• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Model Analysis

Search Result 721, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Study on Causality between Trading Volume of Freight and Industrial Growth in Korea Ports (국내 주요항만별 항만물동량과 산업성장의 인과관계)

  • Choi, Bong-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.159-175
    • /
    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationship between trading volume of freight and industrial growth in Korea ports, and to induce policy implications. In order to test whether time series data is stationary and the model is fitness or not, we put in operation unit root test, cointegration test. And we apply Granger causality based on an error correction model, Hsiao(1981) method and variance decomposition. The results indicate that the extent of causality between trading volume of freight and industrial growth is strong in order of Incheon port, Busan port, Gwang Yang port, Ulsan port. We can infer policy suggestions as follows; The port policy of government must be focused on re-adjusting investment among Korea ports and raising competitive power of Korea ports

  • PDF

Development of a Stock Flow Model on Diffusion Process of Innovative Goods: the Green Car Diffusion Case (혁신제품 확산과정에 대한 저유량 모형 개발: 친환경 자동차를 대상으로)

  • Park, Kyungbae
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.25-49
    • /
    • 2013
  • As global competition for green car, that is environmentally friendly car, is getting tougher, the governments and the related industries are putting their core efforts in its diffusion. However, the green car sales are disappointing so far. To overcome the gridlock, it is necessary to develop concrete analytical framework to understand the diffusion process. Based on causal loop analysis from the previous work, we have identified main variables and relationships of them in the diffusion process and developed a stock-flow diagram and mathematical formula for the main components. The model would be applied for further quantitative simulation on the diffusion process of green car and other innovative goods as well. Also, we have suggested constructive insights for the policy makers and for the related industries. First, it is important to increase consumers' willingness to consider through marketing and word of mouth to accelerate the diffusion process. Second, in the perspective of the industry, the market share of green car should be increased at the earliest possible stage and this could be done by enhancing each components of green car attractiveness(e.g. price, driving range, social infra). Third, companies should develop a balanced investment between consumer and technology sector through a flexible financial policy. Fourth, the government continuously has the role of investing in the related R&D and social infra building. We expect the green car diffusion model and related formula from the research can provide meaningful tools to analyze the diffusion process of other new and innovative goods based on its deep researched literature review.

  • PDF

Effect Measurement of Government and Public Service Advertising: Focused on Acceptance Process of Government and Public Service Advertising (정부광고와 공공광고의 효과 측정: 정부·공공광고의 수용과정을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Byoung Hee;Son, Yeong-Gon;Jo, Chang-Hwan;Lee, Hui-Jun
    • (The) Korean Journal of Advertising
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.7-34
    • /
    • 2017
  • The debate surrounding advertising effectiveness is not to be overstated as a major source of advertising research. However, there is still a lack of discussion on the model for measuring the effects of government and public service advertising. This study focuses on this point and develops an index model that can evaluate government advertising. For this purpose, we conducted a survey of 800 respondents in 7 major cities. Based on the creativity evaluation factors (originality, clarity, and appropriateness) of government advertising and the evaluation factors (interest, avoidance, and relevance) of policy contents, a causal model that affects the cognition, attitude, and behavioral responses of the audience was set up. As a result of analysis, originality, clarity, interest, and relevance except for appropriateness and avoidance were meaningful variables for creating government advertising effect such as policy understanding, audience attitude, word of mouth intention of policy. In addition, policy understanding and audience attitude were the main mediating variable influencing the word of mouth intention of policy. Based on research results, this paper discussed the direction for creating effective government and public service advertising in the future.

A Study on the Change of Quality in a Residential Sector of Single Person Households in Seoul during the COVID-19: Analyze Variable Importance and Causality with Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression Analysis (서울시 1인 가구의 코로나 19 전후 주거의 질 변화 연구: 인공신 경망과 로지스틱 회귀모형을 활용한 변수 중요도 및 인과관계 분석)

  • Jaebin, Lim;Kiseong, Jeong
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-82
    • /
    • 2023
  • Using the Artificial Neural Network model and Binary Logistic Regression model, this study investigates influence factors on the quality of life in terms of housing environment during the COVID-19 in Seoul. The results show that the lower the satisfaction level of housing policy, the lower the quality of life in the employment field and the lower the quality of residential field. On the other hand, permanent workers and self-employed respondents have experienced improvement in residential quality during the pandemic. A limitation of this study is associated with disentangling the causal relationship using the 'black box' characteristics of ANN method.

Foodservice Employees' Big 5 and Its Impact on Turnover Intention - Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Job Satisfaction - (외식업체 종사원의 성격이 이직의도에 미치는 영향 - 직무만족의 매개효과를 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Young-Jin;Ha, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.508-518
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this study, the influence of sub-factors of Big Five personality (extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, neuroticism, openness to experience) to job satisfaction and turnover intention, and mediating effect of job satisfaction between Big Five personality and turnover intention were empirically analysed. Also the relationship between job satisfaction and turnover intention was investigated. The sample of this study were customer-contact employees of restaurant among Youngnam province. 243 questionnaires were used for the empirical analyses. According to the empirical analysis results, openness to experience and conscientiousness respectively had positive influences to job satisfaction and turnover intention. Also neuroticism gave negative influence to turnover intention. Another research finding of this study was that mediating effect of job satisfaction existed in the causal relationship of 'openness to experience' and conscientiousness to turnover intention. Managerial implications of the research findings are that restaurant managers are recommended to select employees of having much of conscientiousness and 'openness to experience', and to employ those of having much of agreeableness. In the field of restaurant industry, training is very important for employees to foster these personalities, because this industry does not have environment of hiring employees of having much of these personalities. Also training can be applied to employees of having high neuroticism for minimizing their turnover intention.

Beyond Growth: Does Tourism Promote Human Development in India? Evidence from Time Series Analysis

  • SHARMA, Manu;MOHAPATRA, Geetilaxmi;GIRI, Arun Kumar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.7 no.12
    • /
    • pp.693-702
    • /
    • 2020
  • The present study aims to investigate the impact of tourism growth on human development in Indian economy. For this purpose, the study uses annual data from 1980 to 2018 and utilizes two proxies for tourism growth - tourism receipt and tourist arrivals - and uses human development index calculated by UNDP. The study uses control variables such as government expenditure and trade openness. The study employs auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to investigate the cointegrating relationship among the variables in the model. Further, the study also explores the causal nexus between tourism sector and human development by using the Toda-Yamamoto Granger non-causality test. The result of ARDL bounds test reveals the existence of cointegrating relationship between human development indicators, government expenditure, trade openness, and tourism sector growth. The cointegating coefficient confirms a positive and significant relationship between tourism sector growth and human development in India. The causality result suggests that economic growth and tourism have a positive impact while trade openness has a negative impact on human development in India. The major findings of this study suggest that tourism plays an important role in the socio-economic development of Indian economy in recent years and the country must develop this sector to achieve sustainable development.

The Effects of Leadership, Appraisal, Reward, and KMS Characteristics on KMS Use (리더십, 평가 및 보상, KMS특성이 KMS 이용에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hong-Jae;Park, Sung-Jong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.10 no.6
    • /
    • pp.7-15
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationships among leadership, appraisal, reward, knowledge quality, knowledge management system(KMS) quality, and KMS use. The results of data analysis by structured equation model(SEM) indicate that leadership significantly influences appraisal and reward. Appraisal affects reward too. Reward and knowledge quality affect KMS Use, but leadership, appraisal, and KMS quality don't affect KMS use. Based on the results, the theoretical and practical implications of this study are discussed.

Perceived Exercise Self-Efficacy and Exercise Benefits/Barriers of Korean Adults with Chronic Diseases (성인 만성질환자가 지각하는 운동 자기효능감과 운동 유익성 및 장애성에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Yun-Hee;Jang, Hee-Jung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.869-879
    • /
    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study was to assess the perceived exercise self-efficacy and exercise benefits/barriers of Korean adults with chronic diseases, and the relationship between the two variables. For the study, 249 Korean adults with chronic diseases with ages ranging from 18 to 79 years were recruited from hospitals or health centers in five Korean cities and surrounding rural areas. The research instruments were the scales that researchers psychometrically verified the Exercise Self-Efficacy Scale, developed by Bandura (1997), and the Exercise Benefits/ Barriers Scale, developed by Sechrist, Walker, and Pender(1987). Results of descriptive analysis showed that Korean adults with chronic diseases perceived relatively low exercise self-efficacy and relatively high exercise benefits/ barriers. Exercise self-efficacy was significantly correlated with gender, education, regular exercise, and exercise benefits/barriers was significantly correlated with gender, regular exercise. Pearson correlation coefficient showed the significant relationship between the two variables. Further researches, which are a study to evaluate a causal structure for Pender's Health Promotion Model and an intervention study to increase physical activity of chronic patients, are recommended.

  • PDF

The mediating effect of informatization level between characteristics of introducing information system and organizational performance in hospital settings (병원의 정보시스템 도입 특성과 조직성과간의 관계에 있어 정보화 수준의 매개 효과)

  • Ji, Jae-Hoon;Cho, Young-Ha
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-22
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the mediating effect of informatization level between characteristics of introducing information system and organizational performance in hospital settings, and to provide suggestions to improve the performance level of strategic information system of hospitals. In order to achieve study purpose, a causal path model was developed and empirically tested. Data were collected from 746 managers of 92 hospitals keeping information system in Busan, Ulsan and Kyungnam Province using self-administered structured questionnaire. Major results of this study were as follows; The results of the path analysis showed that organizational characteristics variables except informatization strength within health industry had significant effects on informatization level, and had indirect effects on organizational performance mediated by informatization level. On the other hand, informatization level, especially revelation capability among informatization level variables, was found to have significant direct effect on organizational performance. These results of empirical test imply that informatization level variables are both important affecting factors on organizational performance and mediating factors between organizational characteristics and organizational performance. Therefore, in order to increase organizational performance, measures improving informatization level should be developed and carried out continuously. And, especially, focusing on building and strengthening revelation capability is crucial to those efforts.

  • PDF

Management Model-Buildings of Location Conflict on Crematory Facilities (화장장시설에 관한 입지갈등 관리모형 구축)

  • Lee, Man-Hyung;Lee, Joong-Hoon;Kwon, Hyuk-Il
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-95
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper focuses on prototype management models of location conflict concerned with crematory facilities in Korea. Using causal loops and stock-flow diagrams, it examines behavioral patterns of key variables, which would contribute to developing objective evaluation criteria. After a series of simulation works, the paper finds that the top priority should be given to how to improve neighboring residents' perception, ahead of specific compensation issues. Otherwise, they are open to vicious cycles or impasse. Juxtaposing individual cases together, Pusan and Cheongju examples which experienced the extreme confrontation in the initial stage could succeed in resolving crematory location conflict, especially between local residents and the public authorities, as the latter has repeatedly guaranteed to the former higher standards of participation. The opposite was almost true for Seoul and Ulsan cases, both of which were drawn into a crematory location whirlpool, incrementally losing resident's participation base. These results imply that the proposed management models would enhance mutual understanding among major stake-holders in relatively a shorter time, not to mention the overall cost.

  • PDF