• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.143-154
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• 2024

This paper considers a combined model of exponential smoothing (ETS) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models that are commonly used to forecast time series data. The combined model is constructed through an innovational state space model based on the level variable instead of the differenced variable, and the identifiability of the model is investigated. We consider the maximum likelihood estimation for the model parameters and suggest the model selection steps. The forecasting performance of the model is evaluated by two real time series data. We consider the three competing models; ETS, ARIMA and the trigonometric Box-Cox autoregressive and moving average trend seasonal (TBATS) models, and compare and evaluate their root mean squared errors and mean absolute percentage errors for accuracy. The results show that the combined model outperforms the competing models.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.51-60
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• 2018

The foundations are classified into shallow and deep, which have important differences: in terms of geometry, the behavior of the soil, its structural functionality, and its constructive systems. The shallow foundations may be of various types according to their function; isolated footings, combined footings, strip footings, and slabs foundation. The isolated footings are of the type rectangular, square and circular. The combined footing may be rectangular, trapezoidal or T-shaped in plan. This paper presents a new model for T-shaped combined footings to obtain the most economical contact surface on the soil (optimal dimensioning) to support an axial load and moment in two directions to each column. The new model considers the soil real pressure, i.e., the pressure varies linearly. The classical model uses the technique of test and error, i.e., a dimension is proposed, and subsequently, the equation of the biaxial bending is used to obtain the stresses acting on each vertex of the T-shaped combined footing, which must meet the conditions following: The minimum stress should be equal or greater than zero, and maximum stress must be equal or less than the allowable capacity that can withstand the soil. To illustrate the validity of the new model, numerical examples are presented to obtain the minimum area of the contact surface on the soil for T-shaped combined footings subjected to an axial load and moments in two directions applied to each column.

• 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국추진공학회 2008년 영문 학술대회
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• pp.460-468
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• 2008

Recent activities on the scramjet and rocket-ramjet combined-cycle engine of Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency(JAXA) are herein presented. The scramjet engines and combined-cycle engines have been studied in the world and JAXA has also studied such the engines experimentally, numerically and conceptually. Based on the studies, 2 to 3 m long, hydrogen-fueled engine models were designed and tested at the Ramjet Engine Test Facility(RJTF) and the High Enthalpy Shock Tunnel(HIEST). A scramjet engine model was tested in Mach 10 to 14 flight condition at HIEST. A 3 m long scramjet engine model was designed to reduce a dissociation energy loss in a high temperature condition. Drag reduction by a tangential injection and two ways of a transverse fuel injection were examined. Combustor model tests at three operating modes of the combined-cycle engine were conducted, demonstrating the combustor operation and producing data for the engine design at each mode. Aerodynamic engine model tests were conducted in a transonic wind tunnel, demonstrating the engine operation in the ejector-jet mode. A 3 m long combined-cycle engine model has been tested in the ejector-jet mode and the ramjet mode since March 2007. Carbon composite material was examined for application to the engines. Production of the cooling channel on a nickel alloy plate succeeded by the electro-chemical etching.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제30권6호
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• pp.525-538
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• 2022

This paper presents a more general model for T-shaped combined footings that support two columns aligned on a longitudinal axis and each column provides an axial load and two orthogonal moments. This model can be applied to the following conditions: (1) without restrictions on its sides, (2) a restricted side and (3) two opposite sides restricted. This model considers the linear soil pressure. The recently published works have been developed for a restricted side and for two opposite sides restricted by Luévanos-Rojas et al. (2018a, b). The current model considers the uniform pressure distribution because the position of the resultant force coincides with the center of gravity of the surface of the footing in contact with the soil in direction of the longitudinal axis where the columns are located. This paper shows three numerical examples. Example 1 is for a T-shaped combined footing with a limited side (one column is located on the property boundary). Example 2 is for a T-shaped combined footing with two limited opposite sides (the two columns are located on the property boundary). Example 3 is for a T-shaped combined footing with two limited opposite sides, one column is located in the center of the width of the upper flange (b₁/2=L₁), and other column is located at a distance half the width of the strip from the free end of the footing (b₂/2=b-L₁-L). The main advantage of this work over other works is that this model can be applied to T-shaped combined footings without restrictions on its sides, a restricted side and two opposite sides restricted. It also shows the deficiencies of the current model over the new model.

• 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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• 제20권11호
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• pp.1038-1045
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• 2010

The theory for a new electromagnetically biased combined radial and axial magnetic bearing is developed. This combined magnetic bearing uses two axial coils to provide the bias flux to the radial and axial air gaps of the combined bearing. One dimensional magnetic circuit model for this combined magnetic bearing is developed and analyzed such that flux densities and magnetic forces can be obtained. Three dimensional finite element model for the bearing is also developed and analyzed. Numerical analysis shows that the calculated magnetic forces from 1D model are well matched with those from the finite element model.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.61-69
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• 2018

The first part shows the optimal contact surface for T-shaped combined footings to obtain the most economical dimensioning on the soil (optimal area). This paper presents the second part of a new model for T-shaped combined footings, this part shows a the mathematical model for design of such foundations subject to axial load and moments in two directions to each column considering the soil real pressure acting on the contact surface of the footing with one or two property lines restricted, the pressure is presented in terms of an axial load, moment around the axis "X" and moment around the axis "Y" to each column, and the methodology is developed using the principle that the derived of the moment is the shear force. The classic model considers an axial load and a moment around the axis "X" (transverse axis) applied to each column, i.e., the resultant force from the applied loads is located on the axis "Y" (longitudinal axis), and its position must match with the geometric center of the footing, and when the axial load and moments in two directions are presented, the maximum pressure and uniform applied throughout the contact surface of the footing is considered the same. To illustrate the validity of the new model, a numerical example is presented to obtain the design for T-shaped combined footings subjected to an axial load and moments in two directions applied to each column. The mathematical approach suggested in this paper produces results that have a tangible accuracy for all problems.

• EDISON SW 활용 경진대회 논문집
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• 제6회(2017년)
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• pp.650-652
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• 2017

the aim of this study was to observe the combined effect of the CRT and LVAD on electromechanical cardiac behavior under LBBB and RBBB conditions computationally. We performed simulation by using advanced electromechanics model of failing ventricle combined with lumped model represents circulatory system, CRT and LVAD. We analyzed seven failing ventricle model including normal sinus rhythm, LBBB, LBBB coupled with CRT, LBBB coupled with CRT and LVAD, RBBB, RBBB coupled with CRT, and RBBB coupled with CRT and LVAD. We compared the effect from CRT and the effect from combined CRT and LVAD to both under LBBB and RBBB conditions. The results showed that the combined CRT and LVAD contributed a better hemodynamic compared to single CRT. This combined system synchronized the electrical activation greatly under LBBB and slightly under RBBB. It also shortened mechanical activation time which resulted short electromechanical delay. More importantly, the combined system produced better mechanical responses under both LBBB and RBBB conditions.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.148-155
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• 2016

Existing power plants may consume significant amounts of fuel and require high operating costs, partly because of poor electrical power output estimates. This paper suggests a continuous conditional random field (C-CRF) model to predict more precisely the full-load electrical power output of a base load operated combined cycle power plant. We introduce three feature functions to model association potential and one feature function to model interaction potential. Together, these functions compose the C-CRF model, and the model is transformed into a multivariate Gaussian distribution with which the operation parameters can be modeled more efficiently. The performance of our model in estimating power output was evaluated by means of a real dataset and our model outperformed existing methods. Moreover, our model can be used to estimate confidence intervals of the predicted output and calculate several probabilities.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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• pp.183-188
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• 2007

In this paper, we propose a 2D-FE model in single impact with combined physical factors to obtain a unique residual stress by shot peening. Applied physical parameters include elastic-plastic deformation of shot ball, material damping coefficients, strain rate, dynamic friction coefficients. Single impact FE model consists of 2D axisymmetric elements. The FE model with combined factors showed converged and unique distributions of surface stress, maximum compressive residual stress and deformation depth. Further, in contrast to the FE models with rigid shot and elastic deformable shot, FE model with plastic deformable shot produces residual stresses very close to experimental solutions by X-ray diffraction. We therefore validated the 2D FE model with combined peeing factors and plastic deformable shot. This FE model will be a base of the 3D FE model for residual stresses by multi-impact shot peening.

• 농촌계획
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.111-126
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• 2017

This study analyzes the impacts of agricultural water shortages in Korea using a combined top-down and bottom-up model. A multi-region multi-output agricultural sector model with detailed descriptions of production technologies and water and land resource constraints has been combined with a standard CGE model. The impacts of four different water shortage scenarios were simulated. It is shown that an active adaptation of crop choices occurs in even the regions with relatively abundant water resources in order to respond to the change in relative output prices caused by water shortages. We found that although the losses in production values are not quite large despite water shortages due to the price feedbacks, the loss in GDP is substantial. We show that our combined approach has advantages in deriving region and product specific production effects as well as the overall GDP loss effect of water shortages.