• Title/Summary/Keyword: Best fitting

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A Research of Prediction of Photovoltaic Power using SARIMA Model (SARIMA 모델을 이용한 태양광 발전량 예측연구)

  • Jeong, Ha-Young;Hong, Seok-Hoon;Jeon, Jae-Sung;Lim, Su-Chang;Kim, Jong-Chan;Park, Hyung-Wook;Park, Chul-Young
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.82-91
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, time series prediction method of photovoltaic power is introduced using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA). In order to obtain the best fitting model by a time series method in the absence of an environmental sensor, this research was used data below 50% of cloud cover. Three samples were extracted by time intervals from the raw data. After that, the best fitting models were derived from mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) with the minimum akaike information criterion (AIC) or beysian information criterion (BIC). They are SARIMA (1,0,0)(0,2,2)14, SARIMA (1,0,0)(0,2,2)28, SARIMA (2,0,3)(1,2,2)55. Generally parameter of model derived from BIC was lower than AIC. SARIMA (2,0,3)(1,2,2)55, unlike other models, was drawn by AIC. And the performance of models obtained by SARIMA was compared. MAPE value was affected by the seasonal period of the sample. It is estimated that long seasonal period samples include atmosphere irregularity. Consequently using 1 hour or 30 minutes interval sample is able to be helpful for prediction accuracy improvement.

Analysis of the collar pattern of a double-breasted tailored jacket using virtual fitting - Comparison of collar laying amount according to lapel fold line start position - (가상착의를 활용한 더블브레스트 테일러드 재킷의 칼라 패턴 분석 - 라펠 꺾임선 시작 위치에 따른 칼라의 눕힘 분량 비교 -)

  • Mi Hwa Jun ;Jeongah Jang
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.640-650
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to suggest a suitable collar pattern by visually evaluating the appearance of the amount of collar drape by the starting position of the lapel line of a double-breasted tailored jacket using a 3d virtual fitting program. It created an avatar based on the mean size of women in their 20s (the 8th Size Korea) using clo network (double fastening: 10cm, collar width: 4.5cm, collar stand: 3cm, and lapel width: 8.5cm). The starting of the lapel twist line was waistline level, the 1/2 level of bustline and waistline, or bustline level, and collar laying amount was 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5cm. It was evaluated by garment construction experts using 5, 6, and 4 items on the front, sides, and back, respectively. Descriptive statistics, F-test, Duncan-test, and reliability analysis were conducted using SPSS 22. When collar laying amount was 6.5cm, it was best rated regardless of the starting point. Under waist line, when collar laying amount was 6.5cm, it was best rated regardless of the starting point. When collar laying amount was large, the collar's outline length increased, resulting in unnecessary wrinkles from the neckline to the lapel, affecting the overall collar appearance. When collar laying amount was the smallest, the collar was lifted and the width was narrowed, exposing the seam connecting the collar and neckline. The length of the collar's outline varied depending on collar laying amount, which was important to make the outline sit comfortably on the body.

A Copula method for modeling the intensity characteristic of geotechnical strata of roof based on small sample test data

  • Jiazeng Cao;Tao Wang;Mao Sheng;Yingying Huang;Guoqing Zhou
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.601-618
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    • 2024
  • The joint probability distribution of uncertain geomechanical parameters of geotechnical strata is a crucial aspect in constructing the reliability functional function for roof structures. However, due to the limited number of on-site exploration and test data samples, it is challenging to conduct a scientifically reliable analysis of roof geotechnical strata. This study proposes a Copula method based on small sample exploration and test data to construct the intensity characteristics of roof geotechnical strata. Firstly, the theory of multidimensional copula is systematically introduced, especially the construction of four-dimensional Gaussian copula. Secondly, data from measurements of 176 groups of geomechanical parameters of roof geotechnical strata in 31 coal mines in China are collected. The goodness of fit and simulation error of the four-dimensional Gaussian Copula constructed using the Pearson method, Kendall method, and Spearman methods are analyzed. Finally, the fitting effects of positive and negative correlation coefficients under different copula functions are discussed respectively. The results demonstrate that the established multidimensional Gaussian Copula joint distribution model can scientifically represent the uncertainty of geomechanical parameters in roof geotechnical strata. It provides an important theoretical basis for the study of reliability functional functions for roof structures. Different construction methods for multidimensional Gaussian Copula yield varying simulation effects. The Kendall method exhibits the best fit in constructing correlations of geotechnical parameters. For the bivariate Copula fitting ability of uncertain parameters in roof geotechnical strata, when the correlation is strong, Gaussian Copula demonstrates the best fit, and other Copula functions also show remarkable fitting ability in the region of fixed correlation parameters. The research results can offer valuable reference for the stability analysis of roof geotechnical engineering.

Development of Tight-Fitting Garments with a Portable ECG Monitor to Measure Vital Signs (휴대용 심전도 기기와 직물형 전극을 이용한 생체정보 측정용 밀착 의복 개발)

  • Jeong, Yeon-Hee; Kim, Seung-Hwan;Yang, Young-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.112-125
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    • 2010
  • A Holter monitor is used for ECG monitoring of ambulatory daily life in hospital. However, the use of this apparatus causes skin allergies and discomfort in patients because of the attachment gel and tapes used to attach disposable electrodes to the skin. In this study, the development of tight-fitting clothing connected to a portable Holter monitor was proposed. In addition, the use of conductive fabrics as electrodes was proposed; this will enable the use of garments in u-health care for measuring ECG signals. The male subjects were university students in the ages of 20 to 24. Subjective wear sensations of the experimental garments were rated using seven Likert scales. A Likert type scale was used for the evaluation and a 7 point score indicates that it provided the best fit as a tight-fitting upper clothing. Clothing pressure was measured using an air-pack-type pressure sensor (model AMI 3037-2) at 4 locations (the conductive fabric electrode) As results, a male basic sloper for upper clothing was developed and that pattern was manipulated to the tight fit pattern by considering the reduction rate of the percentage stretch in the fabric. The developed tight-fitting garment was superior in terms of subjective sensation and 6t. The mean pressure of the garment with reduction rates of 40% in width and of 50% in length was 8.45gf/$cm^2$. A conductive fabric electrode was developed by considering the sewing method and the developed electrode was detected well. The ECG data were recorded for 13 hr 19 min 44 sec and the artifacts in the ECG signals were recorded for 9 hr 3 min 46 sec (total time: 22 hr 23 min 23 sec). The artifacts data were obtained during heavy activities.

Development of Improved String Model for Instruments with Anjok (안족이 있는 악기의 개선된 현의 모델 개발)

  • Cho, Sang-Jin;Chong, Ui-Pil
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.328-333
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we describe characteristics of a movable bridge called the Anjok and propose an improved string model which has delay line controller in physical modeling of the Gayageum. Movable bridge, the Anjok determines the length of vibrating string and transmits the vibration of each string to the body of the Gayageum. We analyze the variations in frequency domain and implement the Anjok model as parametric form using the first-order polynomial fitting in logarithmic scale graph, because the length of string changes fundamental frequency. In order to implement the Anjok model, frequency fitting, tension fitting and frequency fitting using leaky integrator are used. The frequency fitting using leaky integrator has the best results among those. Proposed string model with the Anjok model can represent real tuning system of the real Gayageum and the proposed model could synthesize sounds which is similar to original sounds.

Development of Curve Fitted Equations for Dynamic Behavior of Various Buried Pipelines (각종 매설관의 동적거동에 대한 곡선적합식의 개발)

  • Kim, Sung-Ban;Jeong, Jin-Ho;Joeng, Du-Hwoe;Lee, Kwang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.4 s.50
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the curve fitted equations for practicality and actual calculation during seismic performance evaluation of buried pipelines. Curve fitting for strain curve according to the wavelength of the seismic wave was produced using the non-linear least square method and the equations with the best results was suggested. In addition, a degree and coefficient of polynomial fitting equation needed to use curve fitted equation were identified. Interpreting process during the test of resistance of earthquake of buried pipelines with various end boundary conditions were provided through example questions. The results of this study were used to conduct a dynamic response analysis and a seismic performance evaluation of concrete, steel, and FRP pipes with various end boundary conditions.

The Development of Patterns of Jeogori to Enhance the Fit - With a Focus on Women in their 20s and 30s - (착용감 개선을 위안 여자 저고리 패턴개발 - 20,30대를 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Kyoung-Hee;Choi, Jeong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.94-105
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    • 2009
  • Jeogori, Korean jacket, can be categorized into two styles. Traditional style Jeogori is based on conventional construction method for ceremonial or festive occasions. Contemporary casual style Jeogori is based on western style flat pattern making for better fitting and functionality. Traditional style Jeogori is quite flat on human body because it is not considered the grade of shoulder line and is drawn by vertical & horizontal line. This characteristic feature causes weakness in functionality and comfort compared to contemporary casual style. Apparently contemporary casual style has better wearing comfort. Yet to most Koreans, contemporary style Jeogori seems to lack of some characteristic style of its own. This study is to find out how to make Jeogori well balanced in terms of functionality, fit, comfort and traditional style. Currently used Jeogori patterns are compared in order to select the best among them. Onto the selected pattern, several alterations were tried focused on shoulder, armhole and sleeve lines to make optimal modifications. After several comparative fitting tests, the final pattern making method was suggested.

An Efficient Method for Mold Thermal Cycle Analysis in Repeated Forming Process and its Application to TV Glass Process (반복 성형공정에서 금형 열사이클 해석을 위한 효과적 방법 및 TV유리 공정에의 적용)

  • Choi, Joo-Ho;Kim, Jun-Bum;Hwang, Jung-Hea;Ha, Duk-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2000.04b
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    • pp.252-257
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    • 2000
  • An efficient method is developed for mold thermal cycle analysis in repeated forming process, which is well suited to the analysis in TV glass production. plunger, which is a mold to press-form the glass, undergoes temperature fluctuation during a cycle due to the repeated contact and separation from the glass, which attains a cyclic steady state in the end. If analyzed straightforwardly of this problem, it leads to more than 80 cycles to get reasonable solution, and it is yet hard to setup stopping creteria due to extremely slow convergence. An exponential fitting method is proposed to solve the problem, where an exponential function is found to best approximate temperature values of 3 consecutive cycles, and new cycle is restarted with the function value at infinite time. From numerical implementation, it is found that the method reduces the number of cycles dramatically to only $6{\sim}15$ cycles to reach accurate solution within $1^{\circ}$ error. A system for the analysis is contructed, in which the thermal analysis is performed by commercial software ANSYS, and the fitting of the result is done by IMSL library.

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Golf Club Fitting Using Robot Machine Data (로봇머신 데이터를 이용한 골프 클럽 피팅)

  • Park, Sung-Jin;Jun, Jai-Hong;Park, Young-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to suggest the proper shaft and head fitting methods of the golf club to increase the flight distance of the golf ball. Rotations per minute of the golf ball(RPM), ratio of Ball speed to club head speed(T-Ratio) and launch angle right after impact(LA), which are directly related to ball flight distance, were measured using Spectra with shutter speed of 1/1000sec at the constant head speed of 95mph which was controlled by robot golf swing machine. In order to investigate the effect of club shaft to the 3 selected variables, 10 shafts were used to make ten test clubs with one controlled club head which is the most commonly used by golf players. To measure the effect of the club head to the 3 selected variables, 6 golf club heads which are most commonly used by golfers were selected to make 6 test clubs with a controlled shaft which is one of the best known by players. The shafts and the heads were identified by statistical analysis to increase or decrease the RPM, T-ratio and LA. A proper fitting method of the selected shafts and the club head was suggested to increase the ball flight distance in golf.

Approximate Shear Strength Formula Implied in the Generalized Hoek-Brown Failure Criterion (일반화된 Hoek-Brown 파괴조건식에 내포된 전단강도 근사식)

  • Lee, Youn-Kyou
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.426-441
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the generalized Hoek-Brown (GHB) failure criterion has been actively employed in various rock engineering calculations, but the analytical form of the corresponding Mohr failure envelope is not available, making it difficult to extend the application of the GHB criterion. In order to overcome this disadvantage, this study proposes a new method to express the tangential friction angle as an explicit function of normal stress by invoking the polynomial best-fitting to the relationship between normal stress and tangent friction angle implied in the GHB failure function. If this normal stress - tangential friction angle relationship is best-fitted with linear or quadratic polynomial function, it is possible to find the analytical root for tangential friction angle. Subsequently, incorporating the root into the relationship between shear stress and tangential friction angle accomplishes the derivation of the approximate Mohr envelope for the GHB criterion. It is demonstrated that the derived approximate Mohr failure envelopes are very accurate in the entire range of GSI value.