• 서비스연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.87-93
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• 2013

선진국형 질병으로만 알려져 있던 유방암이 우리나라 현대 여성들에게 발병률이 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 유방암은 보통 50대 이상의 여성에서 발병하는 병으로 알려져 있지만 우리나라의 경우 40대의 서양보다 젊은 여성들에게 발병률이 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 따라서 우리나라 성인여성을 기준으로 유방암에 대한 정확한 진단을 할 수 있는 매뉴얼을 구축하는 것이 시급한 과제이다. 본 논문에서는 데이터마이닝기법을 이용하여 유방암을 예측하는 방법을 제시한다. 데이터마이닝이란 데이터베이스 내에 숨어 있는 일정한 패턴이나 변수들 간의 관계를 정교한 분석모형을 이용하여 쉽게 드러나지 않은 유용한 정보를 찾아내는 과정을 말한다. 실험을 통하여 Deicion Tree와 Naive Bayes 분석기법을 사용하여 유방암을 진단하는 분석기법을 비교분석을 하였다. Deicison Tree는 C4.5 알고리즘을 적용하여 분석하였고 두 알고리즘이 상당히 좋은 분류 정확도를 나타냈다. 그러나 Naive Bayes 분류방법이 Decision Tree방법보다 더 상회하는 정확도를 보였고 이는 의료데이터의 특성에 많이 기인한다고 볼 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1309-1317
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• 2006

The paper considers some Bayes estimators of the finite population mean with auxiliary information under priors which are scale mixtures of normal, and thus have tail heavier than that of the normal. The proposed estimators are quite robust in general. Numerical methods of finding Bayes estimators under these heavy tailed priors are given, and are illustrated with an actual example.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.435-441
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• 2000

Ko(1998, 1999) proposed certain flexible two-stage plans that could be served as one-step interim analysis in on-going clinical trials. The proposed Plans are optimal simultaneously in both a Bayes and a Neyman-Pearson sense. The Neyman-Pearson interpretation is that average expected sample size is being minimized, subject just to the two overall error rates $\alpha$ and $\beta$, respectively of first and second kind. The Bayes interpretation is that Bayes risk, involving both sampling cost and wrong decision losses, is being minimized. An example of this correspondence are given by using a binomial setting.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.487-500
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• 1999

We propose a class of hierarchical Bayes estimators of the error variance under the relative squared error loss in balanced fixed-effects two-way analysis of variance models. Also we provide analytic expressions for the risk improvement of the hierarchical Bayes estimators over multiples of the error sum of squares. Using these expressions we identify a subclass of the hierarchical Bayes estimators each member of which dominates the best multiple of the error sum of squares which is known to be minimax. Numerical values of the percentage risk improvement are given in some special cases.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.235-243
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• 2014

Constrained Bayesian estimates overcome the over shrinkness toward the mean which usual Bayes and empirical Bayes estimates produce by matching first and second empirical moments; subsequently, a constrained Bayes estimate is recommended to use in case the research objective is to produce a histogram of the estimates considering the location and dispersion. The well-known squared error loss function exclusively emphasizes the precision of estimation and may lead to biased estimators. Thus, the balanced loss function is suggested to reflect both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. In insurance pricing, the accurate location estimates of risk and also dispersion estimates of each risk group should be considered under proper loss function. In this paper, by applying these two ideas, the benefit of the constrained Bayes estimates and balanced loss function will be discussed; in addition, application effectiveness will be proved through an analysis of real insurance accident data.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.29-35
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• 2021

본 논문에서는 위치 측위의 정확도를 높일 수 있는 방안으로 KNN(K-Nearest Neighbor)과 Local Map Classification 및 Bayes Filter를 융합한 기법을 제안한다. 먼저 이 기법은 Local Map Classification이 실제 지도를 여러 개의 Cluster로 나누고, 다음으로 KNN으로 Cluster들을 분류한다. 그리고 Bayes Filter가 획득한 각 Cluster의 확률을 통하여 Posterior Probability을 계산한다. 이 Posterior Probability으로 로봇이 위치한 Cluster를 검색한다. 성능 평가를 위하여 KNN과 Local Map Classification 및 Bayes Filter을 적용하여서 얻은 위치 측위의 결과를 분석하였다. 분석 결과로 RSSI 신호가 변하더라도 위치 정보는 한 Cluster에 고정되면서 위치 측위의 정확도가 높아진다는 사실을 확인하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.337-350
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• 2000

This paper suggests a new diagnostic measure and a stopping rule for detecting influential observations in multiple discriminant analysis (MDA). It is developed from a Bayesian point of view using a default Bayes factor obtained from the fractional Bayes factor methodology. The Bayes factor is taken as a discriminatory information in MDA. It is shown that the effect of an observation over the discriminatory information is fully explained by the diagnostic measure. Based on the measure, we suggest a stopping rule for detecting influential observations in a given training sample. As a tool for interpreting the measure a graphical method is sued. Performance of the method is used. Performance of the method is examined through two illustrative examples.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.317-329
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• 2006

In the problem of estimating the error variance in the balanced fixed- effects one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) model, Ghosh (1994) proposed hierarchical Bayes estimators and raised a conjecture for which all of his hierarchical Bayes estimators are admissible. In this paper we prove this conjecture is true by representing one-way ANOVA model to the distributional form of a multiparameter exponential family.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제43권1호
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• pp.57-66
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• 2015

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to apply the constrained Bayesian estimation methodology for product quality control process and prove the effectiveness of the product management by comparing with the well-known Bayes estimator through data performance result. Methods: The Bayes and constrained Bayes estimators were produced based on the theoretical background and for confirming the effectiveness of suggested application, the deviation index was defined and calculated for the comparison. Results: The statistical analysis result shows that applying the suggested estimation methodology, that is, constrained Bayes estimator improves the effectiveness of the index with regard to reduce the error by matching the first two empirical moments. Conclusion: Considering the advanced Bayesian approaches such as constrained Bayes estimation for the product quality control process, the newly defined deviation index reduces the error for estimating the parameter histogram which is reflected both location and deviation parameters and furthermore various Bayesian perspective approaches seems to be meaningful for managing the product quality control process.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.315-327
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• 2021

The Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models have drawn considerable attention in recent econometrics literature because of their capability to model the spatial spill overs in a feasible way. While considering the Bayesian analysis of these models, one may face the problem of lack of robustness with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The generalized Bayes estimators provide a viable alternative to incorporate prior belief and are more robust with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The present paper considers the SAR model with a set of linear restrictions binding the regression coefficients and derives restricted generalized Bayes estimator for the coefficients vector. The minimaxity of the restricted generalized Bayes estimator has been established. Using a simulation study, it has been demonstrated that the estimator dominates the restricted least squares as well as restricted Stein rule estimators.