• Title/Summary/Keyword: Combining of risk factors

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A New Approach to Product Risk Analysis for Safe Product Design (안전한 제품을 설계하기 위한 새로운 제품위험분석 방법)

  • An, Chan-Sik;Jo, Am
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.53-72
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    • 2004
  • Today we are observing a lot of injuries, casualties, and property losses that are mainly caused by the defects of products. In order to derive safety designs, which minimize the possibility of such product liability-related accidents, we need to take into account the user-product interaction as an important part of the danger factor analysis. Existing risk analysis techniques, however, have some limitations in detecting comprehensive danger factors that are peculiarly involved in human errors and the functional defects of products. Researches on danger factor analysis regarding the user-product interaction have been carried out actively in ergonomics. In this paper, we suggest a novel product risk analysis technique, which is more objective and systematic compared to the previous ones, by combining a modified TAFEI (Task Analysis For Error Identification) technique with SASA (Systematic Approach to Accident Scenario Analysis) technique. By applying this technique to the product design practice in industry, corporations will be able to improve the product safety, consequently strengthening the competitiveness.

Project Duration Estimation and Risk Analysis Using Intra-and Inter-Project Learning for Partially Repetitive Projects (부분적으로 반복되는 프로젝트를 위한 프로젝트 내$\cdot$외 학습을 이용한 프로젝트기간예측과 위험분석)

  • Cho, Sung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.137-149
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    • 2005
  • This study proposes a framework enhancing the accuracy of estimation for project duration by combining linear Bayesian updating scheme with the learning curve effect. Activities in a particular project might share resources in various forms and might be affected by risk factors such as weather Statistical dependence stemming from such resource or risk sharing might help us learn about the duration of upcoming activities in the Bayesian model. We illustrate, using a Monte Carlo simulation, that for partially repetitive projects a higher degree of statistical dependence among activity duration results in more variation in estimating the project duration in total, although more accurate forecasting Is achievable for the duration of an individual activity.

Innovative Converged Service and It's Adoption, Use and Diffusion: A Holistic Approach to Diffusion of Innovations, Combining Adoption-Diffusion and Use Diffusion Paradigms (디지털융합서비스의 수용, 사용, 확산에 관한 연구: 혁신확산에 관한 수용-확산 및 사용-확산의 통합적 접근)

  • Song, Yeong-Hwa;Im, Myeong-Hwan;Motohashi, Kazuyuki;Kim, Seung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.165-180
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    • 2010
  • This study takes a holistic approach to understanding the diffusion of IPTV services by combining the adoption-diffusion model and the use-diffusion model of innovation. IPTV service, a leading Digital converged application coupling media content with telecom, has been recently launched commercially in Korea. We created a structural model of adoption-diffusion, using the perceived ease-of-use and usefulness of TAM(Technology Acceptance Model) as mediating variables, and a structural model of use-diffusion, with the rate of use and the variety of use as mediating variables. To empirically analyze these models, non-users of IPTV were surveyed using the adoption-diffusion model to identity factors influencing their intention to subscribe to the service. Meanwhile, users of IPTV were surveyed using the use-diffusion model to determine the factors that influence their satisfaction with the service and their intention to fe-use it. Under the adoption-diffusion model, we found that trialability, household innovativeness and perceived risk were the determinants of user satisfaction with IPTV, and perceived ease-of-use, the mediating factors. Under the use-diffusion model, complementarity and communication were shown to be the determinants of users' satisfaction with IPTV, and variety of use, the mediating factor. We also found that consumers' intention to re-use IPTV was strongly influenced by its relative advantage and perceived risk.

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Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation in Yanbian Region

  • Liu, Xiuxuan;Quan, Hechun;Moon, Hongduk;Jin, Guangri
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2017
  • In order to evaluate landslide susceptibility in Yanbian region, this study analyzed 7 factors related to landslide occurrence, such as soil, geology, land use, slope, slope aspect, fault and river by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and calculated the weights of these 7 hazard-induced factors, determined the internal weights and the relative weights between various factors. According to these weights, combining the Remote Sensing technology (RS) with Geographic Information System technology (GIS), the selected area was evaluated by using GIS raster data analysis function, then landslide susceptibility chart was mapped out. The comprehensive analysis of AHP and GIS showed that there has unstable area with the potential risk of sliding in the research area. The result of landslide susceptibility agrees well with the historical landslides, which proves the accuracy of adopted methods and hazard-induced factors.

Factors Affecting Satisfaction and Continuous Use Intention of Subscription Economy (구독경제 이용 만족도 및 지속 이용 의도에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Chung, Byoung-gyu
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2023
  • Due to the progress of the 4th industrial revolution and the COVID-19 pandemic, the subscription economy was rapidly expanding. In particular, the subscription economy was expected to expand further as the servicing of products(servitization) rapidly progresses. In this study, we tried to empirically analyze the factors that promote and hinder the spread of the subscription economy from the consumer's point of view. To this end, based on the Service Profit Chain (SPC) model, which identified mechanisms leading from quality to satisfaction, loyalty, and performance, a research model was established by combining the framework of the Value-based Adoption Model (VAM), which covers both benefit and sacrifice factors. Usefulness and convenience were derived as benefit factors, and perceived risks and perceived costs were derived as sacrifice factors. The effects of these factors on satisfaction and continuous use intention were analyzed. For empirical analysis, a survey was conducted targeting people who have experience in subscription economy, and 300 effective samples were analyzed. The analysis was performed as a structural equation model using AMOS 24. As a result of the empirical study, it was found that convenience had a significant positive (+) effect on satisfaction. Perceived risk and perceived cost were analyzed to have a negative (-) effect on satisfaction. On the other hand, usefulness was found to have no significant effect on satisfaction. The influences affecting satisfaction were in the order of perceived cost, convenience, and perceived risk. Satisfaction was found to have a significant positive (+) effect on continuous use intention. The results of this study were considered meaningful in that they broadened the horizons of research by combining existing validated models at the academic level and testing their validity, and found that perceived cost was still an important factor at the practical level.

Industrial Safety Risk Analysis Using Spatial Analytics and Data Mining (공간분석·데이터마이닝 융합방법론을 통한 산업안전 취약지 등급화 방안)

  • Ko, Kyeongseok;Yang, Jaekyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2017
  • The mortality rate in industrial accidents in South Korea was 11 per 100,000 workers in 2015. It's five times higher than the OECD average. Economic losses due to industrial accidents continue to grow, reaching 19 trillion won much more than natural disaster losses equivalent to 1.1 trillion won. It requires fundamental changes according to industrial safety management. In this study, We classified the risk of accidents in industrial complex of Ulju-gun using spatial analytics and data mining. We collected 119 data on accident data, factory characteristics data, company information such as sales amount, capital stock, building information, weather information, official land price, etc. Through the pre-processing and data convergence process, the analysis dataset was constructed. Then we conducted geographically weighted regression with spatial factors affecting fire incidents and calculated the risk of fire accidents with analytical model for combining Boosting and CART (Classification and Regression Tree). We drew the main factors that affect the fire accident. The drawn main factors are deterioration of buildings, capital stock, employee number, officially assessed land price and height of building. Finally the predicted accident rates were divided into four class (risk category-alert, hazard, caution, and attention) with Jenks Natural Breaks Classification. It is divided by seeking to minimize each class's average deviation from the class mean, while maximizing each class's deviation from the means of the other groups. As the analysis results were also visualized on maps, the danger zone can be intuitively checked. It is judged to be available in different policy decisions for different types, such as those used by different types of risk ratings.

A PRODUCTION METHOD OF LANDSLIDE HAZARD MAP BY COMBINING LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS AND AHP (ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS) APPROACH

  • Lee, Yong-Jun;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.547-550
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    • 2006
  • This study is to suggest a methodology to produce landslide hazard map by combining LRA (Logistic Regression Analysis) and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Program) Approach. Topographic factors (slope, aspect, elevation), soil drain, soil depth and land use were adopted to classify landslide hazard areas. The method was applied to a 520 $km^2$ region located in the middle of South Korea which have occurred 39 landslides during 1999 and 2003. The suggested method showed 58.9 % matching rate for the real landslide sites comparing with the classified areas of high-risk landslide while LRA and AHP showed 46.1 % and 48.7 % matching rates respectively.

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Assessment of Landfill Hazard Using the Value-Structured Approach (가치구조화기법에 의한 매립지 유해성 등급화)

  • Hong, Sang-Pyo;Kim, Jung-Wuk
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 1997
  • LHR(Landfill Site Hazard Ranking Model) was developed for ranking the relative hazard of landfill sites by using the method of value-structured approach. LHR consists of combining a multiattribute decision-making method with a Qualitative risk assessment approach. A pairwise com parisian method was applied to determine weights of landfill site factors related. To determine the hazard of landfill site, hydrogeological factors, waste characteristics factors and receptors factors were evaluated by LHR. LHR can help decision-makers prioritization of remediation of landfill sites through the relatively convenient and concise evaluation method of landfill site features related. LHR focuses mainly on pathways of groundwater and surfacewater for evaluating landfill hazard to receptors including humans. To validiate the applicability of LHR, Nanjido Landfill site, Metropolitan Landfill site, and Hwasung Landfill site were evaluated.

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Determination of Flood Risk Considering Flood Control Ability and Urban Environment Risk (수방능력 및 재해위험을 고려한 침수위험도 결정)

  • Lee, Eui Hoon;Choi, Hyeon Seok;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.757-768
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    • 2015
  • Recently, climate change has affected short time concentrated local rainfall and unexpected heavy rain which is increasingly causing life and property damage. In this research, arithmetic average analysis, weighted average analysis, and principal component analysis are used for predicting flood risk. This research is foundation for application of predicting flood risk based on annals of disaster and status of urban planning. Results obtained by arithmetic average analysis, weighted average analysis, and principal component analysis using many factors affect on flood are compared. In case of arithmetic average analysis, each factor has same weights though it is simple method. In case of weighted average analysis, correlation factors are complex by many variables and multicollinearty problem happen though it has different weights. For solving these problems, principal component analysis (PCA) is used because each factor has different weights and the number of variables is smaller than other methods by combining variables. Finally, flood risk assessment considering flood control ability and urban environment risk in former research is predicted.

Identifying Hazard of Fire Accidents in Domestic Manufacturing Industry Using Data Analytics (국내 제조업 화재사고 데이터 분석을 통한 복합 유해·위험요인 확인)

  • Kyung Min Kim;Yongyoon Suh;Jong Bin Lee;Seong Rok Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2023
  • Revising the Occupational Safety and Health Act led to enacting and revising related laws and systems, such as placing fire observers in hot workplaces. However, the operating standards in such cases are still ambiguous. Although fire accidents occur through multiple and multi-step factors, the hazards of fire accidents have been identified in this study as individual rather than interrelated factors. The aim has been to identify multiple factors of accidents, outlining fire and explosion accidents that recently occurred in the domestic manufacturing industry. First, major keywords were extracted through text mining. Then representative accident types were derived by combining the main keywords through the co-word network analysis to identify the hazards and their relationships. The representative fire accidents were identified as six types, and their major hazards were then addressed for improving safety measures using the identification of hazards in the "Risk Assessment" tool. It is found that various safety measures, such as professional fire observers' training and clear placement standards, are needed. This study will provide useful basic data for revising practical laws and guidelines for fire accident prevention, system supplementation, safety policy establishment, and future related research.