• Title/Summary/Keyword: Biases

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Consumers' Overconfidence Biases in Relation to Social Exclusion

  • HAN, Woong-Hee
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.303-308
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    • 2020
  • Unlike previous studies of overconfidence bias that have been looking for causes of overconfidence bias in human cognitive error or in the desire to view oneself positively, this study presents the cognitive narrowing resulting from the social exclusion experience as the condition of overconfidence bias and investigates the mechanism of cognitive narrowing to overcome the negative emotions from social exclusion, and how overconfidence bias occur due to cognitive narrowing. Current study was performed with 94 undergraduate students. Participants were randomly assigned to social exclusion experience group or non-experience group. We analyzed how the degree of bias of overconfidence differs according to the social exclusion experience. The degree of overconfidence bias of the social exclusion experience group was higher than that of the non-experience group, and the difference was statistically significant. This study extends the concepts of escaping theory and cognitive narrowing to human cognitive bias and confirmed that social exclusion experience increased cognitive narrowing and overconfidence bias. Implications of this research and future research directions were discussed.

Prosodic Disambiguation of Low versus High Syntactic Attachment across Lexical Biases in English

  • Jeon, Yoon-Shil;Yoon, Kyu-Chul
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the prosodic disambiguation of the syntactic attachment differences was investigated in relation to the effect of lexical bias. Speech materials were composed of N1-conj-N2-PP phrases such as "walkers and runners with dogs." The results show that the use of durational pattern is dominant over the pitch pattern to differentiate the attachment differences. The characteristic pitch contour was the rise and fall over N1 and N2 in the high attachment. The pitch contour in the low attachment was the rise and fall over N2 and N3 although the frequency of such patterns was lower for the low attachment case. For the durational pattern, the lengthening in the N2 region plays a significant role in the disambiguation of the syntactic attachments. The interaction between the lexical bias and the syntactic attachment was not statistically significant in the duration data.

Sensor Fusion for Underwater Navigation of Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (무인잠수체의 수중항법을 위한 센서퓨전)

  • 주민근;서주노;송광섭;이판묵;홍석원;박영일
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.175-175
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    • 2000
  • In this Paper we propose a navigation algorithm which can be used to estimate state vectors such as position and velocity for its motion control using multi-sensor output measurements. The output measurement we will use in estimating the state is a series of known multi-sensor asynchronous outputs with measurement noise. This paper investigates the Extended Kalman Filtering method to merge asynchronous heading, heading rate, velocity of DVL, and SSBL information to produce a single state vector. Different complexity of Kalman Filter, with biases and measurement noise, are investigated with theoretically data from KRISO's AUV. All levels of complexity of the Kalman Filters are shown to be much more close and smooth to real trajectories then the basic underwater acoustic navigation system comment)'used aboard underwater vehicle.

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On statistical Computing via EM Algorithm in Logistic Linear Models Involving Non-ignorable Missing data

  • Jun, Yu-Na;Qian, Guoqi;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.181-186
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    • 2005
  • Many data sets obtained from surveys or medical trials often include missing observations. When these data sets are analyzed, it is general to use only complete cases. However, it is possible to have big biases or involve inefficiency. In this paper, we consider a method for estimating parameters in logistic linear models involving non-ignorable missing data mechanism. A binomial response and normal exploratory model for the missing data are used. We fit the model using the EM algorithm. The E-step is derived by Metropolis-hastings algorithm to generate a sample for missing data and Monte-carlo technique, and the M-step is by Newton-Raphson to maximize likelihood function. Asymptotic variances of the MLE's are derived and the standard error and estimates of parameters are compared.

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Families of Estimators of Finite Population Variance using a Random Non-Response in Survey Sampling

  • Singh, Housila P.;Tailor, Rajesh;Kim, Jong-Min;Singh, Sarjinder
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.681-695
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a family of estimators for the finite population variance investigated by Srivastava and Jhajj (1980) is studied under two different situations of random non-response considered by Tracy and Osahan (1994). Asymptotic expressions for the biases and mean squared errors of members of the proposed family are obtained; in addition, an asymptotic optimum estimator(AOE) is also identified. Estimators suggested by Singh and Joarder (1998) are shown to be members of the proposed family. A correction to the Singh and Joarder (1998) results is also presented.

Estimation for Mean and Standard Deviation of Normal Distribution under Type II Censoring

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood estimators of normal distribution based on type II censoring. Gupta (1952) and Cohen (1959, 1961) required a table for an auxiliary function to compute since they did not have an explicit form; however, we derive an explicit form for the estimators using a method to approximate the likelihood function. The derived estimators are a special case of Balakrishnan et al. (2003). We compare the estimators with the Gupta's linear estimators through simulation. Gupta's linear estimators are unbiased and easily calculated; subsequently, the proposed estimators have better performance for mean squared errors and variances, although they show bigger biases especially when the ratio of the complete data is small.

How are Bayesian and Non-Parametric Methods Doing a Great Job in RNA-Seq Differential Expression Analysis? : A Review

  • Oh, Sunghee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.181-199
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    • 2015
  • In a short history, RNA-seq data have established a revolutionary tool to directly decode various scenarios occurring on whole genome-wide expression profiles in regards with differential expression at gene, transcript, isoform, and exon specific quantification, genetic and genomic mutations, and etc. RNA-seq technique has been rapidly replacing arrays with seq-based platform experimental settings by revealing a couple of advantages such as identification of alternative splicing and allelic specific expression. The remarkable characteristics of high-throughput large-scale expression profile in RNA-seq are lied on expression levels of read counts, structure of correlated samples and genes, larger number of genes compared to sample size, different sampling rates, inevitable systematic RNA-seq biases, and etc. In this study, we will comprehensively review how robust Bayesian and non-parametric methods have a better performance than classical statistical approaches by explicitly incorporating such intrinsic RNA-seq specific features with flexible and more appropriate assumptions and distributions in practice.

Shalt-Term Hydrological forecasting using Recurrent Neural Networks Model

  • Kim, Sungwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1285-1289
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    • 2004
  • Elman Discrete Recurrent Neural Networks Model(EDRNNM) was used to be a suitable short-term hydrological forecasting tool yielding a very high degree of flood stage forecasting accuracy at Musung station of Wi-stream one of IHP representative basins in South Korea. A relative new approach method has recurrent feedback nodes and virtual small memory in the structure. EDRNNM was trained by using two algorithms, namely, LMBP and RBP The model parameters, optimal connection weights and biases, were estimated during training procedure. They were applied to evaluate model validation. Sensitivity analysis test was also performed to account for the uncertainty of input nodes information. The sensitivity analysis approach could suggest a reduction of one from five initially chosen input nodes. Because the uncertainty of input nodes information always result in uncertainty in model results, it can help to reduce the uncertainty of EDRNNM application and management in small catchment.

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Real Time Error Correction of Hydrologic Model Using Kalman Filter

  • Wang, Qiong;An, Shanfu;Chen, Guoxin;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1592-1596
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    • 2007
  • Accuracy of flood forecasting is an important non-structural measure on the flood control and mitigation. Hence, combination of horologic model with real time error correction became an important issue. It is one of the efficient ways to improve the forecasting precision. In this work, an approach based on Kalman Filter (KF) is proposed to continuously revise state estimates to promote the accuracy of flood forecasting results. The case study refers to the Wi River in Korea, with the flood forecasting results of Xinanjiang model. Compared to the results, the corrected results based on the Kalman filter are more accurate. It proved that this method can take good effect on hydrologic forecasting of Wi River, Korea, although there are also flood peak discharge and flood reach time biases. The average determined coefficient and the peak discharge are quite improved, with the determined coefficient exceeding 0.95 for every year.

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Field-induced refractive index variations in GaAs/AlGaAs multiple quantum well waveguide modulator

  • Cho, Wook-Rae;Park, Seung-Han;Kim, Ung;Park, Kyung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Optical Society of Korea
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.48-51
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    • 1997
  • A quantum well electroabsorption waveguide modulator utilizing a field-induced refractive index change was designed and fabricated. The on/off ratios of the device were investigated as a function of wavelength over the spectral range of 850 nm to 910 nm for the various reverse biases. The field-induced refractive index variations associated with quantum-confined Stark effect was theoretically obtained based on the measured on/off ratios. The resulting maximum refractive index change(${\DELTA}n) of ~7.5 {\times} 10^{-4}$ at -8 V was estimated.