• 품질경영학회지
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• 제51권3호
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• pp.363-379
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• 2023

Purpose: The main objective of this research is to construct an AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model to achieve accurate predictions of the Composite Index of Business Indicators. By incorporating various economic indicators as independent variables, the ACSI model enables the prediction and analysis of both the leading index (CLI) and coincident index (CCI). Methods: This study proposes an AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model that leverages diverse economic indicators as independent variables to forecast leading and coincident economic indicators. To evaluate the model's performance, advanced machine learning techniques including MLP, RNN, LSTM, and GRU were employed. Furthermore, the study explores the potential of employing deep learning models to train the weights associated with the independent variables that constitute the composite supplementary index. Results: The experimental results demonstrate the superior accuracy of the proposed composite supple- mentary index model in predicting leading and coincident economic indicators. Consequently, this model proves to be highly effective in forecasting economic cycles. Conclusion: In conclusion, the developed AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model successfully predicts the Composite Index of Business Indicators. Apart from its utility in management, economics, and investment domains, this model serves as a valuable indicator supporting policy-making and decision-making processes related to the economy.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.243-255
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• 2016

경기종합지수가 개발되고 시간이 흐르다보면 경제현상 자체의 패턴 변화나 구성 지표의 경기대응력 변화 등으로 경기를 정확하게 판단하고 예측하는데 한계가 발생하기도 한다. 미래의 경기를 비교적 정확하게 예측하기 위해서는 먼저 선행성이 높은 개별지표를 선택해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 제주지역 경기선행지수 구성지표인 건축허가면적, 소비자물가지수, 서비스업생산지수, 광공업생산지수, 서귀포평균기온, 신용카드 구매액에 대한 경기전환점 및 시차상관분석을 통하여 구성지표 선행여부 타당성에 대한 실증분석을 하고자 한다. 또한 적정한 제주지역 선행종합지수의 기준 순환일을 설정하여 제안하고 전국 경기선행지수와의 비교분석을 통하여 제주지역 선행지수 구성 지표를 검증하고자 한다. 이를 통하여 제주지역 경기종합지수가 가지고 있는 문제점 및 향후 지역 종합경기지수의 개선 방향을 제안하고자 한다.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제49권6호
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• pp.701-711
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• 2023

In order to fully reflect variation characteristics of composite concrete dam health state, the monitoring data is applied to diagnose composite concrete dam health state. Composite concrete dam lesion development to wreckage is a precursor, and its health status can be judged. The monitoring data are generally non-linear and unsteady time series, which contain chaotic information that cannot be characterized. Thus, it could generate huge influence for the construction of monitoring models and the formulation of corresponding health diagnostic indicators. This multi-scale diagnosis process is from point to whole. Chaotic characteristics are often contained in the monitoring data. If chaotic characteristics could be extracted for reflecting concrete dam health state and the corresponding diagnostic indicators will be formulated, the theory and method of diagnosing concrete dam health state can be huge improved. Therefore, the chaotic characteristics of monitoring data are considered. And, the extracting method of the chaotic components is studied from monitoring data based on fuzzy dynamic cross-correlation factor method. Finally, a method is proposed for formulating composite concrete dam health state indicators. This method can effectively distinguish chaotic systems from deterministic systems and reflect the health state of concrete dam in service.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.357-368
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• 2018

The Paris Agreement, adopted in 2015, requires global mitigation actions by all countries, whether they are developed or developing countries. All member countries prepared and communicated a greenhouse gas reduction target, formally called the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC). There has been some concern regarding whether the INDCs communicated are sufficient to achieve the emissions reduction needed to hold the increase in global temperature to $2^{\circ}C$ above pre-industrial levels. How to address this emissions gap in an equitable and fair manner remains controversial. Beginning in the year 2023, global stocktaking under the Paris Agreement will be performed by the Conference of the Parties to assess progress towards temperature goals. The present study, based on various composite indicators reflecting equity, fairness, ability and efficiency, analyzed the GHG reduction targets of eleven major countries and the ambitiousness of these targets. Employing share indicators and comparative ratio indicators (resulting in eight composite indicators), this study showed that when share indicators are applied, Korea's appropriate reduction requirement rate is relatively low at 1~2%. However, when comparative ratio indicators are applied, Korea's appropriate reduction requirement rate increases dramatically to 6~11%. In a similar vein, when share indicators are applied, Korea's 2030 target is very ambitious compared to other countries, while the opposite is seen with comparative ratio indicators. This strongly suggests that Korea needs to apply more share indicators than comparative ratio indicators when discussing the equitable and ambitious role of Korea in the climate debate.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.55-71
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• 2005

We attempt to make three composite Science and Technology (S&T) indices for overall understanding of national S&T by aggregation of various S&T indicators using fuzzy set theory and then use these Indices to compare the S&T activities of Korea with those of five developed countries (France, Germany, Japan, the U.K., the U.S.). The overall results suggest that although the S&T indices of Korea still lag behind those of developed countries, they have grown rapidly and continuously and, as a result, the S&T gaps between Korea and developed countries have narrowed. However, the capability of Korea to transform its R&D input into final economic output has not yet matched that of developed countries.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.220-227
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• 2014

본 논문은 종합지표를 작성하는 세계은행(World Bank)의 방법론을 소개하고 그 방법론의 적용 사례를 살펴본 후 시사점을 도출하였다. 세계은행의 방법론인 비관측요인모형(UCM)에 따라 스위스 국제경영대학원(IMD)의 국가 경쟁력지수를 재산출한 후 IMD의 기존 국가경쟁력지수에 따른 순위와 비교해 보며 그 상관관계를 분석하고 시사점을 도출하였고, 경기도 31개 시군의 운영성과를 세계은행의 방법론으로 측정하여 비교해 보고 시사점을 도출하였다. 본 연구의 의의는 다음과 같이 요약될 수 있다. 세계은행의 방법론은 구성지표의 적합성 검증에 대한 통계적 방법론을 적용하지 않은데 반해 본 연구는 적합성 검증을 위한 통계적인 방법론으로 주성분분석(PCA)을 사용하였다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 PCA 방법론 및 UCM은 후보지표 선정, 가중치 도출, 그리고 종합지표의 수준 및 신뢰구간 작성에 매우 유용한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 지역발전지수, 지방재정분석, 지방자치경쟁력지수, 공기업평가 등에 광범위하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.379-397
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• 2019

Steel-concrete composite beams are widely employed in constructions and their performance at the serviceability stage is of concern among practitioners and design regulations. In this context, an accurate evaluation of long-term deflections via various rheological concrete models is needed. In this work, the performance and predict capability of some concrete creep and shrinkage models ACI, CEB, B3, FIB and GL2000 are ascertained, and compared by using statistical bias indicators. Ten steel-concrete composite beams with existing experimental and numerical results are then modeled for this purpose. The proposed modeling technique uses the finite element method, where the concrete slab and steel beam are modeled with shell finite elements. Concrete is considered as an aging viscoelastic material and cracking is treated with the common smeared approach. The results show that when the experimental ultimate shrinkage strain is used for calibration, all studied rheological models predict nearly similar deflections, which agree with the experimental data. In contrast, significance differences are encountered for some models, when none calibration is made prior to. A value between twenty and thirty times the cracking strain is recommended for the ultimate tensile strain in the tension stiffening model. Also, increasing the relative humidity and decreasing the ambient temperature can lead to a substantial reduction of slab cracking for beams under negative flexure. Finally, there is not a unique rheological model that clearly excels in all scenarios.

• 한국보건간호학회지
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.565-573
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• 2014

Purpose: Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service (HIRA) launched an Acute Myocardial Infarction(AMI) assessment for the Payment For Performance(Quality Incentives) Pilot Project from July 2007. Assessment measures of AMI were composed of five process measures and one outcome measure, and each measure was incorporated into one composite quality score to Pay for Performance. Method: For calculation of composite quality score, we considered weighting for the measures using the Delphi method. The questionnaire was composed of three measure groups, 'Reperfusion rate'(Fibrolytic therapy received within 60 minutes of hospital arrival, Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention within 120 minutes of hospital arrival), 'Medication prescription rate'(Aspirin at arrival, Aspirin prescribed at discharge, Beta-blocker prescribed at discharge) and 'Survival Index'(30-day mortality rate). Result: A panel composed of 18 and completed a questionnaire by allocation of 10 scores to the three above mentioned measure groups. The Delphi was carried out until three rounds of surveys. In conclusion, each measure group was weighted differently and the 10 scores were allocated as 4.5 to 'Reperfusion rate', 2.5 to 'Medication prescription rate', and 3.0 to 'Survival Index'. Conclusion: The results of this study proposed the calculation method for weighting of Acute Myocardial Infarction quality indicators.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.26-51
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• 2006

최근 국가 연구개발 활동에 있어서 연구개발 성과의 측정 및 관리가 중요한 이슈가 되고 있다. 특히 기술의 사업화는 연구개발의 결과물을 최종 경제적 성과로 전환하는 것으로서, 연구개발 활동의 경제적 기여를 위해 필수적인 과정이다. 이 논문에서는 국가 R&D 정책에서 중요하게 다루어지고 있는 기술사업화의 현황 및 추세를 파악하기 위하여 국가 기술사업화와 관련된 다양한 정보들을 종합한 국가기술사업화지표를 개발하였다. 개발된 지표는 기술사업화 활동, 협력 및 네트워크, 기술사업화 성과 기술사업화 환경, 심리지수의 다섯 가지 부문으로 구성되어 있고 각 부문의 지수는 각각 다섯 개의 세부 지표로 구성되어 있다. 개발된 지표는 우리나라의 기술시장 및 사업화 정책 수립을 위한 유용한 기초 자료로서 기술사업화 현황 및 수준, 예측 등 다양한 정보를 제공할 것이다.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.98-119
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• 2001

The purpose of this study is to classify the world countries into several cluste on the basis of the characteristics of the scientific and technological development, and analyse the main factors of development in each cluster. Major contributions of this study can be summarized as follows: (1) In the process of producing the composite indicators, individual indicators were adopted only if they met the condition which were logically compliable for the given time periods. Hence this thesis supports the reliability in comparing results of analysis in each period of years. (2) Could clearly capture the development characteristics and its changing process in each country.