• Title/Summary/Keyword: Contingency

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A Study on Contingency Constrained Optimal Power Flow Algorithm (Contingency Constrained Optimal Power Flow에 관한 연구)

  • Joung, Sang-Houn;Shin, Young-Gyun;Chung, Koo-Hyung;Kim, Bal-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.472-474
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a contains contingency constrained Optimal Power Flow(CCOPF) algorithm. The proposed algorithm maintains the nodal voltage levels within the specified limits after contingency. A case study demonstrate the proposed algorithm with the IEEE-14RTS under N-1 contingency criterion.

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Development of the Contingency Analysis Program of Korean Energy Management System (한국형 에너지 관리시스템용 상정고장 해석프로그램 개발)

  • Cho, Yoon-Sung;Yun, Sang-Yun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.232-241
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    • 2010
  • This paper describes the development of robust contingency analysis program for Korean Energy Management System. The important function of contingency analysis is to determine the bus/branch model for contingency, and to calculate the state of the power network based on the network model and topology output. In the proposed method, the bus/branch models for contingencies are determined exactly using a fast linked-list method based on the application common model database. To calculate the state of the power system included contingency, the full-decoupled powerflow approach, the partial powerflow method for contingencies and the proposed contingency screening algorithm are also used to contingency analysis. To verify the performance of the developed processor, we performed a file-based test using several structured input data and online test using the database which resides on memory. The results of these comprehensive tests showed that the developed processors can accurately calculate the power system contingency state from online data and can be applied to Korea Power Exchange system.

A Study on Estimating the Contingency Cost of Small Construct Project (소규모 건설 프로젝트에서의 공사예비비 산정방법에 관한 연구)

  • 송진우;표영민;박성호;이상범
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.113-117
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    • 2004
  • We need the contingency cost in order to deal with the uncertainty to be accompanied inevitably at the construction and an every kind risk not to forecast in advance. And also the contingency colt needed for the change order and we need it for reduction of the delay and reduce the trouble between owner and constructor. This study, through checking and analyzing the risk factor, in the step of domestic construction, suggests optimal management reserve to specific business about the contract type and the scale. The main results of this research are summarized as follow. First, I investigated the recognition about the contingency cost, grasped the risk to be happened at the construction step and found out the frequency occurrence, through making up question to engineer are carrying out their job in the domestic construction. Second, I computed optimal contingency cost rate by the statistics investigation, and proposed an improvement plan and problem when compute a contingency cost.

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Finding Significant Factors to Affect Cost Contingency on Construction Projects Using ANOVA Statistical Method -Focused on Transportation Construction Projects in the US-

  • Lhee, Sang Choon
    • Architectural research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2014
  • Risks, uncertainties, and associated cost overruns are critical problems for construction projects. Cost contingency is an important funding source for these unforeseen events and is included in the base estimate to help perform financially successful projects. In order to predict more accurate contingency, many empirical models using regression analysis and artificial neural network method have been proposed and showed its viability to minimize prediction errors. However, categorical factors on contingency cannot have been treated and thus considered in these empirical models since those models are able to treat only numerical factors. This paper identified potential factors on contingency in transportation construction projects and evaluated categorical factors using the one-way ANOVA statistical method. Among factors including project work type, delivery method type, contract agreement type, bid award type, letting type, and geographical location, two factors of project work type and contract agreement type were found to be statistically important on allocating cost contingency.

A Study of Fast Contingency Analysis Algorithm (신속한 상정사고해석 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Young-Hyun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.421-429
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    • 1985
  • With the rapid increase of contingency cases due to complication of power system, the reduction of computation time in contingency analysis has become more significant than ever before. This paper deals with the development of a fast contingency analysis algorithm by using a matrix decomposition method. The proposed matrix decomposition method of contingency analysis yields an accurate solution by using the original triangular factor table. An outstanding feature of this method is of no need of factor table modification for network changes due to contingency outages. The proposed method is also applicable to multiple contingency analysis withremarkable reduction of computation time. The algorithm has been tested for a number of single and multiple contigencies in 17-bus and 50-bus systems. The numerical results show its applicability to practical power systems.

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DERIVING ACCURATE COST CONTINGENCY ESTIMATE FOR MULTIPLE PROJECT MANAGEMENT

  • Jin-Lee Kim ;Ok-Kyue Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.935-940
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the results of a statistical analysis using historical data of cost contingency. As a result, a model that predicts and estimates an accurate cost contingency value using the least squares estimation method was developed. Data such as original contract amounts, estimated contingency amounts set by maximum funding limits, and actual contingency amounts, were collected and used for model development. The more effective prediction model was selected from the two developed models based on its prediction capability. The model would help guide project managers making financial decisions when the determination of the cost contingency amounts for multiple projects is necessary.

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Critical Contingency Analysis for a Short-term System Operation Planning in Korea (우리나라 단기계통운용계획을 위한 가혹 상정고장 분석)

  • Lee, Jeobng Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the results of critical contingency analysis for the Korean power system which is performed to identify the impact of the critical contingencies on the Korean power system and set up a short term system operation planning for the purpose of preventing large scale blackout. The static and dynamic simulation is carried out for each critical contingency and the simulation results for each contingency are shown under the peak load condition for the year 2005, 2007 and 2010.

Inference for Order Restrictions on Odds in 2 * k Contingency Tables

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.381-391
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    • 1996
  • In the analysis of contingency table with ordered categories, the relationship between odds for adjacent categories has received con-siderable interest. We consider likelihood ratio tests of independence against an order restriction on odds in 2 $\times$ k contingency tables.

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A Suggestion of Contingency Guidelines According to ISDC Based on Overseas Contingency Data

  • Minhee Kim;Chang-Lak Kim;Sanghwa Shin
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.541-550
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    • 2022
  • When decommissioning nuclear power plant (NPP), the first task performed is cost estimation. This is an important task in terms of securing adequate decommissioning funds and managing the schedule. Therefore, many countries and institutions are conducting continuous research and also developing and using many programs for cost estimation. However, the cost estimated for decommissioning an NPP typically differs from the actual cost incurred in its decommissioning. This is caused by insufficient experience in decommissioning NPPs or lack of decommissioning cost data. This uncertainty in cost estimation can be in general compensated for by applying a contingency. However, reflecting an appropriate standard for the contingency is also difficult. Therefore, in this study, data analysis was conducted based on the contingency guideline suggested by each institution and the actual cost of decommissioning the NPP. Subsequently, TLG Service, Inc.'s process, which recently suggested specific decommissioning costs, was matched with ISDC (International Structure for Decommissioning Costing)'s work breakdown structure (WBS). Based on the matching result, the guideline for applying the contingency for ISDC's WBS Level 1 were presented. This study will be helpful in cost estimation by applying appropriate contingency guidelines in countries or institutions that have no experience in decommissioning NPPs.

Contingency Severity Ranking Using Direct Method in Power Systems (전력계통에 있어서 직접법을 활용한 상정사고 위험순위 결정)

  • Lee, Sang-Keun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a method to select contingency ranking considering voltage security problems in power systems. Direct method which needs not the detailed knowledge of the post contingency voltage at each bus is used. Based on system operator's experience and knowledge, the membership functions for the MVAR mismatch and allowable voltage violation are justified describing linguistic representation with heuristic rules. Rule base is used for the computation of severity index for each contingency by fuzzy inference. Contingency ranking harmful to the system is formed by the index for security evaluation. Compared with 1P-1Q iteration, this algorithm using direct method and fuzzy inference shows higher computation speed and almost the same accuracy. The proposed method is applied to model system and KEPCO pratical system which consists of 311 buses and 609 lines to show its effectiveness.