• 제목/요약/키워드: Cumulative growth

검색결과 277건 처리시간 0.031초

건강보험 재정 현황과 전망 (Korea National Health Insurance Service Financial Status and Prospect)

  • 주재홍;장성인;박은철
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.192-198
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    • 2020
  • Background: Korea National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) is operated as a social insurance system in which people pay a portion of their monthly income as insurance premiums and receive benefits when they experience illness or injury. Since 2005, the national health insurance remained surplus accumulating cumulative reserves each year. However, as of 2018, NHIS revenue recorded 62.11 trillion won and spending of 62.29 trillion won. The deterioration of NHIS finances is expected to accelerate with the aging population, income growth, new medical technology development, and enhanced security policies. Methods: To examine the financial health and sustainability of NHIS, we estimated the future revenue and spending until 2030 using the data from Korea Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service statistical yearbook. 2004-2018 average percentage change in NHIS revenue and spending was calculated. We estimated the future NHIS financial status using two methods. In the first method, we calculated the revenue and spending of the future NHIS by applying the 2004-2018 average percentage change to the subsequent years consecutively. In the second method, we estimated the future NHIS financial status after adjusting for the predicted demographic changes such as the aging population and declining birth rate in South Korea. Results: The estimates from this study suggest that the NHIS's cumulative reserves will run out by 2024. Conclusion: In terms of spending on current health insurance, there should be a search for ways of more efficient spending and funding options.

마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형을 기반으로 한 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가 : 미국 및 홍콩 주식시장을 중심으로 (Development and Evaluation of an Investment Algorithm Based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model : Case Studies of the U.S. and the Hong Kong Stock Markets)

  • 최재호;정종빈;김성문
    • 경영과학
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops an investment algorithm based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Theory, using historical stock return data, and empirically evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm in the U.S. and the Hong Kong stock markets. The proposed investment algorithm is empirically tested with the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average in the U.S. stock market, and the 30 constituents of Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong stock market. During the 6-year investment period, starting on the first trading day of 2006 and ending on the last trading day of 2011, growth rates of 12.63% and 23.25% were observed for Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index, respectively, while the proposed investment algorithm achieved substantially higher cumulative returns of 35.7% in the U.S. stock market, and 150.62% in the Hong Kong stock market. When compared in terms of Sharpe ratio, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index achieved 0.075 and 0.155 each, while the proposed investment algorithm showed superior performance, achieving 0.363 and 1.074 in the U.S. and Hong Kong stock markets, respectively. Further, performance in the U.S. stock market is shown to be less sensitive to an investor's risk preference, while aggressive performance goals are shown to achieve relatively higher performance in the Hong Kong stock market. In conclusion, this paper empirically demonstrates that an investment based on a mathematical model using objective historical stock return data for constructing optimal portfolios achieves outstanding performance, in terms of both cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios.

도로의 전과정 탄소배출량 산정방법 개발 및 적용 (Development and Application of Carbon Emissions Estimation Methodology During the Life Cycle of Road)

  • 곽인호;박광호;황용우;박지형
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.382-390
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    • 2012
  • 최근 전 세계적으로 지구온난화가 주요 현안으로 대두되고 있고, 국내에서는 저탄소 녹색성장이라는 슬로건 아래 국가 온실가스 감축 목표 및 산업계로의 할당 등을 설정해 지구온난화에 대응하고 있다. 막대한 사회간접자본이 투입되는 사회기반시설의 건설에 대한 대응은 그 무엇보다 중요한 역할을 차지한다 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 사회기반시설 중 건설 시 대규모 자원이 투입되고 운영 및 유지관리 시 막대한 에너지 및 자원이 소비되는 도로를 대상으로 하고 있다. 도로의 전과정에 따른 탄소배출량 산정방법을 제시하고, 제시한 산정방법에 따라 현재 건설중인 도로의 사례분석을 통해 탄소배출량을 산정하였다. 또한, 사례분석을 통해 도출된 원단위를 이용해 우리나라 전체 고속국도의 누적탄소배출량 및 2020년까지 누적탄소배출량을 산정하였다.

취성재료의 장기 강도시험 중 미소파괴음 신호 분석 (Analysis of Acoustic Emission Signals during Long-Term Strength Tests of Brittle Materials)

  • 천대성;정용복
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 암석과 콘크리트의 정적 및 동적 장기강도시험을 통해 이들 재료의 시간 의존적 거동에 대해 연구했으며, 특히 장기강도시험 중 발생한 미소파괴음 신호를 분석하여 장기 안정성 평가에 활용하고자 하였다. 정적 장기강도시험의 경우 임계하 균열성장시험을 활용하여 Mode I과 Mode II에 대한 장기거동과 미소파괴음 발생특성을 분석하였으며, 동적 장기강도시험의 경우, 반복재하 4점 굴곡시험을 통한 장기강도의 한계와 미소파괴음 발생특성을 분석하였다. 미소파괴음 분석결과, 미소파괴음 히트 누적곡선 대 시간에 따른 곡선은 1차, 2차, 3차 구간이 있는 크립곡선의 모양과 유사한 모양을 보였다. 선형구간에 해당하는 미소파괴음 히트 누적곡선의 2차 구간의 기울기와 지연파괴시간과의 로그-로그 관계로부터 암석과 콘크리트의 정적 및 동적 장기 안정성을 평가하는 방안에 대한 가능성을 제시하였다.

Nitrogen Dynamics in Soil Amended with Different Rate of Nitrogen Fertilizer

  • Kim, Sung Un;Choi, Eun-Jung;Jeong, Hyun-Cheol;Lee, Jong-Sik;Lee, Hyun Ho;Park, Hye Jin;Hong, Chang Oh
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제50권6호
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    • pp.574-587
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    • 2017
  • Excessive application of nitrogen (N) fertilizer to support switchgrass growth for bioenergy production may cause adverse environmental effects. The objective of this study was to determine optimum N application rate to increase biomass yield of switchgrass and to reduce adverse environmental effects related to N. Switchgrass was planted in May 2008 and biomass yield, N uses of switchgrass, nitrate ($NO_3$) leaching, and nitrous oxide ($N_2O$) emission were evaluated from 2010 through 2011. Total N removal significantly increased with N rate despite the fact that yield did not increased with above $56kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$ of N rate. Apparent nitrogen recoveries were 4.81 and 5.48% at 56 and $112kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$ of N rate, respectively. Nitrogen use efficiency decreased into half with increasing N rate from 56 to $112kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$. Nitrate leaching and $N_2O$ emission were related to N use of switchgrass. There was no significant difference of cumulative $NO_3$ leaching between 0 and $56kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$ but, it significantly increased at $112kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$. There was no significant difference of cumulative $N_2O$ emission among N rates in crest, but it significantly increased at $112kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$ in toe. Excessive N application rate (above $56kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$) beyond plant requirement could accelerate $NO_3$ leaching and $N_2O$ emission in switchgrass field. Overall, $56kg\;N\;ha^{-1}$ might be optimum N application rate in reducing economic waste on N fertilizer and adverse environmental impacts.

Molecular biological analysis of Bt-transgenic (Bt-9) rice and its effect on Daphnia magna feeding

  • Oh, Sung-Dug;Yun, Doh-Won;Chang, Ancheol;Lee, Yu-jin;Lim, Myung-Ho
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2019
  • Insect-resistant transgenic (Bt-9) rice was generated by inserting mCry1Ac1, a modified gene from the soil bacterium Bacillus thuringiensis, into the genome of a conventional variety of rice (Ilmi). With regard to potential problems such as safety, an evaluation of non-target organisms is necessary as an essential element of an environmental risk assessment of genetically modified (GM) crops. We studied the effects of the Bt-9 rice on the survival of cantor Daphnia magna, a commonly used model organism in ecotoxicological studies. D. magna fed on the Bt-transgenic rice (Bt-9) and its near non-GM counterparts (Ilmi) grown in the same environment (a 100% ground rice suspension). The Bt-9 rice was confirmed to have the inserted T-DNA and protein expression evident by the PCR and ELISA analyses. The feeding study showed a similar cumulative immobility and abnormal response of the Daphnia magna between the Bt-9 rice and Ilmi. Additionally, the 48 h-EC50 values of the Bt-9 and Ilmi rice were 4,400 mg/L (95% confidence limits: 3861.01 - 5015.01 mg/L) and 5,564 mg/L (95% confidence limits: 4780.03 - 6476.93 mg/L), respectively. The rice NOEC (No observed effect concentration) value for D. magna was suggested to be 1,620 mg/L. We conclude that the tested Bt-9 and Ilmi have a similar cumulative immobility for D. magna, a widely used model organism, and the growth of Bt-9 did not affect non-target insects.

Entomological approach to the impact of ionophore-feed additives on greenhouse gas emissions from pasture land in cattle

  • Takahashi, Junichi;Iwasa, Mitsuhiro
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제63권1호
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 2021
  • The suppressive effect of monensin as an ionophore-feed additive on enteric methane (CH4) emission and renewable methanogenesis were evaluated. To clarify the suppressive effect of monensin a respiratory trial with head cage was performed using Holstein-Friesian steers. Steers were offered high concentrate diets (80% concentrate and 20% hay) ad libitum with or without monensin, galacto-oligosaccharides (GOS) or L-cysteine. Steers that received monensin containing diet had significantly (p < 0.01) lower enteric CH4 emissions as well as those that received GOS containing diet (p < 0.05) compared to steers fed control diets. Thermophilic digesters at 55℃ that received manure from steers fed on monensin diets had a delay in the initial CH4 production. Monensin is a strong inhibitor of enteric methanogenesis, but has a negative impact on biogas energy production at short retention times. Effects of the activity of coprophagous insects on CH4 and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions from cattle dung pats were assessed in anaerobic in vitro continuous gas quantification system modified to aerobic quantification device. The CH4 emission from dungs with adults of Caccobius jessoensis Harold (dung beetle) and the larvae of the fly Neomyia cornicina (Fabricius) were compared with that from control dung without insect. The cumulative CH4 emission rate from dung with dung insects decreased at 42.2% in dung beetles and 77.8% in fly larvae compared to that from control dung without insects. However, the cumulative N2O emission rate increased 23.4% in dung beetles even though it reduced 88.6% in fly larvae compared to dung without coprophagous insects. It was suggested that the antibacterial efficacy of ionophores supplemented as a growth promoter still continued even in the digested slurry, consequently, possible environmental contamination with the antibiotics might be active to put the negative impact to land ecosystem involved in greenhouse gas mitigation when the digested slurry was applied to the fields as liquid manure.

Computer용 Monitor에 대한 신뢰성 예측.확인 방법의 응용 (A Study on A, pp.ication of Reliability Prediction & Demonstration Methods for Computer Monitor)

  • 박종만;정수일;김재주
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.96-107
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    • 1997
  • The recent stream to reliability prediction is that it is totally inclusive in depth to consider even the operating and environmental condition at the level of finished goods as well as component itselves. In this study, firstly we present the reliability prediction methods by entire failure rate model which failure rate at the system level is added to the failure rate model at the component level. Secondly we build up the improved bases of reliability demonstration through a, pp.ication of Kaplan-Meier, Cumulative hazard, Johnson's methods as non-parametric and Maximum Likelihood Estimator under exponential & Weibull distribution as parametric. And also present the methods of curve fitting to piecewise failure rate under Weibull distribution, PRST (Probability Ratio Sequential Test), curve fitting to S-shaped reliability growth curve, computer programs of each methods. Lastly we show the practical for determination of optimal burn-in time as a method of reliability enhancement, and also verify the practical usefulness of the above study through the a, pp.ication of failure and test data during 1 year.

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光合成有效放斜와 葉向과의 關係 (The Relationship between Photosynthetic Active Radiation and Leaf Orientation)

  • Chang, Nam-Kee;Heui-Baik Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 1985
  • Photosynthetically Active Radiation (PAR) affects the growth of plants as well as their photosynthetic rates. A mathematical model for intercepted solar radiation on the tilted leaf with any azimuth angle was established and the leaf orientation in which receives the maximum solar radiation was determined each month, during the growing season, and for an year. PAR was maximized at the leaf elevation of 50。~60。 in the winter, at that of 20。~40。. On the whole the leaves of tilt angle 0。~40。 received much radiation comparing with those of other tilt angles. The theoretical tendencies were compared with the distribution of leaf orientation measused practically. The average leaf elevation of maple tree was 17.0。$\pm$12.0。, and that of ginkgo was 29.8。$\pm$16.0。. Several results from other literatures support our suggestion that cumulative effevct of the relationships between surface normal vector and a vector pointing in the direction of the radiation determine the leaf orientation.

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국내 태양전지모듈 보급 현황 (Status of Photovoltaic Modules in Korea)

  • 김현일;강기환;박경은;유권종;서승직
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2009년도 제40회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.1090_1091
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    • 2009
  • In 2008, the global photovoltaic(PV) market reached 5.6GW and the cumulative PV power installed totalled almost 15GW compared to 9GW in 2007. Due to a favourable feed-in-tariff, Korea emerged in 2008 as the 4th largest PV market worldwide. PV power installation rose 495.5 percent to 268MW in 2008 compare to 45MW in 2007. And PV manufacturer will increase the capacity of production facilities by 910MW in 2009. If the 500MW cap is removed, the growth of the korea market will reach up to 1GW by 2013.

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