• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate index

검색결과 932건 처리시간 0.023초

수문기상가뭄지수 (HCDI) 개발 및 가뭄 예측 효율성 평가 (Development of Hydroclimate Drought Index (HCDI) and Evaluation of Drought Prediction in South Korea)

  • 류재현;김정진;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제61권1호
    • /
    • pp.31-44
    • /
    • 2019
  • The main objective of this research is to develop a hydroclimate drought index (HCDI) using the gridded climate data inputs in a Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) modeling platform. Typical drought indices, including, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (SC-PDSI) in South Korea are also used and compared. Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method is applied to create the gridded climate data from 56 ground weather stations using topographic information between weather stations and the respective grid cell ($12km{\times}12km$). R statistical software packages are used to visualize HCDI in Google Earth. Skill score (SS) are computed to evaluate the drought predictability based on water information derived from the observed reservoir storage and the ground weather stations. The study indicates that the proposed HCDI with the gridded climate data input is promising in the sense that it can help us to predict potential drought extents and to mitigate its impacts in a changing climate. The longer term drought prediction (e.g., 9 and 12 month) capability, in particular, shows higher SS so that it can be used for climate-driven future droughts.

기후변화 대비 강원 지역 산림부문 현황 분석 및 취약성 평가 (Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis of Gangwon Provincial Forest Sector in Response to Climate Change)

  • 채희문;이현주;엄기증
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
    • /
    • 제28권2호
    • /
    • pp.106-117
    • /
    • 2012
  • In an effort to analyze the impact of climate change, Gangwon provincial forest was divided into three sectors; forest ecology, forest disaster, and forest productivity and analysis of their current status from 2000 to 2009 and vulnerability assessment by climate change has been carried in this study. In case of vulnerability assessment, except for the forest ecology, forest disaster (forest fires and forest pests) and forest productivity sectors were analyzed in current status, the year of 2020, and 2050. It turned out that vulnerability of forest fires in the field of disaster would become worse and forest pests also would make more impact even though there is some variation in different areas. In case of the vulnerability of forest productivity there would be not a big difference in the future compared with current vulnerability. Systematic research on the sensitivity index used for vulnerability assessment is necessary since vulnerability assessment result greatly depends on the use of climate exposure index and adaptive capacity index.

기후적 질서로 본 오대산 선식물상

  • 정영호
    • Journal of Plant Biology
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.33-40
    • /
    • 1961
  • The moss flora and it's geoecological study were made on Mt. Odae which is situated in the easterm part(37$^{\circ}$43'N. Lat., 128$^{\circ}$30' E. Long) of Korea. The total number ofmosses collected on Mt. Odae in the autumn of 1960 is 50 species, 1 varieties and 1 subspecies, belonging to 23 families. For climate index, Warmth index and Humidity index were calculaterd on Mt. Odae. From the result, it was known that the climate of Mt. Odae is Humid temperate climate and that it's vegetation zone is Deciduous broad-leaf forest zone. Moss Quotient of this mountain is 1.21 and it indicates that the plant climate of Mt. Odae is Hemicryptophytic climate. The moss flora of this mountain was discussed from the pnytogeographical point of view. The flora consists of the following elements: Holarctic element : 20 species (38.5%) North Pacific element: 1 (1.9%) Cosmopolian element: 6 (11.6%) Tropical element: 1 (1.9%) East Asiatic element: 12 (23.05%) Korean-Japan element: 12 (23.05%) Coefficient of closeness was also calculated between the moss flora of Mt. Odae and that of Mt. Sulak and Mt. Kwanak. It was known, therefore, that the flora relation between Mt. Odae and the Mt. Sulak was closer than that between Mt. Odae and Mt. Kwanak.

  • PDF

한반도 기후변화 취약성 지수 산정을 위한 CCGIS의 개발 및 활용 (Development and Application of CCGIS for the Estimation of Vulnerability Index over Korea)

  • 김철희;송창근;홍유덕;유정아;류성현;임광영
    • 한국기후변화학회지
    • /
    • 제3권1호
    • /
    • pp.13-24
    • /
    • 2012
  • 우리나라 지자체별 기후변화적응과 연관된 필요한 기초 자료를 생산하고 관리하는 도구로서 CCGIS(Climate Change Adaptation Toolkit based on GIS)를 개발하였다. CCGIS 개발의 주요 목적은 기후변화적응대책을 위해 필요한 중요한 정보와 데이터들을 제공할 뿐만 아니라, 기후변화적응 대책 마련에 필요한 기후변화 취약성 지수를 산정하는 데 있다. 본 논문에서는 CCGIS에 탑재된 기후 및 대기환경모델로 모의된 2000년과 2020년, 2050년, 2100년의 IPCC SRES(A2, B1, A1B, A1T, A1FI, A1 시나리오) 배출량 시나리오별 현재 및 미래 기후 자료를 생산하고, 이를 토대로 기후변화 적응에 필요한 자료를 제공하고, 표출하는 과정을 기술하였다. 아울러 한반도 지자체를 대상으로 CCGIS를 이용한 기후변화 취약성지수의 특성과 공간 분포, 그리고 그 산출 과정을 설명하고, 그 활용성을 논하였다.

국내 지상부 사용(H3) 목재의 부후위험지수(Scheffer Index) 변화 (Change of Decay Hazard Index (Scheffer Index) for Exterior Above-Ground Wood in Korea)

  • 김태균;나종범
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제42권6호
    • /
    • pp.732-739
    • /
    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 최근의 기후변화가 국내 목재부후위험지수(Scheffer Index)에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위하여 수행되었다. 국내 58개 장소에서 40년(1973~2012) 동안 축적된 기후자료를 활용하여 목재부후위험지수를 계산하였으며 기후 변화의 영향을 살펴보기 위하여 10년 간격으로 목재부후위험지수를 계산하였다. 제주도를 제외한 국내 대부분의 지역에서 목재부후지수는 35에서 65 사이로 목재부후위험이 중간 정도인 것으로 판명되었다. 그러나 최근 10년(2003~2012)의 경우 목재부후위험이 높은 곳(${\geq}65$)으로 구분할 수 있는 지역이 지난 30년(1973~2012)에 비하여 상당히 많아졌으며 전반적으로 목재부후위험지수가 급격히 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 경향은 국내 기후가 아열대성 기후와 비슷하게 변하는 과정에서 목재부후와 밀접하게 관련된 기후인자인 온도, 강우량 및 강우일수 등이 증가한 것에 의해 설명할 수 있다.

Association between Solar Variability and Teleconnection Index

  • Kim, Jung-Hee;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • 제36권3호
    • /
    • pp.149-157
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this study, we investigate the associations between the solar variability and teleconnection indices, which influence atmospheric circulation and subsequently, the spatial distribution of the global pressure system. A study of the link between the Sun and a large-scale mode of climate variability, which may indirectly affect the Earth's climate and weather, is crucial because the feedbacks of solar variability to an autogenic or internal process should be considered with due care. We have calculated the normalized cross-correlations of the total sunspot area, the total sunspot number, and the solar North-South asymmetry with teleconnection indices. We have found that the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) index is anti-correlated with both solar activity and the solar North-South asymmetry, with a ~3-year lag. This finding not only agrees with the fact that El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ episodes are likely to occur around the solar maximum, but also explains why tropical cyclones occurring in the solar maximum periods and in El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods appear similar. Conversely, other teleconnection indices, such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) index, the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) index, and the Pacific-North American (PNA) index, are weakly or only slightly correlated with solar activity, which emphasizes that response of terrestrial climate and weather to solar variability are local in space. It is also found that correlations between teleconnection indices and solar activity are as good as correlations resulting from the teleconnection indices themselves.

CMIP5 기후 모형에서 나타나는 동아시아 한파의 특징 (Characteristics of East Asian Cold Surges in the CMIP5 Climate Models)

  • 박태원;허진우;정지훈;허창회
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제27권2호
    • /
    • pp.199-211
    • /
    • 2017
  • The cold surges over East Asia can be grouped to two types of the wave-train and the blocking. Recently, the observational study proposed new dynamical index to objectively identify cold surge types. In this study, the dynamical index is applied to the simulations of 10 climate models, which participate in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Focusing on assessment of cold surge simulation, we discuss characteristic of the wave-train and blocking cold surges in the climate models. The wave-train index (WI) and the blocking index (BI) based on potential temperature anomalies at dynamical tropopause over the subarctic region, the northeast China, and the western North Pacific enable us to classify cold surges in the climate models into two types. The climate models well simulate the occurrence mechanism of the wave-train cold surges with vertical structure related to growing baroclinic wave. However, while the wave-train in the observation propagates in west-east direction across the Eurasia Continent, most of the models simulate the southeastward propagation of the wave-train originated from the Kara Sea. For the blocking cold surges, the general features in the climate models well follow those in the observation to show the dipole pattern of a barotropic high-latitude blocking and a baroclinic coastal trough, leading to the Arctic cold surges with the strong northerly wind originated from the Arctic Sea. In both of the observation and climate models, the blocking cold surges tend to be more intense and last longer compared to the wave-train type.

GloSea5 모형의 6개월 장기 기후 예측성 검증 (Assessment of 6-Month Lead Prediction Skill of the GloSea5 Hindcast Experiment)

  • 정명일;손석우;최정;강현석
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제25권2호
    • /
    • pp.323-337
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study explores the 6-month lead prediction skill of several climate indices that influence on East Asian climate in the GloSea5 hindcast experiment. Such indices include Nino3.4, Indian Ocean Diploe (IOD), Arctic Oscillation (AO), various summer and winter Asian monsoon indices. The model's prediction skill of these indices is evaluated by computing the anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) and mean squared skill score (MSSS) for ensemble mean values over the period of 1996~2009. In general, climate indices that have low seasonal variability are predicted well. For example, in terms of ACC, Nino3.4 index is predicted well at least 6 months in advance. The IOD index is also well predicted in late summer and autumn. This contrasts with the prediction skill of AO index which shows essentially no skill beyond a few months except in February and August. Both summer and winter Asian monsoon indices are also poorly predicted. An exception is the Western North Pacific Monsoon (WNPM) index that exhibits a prediction skill up to 4- to 6-month lead time. However, when MSSS is considered, most climate indices, except Nino3.4 index, show a negligible prediction skill, indicating that conditional bias is significant in the model. These results are only weakly sensitive to the number of ensemble members.

수문지수를 이용한 유역의 수문반응 분석 (Analysis of Watershed Hydrologic Responses using Hydrologic Index)

  • 박윤경;김상단
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제34권3호
    • /
    • pp.785-794
    • /
    • 2014
  • 유역에서의 수문반응은 기후요소뿐만 아니라 토지이용, 토양, 식생 등의 여러 가지 요소에 의한 복합적 상호작용에 의해 결정된다. 따라서 유역의 수문반응을 효과적으로 파악하기 위해서는 기후요소와 다른 외부요소에 대한 특성이해가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 수문지수(건조지수, Horton 지수)를 적용하여 유역 수문반응에 영향을 미치는 기후 및 유역 특성의 상대적 영향력을 확인하고자 하였다. 우리나라 자연 유역에서는 건조지수보다는 Horton 지수를 이용하여 유역의 수문반응을 평가하는 것이 효과적이었다. 또한 기후상태에 따라 기후요소와 유역특성이 미치는 상대적인 영향력이 달라지는데, 건조한 기후상태에서는 기후요소가 지배적으로 수문반응에 영향을 미쳤으나 기후가 습윤한 상태로 갈수록 유역특성의 역할이 상대적으로 증가하고 있음을 확인하였다.

Mechanical Test Methods for Compost Maturity

  • Kwon, Soon-Ik;Kim, Min-Kyeong;Jung, Goo-Bok;Park, Woo-Kyun;Hong, Seung-Gil;Kim, Kwon-Rae
    • 한국토양비료학회지
    • /
    • 제44권5호
    • /
    • pp.959-961
    • /
    • 2011
  • Manure-based composts can have detrimental effects on the agricultural lands and crops if they are applied without proper stabilization process. Composting is well-known method for the stabilization of manure-based composts and the extent of composting could be examined by maturity test. Among various methods to examine compost maturity, the performances of two mechanical methods (Solvita and CoMMe-100) were examined and the test results were compared with seed germination test. The mechanical methods are considered to be simple and relatively objective. Also they are cost- and time-efficient. Ten commercially available composts collected in Korea were used for this study. Basically, the maturity determined with these mechanical methods was in good agreement with the seed germination test. However, it appeared that the index levels of compost maturity indicated more maturity by CoMMe-100 than Solvita for the same compost. The differences between maturity index levels determined by both methods were able to be minimized through extending the reaction time for CoMMe-100 and adjusting index level for maturity determination in the standard color chart.