• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
• /
• 제12권2호
• /
• pp.281-285
• /
• 2024

Within five years of Kim Jong-un's rise to power, North Korea conducted four nuclear tests and launched the Hwasong-15, an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), in 2017, declaring the completion of its nuclear forces. During the period when Kim Jong-un completed nuclear forces to maintain the regime, foreign policy factors of the United States, China, Russia, and South Korea drove North Korea's accelerated nuclear development. The main motivating factors were the hostile policies and external threats as security factors. The completion of nuclear forces is also the result of the interplay of domestic political factors, normative factors, and hereditary factors. North Korea has been developing nuclear weapons and missiles for the survival of its regime. To achieve lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula, a new modus vivendi must be sought. It is necessary to set the ultimate goal of North Korea's complete denuclearization and engage in strategic thinking for a realistic and effective phased approach.

• Strategy21
• /
• 통권39호
• /
• pp.163-197
• /
• 2016

The completion of Jeju Naval Base on February 2016 made the Republic of Korea Navy(ROKN) review the size and role of the Maritime Task Flotilla(MTF). The new strategic environment for the 12st century and the new challenges require the Navy to counter North Korea's provocations and prevent potential enemy's threat. The Navy is also required to take part in the variety of international roles and missions commensurated with Korea's global status to maximize the national interest. Despite these changes, Korea's military construction concept is still unable to break away from the old paradigm of the North Korean threat largely centered. In order to develop the current MTF into the Task Group with the construction of Jeju Naval Base, the Navy must newly not only establish new force development plan and fleet management concepts but also go to persuade and convince policy decision makers. To this end, the following efforts should be promoted. First, the ROK Navy steps up efforts in order to share with the Task Group's vision and strategy. The Navy should also provide the size and structure as well as the missions and roles of the Task Group to react to new maritime security environment. Second, the Navy analyse the MTF's ability and what is required and necessary to perform its duty. After that, it must set out the direction of the Task Group's force development. Third, the current missions and roles of the MTF should be re-established to respond various threats. Finally, accommodating of new technology to the MTF should intensify its strengths. The ROK Navy has a mixed force structure consisting of three fixed- base fleets and a MTF. The fixed base fleet has a passive force to defend and protect its own sea areas, but the MTF should actively not only counter North Korea's threats, including ballistic missiles, but also fight potential threats and takes international missions as a primary task force. However, the MTF has a limited capability to accomplish given missions and long-range operations, and thus, the ROK Navy is strongly required to construct the Task Group.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
• /
• 제20권3호
• /
• pp.454-466
• /
• 2017

North Korea intended to increase the power of its nuclear weapons and standardize warhead to be loaded in ballistic missiles through the $4^{th}$ and $5^{th}$ nuclear tests. In this study, three kinds of nuclear weapons that North Korea might have used in the $4^{th}$ and $5^{th}$ nuclear tests to achieve their technical goals were suggested. Monte Carlo modeling and various technical assessments have shown that boosted fission weapons are most likely to be used. Also, using the empirical formula considering the burial depth of explosion, we found that the yield of the $4^{th}$ and $5^{th}$ nuclear tests is at least twice as strong as that is expected it could be and the initial design power could reach 8kt before amplification. This means that North Korea has already achieved a substantial level of nuclear fusion technology through the $4^{th}$ test and has made a breakthrough in the miniaturization of nuclear weapons through the $5^{th}$ test. After two or three additional tests, North Korea is expected to have nuclear missiles equipped with nuclear warhead by 2020, which is expected to complete ballistic missile development.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제29권4호
• /
• pp.47-54
• /
• 2020

북한은 비대칭 전력으로 다양한 사거리의 미사일을 개발해 실전 배치했다. 이들 미사일 가운데 단거리 탄도미사일은 정확도를 향상시켜 적은 수의 미사일로 우리 군의 주요시설을 타격해 전술목표를 달성하는 것을 목표로 할 것으로 예상된다. 이는 전시 북한의 주요 공격 대상 중에 하나인 비행장에 대한 중대한 위협으로, 만약 공격을 받을 경우 전시 항공 우위 확보에 필수적인 공군 전투기의 운용을 제한할 수 있다. 이에 따라 위협이 되는 단거리탄도탄을 기반으로 군 비행장별 피해확률을 시뮬레이션하였고, 소극적인 방어의 일환으로 전력배치 변화를 통해 전투력 손실 감소 방안을 연구하였다. 그 결과 현재 배치에 비해 전력의 손실량을 줄일 수 있는 배치방안을 도출할 수 있었다.

• Strategy21
• /
• 통권39호
• /
• pp.114-139
• /
• 2016

Korea and China are neighboring countries with close contacts in many areas from long time ago, and have shared interests in maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, and in deepening economic relationship which has been mutually complementary in their nature. Therefore their bilateral relations has been developed at a remarkable pace to the extent that it can't be better than now. However, the differences in their responses to North Korean nuclear test and ensuing long-range ballistic missile test-fire and the Chinese strong concern on the possible deployment of THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Air Defence) anti-missile system in Korea show that there are some weaknesses in their relations. For example, Korea is not still confident that China would fully implement the sanction measures contained in the UNSC resolution and I argue that Chinese proposal of parallel negotiation of the denuclearization and the replacement of Korean armistice with the Peace Agreement is not much persuasive. In THAAD issue, if Korea comes to conclusion in the future that THAAD is the most effective way to counter North Korean threats, Korea should make every efforts to assure China that Korea-US alliance is not targeting China, and the THAAD is a defensive system, not damaging Chinese security. In the longer-term, deepening strategic distrust and competition between the US and China in this part of East Asia, changing nature of economic cooperation between Korea and China, and the revival of 'great country mentality' by Chinese people together with the rising nationalism in both Korea and China would cast shadow on Korea-China relation in the years ahead, unless properly handled. In this regard, I suggest that the security communications between the two countries be further strengthened, and the tri-lateral dialogue channel be established among the three countries of Korea, the US and China, particularly on North Korean issues. I also suggest the new pattern of economic cooperation be sought, considering the changing economic environment in China, while strengthening the efforts to understand each other through more interactions between the two peoples.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제26권2호
• /
• pp.31-39
• /
• 2017

본 연구는 무기체계의 단위비용을 고려한 K2(KC와 KAMD) 체계의 효과분석을 수행하였다. 단일 KC와 다중(고층 및 저층) KAMD를 가정하고, 각 체계에 임의의 무기체계를 설정하여 각각의 조합에 따라 총 12개의 시나리오를 작성하였다. 효과도는 전체 탄도미사일 위협 수량 대비 감소된 탄도미사일 위협의 비율로 정의하였으며, 비용은 발사된 무장의 수량과 단위비용으로 계산하였다. K2 체계의 효과도와 총비용은 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 1,000번 반복하여 추정하였다. 각각의 시나리오를 대안으로 하여 비용대 효과분석을 실시하였고, 효과고정법을 사용하여 최적 대안을 선정하였다. 연구 결과 KC 능력이 K2 체계의 방어 효과와 총비용을 결정하는 가장 중요한 요소였으며, 적정 수준의 저층방어체계를 갖춰야 요구되는 방어 효과를 달성할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 향후 연구에서 실질적인 무기체계 제원과 수명주기비용을 고려한 비용대 효과분석이 이루진다면 더욱 현실적인 분석이 가능할 것이다.

• 항공우주정책ㆍ법학회지
• /
• 제31권1호
• /
• pp.145-167
• /
• 2016

안전보장이사회는 국제연합헌장 제7장 제39조에 따라 평화에 대한 위협, 평화의 파괴 또는 침략행위의 존재를 결정할 권한을 갖고 있으며, 이에 안보리 결의가 헌장 제7장에 따름을 명시하는 경우 그 결의가 그러한 안보리의 결정을 확정하는 문서를 구성한다. 또한 헌장 제25조에 따라서 회원국은 안보리 결정을 수락하고 이행하여야 할 의무를 부담하므로, 안보리 결정을 확정하는 그러한 안보리 결의의 회원국에 대한 법적 구속력이 인정된다고 해석된다. 안보리 결의를 용어의 선택 관점에서 살펴 보면, 탄도미사일 프로그램 관련 활동을 중지(suspend)하는 것에 대해서는 결정(decide)이고, 탄도미사일을 발사하지 않을 것에 대해서는 요청(demand), 그리고 미사일실험유예조치로의 복귀에 대해서는 요청(demand)이라는 점이 주목된다. 안보리의 수차례의 결의에서 탄도미사일에 관련된 모든 활동의 중지를 결정하는 조항과 탄도미사일 기술을 이용하는 모든 발사의 금지를 촉구하는 조항 및 그 촉구를 결정으로 보는 조항은 1967년 우주조약에 규정되지 않은 평화적 목적의 내용을 정하는 성격을 갖거나 또는 위와 마찬가지로 특정 경우에만 적용되는 안보리의 결정이다. 다른 한편으로는 발사금지를 결정하는 안보리결의는 북한에 대한 제재에 한정된다고 볼 수 있다. 학설상 WMD에 관련된 안보리의 결의도 결정(decide)라는 용어를 택하고 있어서 구속력 있는 의무를 부과하는 것으로 인정되지만, 법의 제정에는 못미치고 단순한 제재의 결정에 그친다고 보기도 한다. 국제평화에 대한 위협의 존재를 결정하고 그에 대한 제재를 내용으로 하는 안보리 결정을 둘러싸고, 그 결정에 이르는 국가간 합의의 방식이 과연 국제법상의 입법에 이를 정도인가에 대한 의문이 북한의 발사체 발사에 대한 결정에 있어서도 제기된다고 판단된다. 또한, 우주공간과 그 공간에서 국가들의 우주활동을 규율의 객체로 하면서, 모든 국가의 보편적인 권리와 의무를 규율함을 목적으로 하는 우주법의 성격상 안보리 이사국들의 합의에 따르는 안보리의 결정이 우주법의 특별법으로서의 지위를 갖는다고 판단하기는 어렵다. 이에 안보리 결의는 우주법의 내용을 구체화하는 입법이 아니라 북한에 대한 제재에 한정된다고 판단된다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 D
• /
• pp.660-662
• /
• 2000

The most important problem in traget tracking can be said to be modeling the tracking system correctly. Although the simple linear dynamic equation for this model has used until now, the satisfactory performance could not be obtained owing to uncertainties of the real systems in the case of designing the filters based on the dynamic equations. In this paper, we propose the extended robust Kalman filter(ERKF) which can be applied to the real target tracking system with the parameter uncertainties. To solve the robust nonlinear fettering problem, we derive the extended robust Kalman filter equation using the Krein space approach and sum quadratic constraint. We show the proposed filter has better performance than the existing extended Kalman filter(EKF) via 3-dimensional target example.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.283-295
• /
• 2010

Although some large units, upper than division, have a identification system, most of them depend on US military. Especially, the company unit can not but execute GOP(General OutPost) guidance and battles inefficiently because they apply the method of conventional identification system. urrently, North Korea causes the high tension of peninsular by experimenting nuclear weapons and launching ICBM(Intercontinental Ballistic Missile). In addition, ROK military will reduce the number of personnel and division through reorganizing the structure into NCW (Network Centric Warfare) until 2020. These unstable situation and future tendency require the high technical identification system based on USN(Ubiquitous Sensor Network) in company unit level. his study suggests the method that the company unit apply the identification system based on USN which distinguish between friend and foe in the warfare. The identification system concludes the results through experiment of military analysis model (AWAM; Army Weapon effectiveness Analysis Model). After analyzing the experiment results, it indicates the budget requirement and operational operability of identification system. This will be able to improves battle efficiency and to prevent damages of friendly forces.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
• /
• 제12권5호
• /
• pp.683-688
• /
• 2009

A research was conducted about the Reynolds number effect on the projectile with an altitude change. The atmosphere conditions change in accordance with an altitude change. It effects the Reynolds number. To confirm how the phenomena affect the trajectory of the projectile, a computer program is designed with an altitude and a range considered. The MISSILE DATCOM which is based on the semi-empirical method was utilized to get aerodynamic coefficients. The result shows that the Reynolds number considerably changes as the altitude change. It causes to change the drag coefficient of the projectile. As the Reynolds number decreases, the skin friction drag increases significantly. It causes to decrease the maximum altitude and the range.