• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
• /
• 제15권2호
• /
• pp.143-147
• /
• 2016

Uncertainty appears not only in real quantities but also in complex quantities. Complex uncertain process is essentially a sequence of complex uncertain variables indexed by time. In order to describe complex uncertain process, a formal definition of complex uncertain distribution is given in this paper, as well as the concepts of independence and variance. In addition, some properties of complex uncertain integral are presented.

• 한국경영과학회지
• /
• 제8권1호
• /
• pp.31-40
• /
• 1983

An uncertain dynamic evolving process has been a continuing challenge to decision problems. The dynamic random variable (drv) changes which characterize such a process are very important for the decision-maker in selecting a course of action in a world that is perceived as uncertain, complex, and dynamic. Using this subjective point prediction algorithm based on a modified recursive filter, the decision-maker becomes to have periodically changing plausible points with the passage of time.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국건축시공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 학계
• /
• pp.159-162
• /
• 2009

Today's construction is more various and more complex. Because of that, a lot of uncertain factors are occurred and they related uncertain construction duration. For management complex architecture project, importance of construction schedule management also increased. In previous studies, one of solutions to overcome those problems is suggested. It was BIM based construction simulation process which focused on construction schedule and construction schedule management. But latest process had limited point which has no duration estimation function. So this paper suggested duration estimation method and developed duration estimation module. Duration estimation module developed with current scheduling tool MS Project and their macro function. However, this module has just developed Reinforced Concrete Structure and has to do more development and research.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
• /
• 제15권2호
• /
• pp.173-182
• /
• 2014

The structured singular value (${\mu}$) analysis based method has many advantages for the robust stability analysis of missiles with uncertain parameters. Nevertheless, the present linear fractional transformation (LFT) modeling process, which is the basis of ${\mu}$ analysis, is complex, and not suitable for automatic implementation; on the other hand, ${\mu}$ analysis requires a large amount of computation, which is a burden for large-scale application. A constructive procedure, which is computationally more efficient, and which may lead to a lower order realization than existing algorithms, is proposed for LFT modeling. To reduce the calculation burden, an analysis method is developed, based on skew ${\mu}$. On this basis, calculation of the supremum of ${\mu}$ over a fixed frequency range converts into a single skew ${\mu}$ value calculation. Two algorithms are given, to calculate the upper and lower bounds of skew ${\mu}$, respectively. The validity of the proposed method is verified through robust stability analysis of a missile with real uncertain parameters.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
• /
• 제12권2호
• /
• pp.19-27
• /
• 2016

Many countries concentrated on the space developments to enhance the national security and the people's quality of life. A space launch vehicle for accessing the space is a typical large complex system that is composed of the high-technology like high-performance, high-reliability, superhigh-pressure, etc. The project developing large complex system like space launcher is mostly conducted in the uncertain environment. To achieve a goal of the project, its success probability should be enhanced consistently by reducing its uncertainty during the life cycle: it's possible to reduce the project's uncertainty by performing the risk management (RM) that is a method for identifying and tracing potential risk factors in order to eliminate the risks of the project. In this paper, we introduce the risk management (RM) process applied for a Space Launch Vehicle R&D Project.

• 동력기계공학회지
• /
• 제4권2호
• /
• pp.25-30
• /
• 2000

The grinding process is very complex and relates many parameters to control the process. As this reason, a theoretical analysis and a quantitative estimation of the grinding process has not been well established. In this study, the in-process monitoring system was suggested by applying the neural network for monitoring and shooting the malfunction of cylindrical plunge grinding process. This system used the power signals from the electric power meter. This neural network was composed of processing elements [4-(5-5)-3] with 4 identified power parameters. Because sensitivity is blunted some minute vibration components, the simulation result of this system has appeared about 10% erroneous recognition in the uncertain pattern and the average success rate of the trouble recognition was about 90%. Consequently, the developed system, which applied to the power signals, can be recognize enough to monitor the grinding process as in-process.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
• /
• pp.136-139
• /
• 2001

This paper develops a sensor based navigation method that utilizes fuzzy logic and the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory for mobile robot in uncertain environment. The proposed navigator consists of two behaviors: obstacle avoidance and goal seeking. To navigate reliably in the environment, we make a map building process before the robot finds a goal position and create a robust fuzzy controller. In this paper, the map is constructed on a two-dimensional occupancy grid. The sensor readings are fused into the map using D-S inference rule. Whenever the robot moves, it catches new information about the environment and replaces the old map with new one. With that process the robot can go wandering and finding the goal position. The usefulness of the proposed method is verified by a series of simulations. This paper deals with the fuzzy modeling for the complex and uncertain nonlinear systems, in which conventional and mathematical models may fail to give satisfactory results. Finally, we provide numerical examples to evaluate the feasibility and generality of the proposed method in this paper.

• 한국주거학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국주거학회 2002년도 추계학술발표대회
• /
• pp.345-348
• /
• 2002

Recent demographic changes have increased the heterogeneity of user groups in the housing market. Smaller households(e.g. elderly, single parent) have non-traditional spatial requirements that cannot be accommodated within the conventional house layout. This has created renewed interest in Demountable/Flexible housing systems. However, the process by which designers decide which project or user groups are most suited for the use of these systems is quite often complex, uncertain and dynamic, since the decisions involve natural processes and human values that are apparently random. This study is a proposal on the design process model for the flexibility of apartment.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.173-178
• /
• 2007

This paper is to establish an appropriate model for predicting the temperature decreases in the batch transferred from the refining process to the caster in steel-making companies. Mathematical modeling of the temperature decreases between the processes is difficult, since the reaction mechanism by which the temperature changes in a molten steel batch is dynamic, uncertain and complex. Three soft computing techniques are examined using the same data, namely the multiple regression, fuzzy regression, and neural net (NN) models. To compare the accuracy of these three models, a limited number of input variables are selected from those variables significantly affecting the temperature decrease. The results show that the difference in accuracy between the three models is not statistically significant. Nonetheless, the NN model is recommended because of its adaptive ability and robustness. The method presented in this paper allows the temperature decrease to be predicted without requiring any precise metallurgical knowledge.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
• /
• 제4권3호
• /
• pp.141-156
• /
• 2002

This article deals with the multiple alternative proposal of Venture Business policy. when Decision makers meet a very complex and important business to take a good choice. It might not be easy that we make a decision and accept the decision as an exact result of analysis at a complication and uncertain situation. This is the reason why the original research use Statistical Survey method and Visual Decision Making Process(VDMP) to improve decision analysis method. Therefore, Our research suggests that the VDMP utilized in the strategic decision making situation as a group decision adding tool, can be applied in the development of a process vision and implementation plan. as a result, researcher describe step by step the process of VDMP