• 제목/요약/키워드: Conditional Probability

검색결과 330건 처리시간 0.023초

적응형 문턱값을 가지는 2차 조건 사후 최대 확률을 이용한 통계적 모델 기반의 음성 검출기 (Statistical Model-Based Voice Activity Detection Using the Second-Order Conditional Maximum a Posteriori Criterion with Adapted Threshold)

  • 김상균;장준혁
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.76-81
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 음성의 통계적 모델에 기반한 음성 검출기 (voice activity detection, VAD)의 성능 향상을 위해 2차 조건 사후 최대 확률 (second-order conditional maximum a posteriori, second-order CMAP)기법을 적용한 우도비 테스트 (likelihood ratio test, LRT)를 제안한다. 제안된 알고리즘은, 기존의 통계적 모델에 기반한 음성 검출기와 CMAP 기반의 음성 검출기를 분석한 다음, 직전 2 프레임에서 음성의 존재와 부재에 대한 조건부 확률에 따라 실시간으로 적응형 문턱값을 구하여 기하 평균한 우도비와 비교하는 음성검출 결정법 (decision rule)을 제시한다. 제안된 알고리즘을 비정상 (non-stationary) 잡음환경에서 기존의 통계적 모델에 기반한 음성 검출기, CMAP 기반의 음성 검출기와 비교하였으며, 향상된 성능을 보였다.

A M-TYPE RISK MODEL WITH MARKOV-MODULATED PREMIUM RATE

  • Yu, Wen-Guang
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제27권5_6호
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    • pp.1033-1047
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we consider a m-type risk model with Markov-modulated premium rate. A integral equation for the conditional ruin probability is obtained. A recursive inequality for the ruin probability with the stationary initial distribution and the upper bound for the ruin probability with no initial reserve are given. A system of Laplace transforms of non-ruin probabilities, given the initial environment state, is established from a system of integro-differential equations. In the two-state model, explicit formulas for non-ruin probabilities are obtained when the initial reserve is zero or when both claim size distributions belong to the $K_n$-family, n $\in$ $N^+$ One example is given with claim sizes that have exponential distributions.

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몬티홀 딜레마에 대한 학생들의 이해와 수업적용 (Students' Understanding and Application of Monty Hall Dilemma in Classroom)

  • 박정숙
    • 한국수학사학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.211-231
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    • 2014
  • Although Monty Hall dilemma is used in many areas including philosophy, economics, and psychology, it is used in the current mathematics textbooks only as a material for reading or one of probability questions. The present study tries to explore students' understanding of Monty Hall dilemma through a class case. In this study, a group of high-school students participated in group activities, in which they read an argument about Monty Hall dilemma, and tried to resolve it through small-group and whole-class discussions, and then studied the conditional probability. The analysis supports the studies in psychology that intuitive understandings on probability do not change easily, and that counter-intuitivity in Monty Hall dilemma induces confusion and offers a basis for discussions among students. Similar results are anticipated when other dilemmas on probability are used.

Estimating causal effect of multi-valued treatment from observational survival data

  • Kim, Bongseong;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.675-688
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    • 2020
  • In survival analysis of observational data, the inverse probability weighting method and the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used when estimating the causal effects of multiple-valued treatment. In this paper, the two kinds of weights have been examined in the inverse probability weighting method. We explain the reason why the stabilized weight is more appropriate when an inverse probability weighting method using the generalized propensity score is applied. We also emphasize that a marginal hazard ratio and the conditional hazard ratio should be distinguished when defining the hazard ratio as a treatment effect under the Cox proportional hazards model. A simulation study based on real data is conducted to provide concrete numerical evidence.

치수안전도에 따른 토지이용의 편익 분석 (Land-use Enhancement Benefit According to Flood Safety)

  • 이진욱;김형수;심명필;최승안
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 치수경제성 분석에 있어 계량화되지 않은 토지이용고도화 편익 효과를 치수안전도와 더불어 분석하고자 하였다. 토지이용고도화는 치수사업시행으로 해당지역의 치수안전도 향상에 따른 토지가치의 상승을 말하는데, 특정지역의 토지가치를 가장 객관적으로 표현할 수 있는 공시지가를 근거로 분석을 수행하였다. 치수사업시행에 의한 편익의 효과와 하천 특성에 따른 지가변동률이 통계적으로 유의성이 있는지 분산분석을 통해 검증하였으며, 토지이용가치의 상승을 순연평균지가변동률로 나타내었다. 치수안전도는 홍수피해 잠재성과 홍수방어능력으로 구분하였는데 홍수피해 잠재성은 도시화율에 따라 구분하였고, 홍수방어능력은 홍수량의 빈도해석과 불확실성을 고려하여 조건부 비초과확률로 나타내었다. 본 연구에서는 소도시 지역을 대상으로 200년 빈도의 홍수사상에 대해 10년, 50년 설계빈도로 건설된 제방의 조건부 비초과확률을 산정하여 지가변동률의 추이를 비교 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 소도시 지역에서는 조건부 비초과확률이 10%정도 상승했을 때 순연평균지가변동률이 5배정도 상승함을 알 수 있었다.

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Multi-resolution Lossless Image Compression for Progressive Transmission and Multiple Decoding Using an Enhanced Edge Adaptive Hierarchical Interpolation

  • Biadgie, Yenewondim;Kim, Min-sung;Sohn, Kyung-Ah
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제11권12호
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    • pp.6017-6037
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    • 2017
  • In a multi-resolution image encoding system, the image is encoded into a single file as a layer of bit streams, and then it is transmitted layer by layer progressively to reduce the transmission time across a low bandwidth connection. This encoding scheme is also suitable for multiple decoders, each with different capabilities ranging from a handheld device to a PC. In our previous work, we proposed an edge adaptive hierarchical interpolation algorithm for multi-resolution image coding system. In this paper, we enhanced its compression efficiency by adding three major components. First, its prediction accuracy is improved using context adaptive error modeling as a feedback. Second, the conditional probability of prediction errors is sharpened by removing the sign redundancy among local prediction errors by applying sign flipping. Third, the conditional probability is sharpened further by reducing the number of distinct error symbols using error remapping function. Experimental results on benchmark data sets reveal that the enhanced algorithm achieves a better compression bit rate than our previous algorithm and other algorithms. It is shown that compression bit rate is much better for images that are rich in directional edges and textures. The enhanced algorithm also shows better rate-distortion performance and visual quality at the intermediate stages of progressive image transmission.

부분어절 조건부확률 기반 동형이의어 태깅 모델 (Korean Homograph Tagging Model based on Sub-Word Conditional Probability)

  • 신준철;옥철영
    • 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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    • 제3권10호
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    • pp.407-420
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    • 2014
  • 한국어 형태소 분석 및 태깅은 크게 2가지 단계로 나뉜다. 첫 번째 단계는 어절을 분석하여 후보들을 생성하는 것으로, 여러 의미를 가진 어절은 이 단계에서 다양한 후보들이 생성된다. 두 번째는 문맥 정보를 이용하여 후보 중에 가장 적절한 하나를 선택하는 단계로, 흔히 태깅이라 한다. 일반적으로 두 번째 단계에서는 은닉 마르코프 모델(Hidden Markov Model, 이하 HMM)을 자주 사용하지만, 본 논문에서는 처리속도를 향상시킨 부분어절 조건부확률 모델을 제안한다. 이 모델은 우선적으로 인접 어절 정보를 이용하여 현재 처리 중인 어절의 의미를 결정하고, 예외적으로 용언이 인접한 경우에만 후보 정보의 극히 일부분을 이용한다. 실험 결과 정확률은 HMM의 96.49%보다 0.07% 낮았지만, 처리 소요 시간을 약 53% 감소시켰다.

양.한방의료 서비스 선택에 관한 연구 (Choice of Health Care and Traditional Medicine)

  • 이원재
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.183-202
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    • 1998
  • This study is to investigate patient's choice of health care and the demand for Korean traditional medicine care in rural areas in 1995. It tried to evaluate the effect of out-of-pocket expenditure, travel time, and waiting time on improving care-seeking and substituting clinical medicine for pharmacy care and Korean traditional medicine care in rural areas. The statistical model of this study is conditional logit to estimate effects of choice-specific and individual-specific characteristics on the choice of type of services. This study used, as explanatory variables, average out-of-pocket payment, travel time, and waiting time of services required to use the services. The model was empirically tested using data from 1995 Korean National Health Survery. The results showed that rural Koreans responded to out-of pocket payment and travel time. Increases of out-of-pocket payment and travel time decreased the probability to choose care in rural Korea. Rural Koreans were more likely to seek care than others with low out-of-pocket payment and travel time. The probability of choosing Korean traditional medicine were higher among the members of the households with higher education level and older persons, while they were lower in the households with large family than others compared with the probabilities of choosing public health facilities. The result of this study implies that policy on use of health care in rural Korea can be focused in managing travel time and out-of-pocket payment.

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재해기상 언론기사 빅데이터를 활용한 피해정보 자동 분류기 개발 (Developing and Evaluating Damage Information Classifier of High Impact Weather by Using News Big Data)

  • 조수지;이기광
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the importance of impact-based forecasting has increased along with the socio-economic impact of severe weather have emerged. As news articles contain unconstructed information closely related to the people's life, this study developed and evaluated a binary classification algorithm about snowfall damage information by using media articles text mining. We collected news articles during 2009 to 2021 which containing 'heavy snow' in its body context and labelled whether each article correspond to specific damage fields such as car accident. To develop a classifier, we proposed a probability-based classifier based on the ratio of the two conditional probabilities, which is defined as I/O Ratio in this study. During the construction process, we also adopted the n-gram approach to consider contextual meaning of each keyword. The accuracy of the classifier was 75%, supporting the possibility of application of news big data to the impact-based forecasting. We expect the performance of the classifier will be improve in the further research as the various training data is accumulated. The result of this study can be readily expanded by applying the same methodology to other disasters in the future. Furthermore, the result of this study can reduce social and economic damage of high impact weather by supporting the establishment of an integrated meteorological decision support system.

기울기 벡터장과 조건부 엔트로피 결합에 의한 의료영상 정합 (Medical Image Registration by Combining Gradient Vector Flow and Conditional Entropy Measure)

  • 이명은;김수형;김선월;임준식
    • 정보처리학회논문지B
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    • 제17B권4호
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    • pp.303-308
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 기울기 벡터장과 조건부 엔트로피를 결합한 의료영상 정합 방법을 제안한다. 정합 방법은 조건부 확률의 엔트로피에 기반한 측도를 수행한다. 먼저 공간적 정보를 얻기 위해 윤곽선 정보의 방향을 제공하는 기울기 정보인 기울기 벡터장을 계산한다. 다음으로 주어진 두 영상에서 픽셀의 밝기정보와 에지정보를 결합하여 조인트 히스토그램을 계산하여 조건부 엔트로피를 구하고, 이것을 두 영상의 정합측도로 사용한다. 제안된 방법의 성능평가를 위해 자기공명 영상과 변환된 컴퓨터단층촬영 영상에 기존 방법인 상호정보기반의 측도, 조건부 엔트로피만을 사용한 측도와 비교 실험을 수행한다. 실험결과로부터 제안한 방법이 기존의 최적화 방법들 보다 더 빠르고 정확한 정합임을 알 수 있다.