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Development of Assessment Model for the Optimal Site Prediction of Evergreen Broad-leaved Trees in Warm Temperate Zone according to Climate Change  

Kang, Jin-Teak (Center for Forest and Climate Change, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Kim, Jeong-Woon (Southern For. Res. Center, Korea For. Res. Insti.)
Kim, Cheol-Min (Center for Forest and Climate Change, Korea Forest Research Institute)
Publication Information
Journal of agriculture & life science / v.46, no.3, 2012 , pp. 47-58 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study was carried out to develop assessment model for the optimal site prediction of Dendropanax morbifera, Evergreen broad-leaved trees in warm temperate zone according to climate change. It was created criterion for assessment model of the optimal site prediction by quantification method to possible analysis of quantitative and qualitative data, through study relationship between growth of tree and site environmental factors. A program of the optimal site prediction was developed using program version 3.2, an Avenue and Dialog Designer tool of ESRI as GIS(geographic information system) engine. Developed program applied to test accuracy of the optimal site prediction in study area of Wando, Jeollanam-do, having a various evergreen broad-leaved trees of warm temperate zone. In the results from analysis of the optimal site prediction on Dendropanax morbifera, the characteristics of optimal site were analyzed site environmental features with 401~500m of altitude, $15^{\circ}$ of slope, hillside of local topography, alluvium of deposit type, convex of slope type and south of aspect. The mapping area per grade of the optimal site prediction in the Dendropanax morbifera showed 1,487.2ha(25.4%) of class I, 1,020.3ha(17.4%) of class II, 2,231.8ha(38.2%) of class III and 1,110.5ha(19.0%) of class IV.
Keywords
Climate change; Warm temperature zone; Optimal site prediction; Quantification; Evergreen broad-leaved trees;
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