• Title/Summary/Keyword: Change rate of index

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Forecasting Birthrate Change based on Big Data (빅데이터 기반의 출산율 변동 예측)

  • Joo, Se-Min;Ok, Seong-Hwan;Hwang, Kyung-Tae
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.20-35
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    • 2019
  • We empirically analyze the effects of psychological factors, such as the fear of parenting, on fertility rates. An index is calculated based on the share of negative news articles on child care in all social articles from 2000 to 2018. The analysis result shows that as the index increases, the fertility rate after three years falls. This result is repeated in the correlation analysis, simple regression, and VAR analysis. According to Granger causality analysis, it is found that the relation between the index and the fertility rate after three years is not just a simple correlation but a causal relationship. There are differences among age groups. The fertility rate of women in their 20s and 30s shows a significant response to the index, but that of the 40s does not. The index affects the birthrate of first child, but do not affect the birthrate of second or more children. These results are consistent with the intuition that younger women are more likely to be affected by the negative articles about parenting, but not to those who have already experienced childbirth. This study is meaningful in that a significant index for predicting social phenomena is extracted beyond the limited use of news big data such as a simple keyword mention volume monitoring. Also, this big data-based index is a 3-year leading indicator for fertility, which provides the advantage of providing information that helps early detection.

Clinical study on treatment of HIVD of lumbar spine using Scolopendrid herbal acupuncture (오공약침(蜈蚣藥針)을 이용한 요추간판탈출증(腰椎間板脫出症) 치료(治療)의 임상적(臨床的) 연구(硏究))

  • Koh, Kang-Hoon;Park, So-Young;Choi, Hoi-Gang;So, Ki-Sook;Hwang, Wu-Jun;Lee, Kun-Mok;Kim, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.192-206
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    • 2002
  • Objective : This study is performed for the purpose of examining into the efficacy of the scolopendrid(Scolopendra morsitans L) which has been used among the Korean people for the H.I.V.D of lumbar spine. Methods & Results : Using the herbal acupuncture made of scolopendrid(Scolopendra morsitans L), we treated the 20 H.I.V.D patients for 1 week and operated 4 pre and post treatment test ; D.I.T.I, 6 kinds of physical test, Oswestry disability index, and self-conscious pain rate. Trough the test, we saw 43-95% of efficacy rate in each test. And all of the 7 acupuncture point in D.I.T.I, Oswestry disability index and self-conscious pain rate test showed statistically valuable change. Conclusion : We brought to the conclusion that the scolopendrid herbal acupuncture has possibility to be efficient to cure the H.I.V.D patients. So we suggest the possibility to use this new remedy for the H.I.V.D.

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The clinical study of Scolopendrid aquacupuncture on HIVD of lumbar spine by follow up (추적조사를 중심으로 한 요추간판탈출증(腰椎間板脫出症)에 대한 오공약침(蜈蚣藥鍼)의 임상적(臨床的) 연구(硏究))

  • Choi, Hoi-kang;So, Ki-suk;Koh, Kang-hoon;Park, So-young;Kim, Sung-nam;Lee, Jong-deok;Won, Kyoung-suk;Moon, Hyung-cheol;Kim, Sung-chul
    • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.238-252
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    • 2003
  • Objective : This study is performed for the purpose of examining the efficacy of the scolopendrid(Scolopendra morsitans L.) which has been to low back pain as a folk remedy. Methods & Results : Seventy patients with H.I.V.D. treated with the scolopendrid aquacupuncture and examined 4 tests; D.I.T.I., physical test, Oswestry disability index, and self-conscious pain rate were studied. And we follow up after discharge, we evaluated the present state and recovery period. Or we evaluated by herniated type and duration of onset. There was 58~97% of efficacy rate in each tests. Moreover, statistically valuable change in all 7 D.I.T.I. points and in disability index and in self-conscious pain rate was showed. Conclusion : The scolopendrid aquacupuncture is possible to be effective terating the H.I.V.D patients. So we suggest the possibility using this new remedy to the H.I.V.D. patients.

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A Study on Modification of Industrial Accident Indicator Considering Working Environment Change (근로 환경 변화를 고려한 산업재해지표 수정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Eum, Tae Soo;Shin, Eun Taek;Song, Chang Geun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2021
  • Although the working environment has changed significantly compared to the past, such as the implementation of the five-day work week and the aging of the population, it is not reflected in the current industrial accident index calculation such as frequency rate, severity rate, and safe T-score. In this study, statistical data were used to understand time-series trends such as increase in life expectancy, working age, shortening of working hours, and average age of death by accident. As a result of time series trend analysis of statistical data, life expectancy increased to 83.3 years, and the legal working age was raised to 65 years due to the aging of the population. Also, with the advent of the 5-day work week since 2001, the average annual working hours decreased to 2008.1 hours. It can be confirmed through statistical data that these phenomena are applied to the current working environment due to a complex action, and these environmental changes affect the calculation results of the industrial accident index.

Characteristics Analysis and Manufacture of Ta2O5 Thin Films Prepared by Dual Ion-beam Sputtering Deposition with Change of Ar/O2Gas Flow Rate of Assist Ion Beam (이중 이온빔 스퍼터링 방식을 사용한 보조 이온빔의 Ar/O2가스 유량에 따른 Ta2O5 박막의 제조 및 특성분석)

  • 윤석규;김회경;김근영;김명진;이형만;이상현;황보창권;윤대호
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.1165-1169
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    • 2003
  • The Ta$_2$O$_{5}$ thin film was deposited on Si-(III) and glass substrate with the change of Ar:O$_2$ gas flow rate in the assist ion gun by the Dual ion-Beam Sputtering (DIBS). As the $O_2$ gas flow of the assist ion gun was decreased, the deposition rate of the thin films decreased. The refractive index was fixed (2.11, at 1550 nm) without regarding to $O_2$ gas flow of the range 3∼12 sccm in assist ion gun. The condition of Ar:O$_2$=3:12 was formatted stoichiometry composition of Ta$_2$O$_{5}$ and the ms roughness was small (0.183 nm).

A Study on The Effect of Hyperoxia on EKG Findings of Rabbits (과다산소조건이 가토의 심전도상에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Jin;Song, Jae-Cheol;Park, Hung-Bae
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.25 no.1 s.37
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    • pp.34-43
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    • 1992
  • To investigate the effect of hyperoxia on EKG findings and to evaluate the applicability of EKG as noninvasive monitoring index of oxygen toxicity, 38 rabbits were continuously exposed to 6 different conditions-3 hyperbaric oxygenations (HBO-2.5, 3.5 and 5ATA, 100% $O_2$), normobaric oxygenation (NBO,100% $O_2$), hyperbaric aeration (HBA-5ATA, 21% $O_2$) and normobaric aeration (NBA, 21% $O_2$)-for 120 minutes and their EKG and time to dyspnea and convulsion were recorded. Dyspnea and death were observed in exposure conditions of HBO-3.5 and HBO-5 (Positive rate of dyspnea 10%, 100%, death : 10%, 25%, respectively) only, and convulsion in 4 oxygenation groups (NBO;20%, HBO-2.5;20%, HBO-3.5;20%, HBO-5;88%). Abnormal EKG findings included arrhythmia and ST-T changes and the incidences was increasing with doses(partial pressure of oxygen). In addition to EKG change, findings observed during exposure were dyspnea and convulsion in the order of appearance and when non specific ST-T change was accepted as positive(abnormal) finding, the frequency of abnormal EKG was statistically significant(p<0.01), but when it was excluded from positive results, the frequency of EKG change was not significant(p>0.05). These results suggest that the effect of hyperoxia on heart is myocardial ischemia and arrhythmia, that oxygenation more than 3.5ATA causes myocardial damage in 120 minutes exposure, and that EKG is valuable as monitoring index of oxygen toxicity.

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Case Study on Deciding a Time for Repairing Asphalt Pavement of Incheon International Airport (인천국제공항 아스팔트 포장 보수시기 결정 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Jang-Rack;Mun, Hyung-Chul;Cho, Nam-Hyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : The evaluation of the pavement condition of the asphalt concrete pavement of No. 2 runway of Inchon International Airport through PMS, a supporting system for making a decision of pavement, maintenance and repair, was made, and the proper time for repair according to the PCI reduction rate was suggested. METHODS : By comparing and analyzing the evaluation results of pavements built in 2009, 2010, 2011, PCI change in each facility (No. 2 runway, C parallel taxiway, connection taxiway) was calculated. By applying the calculated change to PCI deduction rate model, the pavement condition of the target sections was estimated, and then the necessary section and time for repair were chosen. RESULTS : After careful consideration of the time for pavement and maintenance, based on the result of PCI prediction, it was estimated that the southern takeoff and landing section of No. 2 runway was required to be repaired in 2012; connection taxiway in 2013; and C parallel taxiway in 2014; however, the section which is the main moving route of connection taxiway and C parallel taxiway was needed to be repaired in 2012. CONCLUSIONS : For maintenance and repair of airport pavements, the optimal alternative should be chosen by considering economics and operability, via examining the time for repair and the aspect of management all together on the basis of this study.

Rheological Characterization of Hydrogen Peroxide Gel Propellant

  • Jyoti, B.V.S.;Baek, Seung Wook
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2014
  • An experimental investigation on the rheological behavior of gelled hydrogen peroxide at different ambient temperature (283.15, 293.15 and 303.15 K) was carried out in this study. The gel propellant was rheologically characterized using a rheometer, in the shear rate ranges of 1 to $20s^{-1}$, and 1 to $1000s^{-1}$. Hydrogen peroxide gel was found to be thixotropic in nature. The apparent viscosity value with some yield stress (in-case of shear rate 1 to $20s^{-1}$) drastically fell with the shear rate. In the case of the shear rate range of 1 to $20s^{-1}$, the apparent viscosity and yield stress of gel were significantly reduced at higher ambient temperatures. In the case of the shear rate range of 1 to $1000s^{-1}$, no significant effect of varying the ambient temperature on the gel apparent viscosity was observed. The up and down shear rate curves for hydrogen peroxide gel formed a hysteresis loop that showed no significant change with variation in temperature for both the 1 to $20s^{-1}$ and the 1 to $1000s^{-1}$ shear rate ranges. No significant change in the thixotropic index of gel was observed for different ambient temperatures, for both low and high shear rates. The gel in the 1 to $20s^{-1}$ shear rate range did not lead to a complete breakdown of gel structure, in comparison to that in the 1 to $1000s^{-1}$ shear rate range.

Evaluation of Agricultural Water Supply Potential in Agricultural Reservoirs (농업용 저수지에서의 농업용수 잠재능 평가)

  • Kim, Jin Soo;Lee, Jae Yong;Lee, Jeong Beom;Song, Chul Min;Park, Ji Sung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2016
  • The new concept of agricultural water supply potential, which is mean annual turnover rate times unit storage capacity, was introduced for agricultural reservoirs. We investigated characteristics of mean annual turnover rate and unit storage capacity for agricultural reservoirs with storage capacity of over $1million\;m^3$. The curve of agricultural water supply potential represents change in mean annul turnover rate according to change in unit storage capacity. The mean annual turnover rate and unit storage capacity in the reservoirs with high minimum storage ratio are significantly higher than those in the reservoirs with low minimum storage ratio. Most of unstable water supply reservoirs showed low mean annual turnover rate or low unit storage capacity, indicating that mean annual turnover rate may be an index of stability degree for agricultural water use. The reservoirs with mean annual turnover rate of over 2 and unit storage capacity of over 0.8 m may be estimated as the stable water supply zone for 10 frequency dry year. The reservoirs with high agricultural water supply potential can belong to the wide range of stable water supply zone. The results suggest that relation between mean annual turnover rate and unit storage capacity may be used in evaluating stability degree for agricultural water supply in the reservoirs.

The Effect of Export Volume, Export Price Index and Treasury Bond Interest Rate on Export Amount (수출물동량과 수출물가지수, 국고채금리가 수출금액에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Shin-Joong;Choi, Jeong-Il
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2019
  • Following the recent US trade deficit, the trade war began between Korea and Japan in July. Korea's trade dependence is about 60% or more, indicating high export dependence and import dependence. The purpose of this study is to examine export amount, export volume, export price index, Treasury bond interest rate and analyze how index affects export amount. This study attempts to analyze the comovement and volatility with export amount. For this purpose, monthly data for each indicator were selected for a total of 234 months from January 2000 to June 2019. As a result of analysis, exports amount and exports volume showed very high comovement, exports amount and interest rates showed low comovement, but exports amount and exports prices showed very low comovement. In the future, Korea should continue to increase exports amount in view of its high dependence on trade, along with policies to expand the domestic market. To this end, strategy to increase exports volume should be presented. Korea should increase the logistics environment and competitiveness of each port and airport, improve domestic and overseas network construction and support services of logistics companies.