• Title/Summary/Keyword: Change Quantification Analysis

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ESTIMATION OF THE MINIMUM INSTREAM FLOWS FOR THE RIVERLINE AESTHETICS ON THE KEUM RIVER

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Jeong, Sang-Man;Hong, Il-Pyo;Lee, Eun-Tae
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.299-307
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    • 2000
  • The method for estimating the minimum instream flows required for the riverline aesthetics, proposed by the Kim et al.(1996), has been applied to the main channel reach of the Keum river basin in Korea. To determine the minimum instream flows for eight main reaches at Keum river basin, six representative stations have been selected. This paper provides an analysis of influence on the riverline aesthetics, which is affected by change of physical components of river, by using the survey-based quantification method. The developed questionnaire based on the literature, and submitted to the 326 people who visited an each representative station. This surveying had been implemented in three times at each representative station and we had been selected a different flowrate at each implementation. The results of this analysis and survey have produced the relationship between the variation of physical components and riverline aesthetics. Survey results bout the flow comparison are summarized as follows. At the view of riverline aesthetics, most of the respondents re sensitive at the change of the flow velocity and they prefer high water level to low water level. Moreover whole respondents prefer to abundant stream flows and moderate flow velocity. The minimum flows for riverline aesthetics is estimated at each representative station by using the survey-based quantification method and the estimated results of some representative station are greater than mean monthly flow at each station. The result of the analysis appears that establishing minimum instream flows for riverline aesthetics is not only a technical problem but a legal problem. Therefore in the case of establishing the instream flows in the river, the estimated results have to be considered as relative standard.

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RNA-seq Analysis Pipeline for Differential Gene Expression (유전자 발현량 비교를 위한 RNA-seq 분석 파이프라인 설계)

  • Jung, Minah;Kim, Dae-soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.319-320
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    • 2018
  • 여러 단계를 걸쳐 이루어지는 RNA-seq 분석 과정을 한 번에 처리할 수 있는 shell script 파이프라인을 구축하였다. 연구자들로 하여금 trimming, quality control, mapping, assembly, quantification 등 개별 과정을 거치지 않고, 한 줄의 커맨드 라인(command line) 만으로 유전자 발현량과 상대적 발현량 차이를 확인할 수 있는 fold change(FC) 값까지 얻을 수 있도록 하였다.

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Quantification of Entire Change of Distributions Based on Normalized Metric Distance for Use in PSAs

  • Han, Seok-Jung;Chun, Moon-Hyun;Tak, Nam-Il
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.270-282
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    • 2001
  • A simple measure of uncertainty importance based on normalized metric distance to quantify the entire change of cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) has been developed for use in probability safety assessments (PSAs). The metric distance measure developed in this study reflects the relative impact of distributional changes of inputs on the change of an output distribution, white most of the existing uncertainty importance measures reflect the magnitude of relative contribution of input uncertainties to the output uncertainty. Normalization is made to make the metric distance measure a dimensionless quantity. The present measure has been evaluated analytically for various analytical distributions to examine its characteristics. To illustrate the applicability and strength of the present measure, two examples are provided. The first example is an application of the present measure to a typical problem of a system fault tree analysis and the second one is for a hypothetical non-linear model. Comparisons of the present result with those obtained by existing uncertainty importance measures show that the metric distance measure is a useful tool to express the measure of uncertainty importance in terms of the relative impact of distributional changes of inputs on the change of an output distribution.

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Damage localization and quantification of a truss bridge using PCA and convolutional neural network

  • Jiajia, Hao;Xinqun, Zhu;Yang, Yu;Chunwei, Zhang;Jianchun, Li
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.673-686
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    • 2022
  • Deep learning algorithms for Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) have been extracting the interest of researchers and engineers. These algorithms commonly used loss functions and evaluation indices like the mean square error (MSE) which were not originally designed for SHM problems. An updated loss function which was specifically constructed for deep-learning-based structural damage detection problems has been proposed in this study. By tuning the coefficients of the loss function, the weights for damage localization and quantification can be adapted to the real situation and the deep learning network can avoid unnecessary iterations on damage localization and focus on the damage severity identification. To prove efficiency of the proposed method, structural damage detection using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) was conducted on a truss bridge model. Results showed that the validation curve with the updated loss function converged faster than the traditional MSE. Data augmentation was conducted to improve the anti-noise ability of the proposed method. For reducing the training time, the normalized modal strain energy change (NMSEC) was extracted, and the principal component analysis (PCA) was adopted for dimension reduction. The results showed that the training time was reduced by 90% and the damage identification accuracy could also have a slight increase. Furthermore, the effect of different modes and elements on the training dataset was also analyzed. The proposed method could greatly improve the performance for structural damage detection on both the training time and detection accuracy.

Quantitative uncertainty analysis for the climate change impact assessment using the uncertainty delta method (기후변화 영향평가에서의 Uncertainty Delta Method를 활용한 정량적 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1079-1089
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    • 2018
  • The majority of existing studies for quantifying uncertainties in climate change impact assessments suggest only the uncertainties of each stage, and not the total uncertainty and its propagation in the whole procedure. Therefore, this study has proposed a new method, the Uncertainty Delta Method (UDM), which can quantify uncertainties using the variances of projections (as the UDM is derived from the first-order Taylor series expansion), to allow for a comprehensive quantification of uncertainty at each stage and also to provide the levels of uncertainty propagation, as follows: total uncertainty, the level of uncertainty increase at each stage, and the percentage of uncertainty at each stage. For quantifying uncertainties at each stage as well as the total uncertainty, all the stages - two emission scenarios (ES), three Global Climate Models (GCMs), two downscaling techniques, and two hydrological models - of the climate change assessment for water resources are conducted. The total uncertainty took 5.45, and the ESs had the largest uncertainty (4.45). Additionally, uncertainties are propagated stage by stage because of their gradual increase: 5.45 in total uncertainty consisted of 4.45 in emission scenarios, 0.45 in climate models, 0.27 in downscaling techniques, and 0.28 in hydrological models. These results indicate the projection of future water resources can be very different depending on which emission scenarios are selected. Moreover, using Fractional Uncertainty Method (FUM) by Hawkins and Sutton (2009), the major uncertainty contributor (emission scenario: FUM uncertainty 0.52) matched with the results of UDM. Therefore, the UDM proposed by this study can support comprehension and appropriate analysis of the uncertainty surrounding the climate change impact assessment, and make possible a better understanding of the water resources projection for future climate change.

Development of Assessment Model for the Optimal Site Prediction of Evergreen Broad-leaved Trees in Warm Temperate Zone according to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 난대상록활엽수의 적지예측 평가 모델 개발)

  • Kang, Jin-Teak;Kim, Jeong-Woon;Kim, Cheol-Min
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out to develop assessment model for the optimal site prediction of Dendropanax morbifera, Evergreen broad-leaved trees in warm temperate zone according to climate change. It was created criterion for assessment model of the optimal site prediction by quantification method to possible analysis of quantitative and qualitative data, through study relationship between growth of tree and site environmental factors. A program of the optimal site prediction was developed using program version 3.2, an Avenue and Dialog Designer tool of ESRI as GIS(geographic information system) engine. Developed program applied to test accuracy of the optimal site prediction in study area of Wando, Jeollanam-do, having a various evergreen broad-leaved trees of warm temperate zone. In the results from analysis of the optimal site prediction on Dendropanax morbifera, the characteristics of optimal site were analyzed site environmental features with 401~500m of altitude, $15^{\circ}$ of slope, hillside of local topography, alluvium of deposit type, convex of slope type and south of aspect. The mapping area per grade of the optimal site prediction in the Dendropanax morbifera showed 1,487.2ha(25.4%) of class I, 1,020.3ha(17.4%) of class II, 2,231.8ha(38.2%) of class III and 1,110.5ha(19.0%) of class IV.

Analysis on Economic Feasibility of Offshore wind power (국내 풍력발전의 경제성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Youngeun
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.149.2-149.2
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    • 2011
  • This paper conducted an analysis of economic effects of offshore wind power in Korea with benefit/cost analysis. The existing feed-on tariff, which was too low to support wind power development, was recently replaced with a Renewable Portfolio Standard(RPS), effective from 2012. According to the new regulatory policy, The Korean government has announced a strategy to draw investments worth for offshore wind farms with a total capacity of 2.5 GW over the next eight years, which is expected the change of cost and benefit. After overview the offshore wind power development status, The effects on cost can be divided by economic, environmental and social factors. Each factor will be calculated and combined by both evaluating index and using Quantification methods. At the end, the implication for the evaluation of feasibility of offshore wind power of Korea will be done.

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The Study to Diagnose the Road-Driver Compatibility I: Comparison of Methods for Bio-Signal Analysis (운전자 주행 적합성 진단을 위한 연구 I: 생체신호 분석방법 비교)

  • Kim, Jung-Yong;Yoon, Sang-Young
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.44-49
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to compare the methods in analyzing bio-signals representing measure driver's psychophysiological staus. This study has considered three approaches: first, the deterministic approach calculating the mean and standard deviation of bio-signal, second, probabilistic approach converting driver's bio-signal values to probability density function and identifying individual state relative to overall distribution, and third, diagnostic approach identifying the pattern change of signal over certain period of time. For evaluation of analysis methods, driver's bio-signal was collected under various road conditions, and three analysis approaches were applied respectively. In result, the deterministic approach was found to be simple to use, but generated a large variability of bio-signal. The probabilistic approach provide a relative status of individual driver among overall population, but too much affected by temporal variability of individual driver. The diagnostic approach seemed to reasonably find driver's psychophysiological change over certain period of time, but still needs to develop quantification method of the bio-signal.

Theoretical approach for uncertainty quantification in probabilistic safety assessment using sum of lognormal random variables

  • Song, Gyun Seob;Kim, Man Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.2084-2093
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    • 2022
  • Probabilistic safety assessment is widely used to quantify the risks of nuclear power plants and their uncertainties. When the lognormal distribution describes the uncertainties of basic events, the uncertainty of the top event in a fault tree is approximated with the sum of lognormal random variables after minimal cutsets are obtained, and rare-event approximation is applied. As handling complicated analytic expressions for the sum of lognormal random variables is challenging, several approximation methods, especially Monte Carlo simulation, are widely used in practice for uncertainty analysis. In this study, a theoretical approach for analyzing the sum of lognormal random variables using an efficient numerical integration method is proposed for uncertainty analysis in probability safety assessments. The change of variables from correlated random variables with a complicated region of integration to independent random variables with a unit hypercube region of integration is applied to obtain an efficient numerical integration. The theoretical advantages of the proposed method over other approximation methods are shown through a benchmark problem. The proposed method provides an accurate and efficient approach to calculate the uncertainty of the top event in probabilistic safety assessment when the uncertainties of basic events are described with lognormal random variables.

Towards high-accuracy data modelling, uncertainty quantification and correlation analysis for SHM measurements during typhoon events using an improved most likely heteroscedastic Gaussian process

  • Qi-Ang Wang;Hao-Bo Wang;Zhan-Guo Ma;Yi-Qing Ni;Zhi-Jun Liu;Jian Jiang;Rui Sun;Hao-Wei Zhu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.267-279
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    • 2023
  • Data modelling and interpretation for structural health monitoring (SHM) field data are critical for evaluating structural performance and quantifying the vulnerability of infrastructure systems. In order to improve the data modelling accuracy, and extend the application range from data regression analysis to out-of-sample forecasting analysis, an improved most likely heteroscedastic Gaussian process (iMLHGP) methodology is proposed in this study by the incorporation of the outof-sample forecasting algorithm. The proposed iMLHGP method overcomes this limitation of constant variance of Gaussian process (GP), and can be used for estimating non-stationary typhoon-induced response statistics with high volatility. The first attempt at performing data regression and forecasting analysis on structural responses using the proposed iMLHGP method has been presented by applying it to real-world filed SHM data from an instrumented cable-stay bridge during typhoon events. Uncertainty quantification and correlation analysis were also carried out to investigate the influence of typhoons on bridge strain data. Results show that the iMLHGP method has high accuracy in both regression and out-of-sample forecasting. The iMLHGP framework takes both data heteroscedasticity and accurate analytical processing of noise variance (replace with a point estimation on the most likely value) into account to avoid the intensive computational effort. According to uncertainty quantification and correlation analysis results, the uncertainties of strain measurements are affected by both traffic and wind speed. The overall change of bridge strain is affected by temperature, and the local fluctuation is greatly affected by wind speed in typhoon conditions.