• Title/Summary/Keyword: Calibration verification

Search Result 277, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Numerical Estimations of Nakdong River Flows Through Linking of Watershed and River Flow Models (유역 모형과 하천 모형의 연계를 통한 낙동강 본류 흐름 예측)

  • Kang, Hyeong-Sik;Jang, Jae-Ho;Ahn, Jong-Ho;Kim, Ik-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.44 no.7
    • /
    • pp.577-590
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, the watershed and water body models were linked for the simulation of the Nakding river flow. This is a pre-step study for the estimation of the effect of the flow and water quality on the climate change. For models of watershed and river flow, the SWAT and EFDC were used, respectively. The runoff discharge at each boundary points for the simulation of the river flow was provided from the drainage basin model. The calculated runoff discharge by the SWAT model was compared with the measured data of the Ministry of Environment at 13 locations along the Nakdong river and 30 locations along the tributary streams. The computed water discharge was shown to be similar with the measured data. For the model calibration and verification, % difference, NSE, and $R^2$ were computed. The computed % difference was within 15% except of a few points. The NSE and $R^2$ were also within a fair level. The Nakdong river flow of 2007 was simulated by using the EFDC model. The comparison with the measured data showed that the model reflected the actual values of low and high flow well. Also, it was confirmed that the acceleration and deceleration in the curved areas were appropriately simulated. The movement of dye injected at the upstream boundary was simulated. The result showed that the arrival time up to the estuary dam was computed to be about 65 days.

Development and evaluation of dam inflow prediction method based on Bayesian method (베이지안 기법 기반의 댐 예측유입량 산정기법 개발 및 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;So, Jae-Min;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.50 no.7
    • /
    • pp.489-502
    • /
    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to propose and evaluate the BAYES-ESP, which is a dam inflow prediction method based on Ensemble Streamflow Prediction method (ESP) and Bayesian theory. ABCD rainfall-runoff model was used to predict monthly dam inflow. Monthly meteorological data collected from KMA, MOLIT and K-water and dam inflow data collected from K-water were used for the model calibration and verification. To estimate the performance of ABCD model, ESP and BAYES-ESP method, time series analysis and skill score (SS) during 1986~2015 were used. In time series analysis monthly ESP dam inflow prediction values were nearly similar for every years, particularly less accurate in wet and dry years. The proposed BAYES-ESP improved the performance of ESP, especially in wet year. The SS was used for quantitative analysis of monthly mean of observed dam inflows, predicted values from ESP and BAYES-ESP. The results indicated that the SS values of ESP were relatively high in January, February and March but negative values in the other months. It also showed that the BAYES-ESP improved ESP when the values from ESP and observation have a relatively apparent linear relationship. We concluded that the existing ESP method has a limitation to predict dam inflow in Korea due to the seasonality of precipitation pattern and the proposed BAYES-ESP is meaningful for improving dam inflow prediction accuracy of ESP.

Real-time Upstream Inflow Forecasting for Flood Management of Estuary Dam (담수호 홍수관리를 위한 상류 유입량 실시간 예측)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Park, Seung-Woo;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.38 no.12 s.161
    • /
    • pp.1061-1072
    • /
    • 2005
  • A hydrological grey model is developed to forecast short-term river runoff from the Naju watershed located at upstream of the Youngsan estuary dam in Korea. The runoff of the Naju watershed is measured in real time at the Naju streamflow gauge station, which is a key station for forecasting the upstream inflow and operating the gates of the estuary dam in flood period. The model's governing equation is formulated on the basis of the grey system theory. The model parameters are reparameterized in combination with the grey system parameters and estimated with the annealing-simplex method In conjunction with an objective function, HMLE. To forecast accurately runoff, the fifth order differential equation was adopted as the governing equation of the model in consideration of the statistic values between the observed and forecast runoff. In calibration, RMSE values between the observed and simulated runoff of two and six Hours ahead using the model range from 3.1 to 290.5 $m^{3}/s,\;R^2$ values range from 0.909 to 0.999. In verification, RMSE values range from 26.4 to 147.4 $m^{3}/s,\;R^2$ values range from 0.940 to 0.998, compared to the observed data. In forecasting runoff in real time, the relative error values with lead-time and river stage range from -23.4 to $14.3\%$ and increase as the lead time increases. The results in this study demonstrate that the proposed model can reasonably and efficiently forecast runoff for one to six Hours ahead.

Application of Remote Sensing Technique to Enhance the Water Quality Model Validation in a Large Water Body (원격탐사를 이용한 대형 수체의 수질 모델 검증 효과 제고 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Hyun-Ju;Choi, Jung-Hyun;Park, Seok-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.447-452
    • /
    • 2006
  • The remote sensing technique was applied to enhance the water qualify model validation in a large water body. Since the satellite image usually covers the wide surface area of a large water body, it can compensate for the lark of measured data points required for model calibration and verification. This paper describes the analysis of Landsat FTM+images collected on April 29th and September 4th in year 2000 to evaluate surface water temperature of Lake Paldang. The water temperature data obtained from the satellite image were compared with model results by estimating three different methods of error criteria. The residual ratios on April 29th and September 4th were 0.13 and 0.04 respectively. This showed that the model result accords with the data obtained from the process of satellite image. Without considering atmospheric interference, however, transformation process of satellite image causes relatively large residual ratio in the surface water temperature distribution pattern on April 29th. In the future study, therefore, the atmospheric properties of image acquisition point needs to be considered for the application of radiance transformation model.

A Study on the Evaluation of 3D Dose Distribution using Normoxic Polymer Gel (정상산소 중합체 겔 선량계를 이용한 3차원 방사선량 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Se-Young;Kim, Young-Bum;Kwon, Young-Ho;Lee, Suk
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.7-17
    • /
    • 2007
  • Purpose: As increasing complexity of modern radiotherapy technique, more developing dosimetry is required. Polymer gel dosimeters offer a wide range of potential applications with high resolution and assured quality in the thee-dimensional verification of complex dose distribution such as intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). The purpose of this study is to find the most sensitive and suitable gel as a dosimeter by varying its composition ratio and its condition such as temperature during manufacturing. Materials and Methods: Each polymer gel with various ratio of composition was irradiated with the same amount of photon beam accordingly. Various polymer gels were analyzed and compared using a dedicated software written in visual C++ which converts TE images to R2 map images. Their sensitivities to the photon beam depending on their composition ratio were investigated. Results: There is no dependence on beam energy nor dose rate, and calibration curve is linear. Conclusion: The polymer gel dosimeter developed by using anti-oxidant in this study proved to be suitable for dosimetry.

  • PDF

Development of Water Quality Management System in Daecheong Reservoir Using Geographic Information System (GIS를 이용한 저수지의 수질관리시스템 구축)

  • 한건연;백창현
    • Spatial Information Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-27
    • /
    • 2004
  • The current industrial development and the increase of population in Daecheong Reservoir basin have produced a rapid increase of wastewater discharge. This has resulted in problem of water quality control and management. Although many efforts have been carried out, reservoir water quality has not significantly improved. In this sense, the development of water quality management system is required to improve reservoir water quality. The goal of this study is to design a GIS-based water quality management system for the scientific water quality control and management in the Daecheong Reservoir. For general water quality analysis, WASP5 model was applied to the Daecheong Reservoir. A sensitivity analysis was made to determine significant parameters and an optimization was made to estimate optimal values. The calibration and verification were performed by using observed water quality data for Daecheong Reservoir. A water quality management system for Daecheong Reservoir was made by connecting the WASP5 model to ArcView. It allows a Windows-based Graphic User Interface(GUI) to implement all operation with regard to water quality analysis. The proposed water quality management system has capability for the on-line data process including water quality simulation, and has a post processor far the reasonable visualization for various output. The modeling system in this study will be an efficient NGIS(National Geographic Information System) far planning of reservoir water quality management.

  • PDF

Prediction from Linear Regression Equation for Nitrogen Content Measurement in Bentgrasses leaves Using Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (근적외선 분광분석기를 이용한 잔디 생체잎의 질소 함량 측정을 위한 검량식 개발)

  • Cha, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Kyung-Duck;Park, Dae-Sup
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.77-90
    • /
    • 2009
  • Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy(NIRS) is a quick, accurate, and non-destructive method to measure multiple nutrient components in plant leaves. This study was to acquire a liner regression equation by evaluating the nutrient contents of 'CY2' creeping bentgrass rapidly and accurately using NIRS. In particular, nitrogen fertility is a primary element to keep maintaining good quality of turfgrass. Nitrogen, moisture, carbohydrate, and starch were assessed and analyzed from 'CY2' creeping bentgrass clippings. A linear regression equation was obtained from accessing NIRS values from NIR spectrophotometer(NIR system, Model XDS, XM-1100 series, FOSS, Sweden) programmed with WinISI III project manager v1.50e and ISIscan(R) (Infrasoft International) and calibrated with laboratory values via chemical analysis from an authorized institute. The equation was formulated as MPLS(modified partial least squares) analyzing laboratory values and mathematically pre-treated spectra. The accuracy of the acquired equation was confirmed with SEP(standard error of prediction), which indicated as correlation coefficient($r^2$) and prediction error of sample unacquainted, followed by the verification of model equation of real values and these monitoring results. As results of monitoring, $r^2$ of nitrogen, moisture, and carbohydrate in 'CY2' creeping bentgrass was 0.840, 0.904, and 0.944, respectively. SEP was 0.066, 1.868, and 0.601, respectively. After outlier treatment, $r^2$ was 0.892, 0.925, and 0.971, while SEP was 0.052, 1.577, and 0.394, respectively, which totally showed a high correlation. However, $r^2$ of starch was 0.464, which appeared a low correlation. Thereof, the verified equation appearing higher $r^2$ of nitrogen, moisture, and carbohydrate showed its higher accuracy of prediction model, which finally could be put into practical use for turf management system.

Patient-Specific Quality Assurance in a Multileaf Collimator-Based CyberKnife System Using the Planar Ion Chamber Array

  • Yoon, Jeongmin;Lee, Eungman;Park, Kwangwoo;Kim, Jin Sung;Kim, Yong Bae;Lee, Ho
    • Progress in Medical Physics
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-65
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper describes the clinical use of the dose verification of multileaf collimator (MLC)-based CyberKnife plans by combining the Octavius 1000SRS detector and water-equivalent RW3 slab phantom. The slab phantom consists of 14 plates, each with a thickness of 10 mm. One plate was modified to support tracking by inserting 14 custom-made fiducials on surface holes positioned at the outer region of $10{\times}10cm^2$. The fiducial-inserted plate was placed on the 1000SRS detector and three plates were additionally stacked up to build the reference depth. Below the detector, 10 plates were placed to avoid longer delivery times caused by proximity detection program alerts. The cross-calibration factor prior to phantom delivery was obtained by performing with 200 monitor units (MU) on the field size of $95{\times}92.5mm^2$. After irradiation, the measured dose distribution of the coronal plane was compared with the dose distribution calculated by the MultiPlan treatment planning system. The results were assessed by comparing the absolute dose at the center point of 1000SRS and the 3-D Gamma (${\gamma}$) index using 220 patient-specific quality assurance (QA). The discrepancy between measured and calculated doses at the center point of 1000SRS detector ranged from -3.9% to 8.2%. In the dosimetric comparison using 3-D ${\gamma}$-function (3%/3 mm criteria), the mean passing rates with ${\gamma}$-parameter ${\leq}1$ were $97.4%{\pm}2.4%$. The combination of the 1000SRS detector and RW3 slab phantom can be utilized for dosimetry validation of patient-specific QA in the CyberKnife MLC system, which made it possible to measure absolute dose distributions regardless of tracking mode.

Development of an 1-Dimensional Dynamic Numerical Model for BTX Removal Process Analysis by Gaseous-Biofilm Filtration (기체상-생물막 여과 공법의 BTX 제거 공정 해석을 위한 1차원 동적 수치모델 개발)

  • Kim, Yeong-Kwan;Choi, Sung-Chan;Kim, Seog-Ku;Lee, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.37 no.12
    • /
    • pp.689-695
    • /
    • 2015
  • A biofilm filtration for the removal of gaseous pollutants has been recognized as a process with a complex interaction between the gas flow characteristics and the process operating variables. This study aims to develop an one dimensional dynamic numerical model which can be utilized as a tool for the analysis of biofilm filtration process operated in plug flow mode. Since, in a plug flow system, minor environmental changes in a gaseous unit process cause a drastic change in reaction and the interaction between the pollutants is an influencing factor, plug flow system was generalized in developing the model. For facilitation of the model development, dispersion was simplified based on the principles of material balance. Several reactions such as competition, escalation, and control between the pollutants were included in the model. The applicability of the developed model was evaluated by taking the calibration and verification steps on the experimental data performed for the removal of BTX at both low and high flow concentration. The model demonstrated a correlation coefficient ($R^2$) greater than 0.79 under all the experimental conditions except for the case of toluene at high flow condition, which suggested that this model could be used for the generalized gaseous biofilm plug flow filtration system. In addition, this model could be a useful tool in analyzing the design parameters and evaluating process efficiency of the experiments with substantial amount of complexity and diversity.

Generation of High Resolution Scenarios for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (II): Runoff Scenarios on Each Sub-basins (수자원에 대한 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 고해상도 시나리오 생산(II): 유역별 유출시나리오 구축)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Im, Eun-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.205-214
    • /
    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to generate the regional scale runoff scenarios by using IPCC SRES A2 climate change scenario for analyzing the spatial variation of water resources in Korea. The PRMS model was adopted to simulate long-term stream discharge. To estimate the PRMS model parameters on each sub-basin, the streamflow data at 6 dam sites and Rosenbrock's scheme are used for model parameter calibration and those parameters are translated to ungauged catchments by regionalization method. The other 3 dam sites are selected for the verification of the adequateness of regionalized model parameters in ungagued catchments. The statistical results show that the simulated flows by using regionalized parameters well agree with observed ones. The generated runoff scenarios by climate change are compared with observed data on 4 dam sites for the reference period. The consequences show that the selection of climate station for generating climate scenario affects the reliability of climate scenario at sub-basin. The comparison results of the stream flows between the 30-year baseline period (1971-2000) and future 90-year (2001-2030, 2031-2060, 2061-2090) show that the long-term mean annual runoff in the Han River has increasing trend, while the Nakdong, the Gum, the Youngsan and the Sumjin Rivers have decreasing trend.