• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Map Analysis

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Analysis of Future Spectrum Sharing Ecosystem Based on Causal Map (인과지도에 기반한 미래 주파수공유 생태계 분석)

  • Song, Hee Seok;Kim, Taehan
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2013
  • There is tremendous increasing demand on spectrum resource which is boosted by spread of cloud computing and M2M telecommunication as well as smart phone and tablet PC. Recently, spectrum sharing technology has drawn attention to the spectrum policy makers as a promising way to overcome limitation of scarce spectrum resource. To succeed in commercialization of spectrum sharing technology, it is necessary to prospect the future business ecosystem of spectrum sharing and develop appropriate policies and laws at the same time along with the advance of spectrum sharing technology. The purpose of this paper is to prospect future spectrum sharing ecosystem and analyze business ecosystem of spectrum sharing with casual loop map. With the causal map and system dynamics method, it is possible to analyze feedback loops which is not limited to linear thinking and build policies which optimize positive dynamics in business ecosystem of spectrum sharing.

Causal Maps of President Kim Dae Jung:Systems thinking in managing the Korean financial crisis of 1997 (김대중 대통령의 인과지도:1997년도 금융위기의 원인과 극복에 관한 김대중 대통령의 시스템 사고)

  • 김동환
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.5-28
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    • 2000
  • After the unanticipated financial crisis of Korea in 1997, lots of debates have been held on how to manage the crisis. However, few studies attempt to analyze policy makers' map that shaped and guided various measures for overcoming the crisis. This paper explores cognitive maps and systems thinking of the President of Korea who successfully managed the financial crisis. Futhermore, his cognitive map is compared to that of Prime Minister of Malaysia who overcome financial crisis successfully but in different ways. In this paper the causal map analysis of policy makers is proposed as a promising approach for in-depth investigation of systems thinking of policy makers.

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Development of a Construction Performance Causal Map Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 건설성과 인과지도 개발)

  • Kang, Jin-Young;Park, Hee-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2009
  • Construction Performance measurement and management has been interested by construction practitioners. However, current construction project management practices are related to short-term improvement plans rather than long-term and systematic approaches based upon performance analysis. AR a result, there is a need for developing of a collaborative plan over project life cycle. Therefore, this paper reviews extensive literature and proposes the construction performance estimating model using a system dynamics. The paper proposes casual maps for planning, design, procurement, and construction phases. Each casual map includes all performance indicators and factors that impact on performance directly or indirectly. These casual maps that were developed by system thinking will enhance the understanding of the relationships among performances and factors. After further data gathering, these models can be used to estimate construction performance and eventually these will save project costs and shorten project schedule.

A Structural Analysis between Overseas Opening of Geospatial Information and the Promotion of Geospatial Information Industry Using the Systems Thinking (시스템 사고를 통한 지도데이터 국외개방과 공간정보 산업 활성화간 인과구조 분석)

  • Yi, Mi Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.213-221
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    • 2018
  • South Korea has been reluctant to open its geospatial information overseas to ensure security as a divided country. However, this cannot continue as the domestic and international environments related to geospatial information and the industrial ecosystem of information and communication technologies have been changing dramatically. Within this context, this study aims to analyze the causal relations among relevant variables and how they change and interact with time using a systems thinking process. First, causal maps were created for the domains of national security, map-based convergence service, and corporate competition. Then, the causal maps for each domain were integrated, based on which the points for policy intervention and dominant feedback loops were identified. The analysis results showed that securing the self-sufficiency of domestic geospatial businesses is a key element to determine the whole causal map, and the variable that changes the dominant feedback loop from a vicious circle to a virtuous one is the decision to open geospatial information overseas. In this study, I found the policy leverage that is a policy intervention point that can produce a great effect with little input by building a causal map of the interactions between major variables. This study is significant in that it identified and analyzed the dominant feedback loop as to which causal structure would dominate the system in the long term. The results of this study can be used to discuss not only the impacts of map data overseas opening on the national security and geospatial information industry, but also the interactions in the future when Google or other global companies request to release the geospatial information.

Analysis of a Fire Accident during a Batch Reactor Cleaning with AcciMap, STAMP and FRAM (AcciMap, STAMP, FRAM을 이용한 반응기 세척 작업 중 화재 사고 분석)

  • Seo, Dong-Hyun;Bae, Gye wan;Choi, Yi-Rac;Han, Ou-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2021
  • Representative systematic accident analysis methods proposed so far include AcciMap, STAMP, and FRAM. This study used these three techniques to analyze a fire accident case that occurred during routine manufacturing work in a domestic chemical plant and compared the results. The methods used different approaches to identify the cause of the accident, but they all highlighted similar causal factors. In addition to technical issues, the three accident analysis methods identified factors related to safety education, risk assessment, and the operation of the process safety management system, as well as management philosophy and company culture as problems. The AcciMap and STAMP models play complementary roles because they use hierarchical structures, while FRAM is more effective in analyses centered on human and organizational functions than in technical analyses.

Fuzzy Cognitive Map-Based A, pp.oach to Causal Knowledge Base Construction and Bi-Directional Inference Method -A, pp.ications to Stock Market Analysis- (퍼지인식도에 기초한 인과관계 지식베이스 구축과 양방향 추론방식에 관한 연구 -주식시장 분석에의 적용을 중심으로-)

  • 이건창;주석진;김현수
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 1995
  • 본 연구에서 퍼지인식도(Fuzzy Cognitive Map) 개념을 기초로 하여 (1) 특정 문제영역에 대한 전문가의 인과관계 지식(causal knowledge)을 추출하는 알고리즘을 제시하고, (2) 이 알고리즘에 기초하여 작성된 해당 문제영역에 대한 여러 전문가들의 인과관계 지식을 계층별로 분해하여, (3) 해당 계층간의 양방향 추론이 가능한 추론메카니즘을 제시하고자 한다. 특정 문제영역에 있어서의 인과관계 지식이란 해당 문제를 구성하는 여러 개념간에 존재하는 인과관계를 표현한 지식을 의미한다. 이러한 인과관계 지식은 기존의 IF-THEN 형태의 규칙과는 달리 행렬형태로 표현되기 때문에 수학적인 연산이 가능하다. 특정 문제영역에 대한 전문가의 인과관계 지식을 추출하는 알고리즘은 집합연산에 의거하여 개발되었으며, 특히 상반된 의견을 보이는 전문가들의 의견을 통합하여 하나의 통합된 인과관계 지식베이스를 구축하는데 유용하다. 그러나, 주어진 문제가 복잡하여 다양한 개념들이 수반되면, 자연히 인과관계 지식베이스의 규모도 커지게 되므로 이를 다루는데 비효율성이 개재되기 마련이다. 따라서 이러한 비효율성을 해소하기 위하여 주어진 문제를 여러계측(Hierarchy)으로 분해하여, 해당 계층별로 인과관계 지식베이스를 구축하고 각 계층별 인과관계 지식베이스를 연결하여 추론하는 메카니즘을 개발하면 효과적인 추론이 가능하다. 이러한 계층별 분해는 행렬의 분해와 같은 개념으로도 이해될 수 있다는 특징이 있어 그 연산이 간단명료하다는 장점이 있다. 이와같이 분해된 인과관계 지식베이스는 계층간의 추론메카니즘을 통하여 서로 연결된다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 상향 또는 하향방식이 추론이 가능한 양방향 추론방식을 제시하여 주식시장에서의 투자분석 문제에 적용하여 그 효율성을 검증하였다.

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Analysis of Conceptions Related to Earth System and Systems-Thinking of High School Student about Water Cycle (물의 순환에 대한 고등학생들의 지구시스템 관련 개념과 시스템 사고의 분석)

  • Kang, Chun-duk;Lee, Hyo-nyong;Yoon, Ill-Hee;Kim, Eun-ju
    • Journal of Science Education
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of the study is to research students' proficiency with systems-thinking approach concerning water cycles and to acquire data on Earth System-related concepts based on students' feedback. To achieve the purpose of the study, I chose 4 mid-level high school juniors living in Pohang, where the high school equalization policy has not been implemented, and the students answered a questionnaire about water cycles. Then, based on the results, I created a causal map and evaluated it using systems-thinking analysis. The results of the study are as follows: First of all, among the answers of the subjects, there were 21 concepts related to the conception of the earth system : 14 of the conceptions were linked scientifically, and 7 of the conceptions were not linked scientifically. Secondly, results of the causal map of what the subjects described showed that only two students'(A and C) feedback loops were completed, and that student C's feedback loop included unscientific reasoning. In conclusion, this study indicated that the students failed to understand the water cycle with the systems-thinking approach, or alternatively they applied low-level systems-thinking approach and had a lower understanding of it.

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Analysis of causal factors and physical reactions according to visually induced motion sickness (시각적으로 유발되는 어지럼증(VIMS)에 따른 신체적 반응 및 유발 요인 분석)

  • Lee, Chae-Won;Choi, Min-Kook;Kim, Kyu-Sung;Lee, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the HCI Society of Korea
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2014
  • We present an experimental framework to analyze the physical reactions and causal factors of Visually Induced Motion Sickness (VIMS) using electroencephalography (EEG) signals and vital signs. We studied eleven subjects who are voluntarily participated in the experiments and conducted online and offline surveys. In order to simulate videos including global motions that could cause the motion sickness, we extracted global motions by optical flow estimation method from hand-held captured video recordings containing intense motions. Then, we applied the extracted global motions to our test videos with action movies and texts. Each genre of video includes three levels of different motions depending on its intensity. EEG signal and vital sign that were measured by a portable electrocorticography device and an electronic monometer in real time while the subjects watch the videos including ones with the extracted motions. We perform an analysis of the EEG signals using Distance Map(DM) calculated by correlation among each channel of brain signal. Analysis using the vital signs and the survey results is also performed to obtain relationship between the VIMS and causal factors. As a result, we clustered subjects into three groups based on the analysis of the physical reaction using the DM and the correlation between vital sign and survey results, which shows high relationships between the VIMS and the intensity of motions.

A Study on Developing a Knowledge-based Database Program for Gas Facility Accident Analysis (가스시설 사고원인 해석을 위한 지식 데이터베이스 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim Min Seop;Im Cha Soon;Lee Jin Han;Park Kyo Shik;Ko Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.4 no.4 s.12
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2000
  • We develop the database program for accident cause analysis which can help to increase domestic safety custom and prevent recurrence of gas accident and analyze accidents easily The program developed in this study consists of two parts. one part uses accident case database applied if than rule, so it finds root causes by inference of some input values. The other uses Root Cause Analysis Map which divided human errors and equipment difficulties and so we get general root cause by reply some proper questions.

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Root Cause Analysis of the Information Industry Ecosystem Problems (정보산업 생태계 문제의 근본원인 분석)

  • Kim, Sung Kun;Ahn, Nam Gyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.71-92
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    • 2017
  • Finding a root cause is an essential step to solving a complex problem. Some previous studies have used the Delphi method for gathering opinions about root causes from geographically dispersed experts. However, we assert that complicated problems such as an industry ecosystem would make a general type of the Delphi method less practical because of too much psychological burden on study participants. In this study we present a preliminary list-based Delphi study method for identifying a root cause. This method was used to identify a root cause and draw a causal map for the information industry ecosystem problems.