• 제목/요약/키워드: Best fitting

검색결과 312건 처리시간 0.032초

SARIMA 모델을 이용한 태양광 발전량 예측연구 (A Research of Prediction of Photovoltaic Power using SARIMA Model)

  • 정하영;홍석훈;전재성;임수창;김종찬;박형욱;박철영
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.82-91
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, time series prediction method of photovoltaic power is introduced using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA). In order to obtain the best fitting model by a time series method in the absence of an environmental sensor, this research was used data below 50% of cloud cover. Three samples were extracted by time intervals from the raw data. After that, the best fitting models were derived from mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) with the minimum akaike information criterion (AIC) or beysian information criterion (BIC). They are SARIMA (1,0,0)(0,2,2)14, SARIMA (1,0,0)(0,2,2)28, SARIMA (2,0,3)(1,2,2)55. Generally parameter of model derived from BIC was lower than AIC. SARIMA (2,0,3)(1,2,2)55, unlike other models, was drawn by AIC. And the performance of models obtained by SARIMA was compared. MAPE value was affected by the seasonal period of the sample. It is estimated that long seasonal period samples include atmosphere irregularity. Consequently using 1 hour or 30 minutes interval sample is able to be helpful for prediction accuracy improvement.

가상착의를 활용한 더블브레스트 테일러드 재킷의 칼라 패턴 분석 - 라펠 꺾임선 시작 위치에 따른 칼라의 눕힘 분량 비교 - (Analysis of the collar pattern of a double-breasted tailored jacket using virtual fitting - Comparison of collar laying amount according to lapel fold line start position -)

  • 전미화;장정아
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.640-650
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to suggest a suitable collar pattern by visually evaluating the appearance of the amount of collar drape by the starting position of the lapel line of a double-breasted tailored jacket using a 3d virtual fitting program. It created an avatar based on the mean size of women in their 20s (the 8th Size Korea) using clo network (double fastening: 10cm, collar width: 4.5cm, collar stand: 3cm, and lapel width: 8.5cm). The starting of the lapel twist line was waistline level, the 1/2 level of bustline and waistline, or bustline level, and collar laying amount was 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5cm. It was evaluated by garment construction experts using 5, 6, and 4 items on the front, sides, and back, respectively. Descriptive statistics, F-test, Duncan-test, and reliability analysis were conducted using SPSS 22. When collar laying amount was 6.5cm, it was best rated regardless of the starting point. Under waist line, when collar laying amount was 6.5cm, it was best rated regardless of the starting point. When collar laying amount was large, the collar's outline length increased, resulting in unnecessary wrinkles from the neckline to the lapel, affecting the overall collar appearance. When collar laying amount was the smallest, the collar was lifted and the width was narrowed, exposing the seam connecting the collar and neckline. The length of the collar's outline varied depending on collar laying amount, which was important to make the outline sit comfortably on the body.

A Copula method for modeling the intensity characteristic of geotechnical strata of roof based on small sample test data

  • Jiazeng Cao;Tao Wang;Mao Sheng;Yingying Huang;Guoqing Zhou
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.601-618
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    • 2024
  • The joint probability distribution of uncertain geomechanical parameters of geotechnical strata is a crucial aspect in constructing the reliability functional function for roof structures. However, due to the limited number of on-site exploration and test data samples, it is challenging to conduct a scientifically reliable analysis of roof geotechnical strata. This study proposes a Copula method based on small sample exploration and test data to construct the intensity characteristics of roof geotechnical strata. Firstly, the theory of multidimensional copula is systematically introduced, especially the construction of four-dimensional Gaussian copula. Secondly, data from measurements of 176 groups of geomechanical parameters of roof geotechnical strata in 31 coal mines in China are collected. The goodness of fit and simulation error of the four-dimensional Gaussian Copula constructed using the Pearson method, Kendall method, and Spearman methods are analyzed. Finally, the fitting effects of positive and negative correlation coefficients under different copula functions are discussed respectively. The results demonstrate that the established multidimensional Gaussian Copula joint distribution model can scientifically represent the uncertainty of geomechanical parameters in roof geotechnical strata. It provides an important theoretical basis for the study of reliability functional functions for roof structures. Different construction methods for multidimensional Gaussian Copula yield varying simulation effects. The Kendall method exhibits the best fit in constructing correlations of geotechnical parameters. For the bivariate Copula fitting ability of uncertain parameters in roof geotechnical strata, when the correlation is strong, Gaussian Copula demonstrates the best fit, and other Copula functions also show remarkable fitting ability in the region of fixed correlation parameters. The research results can offer valuable reference for the stability analysis of roof geotechnical engineering.

휴대용 심전도 기기와 직물형 전극을 이용한 생체정보 측정용 밀착 의복 개발 (Development of Tight-Fitting Garments with a Portable ECG Monitor to Measure Vital Signs)

  • 정연희;김승환;양영모
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.112-125
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    • 2010
  • A Holter monitor is used for ECG monitoring of ambulatory daily life in hospital. However, the use of this apparatus causes skin allergies and discomfort in patients because of the attachment gel and tapes used to attach disposable electrodes to the skin. In this study, the development of tight-fitting clothing connected to a portable Holter monitor was proposed. In addition, the use of conductive fabrics as electrodes was proposed; this will enable the use of garments in u-health care for measuring ECG signals. The male subjects were university students in the ages of 20 to 24. Subjective wear sensations of the experimental garments were rated using seven Likert scales. A Likert type scale was used for the evaluation and a 7 point score indicates that it provided the best fit as a tight-fitting upper clothing. Clothing pressure was measured using an air-pack-type pressure sensor (model AMI 3037-2) at 4 locations (the conductive fabric electrode) As results, a male basic sloper for upper clothing was developed and that pattern was manipulated to the tight fit pattern by considering the reduction rate of the percentage stretch in the fabric. The developed tight-fitting garment was superior in terms of subjective sensation and 6t. The mean pressure of the garment with reduction rates of 40% in width and of 50% in length was 8.45gf/$cm^2$. A conductive fabric electrode was developed by considering the sewing method and the developed electrode was detected well. The ECG data were recorded for 13 hr 19 min 44 sec and the artifacts in the ECG signals were recorded for 9 hr 3 min 46 sec (total time: 22 hr 23 min 23 sec). The artifacts data were obtained during heavy activities.

안족이 있는 악기의 개선된 현의 모델 개발 (Development of Improved String Model for Instruments with Anjok)

  • 조상진;정의필
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.328-333
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 안족이라는 움직일 수 있는 브리지의 특성을 이용하여 가야금의 물리적 모델링에서 지연 라인의 길이를 안족이 조절할 수 있는 개선된 형태의 현의 물리적 모델을 제안한다. 안족은 양 끝이 고정된 현을 받치고 있어 실제 진동하는 현의 길이를 조절하고 현의 진동을 악기의 몸통으로 전달하는 기능을 한다. 안족의 위치에 따른 기본 주파수의 변화는 로그 스케일에서 일차 선형 적합성을 이용하여 파라미터로 나타내었고, 이는 현의 모델에서 지연 라인의 길이를 조절하는 컨트롤러인 안족 모델로 구현되었다. 안족 모델은 주파수 적합성, 장력 적합성, 리키 적분기를 이용한 적합성으로 나누어 구현하였는데, 이 중 리키 적분기를 이용한 모델이 가장 우수하였다. 제안한 현의 모델은 실제 가야금의 조율 시스템을 사실적으로 묘사할 수 있었으며 원음과 아주 유사한 음 합성을 할 수 있었다.

각종 매설관의 동적거동에 대한 곡선적합식의 개발 (Development of Curve Fitted Equations for Dynamic Behavior of Various Buried Pipelines)

  • 김성반;정진호;정두회;이광열
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2006
  • 지진해일 위험재해도의 작성과 재해경감대책 수립을 위해서는 연안역의 상세한 수심 및 지형을 이용한 시뮬레이션이 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Beowulf 병렬계산을 통해 동해 전 영역에서 정밀산정이 가능한 병렬유한요소모형을 이용하여 1993년 7월 12일 동해안에 내습한 지진해일에 대한 시뮬레이션을 수행하고, 그 계산 결과와 관측치와의 비교결과를 제시한다. 또한, 해안에서의 지진 해일고의 통계적 분포에 대해 논하며, 해안에서의 지진해일고의 파고분포가 전반적으로 대수정규분포를 따르는 경향을 제시하였다.

착용감 개선을 위안 여자 저고리 패턴개발 - 20,30대를 중심으로 - (The Development of Patterns of Jeogori to Enhance the Fit - With a Focus on Women in their 20s and 30s -)

  • 강경희;최정욱
    • 복식
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.94-105
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    • 2009
  • Jeogori, Korean jacket, can be categorized into two styles. Traditional style Jeogori is based on conventional construction method for ceremonial or festive occasions. Contemporary casual style Jeogori is based on western style flat pattern making for better fitting and functionality. Traditional style Jeogori is quite flat on human body because it is not considered the grade of shoulder line and is drawn by vertical & horizontal line. This characteristic feature causes weakness in functionality and comfort compared to contemporary casual style. Apparently contemporary casual style has better wearing comfort. Yet to most Koreans, contemporary style Jeogori seems to lack of some characteristic style of its own. This study is to find out how to make Jeogori well balanced in terms of functionality, fit, comfort and traditional style. Currently used Jeogori patterns are compared in order to select the best among them. Onto the selected pattern, several alterations were tried focused on shoulder, armhole and sleeve lines to make optimal modifications. After several comparative fitting tests, the final pattern making method was suggested.

반복 성형공정에서 금형 열사이클 해석을 위한 효과적 방법 및 TV유리 공정에의 적용 (An Efficient Method for Mold Thermal Cycle Analysis in Repeated Forming Process and its Application to TV Glass Process)

  • 최주호;김준범;황정해;하덕식
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.252-257
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    • 2000
  • An efficient method is developed for mold thermal cycle analysis in repeated forming process, which is well suited to the analysis in TV glass production. plunger, which is a mold to press-form the glass, undergoes temperature fluctuation during a cycle due to the repeated contact and separation from the glass, which attains a cyclic steady state in the end. If analyzed straightforwardly of this problem, it leads to more than 80 cycles to get reasonable solution, and it is yet hard to setup stopping creteria due to extremely slow convergence. An exponential fitting method is proposed to solve the problem, where an exponential function is found to best approximate temperature values of 3 consecutive cycles, and new cycle is restarted with the function value at infinite time. From numerical implementation, it is found that the method reduces the number of cycles dramatically to only $6{\sim}15$ cycles to reach accurate solution within $1^{\circ}$ error. A system for the analysis is contructed, in which the thermal analysis is performed by commercial software ANSYS, and the fitting of the result is done by IMSL library.

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로봇머신 데이터를 이용한 골프 클럽 피팅 (Golf Club Fitting Using Robot Machine Data)

  • 박성진;전재홍;박영진
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to suggest the proper shaft and head fitting methods of the golf club to increase the flight distance of the golf ball. Rotations per minute of the golf ball(RPM), ratio of Ball speed to club head speed(T-Ratio) and launch angle right after impact(LA), which are directly related to ball flight distance, were measured using Spectra with shutter speed of 1/1000sec at the constant head speed of 95mph which was controlled by robot golf swing machine. In order to investigate the effect of club shaft to the 3 selected variables, 10 shafts were used to make ten test clubs with one controlled club head which is the most commonly used by golf players. To measure the effect of the club head to the 3 selected variables, 6 golf club heads which are most commonly used by golfers were selected to make 6 test clubs with a controlled shaft which is one of the best known by players. The shafts and the heads were identified by statistical analysis to increase or decrease the RPM, T-ratio and LA. A proper fitting method of the selected shafts and the club head was suggested to increase the ball flight distance in golf.

일반화된 Hoek-Brown 파괴조건식에 내포된 전단강도 근사식 (Approximate Shear Strength Formula Implied in the Generalized Hoek-Brown Failure Criterion)

  • 이연규
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.426-441
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    • 2018
  • 일반화된 Hoek-Brown (GHB) 파괴조건식은 최근 각종 암반공학적 계산에 활발히 이용되고 있지만 Mohr 파괴포락선이 해석적 수식으로 표시되지 않아 적용범위를 넓히는데 어려움이 있다. 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위해 이 연구에서는 GHB 파괴함수에 내포된 수직응력 - 접선마찰각 관계식을 다항식으로 최적 근사시켜 접선마찰각을 수직응력의 명시적 근사함수로 표시하는 새로운 방법을 제안하였다. 이 수직응력 - 접선마찰각 관계식을 직선 또는 2차 다항식으로 최적 근사시킬 경우 접선마찰각에 대한 해석적 해가 존재한다. 이 해를 전단응력 - 접선마찰각 관계식에 대입하면 GHB 파괴함수의 근사적 Mohr 파괴 포락선을 유도하는 것이 가능하다. 유도한 근사 Mohr 파괴포락선은 GSI 값 전체 범위에서 정해와 매우 근사함이 입증되었다.