• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Making Strategy

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Linear versus Nonlinear Models of Expert Decisions in Bankruptcy Prdediction : A Decision Strategy Perspective

  • Kim, Choong-Nyoung;Choe, Byung-Don
    • 경영과학
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.147-164
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    • 1995
  • There have been two dominant paradigms in understanding and modeling an expert's decision-making behavior: output analysis and process-tracing. While the two paradigms are complementary, they have not been used yet in a combined manner. This study extends the previous research work in the two paradigms to inductive modeling research by 1) analyzing individual experts' decision strategies, 2) comparing performance of four popular inductive modeling methods, and 3) matching their performance against the type of decision strategy employed by experts.

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환자 간호에 대한 간호사의 의사결정 내용과 특성 및 의사결정 장애요인에 관한 분석 (An Analysis of Nursing Decision Tasks, Characteristics, and Problems with Decision Making)

  • 최희정
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.880-891
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to describe nursing decision tasks, their characteristics, and problems associated with decision making. The subjects were 32 nurses who had at least one-year nursing experience and worked on medical-surgical units or intensive care units(ICU). They were asked to describe their decision making experiences in patient care situations and to identify the characteristics of each decisions. They were also asked to describe perceived problems associated with decision making in nursing. The responses on nursing decision tasks and problems were analyzed with content analysis and the decision characteristics were identified by statistical analysis of variance. It was found that there were 16 nursing decisions which are as follows : decisions related to interpreting and selecting appropriate strategies for pain management(6.6%) ; decisions related to providing emotional support (0.7%) ; decisions related to explaining the patient's condition and rationale for procedures(1.1%) ; decisions related to assisting patients to integrate the implications of illness and recovering into their lifestyles(2.9%) ; decisions related to detecting significant changes In patients and selecting appropriate intervention strategies (17.2%) ; decisions related to anticipating problems and selecting preventive measures(4.2%) ; decisions related to identifying emergency situations(0.4%) ; decisions related to effective management of patient crisis until physician assistance becomes available(2.8%) ; decisions related to starting and maintaining intravenous therapy(2.6%) ; decisions related to administering medications(8.1%) ; decisions related to combating the hazards of immobility(7.3%) : decisions related to treating wound management strategies(5.5%) ; decisions related to relieving patient discomfort(13.9) ; decisions related to selecting appropriate strategy according to the changing situation of the patient(18.2%) ; decisions related to selecting the best strategy for patient management(5.3%) ; and decisions related to coordinating, ordering, and meeting the various needs of the patient (3.1%). The nurses reported the fellowing problems in decision making : difficulties due to lack of knowledge and experience (18.6%) ; uncertainty and complexity of decision tasks(15.2%) ; lack of time to make decisions(2.9%) ; personal values which conflict with other staff(15.7%) ; lack of selection autonomy(30.0%) ; and organizational barriers(7.6%). Continuing education programs and decision support systems for frequent nursing decision tasks can be established on the basis of these results. Then decision ability in nurses will increase through the education programs and decision support systems, and then quality of nursing service will be better.

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다중척도 의사결정 전략을 이용한 여수 석유화학단지의 폐수 중화망 설계 (Design for Wastewater Neutralization Network in Yeosu Petrochemical Complex by Multi-Criteria Decision Making Strategy)

  • 이태용
    • 청정기술
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2011
  • 생태산업단지의 산업 공생망 구성을 위한 다중척도 의사결정 전략을 개발하고 이를 여수산업단지의 산/염기성 폐수 중화망 설계에 적용하였다. 산(또는 염기)성 폐수는 화학산업에서 공통적으로 나오며, 다른 곳에서 나온 염기(또는 산)성 폐수를 자체적으로 중화할 수 있는 원료가 될 수 있다. 따라서 산/염기성 폐수가 대량으로 발생되는 석유화학산업단지에서 대규모의 산업 공생망을 구축할 수 있는 가능성을 지나고 있다. 본 연구에서는 산/염기성 폐수의 상호 중화를 위한 물질 흐름 모델을 구성하고, 여기에 다중척도의사결정 전략을 적용하여 최적이며 대등한 다수의 산업 공생망 후보를 설계하고 이들의 성능을 비교 분석하였다.

AHP를 이용한 정보보호투자 의사결정에 대한 연구 (A Study on Information Security Investment by the Analytic Hierarchy Process)

  • 공희경;전효정;김태성
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2008
  • Recently organizations identify information security as one of essential means for gaining competitive advantage. However, they do not actively increase investment in this area because they consider spending for information security as a cost rather than an investment. This is because organizations don't have a clear understanding of information security objectives which can be achieved through investment, and they don't have criteria for alternatives which can be considered in information security investment decision-making. In this paper we propose to model the decision-making process of information security investment by the AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process). The results will show that availability is the most important criterion for the decision of information security alternatives, and intrusion detection is the most important information security alternative. We hope that the results of this paper provide a guideline for clear decision-making in information security investment.

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의사결정의 기본 MODEL에 관한 유형적 고찰 (Typical Consideration On The Basic Model of Decision Making)

  • 김면성
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제6권9호
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 1983
  • The basic model of decision problem the enterprise is conforonted with includes the following 3 elements ; 1) Elements that can not be controlled by the decision maker : In the thesis elements are named environmental variables, and varied itself according to the change of environmental condition. 2) Elements that can be controlled by the decision maker ; These elements are called decision elements in the thesis and variable according to the event. 3) object of decision making : The degree of achievement to the object is identified by taking various criteria- The index indicating the degree of achievement to the object whatever criterion is applied is called object function in the thesis. It's the fanetion of environmental variable, decision variable and object function. The relation between them brings forth the relation formula that characterize the each problem. The basic types of decision making model use in the thesis are as following ; 1) The problem of decision making under conditions of certainty. 2) The problem of decision making under conditions of risk. 3) The problem of decision making under conditions of uncertainty. 4) The problem of decision making under competitive condition. in general case that the Profit of two decision makers varies, what we regard the decision that make the sum of profit of two men maximum as the best choice for two men has a reasonability in certain case. When the sum of profit two men is zero, by taking toe promise that ail of them art according to the min-max criteria and by extending the object of choice to the mixed strategy. We certify the existance of equilibrium solution and admit them as the best solution of competitive model in general.

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Optimal Network Defense Strategy Selection Based on Markov Bayesian Game

  • Wang, Zengguang;Lu, Yu;Li, Xi;Nie, Wei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.5631-5652
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    • 2019
  • The existing defense strategy selection methods based on game theory basically select the optimal defense strategy in the form of mixed strategy. However, it is hard for network managers to understand and implement the defense strategy in this way. To address this problem, we constructed the incomplete information stochastic game model for the dynamic analysis to predict multi-stage attack-defense process by combining Bayesian game theory and the Markov decision-making method. In addition, the payoffs are quantified from the impact value of attack-defense actions. Based on previous statements, we designed an optimal defense strategy selection method. The optimal defense strategy is selected, which regards defense effectiveness as the criterion. The proposed method is feasibly verified via a representative experiment. Compared to the classical strategy selection methods based on the game theory, the proposed method can select the optimal strategy of the multi-stage attack-defense process in the form of pure strategy, which has been proved more operable than the compared ones.

다구찌 기법을 적용한 다기준 의사결정 모형의 신뢰성 향상에 관한 연구 (- A Study on Improving Reliability for Multiple Criteria Decision Making Using Taguchi Method -)

  • 허준영;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.249-273
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    • 2004
  • Finding an optimal solution in MADN[(Multi-Attribute Decision-Making) problems is difficult, when the number of alternatives, or that of attributes is relatively large Most of the existing mathematical approaches arrive at a final solution on the basis of many unrealistic assumptions, without reflecting the decision-maker's preference structure exactly. In this paper we suggest a model that helps us find a group consensus without assessing these parameters in specific cardinal values. Therefore, This research provides a comprehensive Decision Making of the theory and methods applicable to the analysis of decisions that involve risk and multiple criteria attributes. after, The emphasis of the procedure will be on developments from the fields of decisions analysis and utility theory of Taguchi Method. This theoretical development will be illustrated through the discussion of several real-world application and a case study. When the multiple number of decision makers are involved in the decision making procedure, the problem of uncertainties invariably occurs, because of the different views between them. In this paper, New decision making model using Taguchi Method is applied to effectively model the multi-attribute-decision making(MADM) procedure in the uncertainties dominated two area(quantitative and qualitative factors), Quantitative factors evaluation is used Loss Function of Taguchi, qualitative factors evaluation is used 50 ratio by each specialist. thus it can be used for aiding of preferable alternative. as a result, We will be proved efficiency about New decision making model of applied Taguchi Method with Analytical presentation of all the expecting outcomes when a specific strategy or an alternative plan is selected under expecting future environment.

GAP: A Study on Strategic Derivation Approach Using Perceptual Difference

  • Yang, Hoe-Chang;Huh, Moo-Yul;Yang, Woo-Ryeong
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to provide a formalized process of decision making for companies or organizations that need to make various decisions in the age of uncertainty. Therefore, this study aimed to proposes a strategic decision-making approach citing the relatively easily accessible using IPA(important-performance analysis) and SWOT/AHP analysis. Research design, data, and methodology - To be specific, the first step is to derive necessary attributes and conduct IPA. The second step is to subdivide the IPA results into internal strength and weakness factors and the external opportunity and threat factors, hierarchize those factors, and weight them accordingly. The third step is to build a causality model to propose a method of supporting a rational decision making. Results - The foregoing approach seems to facilitate the diversification of decision-making strategies by helping businesses or organizations to measure and analyze the attributes needed for certain decisions. Additionally, the perceived importance and satisfaction (or achievement) usage of those derived attributes can be used as the reference data for SWOT/AHP analysis. Conclusions - The proposed stepwise approach is applicable to businesses or organizations in need of making stepwise decisions in line with their retained competencies in comparison to conventional or intuitive decision-making practices.

조직의사결정과 DSS의 적합성 모형 (Model of the Fit between Organizational Decision-Making and Decision Support Systems)

  • 김명식;유병우
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제20권44호
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 1997
  • There are six perspectives of fit in strategy research, each implying distinct theoretical meaning and requiring the use of specific analytical schemes. But there is a few literature of the perspective in the discipline of Organizational Decision-Making and DSS. This study is a prior research which objective is to investigate the perspective of fit emprically in the discipline. The data were collected throughout the sampled business firms with premade questionaire and analysis were conducted with correlation analysis, regression, ANOVA and so forth. The research finding is that both predictors, one of which can be the moderator, influence the performance, and that the joint-effect of them influence the performance. Thus,'Fit as Moderation' would be suggested to be a proper model for the research in the discipline of Organizational Decision-Making and Decision Support Systems.

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MDP에 의한 컬링 전략 선정 (Markov Decision Process for Curling Strategies)

  • 배기욱;박동현;김동현;신하용
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2016
  • Curling is compared to the Chess because of variety and importance of strategies. For winning the Curling game, selecting optimal strategies at decision making points are important. However, there is lack of research on optimal strategies for Curling. 'Aggressive' and 'Conservative' strategies are common strategies of Curling; nevertheless, even those two strategies have never been studied before. In this study, Markov Decision Process would be applied for Curling strategy analysis. Those two strategies are defined as actions of Markov Decision Process. By solving the model, the optimal strategy could be found at any in-game states.