• Title/Summary/Keyword: Change analysis

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Change Vector Analysis : Change detection of flood area using LANDSAT TM Data (LANDSAT TM을 이용한 홍수지역의 변화탐지 : Change Vector Analysis 방법을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Geun-Won;Yun, Young-Bo;Park, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.11 no.2 s.25
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2003
  • Change detection and analysis is a powerful application of remote sensing, in that the spectral resolution of multi-band sensors can be used to advantage in monitoring both significant and subtle land cover changes over time. In this study, the LANDSAT TM data was used to detect the change areas affected by flood from a heavy rainfall. The study area is the Nakdong River located in the Korea peninsular. Among the several change detection techniques, change vector analysis(CVA), principle component analysis(PCA) and image difference approach are utilized in this paper. CVA uses any number of spectral bands from multi-date satellite data to produce change image that yield information of the magnitude and direction of differences pixel values. And accuracy assessment was carried out with a change image produced from three techniques. In result, CVA was found to be the most accurate for detecting areas affected by flood. CVA with the overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient of 97.27 percent and 94.45 percent, respectively.

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Structural behavior of cable-stayed bridges after cable failure

  • Kim, Seungjun;Kang, Young Jong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.1095-1120
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the change of structural characteristics of steel cable-stayed bridges after cable failure. Cables, considered as the intermediate supports of cable-stayed bridges, can break or fail for several reasons, such as fire, direct vehicle clash accident, extreme weather conditions, and fatigue of cable or anchorage. Also, the replacement of cables can cause temporary disconnection. Because of the structural characteristics with various geometric nonlinearities of cable-stayed bridges, cable failure may cause significant change to the structural state and ultimate behavior. Until now, the characteristics of structural behavior after cable failure have rarely been studied. In this study, rational cable failure analysis is suggested to trace the new equilibrium with structural configuration after the cable failure. Also, the sequence of ultimate analysis for the structure that suffers cable failure is suggested, to study the change of ultimate behavior and load carrying capacity under specific live load conditions. Using these analysis methods, the statical behavior after individual cable failure is studied based on the change of structural configuration, and distribution of internal forces. Also, the change of the ultimate behavior and load carrying capacity under specific live load conditions is investigated, using the proposed analysis method. According to the study, significant change of the statical behavior and ultimate capacity occurs although just one cable fails.

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment in Rural Areas - Case study in Seocheon - (농촌지역 기후변화 취약성 평가에 관한 연구 - 서천군을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Gyeongjin;Cha, Jungwoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 2014
  • Since greenhouse gas emissions increase continuously, the authorities have needed climate change countermeasure for adapting the acceleration of climate change damages. According to "Framework Act on Low Carbon, Green Growth", Korean local governments should have established the implementation plan of climate change adaptation. These guidelines which is the implementation plan of climate change adaptation should be established countermeasure in 7 fields such as Health, Digester/Catastrophe, Agriculture, Forest, Ecosystem, Water Management and Marine/Fisheries. Basically the Korean local governments expose vulnerable financial condition, therefore the authorities might be assessed the vulnerability by local regions and fields, in order to establish an efficient implementation plan of climate change adaptation. Based on this concepts, this research used 3 methods which are LCCGIS, questionnaire survey analysis and analysis of existing data for the multiphasic vulnerable assessment. This study was verified the correlation among 7 elements of climate change vulnerability by 3 analysis methods, in order to respond climate change vulnerability in rural areas, Seocheon-gun. If the regions were evaluated as a vulnerable area by two or more evaluation methods in the results of 3 methods' comparison and evaluation, those areas were selected by vulnerable area. As a result, the vulnerable area of heavy rain and flood was Janghang-eup and Maseo-myeon, the vulnerable area of typhoon was Janghang-eup, Masan-myeon and Seo-myeon. 3 regions (i.e. Janghang-eup, Biin-myeon, Seo-myeon) were vulnerable to coastal flooding, moreover Masan-myeon, Pangyo-myeon and Biin-myeon exposed to vulnerability of landslide. In addition, Pangyo-myeon, Biin-myeon and Masan-myeon was evaluated vulnerable to forest fire, as well as the 3 sites; Masan-myeon, Masan-myeon and Pangyo-myeon was identified vulnerable to ecosystem. Lastly, 3 regions (i.e. Janghang-eup, Masan-myeon and Masan-myeon) showed vulnerable to flood control, additionally Janghang-eup and Seo-myeon was vulnerable to water supply. However, all region was evaluated vulnerable to water quality separately. In a nutshell this paper aims at deriving regions which expose climate change vulnerabilities by multiphasic vulnerable assessment of climate change, and comparing-evaluating the assessments.

Systematic Analysis of Climate and Installation Price change for Photovoltaic System

  • Lee, Gyeong-Ju;Song, Sang-U;Park, On-Jeon;No, Ji-Hyeong;Mun, Byeong-Mu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2013.02a
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    • pp.692-693
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    • 2013
  • The effects of Climate change and Installation Price for Photovoltaic System were investigated through power generation analysis and economic analysis though. Photovoltaic System would be the same as governmental regulated 3 KW capacity used for the analysis. Also climate information which are serviced on the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) used as well. The experimental results indicate that climate change and installation price change could be influenced more higher on photovoltaic system than last 30-years. Furthermore the economic advantages could be higher on the future.

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Artificial Neural Networks for Interest Rate Forecasting based on Structural Change : A Comparative Analysis of Data Mining Classifiers

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.641-651
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    • 2003
  • This study suggests the hybrid models for interest rate forecasting using structural changes (or change points). The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain significant intervals caused by change points, to identify them as the change-point groups, and to reflect them in interest rate forecasting. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in the U. S. Treasury bill rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast the change-point groups with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast interest rates with backpropagation neural networks (BPN). Based on this structure, we propose three hybrid models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported model, (2) case-based reasoning (CBR)-supported model, and (3) BPN-supported model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the prediction ability of hybrid models to reflect the structural change.

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Relationship between Change of Demographic Composition and Crime : Comparing Areas with Growth in Population to Areas with Decline

  • Lee, Soochang;Kim, Daechan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2022
  • This study is to investigate that population change as a result of the decline in population has a correlation with a decrease in crime, with the change in the demographic composition by comparing with two models: model with growth in population and one with the decline in population. We collected demographic data for all cities in Korea from the 2010 Census to 2020 offered by the Korean Statistical Information Service, with crime data comprising serious reported crime events from the Korean Nation Police Agency through requesting data related to the total number of crimes at the same as the period of demographic data. This study can identify the impacts of demographic changes as a result of population change on crime change through a comparative analysis between areas with population growth and ones with population decline. We can confirm that there are differences in determinants of crime between areas with population increase and one with population decrease from the analysis of the impact of demographic change as a result of population change on crime change.

Examining Change Order Reasons for Non-Structural Utility Support Projects in Healthcare Facilities

  • Genota, Naomi P.;Kim, Joseph J.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.188-195
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    • 2022
  • Although issuing change orders is a common practice in the construction phase of any project, non-structural utility subcontractors are struggling and seek to find a way to reduce change orders. Therefore, this paper presents the analysis results on change orders to cultivate possible suggestions and solutions on how to reduce or minimize change orders in mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) works. Change orders in non-structural utility works are analyzed based on six categories such as rerouting and change of location, changes in weight, rejected design by Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development, District Structural Engineer, or the Structural Engineer of Record, unforeseen conditions, changed equipment, and owner-initiated change. The analysis findings showed that rerouting and changing location is the most significant cause, followed by unforeseen conditions. The results not only contribute to the existing body of knowledge on change order research area, but also help MEP contractors reduce the time and cost of change orders.

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A Leading-price Analysis of Wando Abalone Producer Prices by Shell Size Using VAR Model (VAR 모형을 이용한 크기별 완도 전복가격의 선도가격 분석)

  • Nam, Jongoh;Sim, Seonghyun
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.327-341
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to analyze causality among Wando abalone producer prices by size using a vector autoregressive model to expiscate the leading-price of Wando abalone in various price classes by size per kg. This study, using an analytical approach, applies a unit-root test for stability of data, a Granger causality test to learn about interaction among price classes by size for Wando abalone, and a vector autoregressive model to estimate the statistical impact among t-1 variables used in the model. As a result of our leading-price analysis of Wando abalone producer prices by shell size using a VAR model, first, DF, PP, and KPSS tests showed that the Wando abalone monthly price change rate by size differentiated by logarithm were stable. Second, the Granger causality relationship analysis showed that the price change rate for big size abalone weakly led the price change rate for the small and medium sizes of abalone. Third, the vector autoregressive model showed that three price change rates of t-1 period variables statistically, significantly impacted price change rates of own size and other sizes in t period. Fourth, the impulse response analysis indicated that the impulse responses of structural shocks for price change rate for big size abalone was relatively more powerful in its own size and in other sizes than shocks emanating from other sizes. Fifth, the variance decomposition analysis indicated that the price change rate for big size abalone was relatively more influential than the price change rates for medium and small size abalone.

Cost , Benefit Analysis of Operation System Change in the Hospital Foodservice (대학병원 영양부서 운영체계 변경의 비용.편익분석)

  • Kim, Hyeong-Mi;Yang, Il-Seon;Park, Eun-Cheol;Im, Hyeon-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Dietetic Association
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2000
  • Environmental pressures from such sources an economic condition, the government and inter-institutional competition create managerial challenges. Economic pressures may be forcing dietetic dept, in hospital to utilize cost∙benefit analysis to assist them in their problem solving. Cost∙benefit analysis have been widely used in business, industry and many other fields with only limited application to foodservice. Due to the lack or this information the purposes of this study were to identify use of cost∙benefit analysis in hospital foodservice system to evaluate the economic efficiency of alternatives, and to make recommendation for operation system change. Using the cost∙benefit method, cash flows are separated into cost and benefits. For an alternative to be selected, indicators, such as NPV, benefit-cost ratio (B/C ratio) with 5% discount rate per annum. The sensitivity analysis was also conducted with difference rate 3%, 7% respectively and reduced employee payroll change. The result of this study can be summarized as follows : 1. The total cost of investment for operation system change was 390,570 thousand won and the total benefit through operation system change was 865,808 thousand won. 2. Net present value(NPV) for 5 years was 475,239 thousand won and benefit-cost ratio was 2.22. 3. In sensitivity analysis with different discount rate 3%, 7%, benefit-cost ratio was 2.25, 2.18 respectively, with total reduced employee payroll change, benefit-cost ratio was 2.86. In conclusion, total benefits were exceeded total costs. Therefore, the project of operation system change in hospital foodservice was found to be economically efficient.

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Prediction of Land-cover Change Based on Climate Change Scenarios and Regional Characteristics using Cluster Analysis (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 미래 토지피복변화 예측 및 군집분석을 이용한 지역 특성 분석)

  • Oh, Yun-Gyeong;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to predict future land-cover changes under climate change scenarios and to cluster analysis of regional land-cover characteristics. To simulate the future land-cover according to climate change scenarios - A1B, A2, and B1 of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation with socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. Gyeonggi-do were selected as study areas. The simulation results from 2010 to 2040 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. All scenarios resulted in a gradual decrease in paddy area, while upland area continuously increased. A1B scenario showed the highest increase in built-up area, but all scenarios showed only slight changes in forest area. As a result of cluster analysis with the land-cover component scores, 31 si/gun in Gyeonggi-do were classified into three clusters. This approach is expected to be useful for evaluating and simulating land-use changes in relation to development constraints and scenarios. The results could be used as fundamental basis for providing policy direction by considering regional land-cover characteristics.