-Making based on Storytelling ("의사결정형" 스토리텔링 수학 모델 교과서의 개발 원리: 조건부 확률 단원을 중심으로)

  • Ju, Mi-Kyung;Park, Jung Sook;Oh, Hye Mi;Kim, Young Ki;Park, Yun Gun
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.205-220
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    • 2013
  • In this research, in order to investigate the principles for the development of mathematics textbook for decision-making based on storytelling, we conceptualized the educational meaning of decision-making and specified the principles and the methods for the textbook based on decision-making. We illustrated the principles and the methods by the cases from the model textbook for the conditional probability that we have developed. We discussed the implication for the future development and implementation of mathematics textbook for decision-making based on storytelling.

Optimal Soft Decision for Cooperative Spectrum Sensing in Cognitive Radio Systems (무선 인지 시스템에서 협력 스펙트럼 센싱을 위한 최적화된 연판정 방식)

  • Lee, So-Young;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2011
  • Cooperative spectrum sensing is proposed to overcome some problem such as multipath fading and shadowing and to improve spectrum sensing performance. There are different combining methods for cooperative spectrum sensing: hard decision method and soft decision method. In this paper, we analysis the performance of cooperative spectrum sensing with distance based weight that is kind of a soft decision rule for cognitive radio(CR) systems and CR systems sense the spectrum of the licensed user by using a energy detection method. Threshold is determined in accordance with the constant false alarm rate(CFAR) algorithm for energy detection. The signal of licensed user is OFDM signal and the wireless channel between a licensed user and CR systems is modeled as Gaussian channel. From the simulation results, the cooperative spectrum sensing with distance based weight combining(DWC) and equal gain combing(EGC) methods shows higher spectrum sensing performance than single spectrum sensing does. And the detection probability performance with the DWC is higher than that with the EGC.

The impact of the change in the splitting method of decision trees on the prediction power (의사결정나무의 분기법 변화가 예측력에 미치는 영향)

  • Chang, Youngjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.517-525
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    • 2022
  • In the era of big data, various data mining techniques have been proposed as major analysis methodologies. As complex and diverse data is mass-produced, data mining techniques have attracted attention as a method that forms the foundation of data science. In this paper, we focused on the decision tree, which is frequently used in practice and easy to understand as one of representative data mining methods. Specifically, we analyzed the effect of the splitting method of decision trees on the model performance. We compared the prediction power and structures of decision tree models with different split methods based on various simulated data. The results show that the linear combination split method can improve the prediction accuracy of decision trees in the case of data simulated from nonlinear models with complex structure.

Integrating Real Options with Earned Value methods as a decision support tool for the financial evaluation of alternative construction methods

  • Bonsang Koo
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.129-132
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    • 2013
  • Determining on a particular construction method is typically decided in the initial phases of a project. However, changing conditions during actual construction may require a different method or technology to be employed. Providing an option for project managers to change construction provides flexibility that can increase value to the overall project. This research provides the ability to modify construction methods as a real option, which allows its value to be modeled. The research also formalizes a way to integrate a binomial lattice model with the Earned Value Method's S-curve. The integrated model provides a decision support tool that planners can use to determine whether to exercise the option depending on the status metrics provided by EVM.

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Ensemble Gene Selection Method Based on Multiple Tree Models

  • Mingzhu Lou
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.652-662
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    • 2023
  • Identifying highly discriminating genes is a critical step in tumor recognition tasks based on microarray gene expression profile data and machine learning. Gene selection based on tree models has been the subject of several studies. However, these methods are based on a single-tree model, often not robust to ultra-highdimensional microarray datasets, resulting in the loss of useful information and unsatisfactory classification accuracy. Motivated by the limitations of single-tree-based gene selection, in this study, ensemble gene selection methods based on multiple-tree models were studied to improve the classification performance of tumor identification. Specifically, we selected the three most representative tree models: ID3, random forest, and gradient boosting decision tree. Each tree model selects top-n genes from the microarray dataset based on its intrinsic mechanism. Subsequently, three ensemble gene selection methods were investigated, namely multipletree model intersection, multiple-tree module union, and multiple-tree module cross-union, were investigated. Experimental results on five benchmark public microarray gene expression datasets proved that the multiple tree module union is significantly superior to gene selection based on a single tree model and other competitive gene selection methods in classification accuracy.

A pilot study using machine learning methods about factors influencing prognosis of dental implants

  • Ha, Seung-Ryong;Park, Hyun Sung;Kim, Eung-Hee;Kim, Hong-Ki;Yang, Jin-Yong;Heo, Junyoung;Yeo, In-Sung Luke
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.395-400
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    • 2018
  • PURPOSE. This study tried to find the most significant factors predicting implant prognosis using machine learning methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS. The data used in this study was based on a systematic search of chart files at Seoul National University Bundang Hospital for one year. In this period, oral and maxillofacial surgeons inserted 667 implants in 198 patients after consultation with a prosthodontist. The traditional statistical methods were inappropriate in this study, which analyzed the data of a small sample size to find a factor affecting the prognosis. The machine learning methods were used in this study, since these methods have analyzing power for a small sample size and are able to find a new factor that has been unknown to have an effect on the result. A decision tree model and a support vector machine were used for the analysis. RESULTS. The results identified mesio-distal position of the inserted implant as the most significant factor determining its prognosis. Both of the machine learning methods, the decision tree model and support vector machine, yielded the similar results. CONCLUSION. Dental clinicians should be careful in locating implants in the patient's mouths, especially mesio-distally, to minimize the negative complications against implant survival.