• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.553-560
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• 2007

In this paper, we consider two components system which lifetimes have Freund's bivariate exponential model with equal failure rates. We propose Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure for the failure rates of I Freund's bivariate exponential populations based on Dirichlet process priors(DPP). The family of DPP is applied in the form of baseline prior and likelihood combination to provide the comparisons. Computation of the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses are carried out through Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method, namely, Gibbs sampling, due to the intractability of analytic evaluation. The whole process of multiple comparisons problem for the failure rates of bivariate exponential populations is illustrated through a numerical example.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.661-671
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• 2003

The Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants. So, it is known that Bayes factors are not well defined due to this arbitrariness in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selections. The intrinsic Bayes factor by Berger and Pericchi (1996) and the fractional Bayes factor by O'Hagan (1995) have been used to overcome this problems. This paper suggests intrinsic priors for testing the equality of two lognormal means, whose Bayes factors are asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding fractional Bayes factors. Using proposed intrinsic priors, we demonstrate our results with real example and a simulated dataset.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.510-517
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• 2016

Recent developments in the field of separation of mixed signals into music/voice components have attracted the attention of many researchers. Recently, iterative kernel back-fitting, also known as kernel additive modeling, was proposed to achieve good results for music/voice separation. To obtain minimum mean square error (MMSE) estimates of short-time Fourier transforms of sources, generalized spatial Wiener filtering (GW) is typically used. In this paper, we propose an advanced music/voice separation method that utilizes a generalized weighted ${\beta}$-order MMSE estimation (WbE) based on iterative kernel back-fitting (KBF). In the proposed method, WbE is used for the step of mixed music signal separation, while KBF permits kernel spectrogram model fitting at each iteration. Experimental results show that the proposed method achieves better separation performance than GW and existing Bayesian estimators.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.413-422
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• 2000

In the class of models which include random effects, the variance component estimates are important to obtain accurate predictors and estimators. Variance component estimation is straightforward for balanced data but not for unbalanced data. Since orthogonality among factors is absent in unbalanced data, various methods for variance component estimation are available. REML estimation is the most widely used method in animal breeding because of its attractive statistical properties. Recently, Bayesian approach became feasible through Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods with increasingly powerful computers. Furthermore, advances in variance component estimation with complicated models such as generalized linear mixed models enabled animal breeders to analyze non-normal data.

• 항공우주시스템공학회지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.15-20
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• 2016

The optimal estimation of a general continuous-discrete system can be achieved through the solution of the Fokker-Planck equation and the Bayesian update. Due the high nonlinearity of the equation of motion of the system and the measurement model, it is necessary to linearize the both equation. To avoid linearization, the filter based on Fokker-Planck equation is designed. with the unscented transformation update mechanism, in which the associated Fokker-Planck equation was solved efficiently and accurately via discrete quadrature and the measurement update was done through the unscented transformation update mechanism. This filter based on the Direct Quadrature Moment of Method(DQMOM) and the unscented transformation update is applied to the bearing only target tracking problem. The proposed filter can still provide more accurate estimation of the state than those of the extended Kalman filter especially when measurements are sparse. Simulation results indicate that the advantages of the proposed filter based on the DQMOM and the unscented transformation update make it a promising alternative to the extended Kalman filter.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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• pp.669-675
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• 2003

This paper examines structural breaks and asymmetries of prices of four domestic petroleum products, i.e., gasoline, kerosene, diesel, and bunker-C, following the changes in the pricing policies pertaining to petroleum products in Korea from the government-controlled pricing system to the market pricing system. We use the monthly wholesale market price data for the sample period between July 1988 and December 2001. Using the four methods: the Chow test, the CUSUM/CUSUMQ tests, the Bayesian approach and the Dufour test, the structural behaviors of the petroleum product prices are examined. We found that structural change occurred in all petroleum products, with the exception of Kerosene, at the point of pricing policy change from government-controlled to the spot-price related pricing system. We, also conducted asymmetric analysis using the Borenstein, Cameron, and Gilbert (1997)'s model and found evidences of price asymmetry for all four product types, but in different pattern for each product.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.81-96
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• 2017

Cumulative logit random effects models are typically used to analyze longitudinal ordinal data. The random effects covariance matrix is used in the models to demonstrate both subject-specific and time variations. The covariance matrix may also be homogeneous; however, the structure of the covariance matrix is assumed to be homoscedastic and restricted because the matrix is high-dimensional and should be positive definite. To satisfy these restrictions two Cholesky decomposition methods were proposed in linear (mixed) models for the random effects precision matrix and the random effects covariance matrix, respectively: modified Cholesky and moving average Cholesky decompositions. In this paper, we use these two methods to model the random effects precision matrix and the random effects covariance matrix in cumulative logit random effects models for longitudinal ordinal data. The methods are illustrated by a lung cancer data set.

• 천문학회보
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• 제43권1호
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• pp.62.2-62.2
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• 2018

From the gaussian, near scale-invariant density perturbations observed in the CMB to the late time clustering of galaxies, CDM provides a minimal theoretical explanation for a variety of cosmological data. However accepting this explanation, requires that we include within our cosmic ontology a vacuum energy that is ~122 orders of magnitude lower than QM predictions, or alternatively a new scalar field (dark energy) that has negative pressure. Alternatively, modifications to Einstein's General Relativity have been proposed as a model for cosmic acceleration. Recently there have been many works attempting to test for modified gravity using the large scale clustering of galaxies, ISW, cluster abundance, RSD, 21cm observations, and weak lensing. In this work, we compare various modified gravity models using cosmic shear data from the Deep Lens Survey as well as data from CMB, SNe Ia, and BAO. We use the Bayesian Evidence to quantify the comparison robustly, which naturally penalizes complex models with weak data support. In this poster we present our methodology and preliminary constraints on f(R) gravity.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.1531-1541
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• 2013

This paper proposes a new method of VaR forecasting using the conditional autoregressive VaR (CAViaR) models and information criteria. Instead of using a single CAViaR model, we propose to utilize several candidate CAViaR models during a forecasting period. By adopting the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria for quantile regression, we can update not only parameter estimates but also the CAViaR specifications. We also propose extended CAViaR models with a constant location parameter. An empirical study is provided to examine the performance of the proposed method. The results suggest that our method shows more stable performance than those using a single specification.

• 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보과학회 2012년도 한국컴퓨터종합학술대회논문집 Vol.39 No.1(B)
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• pp.435-437
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• 2012

본 논문에서는 반복적인 베이시안 모델을 이용한 특징점 기반 객체 추적 방법을 제안한다. 제안하는 방법은 특징점 추정 오류를 최소화하고, 추적하는 객체에 해당되는 특징점들만을 선택함으로써, 최적의 특징점들을 이용하여 변환 행렬을 추정한다. 특징점 추정 오류는 Census transform과 해밍 거리를 이용하여 최소화하고, 외곽 특징점(outlier feature)를 제거하기 위하여 반복적인 베이시안 모델을 사용한다. 보행자와 차량등을 이용한 실험 결과, 제안한 방법이 기존 방법에 비하여 좀 더 우수한 성능을 보여준다.