• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal Loop Diagram

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A Systems Thinking Approach to the Enhancement of Social Capital: In Case of Social Media Users (시스템 사고 접근을 통한 사회적 자본 증대 방안 연구: 소셜미디어 사용자를 중심으로)

  • Son, Jung-Eun;Jang, Yoon-Jung;Lee, So-Hyun;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.21-40
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    • 2013
  • Because of the recent development of information technology, especially the popularization of social media, false rumors and abusive comments on social media have increased, which has accelerated conflicts in online society. Since these conflicts lead to significant negative influences on online society, it is important to figure out how to cope with the conflicts and integrate the society. Thus, this study provides effective political implications that will advance the society where people can communicate based on trust in social media. In addition, we suggest new sociocultural change phenomenon and social integration by drawing the Causal Loop Diagram focusing on the dimension of social capital in social media environment.

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Systems Thinking for the Crisis and Improvements of Healthcare Delivery System (시스템사고로 본 의료전달체계의 위기와 개선방안)

  • Chung, Yoon;Lim, Jae Min;Lee, Kyun Jick
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.5-24
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    • 2016
  • This study structurally analyzes major inefficiency of Korea's healthcare delivery system by utilizing the systems thinking. In particular, the phenomenon of patient's concentrated visits to large hospitals, waste of resource due to competitions between clinics and large hopitals, and the structure of oversupply were visualized using the causal loop diagram. The inefficient structure of healthcare delivery system can be understood more clearly by utilizing the major system archetypes of 'success to the successful', 'tragedy of commons', 'escalation' and 'limits to growth'. This study also finds solution from archetypal structure suggested by Wolstenholme. The inefficient status of healthcare delivery system might be explained by the 'out of control' archetype. In conclusion, the public resources such as the national health insurance need to be acknowledged as the entire achievement. All the participants should cooperate with each other in order to improve the inefficiency of the healthcare delivery system. In addition, the arrangement of incentive system for cooperation, acceleration of health information technology, and development of innovative business models make the sustainable healthcare delivery system.

The Analyzing the Consumer Information Leak Case of Korean Card Companies with Business Ethics CLD: Studying on Cause and Solution with System Dynamics (윤리경영 인과지도를 바탕으로 분석한 한국의 카드사 고객정보 유출 사건: 시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 원인 탐구와 해결책 모색)

  • Kim, SeungBum;Shin, Ho-Sang
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.77-105
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    • 2016
  • Whenever Information leak case had been happened, even though IT Infra systems were reinforced, those cases of kind were not decreased. It meant that the causes are not only the fault of IT, but also other things. So that the information leak cases should have been studied by the interdisciplinary way. There was a point of view for the Business Ethics which needed to be studied in the interdisciplinary way. Financial Information Leak Case of three representative Card Companies in Korea which is happened in 2014 was a case which was composed by many problems. These were bad circumstances, half-educated, lower salary, and the most of all, the C-Levels' ignorance of the law. By studying the CLD: Causal Loop Diagram of Business Ethics and those mentioned factors, few meanings were discovered. Firstly, this case was not a accident, but a predeterminate issue at all, because of the structural unethical corruption. Secondly, main reason of this case was not only criminals who leaked information, but also managers, especially CEO who didn't obey the law, forced that to employees. Thirdly, although those companies had moral guide and did CSR activities, it was not help to protect this information leak case. This study shows that the important thing was not the action for showing, but effective action to management for sustainability.

A Study on the Effects of Nuclear Power Plant Workers and Organizational Characteristics on Accidents (원전 종사자 및 조직 특성이 사고에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Byung-Suk;Jo, Hyun-Woong;Oh, Youngmin
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.5-25
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of nuclear power plant workers and organizational characteristics on accidents, and seek the combination of policies for reducing accidents. For this purpose, it grasped, by using System Dynamics and Causal Loop Diagram, how various factors that cause accidents in nuclear plants are interrelated, and performed simulations after building simulation models. As a result of the analysis, first, the fundamental cause of safety accidents in nuclear power plants turned out to be the time constraint on the workload. Second, it turned out that as the workload of workers increases, physical and mental stresses increase, thereby increasing accidents due to errors and violations. Third, it turned out that as the levels of educational training and compliance with regulations and procedures are enhanced, accidents are reduced. Lastly, it turned out that as the combination of policies (reliance level + working environment + educational training + compliance with regulations and procedures) is increased, accidents are reduced. Especially, it turned out that if the combination of policies is increased by 30%, more than 10 cases of accidents are reduced.

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Conservation Method of Sindu-ri Coastal Dune using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 신두리 해안사구의 보전방안)

  • Seok, Youngsun;You, Soojin;Song, Kihwan;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the land-use changes in the coastal areas using system dynamics modeling and to provide directions for effective management to maintain coastal dune areas. This research process consists of four steps: First, we built the basic model based on the causal loop diagram which was analyzed the land-use change of Sindu-ri Coastal Dune. Second, a time series land-use change map using Arc Map was established. Third, the validity of the basic model was tested. Finally, three simulations were performed for the cut over area($100,000m^2/y$, $150,000m^2/y$, $200,000m^2/y$) of windbreak for maintaining the coastal dune areas. Simulation of the basic model showed that the area of the coastal dune will be consistently decreased. Based on the simulation, if windbreak were cut down $150,000m^2/y$, windbreak area will be restored to the target area in 2019. This study has the limitation which the simulation is progressed with a limited variable: area. Therefore, the modeling of coastal dune should be reflected various variables in the further study.

The Study on Imbalance for Labor Supply and Demand in Electrical Construction Business : Simulating the Supply and Demand Gap of Technical Engineer (전기공사업 노동시장의 인력수급 불균형에 관한 연구: 기술·기능인력의 수급격차에 대한 시뮬레이션)

  • Park, Houng-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.105-134
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    • 2013
  • Electrical construction business has public and professional characters. It may require appropriate interventions of the government because these business activities stand for not only profit-seeking competition, but also supplies of one of the key functions in our society. In other words, public benefit and private benefit are still in existence. The government therefore considers such an aspect of public importance of the business sector and needs to plan to adjust technical and engineering manpower of this market. This study focuses on the imbalance for labor supply and demand of technical engineer in electrical construction business. A system dynamics analysis is applied to understand and simulate the imbalance as a soft approach. It has the merit of causal loop diagram to alleviate the limitation of data lack problem. We find that excess demand is expected from 2010 to 2011, and excess supply is predicted from 2012 to 2021 about the manpower of technical engineer. It shows considerable disagreement between the supply and demand of human resource. So we suggest that it is strong necessity to construct statistics infrastructure for a manpower supply and demand plan.

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Causal Loop Analysis and Policy Simulation on the fluctuation of Korean Cattle Price (한우 가격 파동의 인과순환적 구조분석과 정책 시뮬레이션)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.135-163
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to analyze the feedback loops and policy simulation of price fluctuation of Korean Cattle. The Korean Cattle market shows the 'Cycle of Beef' since 1970. In general, the market for agricultural commodities exhibit repeated cycles of prices and production. Why Beef products market in Korea shows the fluctuation of cattle and beef price repeatedly for forty years? To find an answer, this paper explores the feedback structure of the dynamics of the beef market by the systems thinking and build a stock-flow diagram model for the simulation of future behavior of the market sector of the Cattle. The dynamic simulation model was developed to identify and analyze the cyclical behavior among many variables, which is the number of cattle (calves, cow, etc.), the price of cattle, the demand for beef, the desirable number of cattle, slaughter, etc. The results of this study demonstrate that dominant feedback loops between the number of cattle and livestock prices. The demand for Beef and slaughter with time delay, also the results of the simulation to explain the persistence of future price fluctuations and actions meat market until 2025.

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Development of System Dynamics Model for the Variation of Plasma Glucose Levels in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (당뇨병 환자의 혈당 변동에 대한 시스템다이내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Choi, Eun-Ok;Kwak, Chan-Yeong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.155-170
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a system dynamics model for management of glucose metabolism disorders that demonstrated dynamic relationships between insulin and plasma glucose levels over the time. The model was developed to 1) represent the physiology of glucose metabolism for an normal adult subject, 2) to draw causal loop diagram that demonstrate feedback systems of glucose regulation in normal condition and pathologic condition of the type 2 diabetes, 3) to develop an interactive computer simulation model for management of glucose metabolism disorders. The simulation results showed the plasma glucose level for normal persons varied from 75 to 140 which was consistent with clinical findings. As an example for patients we selected a case which varied from 110 to 310. Two types of interventions were chosen to review the model; meal control and insulin administration. The simulation results for those cases also matched well with clinical findings. The developed model can be used as an effective educational tool for patients to develop healthy lifestyle choices. The results also provide a blueprint for health providers to maintain normal blood glucose levels in diabetes patients.

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Qualitative Simulation on the Dynamics between Social Capital and Business Performance in Strategic Networks

  • Kim, Dong-Seok;Chung, Chang-Kwon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.9
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - This study develops a simulation model that looks at the dynamics between social capital and business performance in strategic networks to understand their behaviors in relation to each other, and to suggest dynamic relationship strategies. Research design, data, and methodology - Based on existing literature, this study identifies the complex causal loop diagram on social capital and business performance in strategic networks, and converts them into a simulation model for observing how the changes in business environment and relationship dependency affect social capital and business performance. Results - The simulation results showed that, first, the formation in social capital and business performance of networks with low relationship dependency was less affected by the changes in business environment. Second, the formation in social capital and business performance of networks with high relationship dependency was negatively impacted by the changes in business environment. In other words, higher relationship dependency strengthened the impact of changes in business environment on business performance. Conclusions - Thus, this study confirmed that in strategic networks, the changes in business environment and the degree of relationship dependency dynamically affect business performance, and that relationship dependency mediates the degree in which changes in the business environment affect business performance. The results of the simulations were further verified through actual business cases.

A Basic Study on Optimal Price Estimation Model Development of Residential Officetel Project (주거용 오피스텔의 최적 분양가 산정 모델 개발 연구)

  • Jeon, Sang-Sub;Jang, Jun-Ho;Ha, Sun-Geun;Lee, Joo-Hyeong;Son, Ki-Young;Son, Seung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.124-125
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    • 2018
  • Recently, risk analysis studies regarding the architecture development project have been carried out by applying probabilistic method. However, it had a limit that this studies was conducted in only an apartment. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop an optimal price estimation model that can be utilized on residential officetel project by applying Monte Carlo simulation. To achieve the objective, first, the variables are selected affecting the feasibility of an officetel based on literature review. Second, causal loop diagram is constructed by arranging the relationship between variables, then the import and expense model is suggested. Third, to carry out optimized parcel price, the range limits are set for each variables then Monte Carlo simulation is performed. In the future, the developed model is expected to help decision-makers as a tool to determine both risk and feasibility of the officetel development project.

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