• Title/Summary/Keyword: Box-cox

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An Analysis of the Effects of WTI on Korean Stock Market Using HAR Model (국내 주식시장 변동성에 대한 국제유가의 영향: 이질적 자기회귀(HAR) 모형을 사용하여)

  • Kim, Hyung-Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.535-555
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    • 2021
  • This study empirically analyzes the effects of international oil prices on domestic stock market volatility. The data used for the analysis are 10-minute high-frequency data of the KOSPI index and WTI futures price from January 2, 2015, to July 30, 2021. For using the high-frequency data, a heterogeneous autoregression (HAR) model is employed. The analysis model utilizes the advantages of high frequency data to observe the impact of international oil prices through realized volatility, realized skewness, and kurtosis as well as oil price return. In the estimation, the Box-Cox transformation is applied in consideration of the distribution of realized volatility with high skewness. As a result, it finds that the daily return fluctuation of the WTI price has a statistically significant positive (+) effect on the volatility of the KOSPI return. However, the volatility, skewness, and kurtosis of the WTI return do not appear to affect the volatility of the KOSPI return. This result is believed to be because the volatility of the KOSPI return reflects the daily change in the WTI return, but does not reflect the intraday trading behavior of investors.

Recent Review of Nonlinear Conditional Mean and Variance Modeling in Time Series

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Lee, J.A.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.783-791
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we review recent developments in nonlinear time series modeling on both conditional mean and conditional variance. Traditional linear model in conditional mean is referred to as ARMA(autoregressive moving average) process investigated by Box and Jenkins(1976). Nonlinear mean models such as threshold, exponential and random coefficient models are reviewed and their characteristics are explained. In terms of conditional variances, ARCH(autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) class is considered as typical linear models. As nonlinear variants of ARCH, diverse nonlinear models appearing in recent literature including threshold ARCH, beta-ARCH and Box-Cox ARCH models are remarked. Also, a class of unified nonlinear models are considered and parameter estimation for that class is briefly discussed.

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Short Term Interest Rate Model Using Box-Cox Transformation

  • Choi, Young-Soo;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.241-254
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    • 2007
  • This paper propose a new short-term interest rate model having a different nonlinear drift function and the same diffusion coefficient with Chan et al. (1992) model. The fractional polynomial power of the drift function in our model is linked to the local volatility elasticity of the diffusion coefficient. While the nonlinear drift function estimated by $A\"{\i}t$-Sahalia (1996a) and others has a feature that higher interest rates tend to revert downward and low rates upward, the drift function estimated by our nonlinear model shows that higher interest rate mean-reverts strongly, but, medium rates has almost zero drift and low rates has a very small drift. This characteristic coincides the empirical result based on the nonparametric methodology by Stanton (1997) and the implication by the scatter plot of the short rate data.

Box-Cox 변형(變形)을 이용한 지가함수(地價函數)의 추정(推定)

  • Son, Jae-Yeong;An, Hong-Gi
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.21-49
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    • 1994
  • 공시지가제도하에서 개별필지 가격산정은 지가함수(地價函數) 추정, 비준표(比準表) 작성, 인근 유사 표준지(標準地)와의 특성차이를 감안한 가격결정 과정을 거치는데, 각 단계의 기술적 문제에 대한 연구는 별로 없었다. 이 글은 지가함수(地價函數) 추정에서 log-log함수형태가 통계학적으로 또는 실제 활용상 적합한가의 문제와 지가함수(地價函數) 추정결과를 그대로 지가예측식(地價豫測式)으로 이용할 수 있는가의 두가지 문제를 다루고 있다. 서울시 서초구와 강남구자료에 대해 Box-Cox 변형(變型)을 이용한 지가함수(地價函數)와 log-log형태의 지가함수(地價函數)를 추정하여 비교해 본 결과 통계학적으로는 전자가 우월하지만, 지가추정(地價推定)에서 양자간의 차이는 크지 않았으며 추정비용(推定費用), 활용(活用)의 용이성 등의 관점에서는 후자가 선호되었다. 또 지가함수(地價函數) 추정결과를 현재와 같이 표준지와 여타 토지간의 가격차이(價格差異)를 계산하는 용도로 한정하는 것이 표준지가격(標準地價格) 자체가 가진 정보를 활용하는 방안으로 바람직하다는 결론을 얻었다.

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Correlation Test by Reduced-Spread of Fuzzy Variance

  • Kang, Man-Ki
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2012
  • We propose some properties for a fuzzy correlation test by reduced-spread fuzzy variance for sample fuzzy data. First, we define the condition of fuzzy data for repeatedly observed data or that which includes error term data. By using the average of spreads for fuzzy numbers, we reduce the spread of fuzzy variance and define the agreement index for the degree of acceptance and rejection. Given a non-normal random fuzzy sample, we have bivariate normal distribution by apply Box-Cox power fuzzy transformation and test the fuzzy correlation for independence between the variables provided by the agreement index.

Automatic Text Categorization by using Normalized Term Frequency Weighting (정규화 용어빈도가중치에 의한 자동문서분류)

  • 김수진;김민수;백장선;박혁로
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.04c
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    • pp.510-512
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 문서의 자동 분류를 위한 용어 빈도 가중치 계산 방법으로 Box-Cox변환기법을 응용한 정규화 용어빈도 가중치를 정의하고, 이를 문서 분류에 적응하였다. 여기서 Box-Cox 변환기법이란 자료를 정규분포화 할 때 적용하는 통계적인 변환방법으로서, 본 논문에서는 이를 응용하여 새로운 용어빈도가중치 계산법을 제안한다. 문서에서 등장한 용어 빈도는 너무 많거나 적게 등장할 경우, 중요도가 떨어지게 되는데, 이는 용어의 중요도가 빈도에 따른 정규분포로 모델링 될 수 있다는 것을 의미한다. 또한 정규화 가중치 계산방법은 기존의 용어빈도 가중치 공식과 비교할 때, 용어마다 계산방법이 달라져, 로그나 루트와 같은 고정된 가중치 방법보다는 좀더 일반적인 방법이라 할 수 있다. 신문기사 8000건을 대상으로 4개의 그룹으로 나누어 실험 한 결과, 정규화 용어빈도가중치 계산방법이 모두 우위의 분류 정확도롤 가져, 본 논문에서 제안한 방법이 타당함을 알 수 있다.

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An Analysis on Productivity Change in Environment-Friendly Farming of Fruit Vegetables (과채류 친환경 실천 농가의 생산성 변화 분석)

  • Choi, Don-Woo;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 2014
  • The productivity decrease in environment-friendly farming is the biggest obstacle for the development of environment-friendly food market. This paper aimed to analyze the productivity change in environment-friendly farming of fruit vegetables (oriental melon, watermelon, and strawberry). Box-Cox transformation model was used to infer the functional form of productivity change. The results showed that the periods of productivity restoration to 90% level in oriental melon, strawberry, and watermelon were 14.1 years, 11.4 years, and 6.0 years, respectively. The forms of productivity restoration of fruit vegetables showed differences due to their growth characteristics, incidences of crop pests, preference for the environment- friendly agricultural products, cultivation period and so on. Because the form and period of productivity restoration were different depending on kinds of fruit vegetable, the government policy should be established considering this point of view.

헤도닉 가격모형의 함수형태 - 시장특성을 감안한 변환함수들의 적용 및 검증 -

  • Heo, Se-Rim;Gwak, Seung-Jun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.291-302
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    • 1996
  • 환경질 개선의 편익추정에 사용되는 헤도닉 가격모형에서 제1단계 헤도닉 함수 추정시 그 함수형태에 따라 결과가 편의를 가질 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 13가지의 각기 다른 비선형 및 선형 헤도닉 함수 등을 한국 주택시장에 적용하여 그 적합성을 이론 및 실증적 방법을 병행하여 검증하였다. 그 결과, 고전적으로 종속변수만을 변환시키는 Box-Cox 함수형태나 Box-Cox 변형계수가 사전적으로 0과 1사이에 있음을 가정하는 오목한(concave) 한 함수형태가 기존 연구와는 달리 한국시장에는 적합한 함수형태가 아니라는 결과를 이끌어 냈다. 나아가 서울 주택시장에 가장 적합한 함수형태는 종속 및 독립변수를 각각 다르게 변환시키는 헤도닉 함수형태임을 보여 주었다. 아울러 본 연구는 간접적으로 헤도닉 가격모형 적용시 그 지역의 주택시장 특성에 관한 연구가 선행되어야 함을 시사하고 있다.

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Applying Hedonic Price Model to Analyzing Non-market Characteristic of Personal Computer (헤도닉 가격모형을 이용한 개인컴퓨터의 비시장 속성에 대한 가치추정)

  • 신승식;곽승준;유승훈
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.85-101
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to test whether prices of personal computers reflect their varying degrees of non-marketable characteristics including after-sales service. This purpose is carried out using the hedonic price model. In this paper, we estimated 74 functional forms of hedonic price model using the quadratic Box-Cox transformation function and selected one based on the three criteria: expected signs, the statistical significance of estimated coefficients, and goodness of fit in terms of root-mean-square-percentage-error. In this study, we found hat as the after-sales service level increases the price of the personal computer increases. This result is consistent with the hypothesis that the less after-sales service offered with a personal computer, the less consumers are willing to pay for the personal computer, when all else remain constant. This finding shows that since the market works indirectly to influence pricing, the need to rely on consumer protection legislation to guarantee after-sales service is lessened. This study also found that after-sales service supported by each personal computer producer is not a free service, thus produces have a profit incentive for providing after-sales service.

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Prodiction of Walleye Pollock , Theragra Chalcogramma , Landings in Korea by Time Series Analysis : AIC (시계열분석을 이용한 한국 명태어업의 어획량 예측 : AIC)

  • Park, Hae-Hoon;Yoon, Gab-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 1996
  • Forecasts of monthly landings of walleye pollock, Theragra chalcogramma, in Korea were carried out by the seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARlMA) model. The Box - Cox transformation on the walleye pollock catch data handles nonstationary variance. The equation of Box - Cox transformation was Y'=($Y^0.31$_ 1)/0.31. The model identification was determined by minimum AIC(Akaike Information Criteria). And the seasonal ARlMA model is presented (1- O.583B)(1- $B^1$)(l- $B^12$)$Z_t$ =(l- O.912B)(1- O.732$B^12$)et where: $Z_t$=value at month t ; $B^p$ is a backward shift operator, that is, $B^p$$Z_t$=$Z_t$-P; and et= error term at month t, which is to forecast 24 months ahead the walleye pollock landings in Korea. Monthly forecasts of the walleye pollock landings for 1993~ 1994, which were compared with the actual landings, had an absolute percentage error(APE) range of 20.2-226.1 %. Thtal observed annual landings in 1993 and 1994 were 16, 61OM/T and 1O, 748M/T respectively, while the model predicted 10, 7 48M/T and 8, 203M/T(APE 37.0% and 23.7%, respectively).

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