• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.531-538
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• 2016

In this paper we deal with the small area estimation for the case that the response variables take binary values. The mixed effects models have been extensively studied for the small area estimation, which treats the spatial effects as random effects. However, when the spatial information of each area is given specifically as coordinates it is popular to use the geographically weighted logistic regression to incorporate the spatial information by assuming that the regression parameters vary spatially across areas. In this paper, relaxing the linearity assumption and propose a geographically weighted kernel logistic regression for estimating small area proportions by using basic principle of kernel machine. Numerical studies have been carried out to compare the performance of proposed method with other methods in estimating small area proportion.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.7-26
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• 1996

The estimation of real-time Origin-Destination(O-D) parameters, which gives travel demand between combinations of origin and destination points on a urban freeway network, from on-line surveillance traffic data is essential in developing an efficient ATMS strategy. On this need a real-time O-D parameter estimation model is formulated as a parameter adaptive filtering model based on the extended Kalman Filter. A Monte Carlo test have shown that the estimation of time-varying O-D parameter is possible using only traffic counts. Tests with field data produced the interesting finding that off-ramp volume predictions generated using a constant freeway O-D matrix was replaced by real-time estimates generated using the parameter adaptive filter.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.209-217
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• 2010

Reliability tools such as QFD and FMEA identify voice of customer related to product design, its use, how failures may occur, the severity of such failures, and the probability of the failure occurring. With these identified items, a development team can focus on the design process and the major issues facing the product in its potential use environment for the customer. The purpose of this research is to develop a reliability estimation process of agricultural machinery components using QFD, FMEA, and field failure data. Based on QFD method, customer requirements, engineering design elements and part characteristics were deployed. Using the field failure data, failures are investigated, and Weibull B10 life are estimated. This estimation process is useful for preparing the design input and planning the durability target.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.208-219
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• 2004

This paper considers a nonparametric estimation of lifetime distribution for ramp stress tests with stress bound under intermittent inspection. The test items are inspected only at specified time points an⊂1 so the collected observations are grouped data. Under the cumulative exposure model, two nonparametric estimation methods of estimating the lifetime distribution at use condition stress are proposed for the situation which the time transformation function relating stress to lifetime is a type of the inverse power law. Each of items is initially put on test under ramp stress and then survivors are put on test under constant stress, where all failures in the Inspection interval are assumed to occur at the midi)oint or the endpoint of that interval. Two proposed estimators of quantile from grouped data consisting of the number of items failed in each inspection interval are numerically compared with the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) based on Weibull distribution.

• 경영과학
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.75-91
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• 2006

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new software development cost estimation method using SVR(Support Vector Regression) SVR, one of machine learning techniques, has been attracting much attention for its theoretic clearness and food performance over other machine learning techniques. This paper may be the first study in which SVR is applied to the field of software cost estimation. To derive the new method, we analyze historical cost data including both well-known overseas and domestic software projects, and define cost drivers affecting software cost. Then, the SVR model is trained using the historical data and its estimation accuracy is compared with that of the linear regression model. Experimental results show that the SVR model produces more accurate prediction than the linear regression model.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.87-96
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• 2005

In this research, an attempt is made to derive the practical estimation of the degree of consolidation in soft clay from field measurements under embankments. For the practical estimation of pore water pressure in soft clay, the elasto-viscous rheological model was proposed, with a transform of parameters and a field geotechnical measurements in southern Korea. By using the rheological properties of soft clays and the dissipation of excess pore water pressure behaviour during step loading, a degree of consolidation or pore water pressure estimation in the future can be performed, and are shown to be generally close to the field measurements of pore water pressure. Finally, a pore water pressure behaviour in soft clay can be explained through measured data in field and the excess pore water pressure data can also be used to estimate settlement.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제51권6호
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• pp.11-16
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• 2009

This study is to suggest the SWAT model as inputs for the estimation of CN (Curve number) if we do not have hourly rainfall and runoff data in the ungaged watershed. The daily CNs were estimated by using SWAT model for Chungju dam watershed and the CNs by hourly rainfall and runoff data in the same period with daily CN estimation were also estimated. Then the daily and hourly CNs were compared each other. The CNs by SWAT model were larger than the actual CNs. 7.4% larger in AMC-I, 1.2% in AMC-II, and 6.3% in AMC-III respectively. If we consider various uncertainties in the estimation of CN, the error of 6.8% could be acceptable for the application in the field.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제17권8호
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• pp.753-759
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• 2011

The HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) causes AIDS (Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome). The process of infection and mutation by HIV can be described by a 3rd order state equation. For this HIV model that includes the dynamics of the mutant virus, we present a parameter estimation scheme using two state variables sporadically measured, out of the three, by employing a genetic algorithm. It is assumed that these non-uniformly sampled measurements are subject to random noises. The effectiveness of the proposed parameter estimation is demonstrated by simulations. In addition, the estimated parameters are used to analyze the equilibrium points of the HIV model, and the results are shown to be consistent with those previously obtained.

• Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.571-575
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• 2005

A simple, but effective on-line method for estimating the mycelial cell mass concentration from agitation speed data, a most readily-available process variable, has been developed for DO-stat cultures of Agaricus blazei. The dynamic change of dissolved oxygen concentration (DOC) in the initial transient period and the change in yield were considered in the development of the estimation algorithm or estimator. Parameters in the estimation algorithm were calculated from the agitation speed data at 20% of DOC. The proposed estimator could accurately predict the cell mass concentration regardless of DOC levels in the tested range of $10{\sim}40%$, showing a good extrapolation capability.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.1159-1165
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• 2005

Basu et al. (1998) proposed a new density-based estimator, called the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE), which avoid the use of nonparametric density estimation and associated complication such as bandwidth selection. Woodward et al. (1995) examined the minimum Hellinger distance estimator (MHDE), proposed by Beran (1977), in the case of estimation of the mixture proportion in the mixture of two normals. In this article, we introduce the MDPDE for a mixture proportion, and show that both the MDPDE and the MHDE have the same asymptotic distribution at a model. Simulation study identifies some cases where the MHDE is consistently better than the MDPDE in terms of bias.