• 제목/요약/키워드: Crash Data

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Prediction of Rear-end Crash Potential using Vehicle Trajectory Data (차량 주행궤적을 이용한 후미추돌 가능성 예측 모형)

  • Kim, Tae-Jin;O, Cheol;Gang, Gyeong-Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2011
  • Recent advancement in traffic surveillance systems has allowed the researchers to obtain more detailed vehicular movement such as individual vehicle trajectory data. Understanding the characteristics of interactions between leading and following vehicles in the traffic flow stream is a backbone for designing and evaluating more sophisticated traffic and vehicle control strategies. This study proposes a methodology for estimating rear-end crash potential, as a probabilistic measure, in real-time based on the analysis of vehicular movements. The methodology presented in this study consists of three components. The first predicts vehicle position and speed every second using a Kalman filtering technique. The second estimates the probability for the vehicle's trajectory to belong to either 'changing lane' or 'going straight'. A binary logistic regression (BLR) is used to model the lane-changing decision of the subject vehicle. The other component calculates crash probability by employing an exponential decay function that uses time-to-collision (TTC) between the subject vehicle and the front vehicle. The result of this study is expected to be adapted in developing traffic control and information systems, in particular, for crash prevention.

Identification of Factors Affecting the Crash Severity and Safety Countermeasures Toward Safer Work Zone Traffic Management (공사구간 교통관리특성을 고려한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석 및 안전성 증진 방안)

  • YOON, Seok Min;OH, Cheol;PARK, Hyun Jin;CHUNG, Bong Jo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.354-372
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    • 2016
  • This study identified factors affecting the crash severity at freeway work zones. A nice feature of this study was to take into account the characteristics of work zone traffic management in analyzing traffic safety concerns. In addition to crash records, vehicle detection systems (VDS) data and work zone historical data were used for establishing a dataset to be used for statistical analyses based on an ordered probit model. A total of six safety improvement strategies for freeway work zones, including traffic merging method, guidance information provision, speed management, warning information systems, traffic safety facility, and monitoring of effectiveness for countermeasures, were also proposed.

Crash Severity Impact of Fixed Roadside Objects using Ordered Probit Model (도로변 수직구조물 충돌사고의 심각도 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Joonbeom;Lee, Soobeom;Yun, Dukgeun;Park, Jaehong
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2016
  • OBJECTIVES : Fixed roadside objects are a threat to drivers when their vehicles deviate from the road. Therefore, such roadside objects need to be suitably dealt with to decrease accidents. This study determines the factors affecting the severity of accidents because of fixed roadside objects. METHODS : This study analyzed the crash severity impact of fixed roadside objects by using ordered probit regression as the analysis methodology. In this research, data from 896 traffic accidents reported in the last three years were used. These accidents consisted of sole-car accidents, fixed roadside object accidents, and lane-departure accidents on the national highway of Korea. The accident severity was classified as light injury, severe injury, and death. The factors relating to the road and the driver were collected as independent variables. RESULTS : The result of the analysis showed that the variables of the crash severity impact are the collision location (left side), gender of the driver (female), alcohol use, collision facility (roadside trees, traffic signals, telephone poles), and type of road (rural segments). Additionally, the collision location (left side), gender of the driver (female), alcohol use, collision facility (street trees, traffic signals, telephone poles), and type of road (rural segments), in order of influence, were found to be the factors affecting the crash severity in accidents due to fixed roadside objects. CONCLUSIONS : An alternative solution is urgently required to reduce the crash severity in accidents due to fixed roadside objects. Such a solution can consider the appropriate places to install breakaway devices and energy-absorbing systems.

The Effect of Control-Ownership Wedge on Stock Price Crash Risk (소유지배 괴리도가 주가급락위험에 미치는 영향)

  • Chae, Soo-Joon;Ryu, Hae-Young
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study examines the effect of control-ownership wedge on stock crash risk. In Korea, controlling shareholders have exclusive control rights compared to their cash flow rights. With increasing disparity, controlling shareholders abuse their power and extract private benefits at the expense of the minority shareholders. Managers who are controlling shareholders of the companies tend not to disclose critical information that would prevent them from pursuing private interests. They accumulate negative information in the firm. When the accumulated bad news crosses a tipping point, it will be suddenly released to the market at once, resulting in an abrupt decline in stock prices. We predict that stock price crash likelihood due to information opaqueness increases as the wedge increases. Research design, data, and methodology - 831 KOSPI-listed firm-year observations are from KisValue database from 2005 to 2011. Control-ownership wedge is measured as the ratio (UCO -UCF)/UCO where UCF(UCO) is the ultimate cash-flow(control) rights of the largest controlling shareholder. Dependent variable CRASH is a dummy variable that equals one if the firm has at least 1 crash week during a year, and zero otherwise. Logistic regression is used to examine the relationship between control-ownership wedge and stock price crash risk. Results - Using a sample of KOSPI-listed firms in KisValue database for the period 2005-2011, we find that stock price crash risk increases as the disparity increases. Specifically, we find that the coefficient of WEDGE is significantly positive, supporting our prediction. The result implies that as controlling shareholders' ownership increases, controlling shareholders tend to withhold bad news. Conclusions - Our results show that agency problems arising from the divergence between control rights and cash flow rights increase the opaqueness of accounting information. Eventually, the accumulated bad news is released all at once, leading to stock price crashes. It could be seen that companies with high control-ownership wedge are likely to experience future stock price crashes. Our study is related to a broader literature that examined the effect of the control-ownership wedge on stock markets. Our findings suggest that the disparity is a meaningful predictor for future stock price crash risk. The results are expected to provide useful implications for firms, regulators, and investors.

A COMPARATIVE STUDY BETWEEN GMLAN SPEED AND GPS REPORTED VEHICLE SPEED BY VEHICLE MANEUVER (차량 운동에 따른 GMLAN 차량 속도와 실제 차량 속도 비교)

  • Won, Eugene;Kim, Jinwon;Kang, Sunggi
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 2013
  • Some GM (General Motors) vehicles are using a GMLAN (General Motors Local Area Network) communication protocol for control and diagnostics. The airbag control module uses vehicle speed information from the GMLAN to record the vehicle speed as pre-crash information. In order to use the vehicle speed information for crash reconstruction purposes, it helps to be able to understand the accuracy of the data. The actual vehicle speed is not expected to be the same as the GMLAN indicated speed in some situations like a spin or if there is hard braking. This paper compares the actual vehicle speed and vehicle speed information during specific vehicle maneuvers. Actual vehicle speed is calculated from a GPS sensor, while GMLAN vehicle speed is calculated from transmission output sensor by the Engine control module (ECM). Vehicle maneuvers defined as Mode #1, Mode #2, Mode #3. The Mode #1 maneuver simulates wheel lock-up and skidding f by hard-braking at a specific speed. The Mode #2 maneuver simulates a 90degree turn using a J-turn maneuver at a specific speed. The Mode#3 maneuver simulates a 180 degree turn using a spin type of maneuver at a specific speed. The study then compares the GMLAN speed and GPS speed to see what speed difference exists between them. The results of this paper are applicable to GM vehicles only. This paper catalogs the performance and limitations of two vehicles as useful reference for crash reconstructions where there is a need to understand the speed indicated in the pre-crash section of the SDM data.

Severity Analysis of the Pedestrian Crash Patterns Based on the Ordered Logit Model (Ordered Logit Model을 이용한 보행자 사고 심각도 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Jai-Sung;Kim, Sang-Youp;Hwang, Kyung-Sung;Baik, Seung-Yup
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2009
  • This Paper presents the severity analysis result of the year 2006 national pedestrian crashes using the data base of 37,589 records prepared for the National Police Bureau. A set of attributing factors considered to affect pedestrian crash patterns were selected, and their contributing effects were investigated by applying the Ordered Logit Model. This model was selected because this model has been able to afford satisfactory results when the dependent variable involved ordered severity levels; fatal, injury, and property- damage-only in this investigation. The investigation has unveiled the followings; First, the pedestrian crash patterns were dependent upon human -drivel and pedestrian- characteristics including gender, age, and drinking conditions. Second, other contributing factors included vehicle, roadway geometric, weather, and hour of day characteristics. Third, seasonal effect was not contributive to crash patterns. Finally, the application of the Ordered Logit Model facilitated the ordered severity level analysis of the pedestrian crash data. This paper concludes that conventional wisdom on the pedestrian crash characteristics is largely truthful. However, this conclusion is limited only to the data used in this analysis, and further research is required for its generalization.

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Study on Adopting EDR Report for Traffic Accident Analysis (교통사고분석에서 EDR 기록정보의 채택에 관한 고찰)

  • Park, Jongjin;Park, Jeongman;Lee, Yeonsub
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2020
  • Usage of EDR(Event Data Recorder) report for traffic accident analysis is currently increasing due to government regulation of EDR data release. Nevertheless, a lot of investigators simply adopt by comparing the number of ignition cycles(crash) at event to the number of ignition cycles(download) without an exact judgment whether event data occurred by this accident or not. In the EDR report, besides ignition cycles, there are many factors such as event record type, algorithm active(rear/rollover/side/frontal), time between events, event severity status(rollover/rear/right side/reft side/frontal), belt switch circuit status, driver/passenger pretensioner/air-bag deployment, PDOF(Principal Direction of Force) by ΔV to be able to decide whether or not to adopt. also the event data is considered enough to vehicle damaged state, accident situation at the scene of the accident. and there is described in "all data should be examined in conjunction with other available physical evidence from the vehicle and scene" in the CDR(Crash Data Retrieval) report. Therefore many investigators have to decide whether or not to adopt after they consider sufficiently to above factors when they are the traffic accident analysis and investigate the causes of a accident on the adopted event data. In this paper, we report to traffic accident investigators notable points and analysis methods on the basis of thousands of cases and the results of one's own experiment in NFS(National Forensic Service).

Analysis of Car-Pedestrian Collisions Using Scaled Korean Dummy Models (한국인 체형을 가진 보행자와 차량의 충돌 해석)

  • Shin, Dong-Han;Kim, Kwang-Hoon;Son, Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2007
  • According to the pedestrian protection regulations of Europe and Japan, the head injury must not exceed a limitation in the defined test condition for the protection of pedestrians from a vehicle crash. However, it is difficult to evaluate the performance of protection because each regulation has different test conditions such as dummy, impact speed and so on. This circumstance needs the development of a model that describes the anthropometry of the crash victim with a sufficient accuracy. We constructed scaled pedestrian dummies using MADYSCALE. Simulations were performed for various crash speeds and pedestrian postures. The scaled Korean dummies and HybridIII dummies were used to compare the pedestrian dynamic behaviors and head injury criteria during the collision. The HIC values of scaled korean dummies were found to be higher than those of Hybrid III dummies. The impact for gait posture was less than that for standing.

Design & Implementation of Enhanced Groupware Messenger

  • Park, HyungSoo;Kim, HoonKi;Na, WooJong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we present some problems with the Groupware Messenger functionality based on dot net 2.0 and implement a new design structure to solve them. They include memory leakage, slow processing, and client window memory crash. These problems resulted in the inconvenience of using instant messaging and the inefficient handling of office tasks. Therefore, in this paper, instant messaging functionality is implemented according to a new design architecture. The new system upgrades dot net 4.5 for clients and deploys the new features based on MQTT for the messenger server. We verify that the memory leak problem and client window memory crash issues have been eliminated on the system with the new messenger functionality. We measure the amount of time it takes to bind data to a set of messages and evaluate the performance, compared to a given system. Through this comparative evaluation, we can see that the new system is more reliable and performing.

Study of the effect of varying shapes of holes in energy absorption characteristics on aluminium circular windowed tubes under quasi-static loading

  • Baaskaran, N;Ponappa, K;Shankar, S
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.70 no.2
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    • pp.153-168
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, energy absorption characteristics of circular windowed tubes with different section shapes (circular, ellipse, square, hexagon, polygon and pentagon) are investigated numerically and experimentally. The tube possesses the same material, thickness, height, volume and average cross sectional area which are subjected under axial and oblique quasi-static loading conditions. Numerical model was constructed with FE code ABAQUS/Explicit, the obtained outcome of simulation is in good matching with the experimental data. The energy absorbed, specific energy absorption, crash force efficiency, peak and mean loads along with the collapse modes with their initiation point of simple and windowed tubes were evaluated. The technique for order of preference by similarity ideal solution (TOPSIS) approach was employed for assessing their overall crushing performances. The obtained results confirm that efficacy of crash force indicators have improved by introducing windows and tubes with pentagonal and circular windows achieves the maximum ranking about 0.528 and 0.517, it clearly reveals the above are best window shapes.