• Title/Summary/Keyword: Beta distribution model

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Estimation on Altitudinal Spectrum of Suitability for Four Species of the Mayfly Genus Ephemera (Ephemeroptera: Ephemeridae) Using Probability Distribution Models (확률분포모형을 이용한 하루살이속(Ephemera) 4종의 고도구배에 따른 서식처적합도 평가)

  • Dongsoo Kong;Bomi Kang
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.302-315
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    • 2023
  • Distribution characteristics and altitudinal gradient of four species (E. strigata, E. separigata, E. orientalis-sachalinensis group) of the mayfly genus Ephemera (Order Ephemeroptera) were analyzed with probability distribution models (exponential, normal, lognormal, logistic, Weibull, gamma, beta, Gumbel). Data was collected from 23,846 sampling units of 6,787 sites in Korea from 2010 to 2021. The beta distribution model showed the best fit for positively skewed E. orientalis-sachalinensis and little-skewed E. strigata along with altitudinal gradient. The reversed lognormal distribution model showed the best-fit for negatively skewed E. separigata. E. orientalis-sachalinensis distributed at the range of altitude 1~700 m (mean 251 m, median 226 m, mode 124 m, and standard deviation 161 m), E. strigata distributed at the range of altitude 5~871 m (mean 474 m, median 478 m, mode 492 m, and standard deviation 200 m), E. separigata distributed at the range of altitude 7~846 m (mean 620 m, median 659 m, mode 760 m, and standard deviation 181 m). Altitudinal habitat suitability ranges were estimated to be 42~257 m for E. orientalis-sachalinensis, 335~644 m for E. strigata, and 641~824 m for E. separigata. Based on the altitudinal spectrum of suitability and altitude-related temperature analysis results, E. orientalis-sachalinensis was estimated to be thermophilic, E. strigata to be mesophilic, and E. separigata to be thermophobic. This is the first national-scale evaluation of the altitudinal distribution of Ephemera in Korea. These results will be used in a further research study on altitudinal shift of the species of Ephemera under climate change.

An Analysis on the Data Distribution of Construction Equipment Operations - A Case on Muck Hauling System - (건설 장비 운영 데이터 분포 특성에 관한 연구 - 버력 처리 시스템을 중심으로 -)

  • Seo, Hyeong Beom;Jung, Won Ji;Kim, Kyoungmin;Kim, Kyong Ju
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.661-670
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    • 2006
  • The utilization of simulation has been limited in planning construction process because it is difficult to collect data and build a model using simulation method. This study collects construction operation data and analyzes the characteristics of its distribution. Through the statistical analysis on the empirical data, this study identifies Beta distribution functions is one of the most proper in duplicating the characteristics of construction equipment operation data into a computer simulation. The information obtained in this study can support preparing input data for another simulation.

Tests of a Four-Factor Asset Pricing Model: The Stock Exchange of Thailand

  • POJANAVATEE, Sasipa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to examine whether the four-factor model explains variation in the expected return of stocks on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The study used individual monthly data for all stock with continuous trading on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The study used sample data of 429 listed stocks to construct 8 portfolios bases on the industries. In this study, subject to market factors such as size, the book-to-market ratio, the market beta, and stock liquidity are taken into account. The Empirical analysis reveals that not all of the variables included in the four-factor asset pricing model are statistically significant to do affect the formation of the rate of return on stocks calculated on a monthly basis. The result shows that market beta, stock liquidity, and the book-to-market ratio has a significant increase in the rate of return on shares listed on the Consumer Products. It is therefore apparent that at least in respect of monthly analysis, the predictions of bass models in the field of modern finance theory systematic risk measured by the beta coefficient did play a significantly important role in the formation of the rate of return on the Stock Exchange of Thailand.

Estimation of Onion Leaf Appearance by Beta Distribution (Beta 함수 기반 기온에 따른 양파의 잎 수 증가 예측)

  • Lee, Seong Eun;Moon, Kyung Hwan;Shin, Min Ji;Kim, Byeong Hyeok
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.78-82
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    • 2022
  • Phenology determines the timing of crop development, and the timing of phenological events is strongly influenced by the temperature during the growing season. In process-based model, leaf area is simulated dynamically by coupling of morphology and phenology module. Therefore, the prediction of leaf appearance rate and final leaf number affects the performance of whole crop model. The dataset for the model equation was collected from SPA R chambers with five different temperature treatments. Beta distribution function (proposed by Yan and Hunt (1999)) was used for describing the leaf appearance rate as a function of temperature. The optimum temperature and the critical value were estimated to be 26.0℃ and 35.3℃, respectively. For evaluation of the model, the accumulated number of onion leaves observed in a temperature gradient chamber was compared with model estimates. The model estimate is the result of accumulating the daily increase in the number of onion leaves obtained by inputting the daily mean temperature during the growing season into the temperature model. In this study, the coefficient of determination (R2) and RMSE value of the model were 0.95 and 0.89, respectively.

A Practical Model for the Fatigue Reliability Analysis of Steel Highway Bridges (강도로교의 피로신뢰성 해석을 위한 실용적 모형)

  • 신재철;장동일;이성재;조효남
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 1988
  • A practical model for predicting the risk of fatigue failure of steel highway bridges is developed in this study. The proposed model is derived from fatigue reliability methods by incorporating various factors which may affect the fatigue life of bridges. The fatigue reliability function is assumed to follow the Weibull distribution. The computational form of the Weibull is adopted from Ang-Munse's approach that includes all the statistical uncertainties of the fatigue life of steel members and the stress ranges under variable amplitude loadings. The model accounts for the variation in ADTT, the change in stress history and the effects of inspections, which may occur during the serivce life of bridges. Stress range histograms are collected from the random stress spectra based on the field measurements of an existing bridge, and, thus, the resulting stress range frequency distribution is modelled with a beta distribution. The results of applications of the proposed fatigue analysis methods to an existing bridge show that the proposed models with the computer program developed for numerical computations can be used as a practical tool for the fatigue rating or for the predictions of the remaining fatigue life of deteriorated existing steel bridges.

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A Review for Non-linear Models Describing Temperature-dependent Development of Insect Populations: Characteristics and Developmental Process of Models (비선형 곤충 온도발육모형의 특성과 발전과정에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Dong-Soon;Ahn, Jeong Joon;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2017
  • Temperature-dependent development model is an essential component for forecasting models of insect pests as well as for insect population models. This study reviewed the nonlinear models which explain the relationship between temperature and development rate of insects. In the present study, the types of models were classified largely into empirical and biophysical model, and the groups were subdivided into subgroups according to the similarity of mathematical equations or the connection with original idea. Empirical models that apply analytical functions describing the suitable shape of development curve were subdivided into multiple subgroups as Stinner-based types, Logan-based types, performance models and Beta distribution types. Biophysical models based on enzyme kinetic reaction were grouped as monophyletic group leading to Eyring-model, SM-model, SS-mode, and SSI-model. Finally, we described the historical development and characteristics of non-linear development models and discussed the availability of models.

A Study on the Reliability Attributes of the Software Reliability Model Following the Shape Parameter of Minimax Life Distribution (미니맥스 수명분포의 형상모수를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 신뢰속성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 2018
  • This paper, following the shape parameters of the minimax distribution, describes the special form of the beta distribution, the Minimax distribution, as a function of the shape parameters for the software reliability model based on the non-homogeneous Poisson process. Characteristics and usefulness were discussed. As a result, the case of the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution than less than and greate in mean squared error is the smallest, in determination coefficient, appears to be high, the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution regard as an efficient model. The estimated determination coefficient of the proposed model is estimated to be more than 95%, which is a useful model in the field of software reliability. Through this study, software design and users can identify the software failure characteristics using mean square error, decision coefficient, and confidence interval can be used as a basic guideline.

A Study on the Economical Design of Sampling Inspection Plan by Attribute (계수선별형(計數選別型) 샘플링검사(檢査)의 경제성(經濟性)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Byeong-Geun;Jeon, Jae-Gyeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 1985
  • This paper intends to decide the optimum OC curves and to find the minimized ${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$-risk based upon the Linear Cost Model (L.C.M.) for the destructive or nondestructive acceptance sampling inspection plan. For the solution from the L.C.M., we assume the uniform distribution as a Prior-distribution and use numerical analysis by computer.

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Lot-Sizing with Random Yield

  • Park, Kwang-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 1992
  • Many manufacturing processes involved in the fabrication and assembly of hightech components have highly variable yields that tend to complicate the production control. Under this random yield situation we develop a model to determine optimal input quantity, mean waiting time in the system and variance of waiting time in the system. An example which considers beta distribution as a yield distribution is given.

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A Review of Dose-response Models in Microbial Risk Assessment (미생물 위해성 평가의 용량-반응 모델에 대한 고찰)

  • 최은영;박경진
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2004
  • Dose-response models in microbial risk assessment can be divided into biologically plausible models and empirical models. Biologically plausible models are formed by the assumptions in dose distribution of microbes, host sensitivity to microbes, and minimal infectious dose of microbes : there are Exponential model and $\beta$-Poisson model, representatively. Empirical models are mainly used to express the toxicity of chemicals : there are Weibull-Gamma model etc. Deviance function (Y) is used to fit available data to dose-response models, and some dose-response models for food-borne pathogens are developed in humans and experimental animals.