• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bathtub Curve

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Estimating Maintenance Cost of RAPCON at Air Force Base (비행기지 RAPCON 유지보수비용 추정)

  • Bang, Jang-Kyu;Lee, Gun-Young
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.511-518
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    • 2016
  • RAPCON non only controls landing/take-off procedures but also approaching air traffics within 60-70 NM range of air force base. This paper, first of all, tries to research the failure rate per operation hours, mean time between failure (MTBF) of RAPCON according to six blocks such as interrogator, receiver, power unit, display unit, data process unit and antenna. In addition, this paper estimates the maintenance cost over next 10 months based on 50 monthly maintenance cost data. Considering the maintenance cost data from RAPCON which has been used over designed service life span, it is no doubt the forecasted data proved the monthly cost would go up incrementally during the rest of economic life of the facility. Such research result is also proven to be the same with the result of bathtub curve data during operating life.

A Study of the Failure Distribution and the Failure Difference by the Stress on the K-1 Tracked Vehicle (K-1전차의 고장분포와 부하에 따른 고장률 차이에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Choi, Seok-Yoon
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is as follows. First, the hazard function on the failure probability density function of the K-1 tracked vehicles can be occurred in the form of the bathtub curve. Second, the failure mode may be different under two different operational situations. The research result shows that the bathtub curve can be fitted in the Weibull distribution, that assumes different shapes according to the specific stage of the system's life cycle. The K-1 tracked vehicle has a relatively high hazard(failure) rate at the time of its first service. The failure rate starts decreasing for a time immediately after it goes into service. After the break-in period, the surviving components have a fairly constant hazard rate. As the K-1 system ages, deterioration of its various parts takes place and the hazard rate starts Increasing. Second, the result shows the failure rate in the harsh operational environment is higher than that in the mild operational environment. In conclusion, the bathtub curve can be logically appropriate in establishing the depot overhaul cycle. Moreover, it is necessary for determining the right time of the depot overhaul to consider not only the age of defense equipment but also the different operational environment.

Quality, Product Quality, and Market Share Increase: A Perspective for Management Decisions

  • Ryu, Dongsu
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.161-187
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    • 2001
  • Starting with the meaning of the word quality, diverse concepts connoted by the term are examined. Instead of a bathtub curve, the desirable shape of a failure rate covering the entire life of a good product, which might be called hockey-stick line, is introduced. From the hockey-stick line and the definition of reliability, two measurements are extracted. The terms reliability, failure rate, product life, and durability are explained. From the customer's standpoint, the concept of product quality is classified in five factors, according to related technology: performance, reliability, conformance to specifications, customer perception, and fundamentals advantage. The correlation of the five factors for a first-class product is discussed, Since the market share of a company is determined as the competition result of its product value, defined as product quality and price, the market share increase is derived mathematically from the increment of product value. The market share increase, $\Delta$S, can be calculated from the present market share, S, and the oriented relative value increment of new product, R, to the current product in the same company for the same market target: $\Delta$S : $\Delta$(1-S). R/(1+S.R). Finally, the importance of separating warranty cost from the profit equation for the durables is explained.

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BER Simulator Development for Link Compliance Analysis

  • Kang, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Woo-Seop;Lee, Jae-Wook;Jang, Young-Chan;Park, Hwan-Wook;Kim, Jong-Hoon;Lee, Jung-Bae;Kim, Chang-Hyun
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.150-155
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    • 2008
  • This paper is related to developing new Bit Error Rate (BER) simulator, Sam sung BER simulator (SBERS), in order to evaluate the link compliance and all kinds of effects of link compliance in a real environment. SBERS allows to generate transmit pulse accurately by using the various parameters, and obtain the eye diagram and bathtub curve, which represents the performance of link, by calculating the transmit pulse and the measured frequency response characteristics. SBERS give results as same as real environment after taking account of distribution and value of noise. To verify the accuracy of simulator, we derive the simulated and measured result and compare eye opening. The difference came out to be within 5% error. It is possible to estimate the real environment and design the transmitter and receiver circuit effectively using new BER simulator, SBERS.

Mean Residual Life for the Modified Bathtub Curve (수정수명곡선의 평균잔존수명)

  • Kuinam J. Kim;Tae-hee Lee;Sang-Min Pak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.20 no.42
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 초기에 모집단에 취약한 부분에서 고장률의 증가가 생성하는 경우의 수정수명 곳선에 관련한 것이다. 이후 고장률은 전형적 수명곡선에 따른다. 따라서 고장률 h(t)와 평균잔존수명 m(t)와의 관계는 새로운 비교가 제시되어야 하고 새로운 수리적 분석을 수행하여야한다. 본 연구의 수리적 분석의 결과로 고장률과 평균잔존수명에 대한 최적Burn-In 타임은 일치하지 않는다.

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The Novel Concepts for Reliability Technology

  • Ryu, DongSu
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.201-206
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    • 2005
  • Starting with the meaning of the word quality, diverse concepts connoted by the term are examined. Instead of a bathtub curve, the desirable shape of a failure rate covering the entire life of a good product, which might be called hockey-stick line, is introduced. From the hockey-stick line and the definition of reliability, two measurements are extracted. The terms r-reliability (failure rate) and durability (product life) are explained. The conceptual analysis of failure mechanics explains that reliability technology pertains to design area. The desirable shape of hazard rate curve of electronic items, hockey-stick line, clarifies that Mean-Time-to-failure (MTTF) as the inverse of failure rate can be regarded a nominal life. And Bx life, different from MTTF, is explained. Reliability relationships between components and set products are explained. Reshaped definitions of r-reliability and durability are recommended. The procedure to improve reliability and the reasons for failing to identify failure mode are clarified in order to search right solutions. And generalized Life-Stress failure model is recommended for the calculation of acceleration factor.

Reliability Evaluation of Power Distribution System Considering Maintenance Effects (유지보수 영향을 고려한 배전계통 신뢰도 평가)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Shon, Jin-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.154-157
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rates(TFR) of power distribution system components are extracted from the recorded failure data of KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) and the reliability of power distribution system is evaluated using Mean Failure Rate(MFR) and TFR. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential and Weibull distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Also the reliability of the real power distribution system of Korea is evaluated using the MFR and TFR extracted from real failure data, respectively and the results of each case are compared with each other. As a result, it is proved that the reliability evaluation using the TFR is more realistic than MFR. In addition, it is presented that the application method at power distribution system maintenance and repair using the result of TFR.

A Study of Estimating Maintenance Cost of NAVAID (시계열을 이용한 항행안전시설 유지비용 추정 연구)

  • Gang, U-Jeong;Lee, Geun-Yeong
    • 한국항공운항학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.136-141
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문에서는 항행안전시설을 구성하는 구성요소를 체계별로 구분하고 체계별 운영시간 에 따른 고장율 등을 분석한다. 아울러 설계수명에 점차 도달한 항행안전시설 운영단계에서 발생한 유지보수비용 데이터를 토대로 남은 설계수명 기간 동안 향후 발생 가능한 유지보수 비용을 추정한다. 이런 분석결과를 통해 장비의 신뢰성 관련 선행연구들에서 주로 인용되고 있는 욕조커브(Bathtub Curve) 이론과 본 연구의 비용예측 결과와의 연관성을 진단하고 안정적인 유지보수를 위한 기초자료로서 활용되고자 한다. ARIMA 예측모형을 토대로 향후 10개월 간 발생가능한 유지보수 비용을 예측한 결과 비용이 상승할 것이라는 통계적으로 신뢰할 만한 추정 결과를 얻었다. ARIMA를 활용한 추정결과는 앞선 MTBF 분석내용을 지지함과 동시에 시설의 정비 신뢰도를 보여주는 욕조커브 분포와 일치하는 신뢰할 수 있는 결론을 얻은 것이다.

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A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Power Distribution System Equipment (배전기기 고장률 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Kim, Jae-Chul;Lee, Hee-Tae;Chu, Cheol-Min;Ahn, Jae-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.366-368
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

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