• 제목/요약/키워드: Beta distribution model

검색결과 151건 처리시간 0.026초

소비자 보호를 위한 선별형 샘플링 검사와 신뢰성 샘플링 검사의 최적설계에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Rectifying Inspection Plan & Life Test Sampling Plan Considering Cost)

  • 강보철;조재립
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.74-96
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    • 2002
  • The objectives of this study is to suggest the rectifying sampling inspection plan considering quality cost. Limiting quality level(LQL) plans(also called LTPD plans) and outgoing quality(OQ) plans are considered. The Hald's linear cost model is discussed with and without a beta prior for the distribution of the fraction of nonconforming items in a lot. It is assumed that the sampling inspection is error free. We consider the design of reliability acceptance sampling plan (RASP) for failure rate level qualification at selected confidence level. The lifetime distribution of products is assumed to be exponential. MIL-STD-690C and K C 6032 standards provide this procedures. But these procedures have some questions to apply in the field. The cost of test and confidence level(1-$\beta$ risk) are the problem between supplier and user. So, we suggest that the optimal life test sampling inspection plans using simple linear cost model considering product cost, capability of environment chamber, environmental test cost, and etc. Especially, we consider a reliability of lots that contain some nonconforming items. In this case we assumed that a nonconforming item fail after environmental life test. Finally, we develope the algorithm of the optimal sampling inspection plan based on minimum costs for rectifying inspection and RASP. And computer application programs are developed So, it is shown how the desired sampling plan can be easily found.

출력 감발 조건하에서 핵분열 기체 생성물의 방출에 대한 축방향 기체 유동과 핵연료 파손의 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on Effects of Axial Gas Flow in the Gap and Fuel Cracking on Fission Gas Release under Power Ramping)

  • Han, Jin-Kyu;Yoon, Young-Ku
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.116-127
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    • 1990
  • SPEAR-BETA코드에서 사용된 핵분열 기체 방출 모델을 핵연료와 피복관 사이의 갭(gap)과 플레넘(plenum) 사이에서 축방향 핵분열 기체 혼합과 균열된 핵연료에 대한 유효 열전도도를 사용함으로써 개량하여, P$_{max}$$\Delta$P가 변하는 다양한 출력 감발 조건하에서 핵분열기체 방출 거동을 해석하였다. 핵연료 균열의 영향을 고려한 유효 열전도도는 핵연료의 온도 분포와 내부 기체 압력을 계산하는데 사용되었고, 축방향 기체 유동으로 인한 혼합(mixing)과 회석(dilution)효과는 갭의 폭과 열전도도를 해석하는데에 고려되었다. 축방향 기체 유동 효과를 계산하는데 있어서 계산속도를 빠르게 하기 위하여 유한차분법의 하나인 Crank-Nicholson 방법을 사용하였다. 개량된 모델은 다양한 출력 감발 조건하에서 얻어진 실험 자료들과 SPEAR-BETA와 FEMAXl-IV 코드들에서 사용되는 모델들로부터 얻은 결과들을 비교함으로써 검증하였다. 개량된 모델의 결과는 위의 두 코드로부터 얻은 결과 보다는 실험자료들과 잘 일치하였다. 균열된 핵연료에 대해 유효 열전도도를 사용하여 계산한 핵연료의 중심 온도는 균열되지 않은 핵연료의 경우에 비해 20$0^{\circ}C$ 정도보다 높은 값을 나타냈고, 개량된 핵분열 기체 생성물의 분율은 SPEAR-BETA코드에서 얻은 값보다 평균 6% 정도가 높게 나타났다.평균 6% 정도가 높게 나타났다.다.

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순서형 자료로 측정된 구조방정식모형 분석 (The Structural Equation Model with Ordinal Data)

  • 윤상운;박정선;이태섭
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.38-52
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    • 2002
  • This paper is concerned with the analysis of structural equation model(SEM) with the ordinal data such as Likert scale. The SEM is misused when the arbitrary scores allocated to the Likert scale are treated as quantitative data. The underlying distribution approaches have been studied to solve this problem, and the partial least squares(PLS) Is also tried. In this paper the quantification methods for the Likert scale are proposed to analyze the SEM. We assume that the Likert scale is an observation of the interval of the continuous underlying distribution, and the respondents have their own patterns in the response of some questions. Normal and beta distributions as the response patterns are considered to quantify the Likert scale. To compare the efficiency of the proposed method the bootstrap simulations are tried.

TOPMODEL과 Muskingum 기법을 이용한 안성천유역의 홍수유출분석 (Flood Runoff Analysis on the Anseong-cheon watershed using TOPMODEL and Muskingum method.)

  • 권형중;김성준
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.289-292
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    • 2002
  • In this study, a topography based hydrologic model (TOPMODEL) was tested on the Anseong-cheon watershed. Pit in watershed was removed by liner trend surface interpolator. The DTM Analysis program is used to derived a distribution of ln($a/tan{\beta}$) values from DEM (Digital Elevation Model) using the MDF (Multiple Direction Flow) algorithm of Quinn et al (1995). Current TOPMODEL program limits are number of time step, ln($a/tan{\beta}$) increment, delay histogram ordinate and size of subcatchment pixel maps. Therefore, TOPMODEL is not suitable for application of large watershed. Muskingum method and watershed division enhance grid pixel resolution for rainfall-runoff simulation accuracy.

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Estimation of Cardinal Temperatures for Germination of Seeds from the Common Ice Plant Using Bilinear, Parabolic, and Beta Distribution Models

  • Cha, Mi-Kyung;Park, Kyoung Sub;Cho, Young-Yeol
    • 원예과학기술지
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.236-241
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    • 2016
  • The common ice plant (Mesembryanthemum crystallinum L.) has some medicinal uses and recommended plant in closed-type plant factory. The objective of this study was to estimate the cardinal temperatures for seed germination of the common ice plant using bilinear, parabolic, and beta distribution models. Seeds of the common ice plant were germinated in the dark in a growth chamber at four constant temperatures: 16, 20, 24, and $28^{\circ}C$. For this, four replicates of 100 seeds were placed on two layers of filter paper in a 9-cm petri dish and radicle emergence of 0.1 mm was scored as germination. The times to 50% germination were 4.3, 2.5, 2.0, and 1.8 days at 16, 20, 24, and $28^{\circ}C$, respectively, indicating that the germination of this warm-weather crop increased with temperature. Next, the time course of germination was modeled using a logistic function. For the selection of an accurate model, seeds were germinated in the dark at constant temperatures of 6, 12, 32, and $36^{\circ}C$. Germination started earlier and increased rapidly at temperatures above $20^{\circ}C$. The minimum, optimal, and maximum temperatures were estimated by regression of the inverse of time to 50% germination rate, as a function of the temperature gradient. The different functions estimated differing minimum, optimal and maximum temperatures, with 5.7, 27.7, and $36.5^{\circ}C$, respectively for the bilinear function, 13.4, 25.0, and $36.6^{\circ}C$, respectively, for the parabolic function and 7.8, 25.9, and $36.0^{\circ}C$, respectively, for the beta distribution function. The models estimated that the inverse of time to 50% germination rate was 0 at 6 and $36^{\circ}C$. The observed final germination rates at 12 and $32^{\circ}C$ were 62 and 97%, respectively. Our data show that a beta distribution function provides a useful model for estimating the cardinal temperatures for germination of seed from the common ice plant.

무료보증정책하에서 이봉-혼합 와이블 분포를 고려한 Burn-in 모형의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis of Burn-in Model considering Bimodal-Mixed Weibull Distribution under Free Warranty Policy)

  • 송서일;조영찬;박현규;손한덕
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 1998년도 The 12th Asia Quality Management Symposium* Total Quality Management for Restoring Competitiveness
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    • pp.544-555
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    • 1998
  • Although the bimodal mixed weibull distribution is used to developing burn-in model widely, the failure times for a component or a system is often truncated at some time, T, due to the obsolescence in the electronics industry. In this paper, we will determine minimum total cost and burn-in time by using the bimodal mixed weibull distribution and the truncated bimodal mixed weibull distribution under the free warranty policy. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, when products or system is not repairable, the width of the change of burn-in time can be larger by ${\beta}_1,\;{\beta}_2$ Second, if burn-in time become longer, it will be impossible to consider the bum-in in a long time, and in this case, the burn-in time should be shorten by the acceleration burn-in. Third, in case that opportunity loss cost or repair cost is exceed the warranty cost, or the total cost of considering burn-in is larger than that of not considering burn-in, it is not existed burn-in time which makes total cost to minimize. Forth, the shorter life-cycle of product, the more burn-in times will be decreased and the cost in considering burn-in will be increased

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Microbial Risk Assessment of Non-Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli in Natural and Processed Cheeses in Korea

  • Kim, Kyungmi;Lee, Heeyoung;Lee, Soomin;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Jeeyeon;Ha, Jimyeong;Yoon, Yohan
    • 한국축산식품학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.579-592
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    • 2017
  • This study assessed the quantitative microbial risk of non-enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli (EHEC). For hazard identification, hazards of non-EHEC E. coli in natural and processed cheeses were identified by research papers. Regarding exposure assessment, non-EHEC E. coli cell counts in cheese were enumerated, and the developed predictive models were used to describe the fates of non-EHEC E. coli strains in cheese during distribution and storage. In addition, data on the amounts and frequency of cheese consumption were collected from the research report of the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety. For hazard characterization, a doseresponse model for non-EHEC E. coli was used. Using the collected data, simulation models were constructed, using software @RISK to calculate the risk of illness per person per day. Non-EHEC E. coli cells in natural- (n=90) and processed-cheese samples (n=308) from factories and markets were not detected. Thus, we estimated the initial levels of contamination by Uniform distribution ${\times}$ Beta distribution, and the levels were -2.35 and -2.73 Log CFU/g for natural and processed cheese, respectively. The proposed predictive models described properly the fates of non-EHEC E. coli during distribution and storage of cheese. For hazard characterization, we used the Beta-Poisson model (${\alpha}=2.21{\times}10^{-1}$, $N_{50}=6.85{\times}10^7$). The results of risk characterization for non-EHEC E. coli in natural and processed cheese were $1.36{\times}10^{-7}$ and $2.12{\times}10^{-10}$ (the mean probability of illness per person per day), respectively. These results indicate that the risk of non-EHEC E. coli foodborne illness can be considered low in present conditions.

Estimation of slope , βusing the Sequential Slope in Simple Linear Regression Model

  • Choi, Yong;Kim, Dongjae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2003
  • Distribution-free estimation methods are proposed for slope, $\beta$ in the simple linear regression model. In this paper, we suggest the point estimators using the sequential slope based on sign test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. Also confidence intervals are presented for each estimation methods. Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the efficiency of these methods with least square method and Theil´s method. Some properties for the proposed methods are discussed.

Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals of the Burr Type XII Failure Model

  • Choi, Dal-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 1999
  • This paper is concerned with the empirical Bayes estimation of one of the two shape parameters(${\theta}$) in the Burr(${\beta},\;{\theta}$) type XII failure model based on type-II censored data. We obtain the bootstrap empirical Bayes confidence intervals of ${\theta}$ by the parametric bootstrap introduced by Laird and Louis(1987). The comparisons among the bootstrap and the naive empirical Bayes confidence intervals through Monte Carlo study are also presented.

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영과잉 회귀모형을 이용한 광고노출분포 추정 (Estimation of Advertising Exposure Distribution by Zero-inflation Regression Models)

  • 이동희
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.2841-2852
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    • 2018
  • 이 논문에서는 광고분야 매체기획에서 필요한 노출분포 추정과 관련하여 영과잉 분포를 이용한 회귀모형 방법에 대해 살펴보고자 한다. 노출분포란 광고를 반복하여 게재할 때마다 노출되는 청중들의 비율을 나타낸 것이다. 이와 같은 노출분포는 광고효과를 수량적으로 측정하기 위한 각종 지표들을 산출하는데 필요한 기초 정보를 제공한다는 점에서 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 특히 최근 다양한 매체의 확산으로 인한 광고 단가의 인하로 인하여 과거에 비해 특정 광고의 게재 혹은 방영빈도는 크게 늘어난 상태이나 노출빈도는 상대적으로 줄어들고 있는 상황이다. 이러한 상황에서 해당 매체를 접하지 않는, 즉 구조적으로 광고에 노출되지 않는 개인들이 늘어가고 있다. 이제까지 광고의 노출분포 추정을 위해 사용해 왔던 베타이항분포 등은 이러한 상황에 적합하지 않을 수 있는데, 본 연구에서는 영과잉 회귀모형을 이용한 광고노출분포모형을 제안하고, 실제 사례를 통한 비교연구를 수행하였다.