• Title/Summary/Keyword: Biased estimation

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Estimating small area proportions with kernel logistic regressions models

  • Shim, Jooyong;Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.941-949
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    • 2014
  • Unit level logistic regression model with mixed effects has been used for estimating small area proportions, which treats the spatial effects as random effects and assumes linearity between the logistic link and the covariates. However, when the functional form of the relationship between the logistic link and the covariates is not linear, it may lead to biased estimators of the small area proportions. In this paper, we relax the linearity assumption and propose two types of kernel-based logistic regression models for estimating small area proportions. We also demonstrate the efficiency of our propose models using simulated data and real data.

Intelligent Tracking Algorithm for Maneuvering Target (지능형 추적 알고리즘)

  • Noh, Sun-Young;Joo, Young-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.10b
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    • pp.499-501
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    • 2005
  • When the target maneuver occurs, the estimate of the standard Kalman filter is biased and its performance may be seriously degraded. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a new intelligent estimation algorithm for a maneuvering target. This algorithm is to estimate the unknown target maneuver by a fuzzy system using the relation between the filter residual and its variation. The detected acceleration input is regarded as an additive process noise. To optimize the employed fuzzy system, the genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized. And then, the modified filter is corrected by the new update equation method using the fuzzy system. The tracking performance of the proposed method is compared with those of an interacting multiple model (IMM).

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Evaluation of the Performance of Re-entry System for the Typical Uncertainties

  • L., Daewoo;C., Kyeumrae;P., Soohong
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.156.4-156
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    • 2001
  • The uncertainties of an atmospheric re-entry flight with respect to stability and controllability are aerodynamic error, measurement error of the angle of attack, variation of dynamic pressure, wind, and trim position of the control surfaces, etc. During hypersonic flight, a future angle of attack is biased from a nominal schedule. In order words, because the angle of attack is estimated from the navigation data, estimation error occurs due to wind, atmospheric density variation, etc. Error models used in this study, include a standard deviation of +-3 sigma, and are the normal distribution of statistics. This paper shows the appraisement of tracking performance onto the reference trajectory, satisfaction of the initial condition of TAEM about the re-entry system.

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Target State Estimator Design Using FIR filter and Smoother

  • Kim, Jae-Hun;Joon Lyou
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.305-310
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    • 2002
  • The measured rate of the tracking sensor becomes biased under some operational situation. For a highly maneuverable aircraft in 3D space, the target dynamics changes from time to time, and the Kalman filter using position measurement only can not be used effectively to reject the rate measurement bias error. To cope with this problem, we present a new algorithm which incorporate FIR-type filter and FIR-type fixed-lag smoother, and demonstrate that it has the optimal performance in terms of both estimation accuracy and response time through an application example to the anti-aircraft gun fire control system(AAGFCS).

Reliability Estimation of Series-Parallel Systems Using Component Failure Data (부품의 고장자료를 이용하여 직병렬 시스템의 신뢰도를 추정하는 방법)

  • Kim, Kyung-Mee O.
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.214-222
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    • 2009
  • In the early design stage, system reliability must be estimated from life testing data at the component level. Previously, a point estimate of system reliability was obtained from the unbiased estimate of the component reliability after assuming that the number of failed components for a given time followed a binomial distribution. For deriving the confidence interval of system reliability, either the lognormal distribution or the normal approximation of the binomial distribution was assumed for the estimator of system reliability. In this paper, a new estimator is used for the component level reliability, which is biased but has a smaller mean square error than the previous one. We propose to use the beta distribution rather than the lognormal or approximated normal distribution for developing the confidence interval of the system reliability. A numerical example based on Monte Carlo simulation illustrates advantages of the proposed approach over the previous approach.

Autoregressive Cholesky Factor Modeling for Marginalized Random Effects Models

  • Lee, Keunbaik;Sung, Sunah
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2014
  • Marginalized random effects models (MREM) are commonly used to analyze longitudinal categorical data when the population-averaged effects is of interest. In these models, random effects are used to explain both subject and time variations. The estimation of the random effects covariance matrix is not simple in MREM because of the high dimension and the positive definiteness. A relatively simple structure for the correlation is assumed such as a homogeneous AR(1) structure; however, it is too strong of an assumption. In consequence, the estimates of the fixed effects can be biased. To avoid this problem, we introduce one approach to explain a heterogenous random effects covariance matrix using a modified Cholesky decomposition. The approach results in parameters that can be easily modeled without concern that the resulting estimator will not be positive definite. The interpretation of the parameters is sensible. We analyze metabolic syndrome data from a Korean Genomic Epidemiology Study using this method.

Estimating dark matter mass for the most massive high-z galaxy cluster, SPT-CL J2106-5844 using weak-lensing analysis with HST observations

  • Kim, Jinhyub;Jee, Myungkook James;Ko, Jongwan
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.67.2-67.2
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    • 2016
  • SPT-CL J2106-5844 is known to be one of the most massive galaxy clusters ($M_{200}{\sim}1.27{\times}10^{15}M_{sun}$) ever found at z > 1. Given its redshift (z ~ 1.132), the mass of this cluster estimated by Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect and X-ray observation is too large compared with the current ${\Lambda}CDM$ cosmology prediction. Mass estimation from these methods can be biased because they require assumptions on hydrostatic equilibrium, which are not guaranteed to hold at such high redshift (about 40% of the current age of the Universe). Thus, we need to verify the mass of this interesting cluster using gravitational lensing, which does not require such assumptions. In this work, we present our preliminary result of dark matter mass and its spatial mass distribution of SPT-CL J2106-5844 using weak-lensing analysis based on HST optical/NIR deep imaging data. We compare mass estimates from different sources and discuss cosmological implications.

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A performance improvement method in the gun fire control system compensating for measurement bias error of the target tracking sensor (표적추적센서의 측정 바이어스 오차 보상에 의한 사격통제장치 성능 향상 기법)

  • Kim, Jae-Hun;Lyou, Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2000
  • A practical method is proposed to improve hit probability of the digital gun fire control system, when the measured rate of the tracking sensor becomes biased under some operational situation. For ground moving target it is shown that the well-known Kalman filter which uses position measurement only can be optimally used to eliminate the rate bias error. On the other hand, for 3D moving aircraft we present a new algorithm which incorporate FIR-type filter, which uses position and rate measurement at the same time, and the fixed-lag smoother using position measurement only, and show that it has the optimal performance in terms of both estimation accuracy and response time.

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Adjusting sampling bias in case-control genetic association studies

  • Seo, Geum Chu;Park, Taesung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1127-1135
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    • 2014
  • Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are designed to discover genetic variants such as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that are associated with human complex traits. Although there is an increasing interest in the application of GWAS methodologies to population-based cohorts, many published GWAS have adopted a case-control design, which raise an issue related to a sampling bias of both case and control samples. Because of unequal selection probabilities between cases and controls, the samples are not representative of the population that they are purported to represent. Therefore, non-random sampling in case-control study can potentially lead to inconsistent and biased estimates of SNP-trait associations. In this paper, we proposed inverse-probability of sampling weights based on disease prevalence to eliminate a case-control sampling bias in estimation and testing for association between SNPs and quantitative traits. We apply the proposed method to a data from the Korea Association Resource project and show that the standard estimators applied to the weighted data yield unbiased estimates.

Determination of Research Octane Number using NIR Spectral Data and Ridge Regression

  • Jeong, Ho Il;Lee, Hye Seon;Jeon, Ji Hyeok
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2001
  • Ridge regression is compared with multiple linear regression (MLR) for determination of Research Octane Number (RON) when the baseline and signal-to-noise ratio are varied. MLR analysis of near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopic data usually encounters a collinearity problem, which adversely affects long-term prediction performance. The collinearity problem can be eliminated or greatly improved by using ridge regression, which is a biased estimation method. To evaluate the robustness of each calibration, the calibration models developed by both calibration methods were used to predict RONs of gasoline spectra in which the baseline and signal-to-noise ratio were varied. The prediction results of a ridge calibration model showed more stable prediction performance as compared to that of MLR, especially when the spectral baselines were varied. . In conclusion, ridge regression is shown to be a viable method for calibration of RON with the NIR data when only a few wavelengths are available such as hand-carry device using a few diodes.