• Title/Summary/Keyword: Common Random Numbers

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A Benefit Analysis of Using Common Random Numbers When Optimizing a System by Simulation Experiments (시뮬레이션을 통한 시스템 최적화 과정에서 공통 난수 활용의 이점 분석)

  • 박진원
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2000
  • One of the primary goals of the simulation experiments is to understand the overall system behavior and to analyze the system, ultimately to optimize the system. Optimizing the system includes determining the optimum condition of the system parameters of interest. This paper is concerned with the simulation methodology for estimating the unknown objective function for the system of interest and optimizing the system with respect to the controllable factors. In the process of estimating the unknown objective function, which is assumed to be a second order spline function, we use common random numbers for different set of the controllable factors resulting in more accurate parameter estimation for the objective function. We will show some mathematical result for the benefit of using common random numbers.

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Analysis of Variance for Using Common Random Numbers When Optimizing a System by Simulation and RSM (시뮬레이션과 RSM을 이용한 시스템 최적화 과정에서 공통난수 활용에 따른 분산 분석)

  • 박진원
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • When optimizing a complex system by determining the optimum condition of the system parameters of interest, we often employ the process of estimating the unknown objective function, which is assumed to be a second order spline function. In doing so, we normally use common random numbers for different set of the controllable factors resulting in more accurate parameter estimation for the objective function. In this paper, we will show some mathematical result for the analysis of variance when using common random numbers in terms of the regression error, the residual error and the pure error terms. In fact, if we can realize the special structure of the covariance matrix of the error terms, we can use the result of analysis of variance for the uncorrelated experiments only by applying minor changes.

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Application of Common Random Numbers in Simulation Experiments Using Central Composite Design (중심합성계획 시뮬레이션 실험에서 공통난수의 활용)

  • Kwon, Chi-Myung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2014
  • The central composite design (CCD) is often used to estimate the second-order linear model. This paper uses a correlation induction strategy of common random numbers (CRN) in simulation experiment and utilizes the induced correlations to obtain better estimates for the second-order linear model. This strategy assigns the CRN to all design points in the CCD. An appropriate selection of the axial points in CCD makes the weighted least squares (WLS) estimator be equivalent to ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator in estimating the linear model parameters of CCD. We analytically investigate the efficiency of this strategy in estimation of model parameters. Under certain conditions, this correlation induction strategy yields better results than independent random number strategy in estimating model parameters except intercept. The simulation experiment on a selected model supports such results. We expect a suggested random number assignment is useful in application of CCD in simulation experiments.

Genetic Distance Study among Deoni Breed of Cattle Using Random Amplified DNA Markers

  • Appannavar, M.M.;Govindaiah, M.G.;Ramesha, K.P.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.315-319
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    • 2003
  • Random amplified polymorphic DNA (RAPD) analysis was done with 19 oligonucleotide primers to study genetic similarities and divergence among different types of Deoni breed of cattle viz., Balankya, Wannera and Waghya. Six random primers produced low to high numbers of polymorphic bands between pooled DNA of different Deoni types. Of the 48 RAPD markers obtained 33 were common to all Deoni types, 3 were individual specific and 12 were polymorphic for different Deoni types. The mean average percentage difference values among Deoni types showed that Balankya and Wannera had less genetic divergence when compared to Waghya.

SIMULATION EFFICIENCY FOR MULTI-PRODUCTION MODEL

  • Kwon, Chi-Myung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.8-8
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    • 1992
  • Through a simulation experiment, often an experimenter is concerned with estimating the system parameters of the linear model consisting of m design points from the outputs oft the simulation model. To improve the estimation of the system parameters and reliability of these estimators, appropriate simulation techniques have been developed. For the first order linear model, Schruben and Margolin (1978) exploited the random number assignment rules which uses a combination of common random numbers and antithetic streams in a simulation experiment designed to estimate the system parameters when the design matrix of simulation model admits orthogonal blocking into two blocks. Nozari, Arnold and Pegden (1984) developed a method for appliying the method of control variates to the situation of the linear model having multiple design points. This talk deals with a different way of utilizing controls under the correlation induction strategy of Schruben and Margolin's to improve the simulation efficiency, and presents a procedure for obtaining the estimators of the system parameters analytically. Simulation results on a selected simulation model indicate a promising evidence that a proposed method may yield better results than Schruben and Margolin's method.

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Efficiency of Estimation for Parameters by Use of Variance Reduction Techniques (분산감소기법을 이용한 파라미터 추정의 효율성)

  • Kwon Chi-myung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2005
  • We develop a variance reduction technique applicable in one simulation experiment whose purpose is to estimate the parameters of a first order linear model. This method utilizes the control variates obtained during the course of simulation run under Schruben and Margolin's method (S-M method). The performance of this method is shown to be similar in estimating the main effects, and to be superior to S-M method in estimating the overall mean response in a given model. We consider that a proposed method may yield a better result than S-M method if selected control variates are highly correlated with the response at each design point.

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Efficiency of Estimation for Parameters by Use of Variance Reduction Techniques (분산감소기법을 이용한 파라미터 추정의 효율성)

  • Whang Sung-won;Kwon Chi-myung;Kim Sung-yeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.45-49
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 시뮬레이션 반응변수가 입력 인자의 선형 1차식으로 표현된 경우에 인자의 파라미터를 효과적으로 추정하기위해 사용될 수 있는 분산감소기법을 제안하였다. 이 기법은 하나의 실험설계에 공통난수와 대조난수를 동시에 사용하는 Schruben과 Margolin의 방법과 시뮬레이션하는 도중에 얻어지는 통제변수를 활용하는 기법을 결합하는 방법으로 시뮬레이션의 효율성을 개선하고자 하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과 제안된 기법은 주어진 모형의 평균 반응치를 추정한 데는 S-M 기법보다 효과적이었으며 인자의 다른 파라미터를 추정하는 데는 S-M 기법과 비슷한 성과를 보이고 있다. 만일 시뮬레이션 과정에서 반응변수와 상관성이 높은 통제변수들을 선택할 수 있는 경우에는 제안된 기법이 S-M 기법보다 보다 파라미터 추정에 효과적일 것으로 판단된다.

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Study of Direct Parameter Estimation for Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model (Neyman-Scott 구형 펄스모형의 직접적인 매개변수 추정연구)

  • Jeong, Chang-Sam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.11
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2009
  • NSRPM (Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model) is one of the common model for generating future precipitation time series in stochastical hydrology. There are 5 parameters to compose the NSRPM model for generating precipitation time series. Generally parameter estimation using moment has some problems related with increased objective functions and shows different results in accordance with random variable generating models. In this study, direct parameter estimation method was proposed to cover with disadvantages of parameter estimation using moment. To apply the direct parameter estimation, generating stochastical data variance in accordance with numbers of precipitation events of NSRPM was done. Both kinds of methods were applied at the Cheongju gauge station data. Precipitation time series were generated using 4 different random variable generator, and compared with observed time series to check the accuracies. As a results, direct method showed more stable and better results.

Analysis of Probabilistic Limits of Trait Identity in Inter-Strain Comparison of Genomic Fingerprints of Bacteria (균주간 유전체 지문 비교분석에서 유전형질 일치성의 확률적 한계 분석)

  • Zo, Young-Gun
    • Korean Journal of Microbiology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.263-267
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    • 2011
  • Genomic fingerprinting methods are useful in determining relatedness among bacterial strains. However, random coincidences in sizes of two DNA fragments in two different fingerprints may occur, resulting in erroneous interpretation of relatedness between two bacterial genomes. In this study, I estimated the probability of occurrence of DNA bands of identical size in fingerprints of two unrelated genomes, so that the significance of fingerprint-based estimation of genome relatedness could be analyzed. The probability could be estimated as outputs of a function formulated with the three parameters: the numbers of observed fragments, all possible sizes of fragments and observed fragments common in a given pair of fingerprints. The parameter most instrumental to significance of relatedness estimation was the number of all possible sizes of fragments. To keep the number of coincidentally-common size of fragments below 10, about 200 fragments should be distinguishable in the fingerprints.