• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cumulative Hazard

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Vibration Analysis and Durability Evaluation of a Sign Frame on a Bridge (교량부속구조물에 대한 진동해석과 피로내구성평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Hun;Endo, Takao;Ishikawa, Masami;Han, Yeon-Hee
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.317-320
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    • 2008
  • Between traffic-induced vibration of a bridge and fatigue damage of its attached structures are very closely related. But any evaluation and design method considering the fatigue damage is not established yet. As an experimental method of evaluation of the fatigue durability, a method based on cumulative damage using a stress range histogram has been often used. However, to use the method, the fatigue durability of unmeasured points could not be evaluated. Then, in this paper, dynamic analysis of a sign frame on a bridge is carried out based on the vibration data of the bridge. And model optimization was performed for good agreement between measured responses and computed responses. As a result, we could get stress range histograms and calculate fatigue durability of unmeasured points.

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Simplified Method for the Determination of Cumulative Landslide Displacement in the Event of an Earthquake using "Slide Block" Type Analyses (지진발생시 Slide Block형 분석을 이용한 누적 산사태 변위 결정 단순법)

  • Bae, Yoon-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2009
  • Earthquake induced landslides have caused tens of thousands of deaths and billions of dollars of damage during the last century alone. Determining the potential seismic hazard presented by statically stable slopes is essential for the evaluation of substantial landslide movement during an earthquake. Newmark's method for estimating landslide displacement under dynamic loading was presented and applied to two case studies. A simplified energy-based method was then be developed to estimate the Newmark's displacement.

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Reliability over time of wind turbines steel towers subjected to fatigue

  • Berny-Brandt, Emilio A.;Ruiz, Sonia E.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.75-90
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    • 2016
  • A probabilistic approach that combines structural demand hazard analysis with cumulative damage assessment is presented and applied to a steel tower of a wind turbine. The study presents the step by step procedure to compare the reliability over time of the structure subjected to fatigue, assuming: a) a binomial Weibull annual wind speed, and b) a traditional Weibull probability distribution function (PDF). The probabilistic analysis involves the calculation of force time simulated histories, fatigue analysis at the steel tower base, wind hazard curves and structural fragility curves. Differences in the structural reliability over time depending on the wind speed PDF assumed are found, and recommendations about selecting a real PDF are given.

ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF THE CONDITIONAL HAZARD FUNCTION ESTIMATE BY THE LOCAL LINEAR METHOD FOR FUNCTIONAL ERGODIC DATA

  • MOHAMMED BASSOUDI;ABDERRAHMANE BELGUERNA;HAMZA DAOUDI;ZEYNEB LAALA
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.1341-1364
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    • 2023
  • This article introduces a method for estimating the conditional hazard function of a real-valued response variable based on a functional variable. The method uses local linear estimation of the conditional density and cumulative distribution function and is applied to a functional stationary ergodic process where the explanatory variable is in a semi-metric space and the response is a scalar value. We also examine the uniform almost complete convergence of this estimation technique.

Inverted exponentiated Weibull distribution with applications to lifetime data

  • Lee, Seunghyung;Noh, Yunhwan;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.227-240
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we introduce the inverted exponentiated Weibull (IEW) distribution which contains exponentiated inverted Weibull distribution, inverse Weibull (IW) distribution, and inverted exponentiated distribution as submodels. The proposed distribution is obtained by the inverse form of the exponentiated Weibull distribution. In particular, we explain that the proposed distribution can be interpreted by Marshall and Olkin's book (Lifetime Distributions: Structure of Non-parametric, Semiparametric, and Parametric Families, 2007, Springer) idea. We derive the cumulative distribution function and hazard function and calculate expression for its moment. The hazard function of the IEW distribution can be decreasing, increasing or bathtub-shaped. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is obtained. Then we show the existence and uniqueness of MLE. We can also obtain the Bayesian estimation by using the Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We also give applications with a simulated data set and two real data set to show the flexibility of the IEW distribution. Finally, conclusions are mentioned.

The Finding Factors and Application Plans of the Volcanic Disaster Maps through Case Studies (사례분석을 통한 화산재해지도 구성요소 도출 및 활용 방안)

  • Chang, Eunmi;Park, Kyeong;Kim, Eun Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.128-140
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to investigate the characteristics and to classify the foreign volcanic disaster maps. Authors try to extract the components of volcanic disaster maps and apply them to the Mt. Baekdu volcano that receives worldwide attention recently has been on an early stage in Korea. Internationally, volcano ash disaster maps are derived and reviewed through three analytical framework components: Hazard Map, Risk Map, and Damage Map. These derived components of volcano ash disaster mapping systems are: 1) cumulative map of past disaster records, 2) probabilistic risk map, 3) scenario-based map and case-by-case utilization maps (evacuation response type, emergency information type, disaster preparedness education type) based on this components are presented.

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Some Characterization Results Based on Dynamic Survival and Failure Entropies

  • Abbasnejad, Maliheh
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.787-798
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop some characterization results in terms of survival entropy of the first order statistic. In addition, we generalize the cumulative entropy recently proposed by Di Crescenzo and Logobardi (2009) to a new measure of information (called the failure entropy) and study some properties of it and its dynamic version. Furthermore, power distribution is characterized based on dynamic failure entropy.

Empirical modelling approaches to modelling failures

  • Baik, Jaiwook;Jo, Jinnam
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2013
  • Modelling of failures is an important element of reliability modelling. Empirical modelling approach suitable for complex item is explored in this paper. First step of the empirical modelling approach is to plot hazard function, density function, Weibull probability plot as well as cumulative intensity function to see which model fits best for the given data. Next step of the empirical modelling approach is select appropriate model for the data and fit the parametric model accordingly and estimate the parameters.

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No-Touch vs. Conventional Radiofrequency Ablation Using Twin Internally Cooled Wet Electrodes for Small Hepatocellular Carcinomas: A Randomized Prospective Comparative Study

  • Yun Seok Suh;Jae Won Choi;Jeong Hee Yoon;Dong Ho Lee;Yoon Jun Kim;Jeong Hoon Lee;Su Jong Yu;Eun Ju Cho;Jung Hwan Yoon;Jeong Min Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.12
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    • pp.1974-1984
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    • 2021
  • Objective: This study aimed to compare the efficacy between no-touch (NT) radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and conventional RFA using twin internally cooled wet (TICW) electrodes in the bipolar mode for the treatment of small hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC). Materials and Methods: In this single-center, two-arm, parallel-group, prospective randomized controlled study, we performed a 1:1 random allocation of eligible patients with HCCs to receive NT-RFA or conventional RFA between October 2016 and September 2018. The primary endpoint was the cumulative local tumor progression (LTP) rate after RFA. Secondary endpoints included technical conversion rates of NT-RFA, intrahepatic distance recurrence, extrahepatic metastasis, technical parameters, technical efficacy, and rates of complications. Cumulative LTP rates were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazard regression model. Considering conversion cases from NT-RFA to conventional RFA, intention-to-treat and as-treated analyses were performed. Results: Enrolled patients were randomly assigned to the NT-RFA group (37 patients with 38 HCCs) or the conventional RFA group (36 patients with 38 HCCs). Among the NT-RFA group patients, conversion to conventional RFA occurred in four patients (10.8%, 4/37). According to intention-to-treat analysis, both 1- and 3-year cumulative LTP rates were 5.6%, in the NT-RFA group, and they were 11.8% and 21.3%, respectively, in the conventional RFA group (p = 0.073, log-rank). In the as-treated analysis, LTP rates at 1 year and 3 years were 0% and 0%, respectively, in the NT-RFA group sand 15.6% and 24.5%, respectively, in the conventional RFA group (p = 0.004, log-rank). In as-treated analysis using multivariable Cox regression analysis, RFA type was the only significant predictive factor for LTP (hazard ratio = 0.061 with conventional RFA as the reference, 95% confidence interval = 0.000-0.497; p = 0.004). There were no significant differences in the procedure characteristics between the two groups. No procedure-related deaths or major complications were observed. Conclusion: NT-RFA using TICW electrodes in bipolar mode demonstrated significantly lower cumulative LTP rates than conventional RFA for small HCCs, which warrants a larger study for further confirmation.

A Study on Generation of Stochastic Rainfall Variation using Multivariate Monte Carlo method (다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 추계학적 강우 변동 생성기법에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2009
  • In this study, dimensionless-cumulative rainfall curves were generated by multivariate Monte Carlo method. For generation of rainfall curve rainfall storms were divided and made into dimensionless type since it was required to remove the spatial and temporal variances as well as differences in rainfall data. The dimensionless rainfall curves were divided into 4 types, and log-ratio method was introduced to overcome the limitations that elements of dimensionless-cumulative rainfall curve should always be more than zero and the sum total should be one. Orthogonal transformation by Johnson system and the constrained non-normal multivariate Monte Carlo simulation were introduced to analyse the rainfall characteristics. The generative technique in stochastic rainfall variation using multivariate Monte Carlo method will contribute to the design and evaluation of hydrosystems and can use the establishment of the flood disaster prevention system.