• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cox proportional hazards regression model

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Diagnostics for the Cox model

  • Xue, Yishu;Schifano, Elizabeth D.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.583-604
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    • 2017
  • The most popular regression model for the analysis of time-to-event data is the Cox proportional hazards model. While the model specifies a parametric relationship between the hazard function and the predictor variables, there is no specification regarding the form of the baseline hazard function. A critical assumption of the Cox model, however, is the proportional hazards assumption: when the predictor variables do not vary over time, the hazard ratio comparing any two observations is constant with respect to time. Therefore, to perform credible estimation and inference, one must first assess whether the proportional hazards assumption is reasonable. As with other regression techniques, it is also essential to examine whether appropriate functional forms of the predictor variables have been used, and whether there are any outlying or influential observations. This article reviews diagnostic methods for assessing goodness-of-fit for the Cox proportional hazards model. We illustrate these methods with a case-study using available R functions, and provide complete R code for a simulated example as a supplement.

Review on proportional hazards regression diagnostics based on residuas (잔차에 기초한 비례위험모형의 회귀진단법 고찰 - PBC 자료를 통한 응용 연구)

  • 이성임;박성현
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2002
  • Cox's proportional hazard model is highly-used for the regression analysis of survival data in various fields. Regression diagnostics for the proportional hazards model, however, is not as well-known as the diagnostics for the classical linear models and so these diagnostic methods are not used widely in our practical data analyses. For this reason, we review the residuals proposed by several authors, and investigate how to use them in assessing the model. We also provide the results and interpretation with the analysis of PBC data using S-plus 2000 program.

Development and Evaluation of Electronic Health Record Data-Driven Predictive Models for Pressure Ulcers (전자건강기록 데이터 기반 욕창 발생 예측모델의 개발 및 평가)

  • Park, Seul Ki;Park, Hyeoun-Ae;Hwang, Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.575-585
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence using electronic health record (EHR) data and to compare their predictive validity performance indicators with that of the Braden Scale used in the study hospital. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital in Korea. Data of 202 pressure ulcer patients and 14,705 non-pressure ulcer patients admitted between January 2015 and May 2016 were extracted from the EHRs. Three predictive models for pressure ulcer incidence were developed using logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree modeling. The predictive validity performance indicators of the three models were compared with those of the Braden Scale. Results: The logistic regression model was most efficient with a high area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) estimate of 0.97, followed by the decision tree model (AUC 0.95), Cox proportional hazards regression model (AUC 0.95), and the Braden Scale (AUC 0.82). Decreased mobility was the most significant factor in the logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, and the endotracheal tube was the most important factor in the decision tree model. Conclusion: Predictive validity performance indicators of the Braden Scale were lower than those of the logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and decision tree models. The models developed in this study can be used to develop a clinical decision support system that automatically assesses risk for pressure ulcers to aid nurses.

Convergence of Score process in the Cox Proportional Hazards Model

  • Hwang, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 1997
  • We study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum partial likelihood estimator in the Cox proportional hazards model in the presence of nuisance parameters when the entry of patients is staggered. When entry of patients is simultaneous and there is only one regression parameter in the Cox model, the efficient score process of the partial likelihood is martingale and converges weakly to a time-chnaged Brownian motion. Our problem is to get a similar result in the presence of nuisance parameters when entry of patient is staggered.

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Developing the Sarcopenia Risk Assessment Model in Korean Adults (한국 성인의 근감소증 위험도 평가점수 모형 개발)

  • Eun-Jung, Bae;Il-Su, Park
    • The Journal of Korean Society for School & Community Health Education
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to develop a model for comprehensively evaluating the risk of sarcopenia in Korean adults and to generate the sarcopenia risk scorecard model based on the results. Methods: The participants of the study were 7,118 adults without sarcopenia in the first basic survey, and a longitudinal analysis was conducted using data from the 1st to 8th survey (2006-2020) of the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (KLoSA). The data were analyzed using Rao-Scott chi-square test and weighted Cox proportional hazards regression of complex sampling design. The sarcopenia risk scorecard model was developed by Cox proportional hazards regression using points to double the odds (PDO) method. Results: The findings show that the risk factors for sarcopenia in Korean adults were gender, age, marital status, socioeconomic status, body mass index (BMI), regular exercise, diabetes and arthritis diagnosis. In the scorecard results, the case of exposure to the highest risk level was 100 points. The highest score range were given in the order of age over 65, low BMI, and low socioeconomic status. Conclusions: The significance of this study is that the causal relationship between various factors and the occurrence of sarcopenia in Korean adults was identified. Also, the model developed in this study is expected to be useful in detecting participants with risk of sarcopenia in the community early and preventing and managing sarcopenia through appropriate health education.

Prediction of the Probability of Customer Attrition by Using Cox Regression

  • Kang, Hyuncheol;Han, Sang-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents our work on constructing a model that is intended to predict the probability of attrition at specified points in time among customers of an insurance company. There are some difficulties in building a data-based model because a data set may contain possibly censored observations. In an effort to avoid such kind of problem, we performed logistic regression over specified time intervals while using explanatory variables to construct the proposed model. Then, we developed a Cox-type regression model for estimating the probability of attrition over a specified period of time using time-dependent explanatory variables subject to changes in value over the course of the observations.

Survival Function Estimation for the Proportional Hazards Regression Model

  • Cha, Young Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 1990
  • The purpose of this paper is to propose the modified semiparametric estimators for survival function in the Cox's regression model with randomly censored data based on Tsiatis and Breslow estimators, and present their asymptotic variances estimates. The proposed estimators are compared to Tsiatis, Breslow, and Kaplan-Meier estimators through a small-sample Monte Carlo study. The simulation results show that the proposed estimators are preferred for small sample sizes.

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Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for an Adjusted Survivor Function under the Dependent Censoring Model

  • Lee, Seung-Yeoun;Sok, Yong-U
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we consider a simple method for testing the assumption of independent censoring on the basis of a Cox proportional hazards regression model with a time-dependent covariate. This method involves a two-stage sampling in which a random subset of censored observations is selected and followed-up until their true survival times are observed. Lee and Wolfe(1998) proposed an adjusted estimate of the survivor function for the dependent censoring under a proportional hazards alternative. This paper extends their result to obtain a bootstrap confidence interval for the adjusted survivor function under the dependent censoring. The proposed procedure is illustrated with an example of a clinical trial for lung cancer analysed in Lee and Wolfe(1998).

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Local Asymptotic Normality for Independent Not Identically Distributed Observations in Semiparametric Models

  • Park, Byeong U.;Jeon, Jong W.;Song, Moon S.;Kim, Woo C.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 1991
  • A set of conditions ensuring local asymptotic normality for independent but not necessarily identically distributed observations in semiparametric models is presented here. The conditions are turned out to be more direct and easier to verify than those of Oosterhoff and van Zwet(1979) in semiparametric models. Examples considered include the simple linear regression model and Cox's proportional hazards model without censoring where the covariates are not random.

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Determinants of Reemployment after the Economic Crisis in 1997 : An Empirical Approach Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model (IMF 이후 발생한 실업자의 실업탈피 가능성 결정요인에 관한 연구 : 콕스 비례위험 회귀분석 모형을 이용한 실증분석)

  • Yoo, Tae-Kyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.39
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    • pp.210-237
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    • 1999
  • The primary purpose of this study is to empirically examine the determinants of reemployment of the unemployed after the crash of Korea's economy in 1997. This study also investigates the effects of the government unemployment programs on reemployment of the program beneficiaries. Using the data from the 1998 Survey on Unemployment Condition and Welfare Needs, co-directed by the Korea Institute of Health and Welfare and the Korea Institute of Labor Policy, a Cox regression analysis was conducted. The study results suggested that, in general, the government unemployment programs did not have noticeable effects on reemployment of the beneficiaries. The study, however, found that the effect of the government programs varied, depending on the mode of unemployment-exit, that is, full-time versus part-time reemployment. In addition, the effects of such factors on reemployment as socio-economic characteristics of the unemployed, characteristics of households with unemployed family members, and previous job characteristics are also examined. Based on the study findings, some policy implications are discussed, and suggestions are made for improving the current unemployment programs.

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