• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.359-364
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• 2005

This paper considers a specification test of conditional Poisson regression model for time series count data. Although conditional models for count data have received attention and proposed in several ways, few studies focused on checking its adequacy. Motivated by the test of martingale difference assumption, a specification test via Ljung-Box statistic is proposed in the conditional model of the time series count data. In order to illustrate the performance of Ljung- Box test, simulation results will be provided.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.379-391
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 관심거리가 되고 있는 마코프인쇄 몬테칼로(Markov Chain Monte Carlo, MCMC)방법에 근거한 공간 확률난수 (spatial random variate)생성법과 깁스표본추출법(Gibbs sampling)에 의한 베이지안 분석 방법에 대한 기술적 사항들에 관하여 검토하였다. 먼저 기본적인 확률난수 생성법과 관련된 사항을 살펴보고, 다음으로 조건부명시법(conditional specification)을 이용한 공간 확률난수 생성법을 예를 들어 살펴보기로한다. 다음으로는 이렇게 생성된 공간자료를 분석하기 위하여 깁스표본추출법을 이용한 베이지안 사후분포를 구하는 방법을 살펴보았다.

• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.254-263
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• 1995

In this paper we discuss Moore and Mealy-model Time-stationary control schemes of pipelined data paths of Application Specific, Integrated Circuits (ASICs). We developed a method to synthesize both a Moore and a Mealy-style Finite State Machine(FSM) controller specifications given a pipelined data path with conditional branches. The control synthesis task consists of the generation of control specification and the FSM synthesis. The control specification procedure generates a FSM specification in the form of a state table. The different partitioning schemes are applied to each FSM controller so as to minimize the total area. Experimental results show the characteristics of the two different control styles and the effects of these two models on cost and performance.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.507-518
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• 2017

Volatility plays a crucial role in theory and applications of asset pricing, optimal portfolio allocation, and risk management. This paper proposes a combined model of autoregressive moving average (ARFIMA), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GRACH), and skewed-t error distribution to accommodate important features of volatility data; long memory, heteroscedasticity, and asymmetric error distribution. A fully Bayesian approach is proposed to estimate the parameters of the model simultaneously, which yields parameter estimates satisfying necessary constraints in the model. The approach can be easily implemented using a free and user-friendly software JAGS to generate Markov chain Monte Carlo samples from the joint posterior distribution of the parameters. The method is illustrated by using a daily volatility index from Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). JAGS codes for model specification is provided in the Appendix.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.461-479
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• 2006

This paper derives joint and conditional Lagrange multiplier tests based on Double-Length Artificial Regression(DLR) for testing functional form and/or the presence of individual(time) effect in a panel regression model. Small sample properties of these tests are assessed by Monte Carlo study, and comparisons are made with LM tests based on Outer Product Gradient(OPG). The results show that the proposed DLR based LM tests have the most appropriate finite sample performance.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.19-30
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• 2003

Spatiotemporal statistical models are used for analyzing space-time data in many fields, such as environmental sciences, meteorology, geology, epidemiology, forestry, hydrology, fishery, and so on. It is well known that classical spatiotemporal process modeling requires the estimation of space-time variogram or covariance functions. In practice, the estimation of such variogram or covariance functions are computationally difficult and highly sensitive to data structures. We investigate a Bayesian hierarchical model which allows the specification of a more realistic series of conditional distributions instead of computationally difficult and less realistic joint covariance functions. The spatiotemporal model investigated in this study allows both spatial component and autoregressive temporal component. These two features overcome the inability of pure time series models to adequately predict changes in trends in individual sites.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.327-340
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• 2008

This paper derives joint and conditional Lagrange multiplier tests based on information matrix for testing functional form and/or the presence of autocorrelation in a regression model. Small sample properties of these tests are assessed by Monte Carlo study and comparisons are made with LM tests based on Hessian matrix. The results show that the proposed $LM_E$ tests have the most appropriate finite sample performance.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.1531-1541
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• 2013

This paper proposes a new method of VaR forecasting using the conditional autoregressive VaR (CAViaR) models and information criteria. Instead of using a single CAViaR model, we propose to utilize several candidate CAViaR models during a forecasting period. By adopting the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria for quantile regression, we can update not only parameter estimates but also the CAViaR specifications. We also propose extended CAViaR models with a constant location parameter. An empirical study is provided to examine the performance of the proposed method. The results suggest that our method shows more stable performance than those using a single specification.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.377-387
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• 1998

A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with data augmentation is developed to compute the features of the posterior distribution. For each observed failure epoch, we introduced latent variables that indicates with component of the Superposition model. This data augmentation approach facilitates specification of the transitional measure in the Markov Chain. Metropolis algorithms along with Gibbs steps are proposed to preform the Bayesian inference of such models. for model determination, we explored the Pre-quential conditional predictive Ordinate(PCPO) criterion that selects the best model with the largest posterior likelihood among models using all possible subsets of the component intensity functions. To relax the monotonic intensity function assumptions, we consider in this paper Superposition of Musa-Okumoto and Erlang(2) models. A numerical example with simulated dataset is given.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.16D no.3
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• pp.433-440
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• 2009

As information technology of constructional area develops recently, web-based on-line system is rapidly increasing to provide information on diverse constructional materials so as to enhance productivity of constructional business and to reduce cost. Since the constructional materials information provided by these systems, i.e., quality, specification, etc are not standardized, however, the staffs on the constructional site suffer considerable difficulties in using materials information when acquiring information on specific materials, e.g., using diverse information systems or repeating similar jobs. Thus, this research typified information items of constructional materials on the basis of GDAS and designed multi system model to control integrated information on constructional materials. This system can efficiently control and utilize materials information by supporting automatic classification of constructional materials to which OmniClass Part-22 and UNSPSC are applied, conditional complex retrieval of materials information, real-time automatic embodiment of electronic catalog and retrieving/controlling RFID.