• Water for future
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.273-279
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• 1984

An attempt is made to present a method of prediction for typhoons apporaching the Korean-peninsula. The method is based upon the Bayesian theorem to improve the observed (prior) probabilities of typhoons approaching the Korean sea area incorporating conditional probability. A total of 248 typhoons is collected and analyzed to establish prior probability and conditional probability according to the defined procedure. The typhoons used are those which encompassed the western Pacific area to which the Korean-peninsula is subjected. The results of examplary computations suggest that the presented method is promising for predicting approaching typhoons.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.27-43
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• 1978

This paper deals with the problem of obtaining a minimum cost acceptance sampling plan for destructive testing. The cost model is constructed under the assumption that the sampling procedure takes the following form; 1) lots rejected on the first sample are acreened with a non-destructive testing, 2) the screening is assumed to be imperfect, and therefore, after the screening, a second sample is taken to determine whether to accept the lot of to scrap it. The usual sampling procedures for destructive testing can be regarded as special cases of the above one. Utilizing Hald's Bayesian approach, procedures for finding the global optimal sampling plans are given. However, when the lot size is large, the global plan is very different to obtain even with the aid of an electronic computer. Therefore a method of finding suboptimal plan is suggested. An example with uniform prior is also given.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.1-29
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• 2007

Suppose one is trying to estimate a high dimensional vector of parameters from a series of one observation per parameter. Often, it is possible to take advantage of sparsity in the parameters by thresholding the data in an appropriate way. A marginal maximum likelihood approach, within a suitable Bayesian structure, has excellent properties. For very sparse signals, the procedure chooses a large threshold and takes advantage of the sparsity, while for signals where there are many non-zero values, the method does not perform excessive smoothing. The scope of the method is reviewed and demonstrated, and various theoretical, practical and computational issues are discussed, in particularly exploring the wide potential and applicability of the general approach, and the way it can be used within more complex thresholding problems such as curve estimation using wavelets.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2001.06d
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• pp.159-162
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• 2001

In this Paper, a new multi-sensor single-target tracking method in cluttered environment is proposed. Unlike the established methods such as probabilistic data association filter (PDAF), the proposed method intends to reflect the information in detection phase into parameters in tracking so as to reduce uncertainty due to clutter. This is achieved by first modifying the Bayes risk in Bayesian detection criterion to incorporate the likelihood of measurements from multiple sensors. The final estimate is then computed by taking a linear combination of the likelihood and the estimate of measurements. We develop the procedure and discuss the results from representative simulations.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.62-70
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• 2007

In this study, the natural flaws in welding parts are classified using the signal pattern classification method. The storage digital oscilloscope including FFT function and enveloped waveform generator is used and the signal pattern recognition procedure is made up the digital signal processing, feature extraction, feature selection and classifier design. It is composed with and discussed using the distance classifier that is based on euclidean distance the empirical Bayesian classifier. Feature extraction is performed using the class-mean scatter criteria. The signal pattern classification method is applied to the signal pattern recognition of natural flaws.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02a
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• pp.727-730
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• 2008

최근 연구에 의하면 기상 등의 외부적 요인이 수문학적 빈도를 변화시킨다고 알려지고 있다. 그러나 전통적인 수문학적 빈도해석은 자료의 정상성을 전제로 하기 때문에 어떤 외부인자의 따른 영향을 고려할 수 없다. 본 연구에서는 비정상성 빈도해석 모형의 기본 개념 및 절차에 대해서 살펴보았고 이를 국내 자료에 대해서 적용 검토하였다. 본 연구에서는 계층적 Bayesian 방법을 이용하여 한국에서 극치사상의 영향을 미치는 다양한 영향 인자를 평가하였다. 해수면온도, 예측 GCM 강수량 및 기상인자를 잠재적인 영향인자로 고려하였다. 수문위험도 분석에 관련된 매개변수는 Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) 방법을 이용하였다. 각 예측 인자의 적합성 및 중요성은 각 예측인자와 관련된 매개변수의 사후분포를 이용하여 검토 평가하였다.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.59-67
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• 2022

In this paper, a reliability-based approach has been implemented to develop seismic analytical fragility curves of highway bridges. A typical bridge class of the Central and South-eastern United States (CSUS) region was selected. Detailed finite element modelling is presented and Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) is used to capture the behavior of the bridge from linear to nonlinear behavior. Bayesian linear regression method is used to define the demand model. A reliability approach is implemented to generate the analytical fragility curves and the proposed approach is compared with the conventional fragility analysis procedure.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.427-440
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• 2024

The problem addressed is that of sequentially estimating the difference between the means of two populations with respect to the squared error loss, where each population distribution is a member of the one-parameter exponential family. A Bayesian approach is adopted in which the population means are estimated by the posterior means at each stage of the sampling process and the prior distributions are not specified but have twice continuously differentiable density functions. The main result determines an asymptotic second-order lower bound, as t → ∞, for the Bayes risk of a sequential procedure that takes M observations from the first population and t - M from the second population, where M is determined according to a sequential design, and t denotes the total number of observations sampled from both populations.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.381-390
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• 2010

This paper describes a procedure of the map-based localization for mobile robots by using a sensor fusion technique in structured environments. A combination of various sensors with different characteristics and limited sensibility has advantages in view of complementariness and cooperation to obtain better information on the environment. In this paper, for robust self-localization of a mobile robot with a monocular camera and a laser structured light sensor, environment information acquired from two sensors is combined and fused by a Bayesian sensor fusion technique based on the probabilistic reliability function of each sensor predefined through experiments. For the self-localization using the monocular vision, the robot utilizes image features consisting of vertical edge lines from input camera images, and they are used as natural landmark points in self-localization process. However, in case of using the laser structured light sensor, it utilizes geometrical features composed of corners and planes as natural landmark shapes during this process, which are extracted from range data at a constant height from the navigation floor. Although only each feature group of them is sometimes useful to localize mobile robots, all features from the two sensors are simultaneously used and fused in term of information for reliable localization under various environment conditions. To verify the advantage of using multi-sensor fusion, a series of experiments are performed, and experimental results are discussed in detail.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.395-400
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose an study of the facial emotion recognition considering the dynamical variation of emotional state in facial image sequences. The proposed system consists of two main step: facial image based emotional feature extraction and emotional state classification/recognition. At first, we propose a method for extracting and analyzing the emotional feature region using a combination of Active Shape Model (ASM) and Facial Action Units (FAUs). And then, it is proposed that emotional state classification and recognition method based on Hidden Markov Model (HMM) type of dynamic Bayesian network. Also, we adopt a Harmony Search (HS) algorithm based heuristic optimization procedure in a parameter learning of HMM in order to classify the emotional state more accurately. By using all these methods, we construct the emotion recognition system based on variations of the dynamic facial image sequence and make an attempt at improvement of the recognition performance.